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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
WEEK 11
November 15, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday night
ATL at BAL MIN at MIA STL at CAR DET at ARZ SD at DEN
BUF at HOU NE at GB TEN at PHI SEA at SF
Monday
CHI at NYJ OAK at KC WAS at TB IND at DAL NYG at JAX
CIN at NO PIT at CLE     updated

Prediction: TEN 7, PHI 24

The Titans come off a close loss to the Ravens but both wins (WAS and HOU) went against teams a good bit worse than the Eagles in Philly. The Eagles are shrugging off the effects of losing four games they could have won this year and the only factor keeping this from being a blowout is that the Eagles have to go play in Indy next week. No matter - no room for errors when the Eagles are still only 5-4.

Tennessee Titans (2-7)
1 16-23 NYJ 10 26-27 BAL
2 7-40 @SD 11 --- @PHI
3 10-13 @MIA 12 --- NYG
4 14-45 DAL 13 --- IND
5 13-14 @IND 14 --- @HOU
6 25-22 @WAS 15 --- JAX
7 Open Bye 16 --- @BUF
8 28-22 HOU 17 --- NE
9 7-37 @JAX - - -
TEN at PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 40,1 0 170
RB Travis Henry 70 10 0
TE Bo Scaife 0 30 0
WR Drew Bennett 0 60 0
WR Bobby Wade 0 30 0
WR Brandon Jones 0 20 0
PK Rob Bironas 0 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Titans almost beat the Ravens last Sunday during "upset week" but now they hit the road to face the Eagles and Tennessee is just 1-4 in away games. The offense continues to improve a bit each week as Young integrates himself into the NFL but the progress hasn't been nearly enough to expect a win here. Tennessee has lost games to the Colts and Ravens by only a single point in each but only when a quality opponent tries to mail in the game does that happen - and the opponents still end up winning.

Quarterback: Vince Young comes off a career best 211 yard game in Baltimore last Sunday but he failed to throw a touchdown for the first time in four games. Young has been supplementing his production with running the ball more though and already has three rushing touchdowns to tie for the lead among all NFL quarterbacks. Young has struggled recently in road games against good opponents such as when he had three interceptions against the Jaguars in week nine. Young is improving, but he's not setting any speed records so far.

Running Backs: Travis Henry comes off a surprising 107 yard effort against the Ravens with one touchdown scored though that required 27 carries. The problem this week is that Henry won't likely be getting 27 carries this week if the Eagles score as expected and force the Titans into the passing game. Henry has been an effective runner, but only when he gets enough carries to matter. That may very well not be the case this week.

Wide Receivers: The Titans now officially have the biggest free agent bust this year. They acquired David Givens to give some life to a lackluster wide receiver crew and in return for the five-year contract worth $24 million, Givens missed training camp, then fractured his thumb and last week tore his ACL. His 104 yards on eight catches went for around $600,000 per reception this year.

Drew Bennett comes off his best game of the year when he had 115 yards on six catches against the Ravens. That was Bennett's first game over 60 yards in the last six weeks and only his second score on the year. After suffering through a 2005 season with a motley crew for wideouts, the Titans are pretty much in the exact same spot they were last year.

Tight Ends: Bo Scaife added a new feature to the offense when he had a thirteen yard run for a score last week. That was the first run by a tight end this year for the Titans and only the third time a non-running back has turned in a rushing attempt. Scaife ended with 48 yards on two catches as well. Ben Troupe still exists, but not on anyone's fantasy roster.

Match Against the Defense: Take those defensive rankings below and then realize that the Eagles are twice as good at home. Henry goes against a defense that has surrendered only two rushing scores to running backs this year in Philly though if there is a weakness, it would be against the run. Expect moderate yardage here and no score.

Young faces a defense that has not allowed the last four visitors to score a passing touchdown or have more than 223 passing yards. Look for a few more runs by Young this week but no score and only moderate passing yardage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 22 24 30 12 31 17
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 11 17 9 5 19 21

 

Philadelphia Eagles (5-4)
1 24-10 @HOU 10 27-3 WAS
2 24-30 NYG 11 --- TEN
3 38-24 @SF 12 --- @IND
4 31-9 GB 13 --- CAR
5 38-24 DAL 14 --- @WAS
6 24-27 @NO 15 --- @NYG
7 21-23 @TB 16 --- @DAL
8 6-13 JAX 17 --- ATL
9 Open Bye - - MON
PHI vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb 10 0 230,2
RB Brian Westbrook 110,1 40 0
TE L.J. Smith 0 20 0
WR Donte Stallworth 0 100,1 0
WR Reggie Brown 0 40,1 0
WR Greg Lewis 0 20 0
PK David Akers 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: It would be easy enough for the Eagles to want to look past this match-up with the Colts looming in week 12 but the Titans gave the Ravens a scare and the Eagles are hardly in a spot to take anyone lightly. The win over the Redskins was dominating and made some amends for the home loss to the Jaguars. With the loss by the Giants last week, the Eagles are only one game out of first in the NFC East with a slate of road games through the entire division coming up to control their destiny.

Quarterback: Donovan McNabb has been such a goldmine this year that he could take a week off and still likely be the top fantasy quarterback. And that is almost what he did last week when he only had 222 yards and one score against the Skins. The interesting development there was that HC Andy Reid hasn't liked the play calling (which he did himself) and he handed it off to OC Marty Morinwheg. The result - a big win and no late game theatrics. But Morinwheg wants to return the Eagles to a more balanced attack instead of the pass happy ways of the first half of the season. Last week was the first time all year that the Eagles ran more than they passed - and they won handily.

Morinwheg is also using the no-huddle offense now which allows McNabb the freedom to call his own plays on occasion. While McNabb is not likely to incur any significant drop-off in passing production, the recent change could depress what he was producing up to this point. Reid was concerned that all the passing of the past is what placed the team in a bind in the first half of so many games.

McNabb is currently tied with Grossman for #2 in the NFL with 17 passing scores and is #2 in passing yards with 2534.

Running Backs: If the Eagles hold true to increasing the role of the rushing game, that directly benefits Brian Westbrook who had 113 yards on 22 carries last week. That was his second best rushing yardage of the year though it came along with one of his worst efforts as a receiver - just three catches for 37 yards. Westbrook will continue to factor in heavily no matter what the play calling is but those looking for reception points could lose out slightly. Then again, in a blowout like last week, there wasn't much reason to throw the ball anyway.

Wide Receivers: After missing four games with a hamstring strain and returning for just one match-up prior to the bye week, Donte Stallworth finally came back to life last week when he had 139 yards and one score against the Skins. It only took eight weeks to get from his last good game to that one and Stallworth is still not 100% over his hamstring strain if, in fact, he can ever be said to be over it. Reggie Brown now has two straight games of minimal yardage and obviously loses out when Stallworth is healthy. Brown had numerous big games earlier this year and always when Stallworth was out of the lineup. When Donte plays, Brown has never had more than 38 yards in a game.

Tight Ends: After a strong start to the season, L.J. Smith has been on the decline for the last five games and only had one catch for eight yards last week. He has fallen from favor over the last month and any increase to the rushing game is not going to help his numbers.

Match Against the Defense: Again - this depends on whether the Eagles fully prepare and commit to this game or if they try to mail it in. The Titans on the road usually allow one rushing score and nice yardage to opposing runners. Expect a nice game here by Westbrook who should top the 100 yard mark and score once.

McNabb faces a secondary that has allowed the last three opponents to throw for three scores - and two of those were on the road like this game. Expect at least two passing scores here that favor Stallworth for sure and likely Brown as well.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 1 10 7 10 19 5
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 31 25 30 24 24 15