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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
November 1, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Sunday Late
Sunday night
On Bye
GB at BUF NO at TB CLE at SD *updated NYJ, PHI

Prediction: MIA 7, CHI 31

The hapless Fins take the road where they are 0-4 and head into Chicago where the Bears are 4-0 and have an average of a 31 point margin of victory. Make that the hopeless Fins.

Miami Dolphins (1-6)
1 17-28 @PIT 10 --- KC
2 6-16 BUF 11 --- MIN
3 13-10 TEN 12 --- @DET
4 15-17 @HOU 13 --- JAX
5 10-20 @NE 14 --- NE
6 17-20 @NYJ 15 --- @BUF
7 24-34 GB 16 --- NYJ
8 Open Bye 17 --- @IND
9 --- @CHI - MON THU
MIA at CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Joey Harrington 0 0 180,1
RB Ronnie Brown 50 20 0
TE Randy McMichael 0 30 0
WR Chris Chambers 0 50 0
WR Marty Booker 0 40 0
WR Wes Welker 0 30,1 0
PK Olindo Mare 0 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: So much for lauding the Fins as the next great team. With a four game losing streak, the Dolphins are going to the wrong place for a turnaround. The defense has been getting worse almost every week and now faces one of the two undefeated teams in the league. As the visitor no less. Evidently losing Linehan really did matter and gaining Mularkey has rekindled his Buffalo experience - not the Pittsburgh years.

Quarterback: Joey Harrington comes off a career best game of 414 yards and scored twice against the visiting Packers in week seven. But the Dolphins lost the game and he had three interceptions as well. After three starts, Harrington has three scores against seven interceptions and will likely lose his job back to Daunte Culpepper at some point. While it was nice to see him throw for 414 yards, that did require 62 passes and his upcoming schedule is a lot tougher than what he just completed - @CHI, KC and MIN.

Running Backs: Ronnie Brown has turned nice efforts in the last two weeks against the softer defenses of the Jets and Packers but he'll be challenged to continue to post much yardage with that tough three game stretch coming up. Brown had been involved in the passing game each week and then was a non-factor in weeks five and six. Fortunately, the Dolphins moved him back into the scheme and threw him five passes for 63 yards against the Packers. Brown will need to continue to show up with receptions to keep the offense moving this month.

Wide Receivers: The most amazing feature of Harrington's huge passing game against the Packers was that it never involved Chris Chambers who ended with just two catches for 29 yards. Chambers still has not turned in more than 60 receiving yards in a game this year though he usually has one rush that marginally helps out his production. Marty Booker had seven catches for 110 yards and a score against Green Bay which is easily a team high this year. Wes Welker continues to provide six more catches per week, but he has never scored and has been over 60 yards only once this year. He makes the shortest catches of any slot receiver in the league.

Tight Ends: Randy McMichael still hasn't scored this year but Harrington immediately had a connection with his tight end starting three weeks ago. That has translated into three games over 70 yards for McMichael - his best three efforts on the year.

Match Against the Defense: Understand that the below rankings reflect all games, The Bears are actually better than this when at home. Ronnie Brown is a no go this week in a place where no runner has scored and only Gore has managed any yardage - and that only because he somehow managed to break a 53 yard run. Otherwise, he was still around the 50 yard mark that most cannot exceed.

Harrington has the unenviable task of facing the #32 team in the last game (GB) and now goes against the #1 defense against quarterbacks. While there is an off chance he could throw one score, it's hard to award it to any one player. I'll give it to Welker but it could end up with Booker or Chambers. Expecting any significant yardage here is optimistic.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 19 23 14 14 24 30
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 1 2 9 1 4 7


Chicago Bears (7-0)
1 26-0 @GB 10 --- @NYG
2 34-7 DET 11 --- @NYJ
3 19-16 @MIN 12 --- @NE
4 37-6 SEA 13 --- MIN
5 40-7 BUF 14 --- @STL
6 24-23 @ARZ 15 --- TB
7 Open Bye 16 --- @DET
8 41-10 SF 17 --- GB
9 --- MIA - - MON
CHI vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Rex Grossman 0 0 190,2
RB Thomas Jones 100,1 20 0
TE Desmond Clark 0 50,1 0
WR Muhsin Muhammad 0 50 0
WR Rashied Davis 0 20 0
WR Bernard Berrian 0 70,1 0
PK Robbie Gould 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: Having survived the scare in Arizona, the Bears got back into form last week when they dismantled the 49ers. Before that, they dismantled the Bills and before that, the Seahawks. The home record of the Bears is indeed a scary thing, with the average score being 38-7. No reason to expect a 1-6 visitor to change that trend.

Quarterback: Just to prove that the Arizona game was nothing more than a fluke, Rex Grossman threw for 252 yards and three scores against the 49ers last week and resumed his multiple touchdown ways, In the four home games this year, Grossman has never had less than two scores and averages around three.

Running Backs: Thomas Jones comes off a 111 yard effort last week and that was his second time over the century mark this year. The Bears gave lip service to working Cedric Benson more but that only amounted to eight carries for 26 yards and one touchdown. Even in home blowouts, Benson is not considered worthy of playing time. In the last three home efforts, Jones has never run for less than 98 yards and has scored three times.

Wide Receivers: After almost no work for two weeks, Muhsin Muhammad came back to life last Sunday when he turned in 65 yards on five catches with one touchdown. Bernard Berrian has been strangely quiet for two weeks now after a very strong opening to the season but some of that has been going to the tight end Clark recently. Until last week, Berrian had always scored once in every home game and had at least 89 yards.

Tight Ends: Evidently Desmond Clark is on some cycle that he has just completed. He started the year with two nice showings of 77 and 85 yards and then did almost nothing for three weeks. In the last two games, he had 61 and 86 yards including two scores against the 49ers.

Match Against the Defense: The Dolphins have only allowed one rushing score by a tailback this year but Jones is almost certain to be the second. Look for a healthy yardage effort here that apparently won't have much interference from Benson.

Grossman faces a secondary that has allowed two passing scores in each of the last three games. Expect the same here that will favor both Berrian and Clark again. There should also be at least one defensive score in this game. Harrington in Chicago? They should just spot the Dolphins 24 points and play a real game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 12 11 11 5 1 1
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 14 6 14 23 16 26