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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
November 1, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Sunday Late
Sunday night
On Bye
GB at BUF NO at TB CLE at SD *updated NYJ, PHI

Prediction: OAK 13, SEA 23

The Raiders come off back-to-back wins with big defensive showings against the Cards and Steelers. They couldn't feel better about things right now and they may want to bottle that for future use because now is when the road gets even rougher. The Seahawks are spiraling down with three losses in four games and once again is without Alexander and Hasselbeck. But the Raiders on the road? Even Seneca and Maurice can get the job done with a little help from their defensive friends.

Update: Jordan remains listed as questionable on the injury report with the same sore back that he had last week. He has practiced and is expected to play. Justin Fargas is probable to play with his shoulder sprain and was held out on Wednesday but is back and is expected to play this week. I am not adding him into the projections but he should get some carries on Monday.

Oakland Raiders (2-5)
1 0-27 SD 10 --- DEN
2 6-28 @BAL 11 --- @KC
3 Open Bye 12 --- @SD
4 21-24 CLE 13 --- HOU
5 20-34 @SF 14 --- @CIN
6 3-13 @DEN 15 --- STL
7 22-9 ARZ 16 --- KC
8 20-13 PIT 17 --- @NYJ
9 --- @SEA - MON SAT
OAK at SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Walter 0 0 190,1
RB Lamont Jordan 50 10 0
TE Courtney Anderson 0 20 0
TE Randal Williams 0 10 0
WR Randy Moss 0 60,1 0
WR Alvis Whitted 0 20 0
WR Jerry Porter 0 40 0
WR Ronald Curry 0 20 0
PK S. Janikowski 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Nothing like a couple of wins to make everything seem okay again. At least until the next week. The win over the Steelers was huge though it was entirely related to the Oakland defense and the generous nature of Ben Roethlisberger. The last two wins both came at home and now the Raiders hit the road where they have yet to be competitive.

Quarterback: Andrew Walter has been impressive enough that HC Art Shell has elected to stick with him even when Aaron Brooks is available. If Walter can last an entire season is another thing since he has already been sacked an NFL high 28 times this season. Walter looked sharp against the visiting Cardinals when he threw for 263 yards and one score but against the Steelers, he only had five completions for 51 yards on 14 pass attempts. The only consistent characteristic about Walter so far is that he always throws at least one interception and he gets clobbered every game.

Running Backs: As if the bad news for Lamont Jordan was already easy to find, his recent back problems have allowed Justin Fargas to run 41 times over the last two weeks. Jordan was able to play in a limited fashion against the Steelers but only gained 21 yards on seven carries for his worst game of the year. But his best has never meant much other than the one home game against the Browns. Jordan will play this week but Fargas has earned a role in the eyes of the coaches since he offers a speedy complement to Jordan. The unfortunate reality is that even combined they don't offer much fantasy value.

Wide Receivers: Jerry Porter returned last week after an NFLPA shortening of his suspension and for the first time this season, Porter had a catch. There was only one for 19 yards but Alvis Whitted and Ronald Curry have already proven they are not up to the task so the outlook for the Raiders passing game is a little brighter if Porter can contribute without getting another time out handed to him by Art Shell. Randy Moss comes off his worst game of the year but against the Steelers that was to be expected. Moss only had two catches in the game largely because the Raiders were already ahead and scared to throw the ball anyway. Moss had scored in three of the precious four games.

Tight Ends: Courtney Anderson had been good for over 50 yards in both games prior to last week but had no catches against the Steelers. In Seattle, he'll need to be a bigger factor and his best games have come on the road.

Match Against the Defense: The Raider rushing game heads into Seattle against what has only been an average defense, but on the road there's virtually no chance that Lamont Jordan and Justin Fargas are going to mount much. Seattle is in a must-win situation now and Oakland merely gets in the way. Expect low numbers here.

Andrew Walter faces a secondary that may seem below average but consider that the Seahawks have faced far better passing teams than Oakland so far. Seattle has always allowed one passing score to opponents and that seems about right for this game. I'll credit the score to Moss but it could go anywhere and will likely be late game anyway.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 32 26 28 18 28 7
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 20 19 27 17 18 24


Seattle Seahawks (4-3)
1 9-6 @DET 10 --- STL
2 21-10 ARZ 11 --- @SF
3 42-30 NYG 12 --- GB
4 6-37 @CHI 13 --- @DEN
5 Open Bye 14 --- @ARZ
6 30-28 @STL 15 --- SF
7 13-31 MIN 16 --- SD
8 28-35 @KC 17 --- @TB
9 --- OAK - MON THU
SEA vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Seneca Wallace 20 0 190,2
RB Maurice Morris 70 10 0
TE Jerramy Stevens 0 20,1 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 80,1 0
WR Deion Branch 0 60 0
WR Nate Burleson 0 20 0
PK Josh Brown 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks have lost three of their last four games and go into this week yet again without Matt Hasselbeck or Shaun Alexander. The rest of the season holds one of the kinder schedules in the league but missing the star players is not making it any easier. Seattle put up a valiant fight in Kansas City last week but were clipped in the end because Larry Johnson steam rolled them with 39 carries. But at least Seneca Wallace gives hope that the offense can still move even without Hasselbeck. These next four games should be as good as it gets - OAK, STL, @SF and then GB.

Quarterback: Life without Hasselbeck seems to be just fine. Seneca Wallace took his first start in a tough road game in Kansas City and came away with 198 yards and three touchdowns. He even ran for 18 yards on four runs. His two interceptions were not a help but given the situation, he came off impressive as a starter. Of course now there is game film on him which always makes a big difference to defenses as they prepare.

Running Backs: Shaun Alexander has already been counted out this week. HC Mike Holmgren said that his broken foot still has not healed enough to let him play. That means Maurice Morris takes his sixth start this season still looking for his first touchdown or game with over 74 rushing yards. In five games, Morris has run 78 times for 201 yards and a 2.6 yard average gain. That's about what Alexander would do in less than two games and without any scores.

Wide Receivers: Wallace faced one of the better secondaries last week and had a nice showing that translated into only moderate games by the wideouts. Darrell Jackson had nine passes with three catches for 64 yards and one score. Deion Branch had six throws but only caught two of them for 45 yards. D.J. Hackett scored once but he's rarely used in two consecutive games and only had three catches for 25 yards. Nate Burleson only had one pass but caught it for a 21 yard gain. Wallace used all four wideouts but that meant none had any notable yardage and outside of Jackson's score, lower fantasy numbers for the lot. But that was on the road in Kansas City, so it's actually encouraging more than anything. There are some games coming soon that should really involve the wide receivers but until Alexander shows back up, the group will suffer from excessive coverage.

Tight Ends: Jerramy Stevens has been back for two weeks now and he did have one touchdown against the Chiefs but only 20 yards on three catches in a game that had plenty of passing. Until Hasselbeck returns, Stevens will likely help out more with blocking than turn in notable fantasy numbers.

Match Against the Defense: Hard to believe that the Seahawks have the 30th ranking for running backs but that's what happens when Alexander is not in the game. The Raiders have been far more accommodating on the road to runners but Morris is hardly setting the world on fire. Look for an improved effort from Morris but one that will end with only moderate numbers.

Wallace faces a secondary that is highly ranked thanks to playing in games that opponents rarely had to throw to win. But this week the passing game will have to carry the team and with a strong set of receivers once again, look for a moderate to good game from Wallace who should post at least a couple of touchdowns this week. Oakland has faced some very weak passing teams in the past and this week should see Jackson reel in one score and another like going to Stevens who is was a factor last week as well.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 9 30 4 28 14 14
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 4 23 4 13 29 32