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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
November 22, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
  CIN at CLE NYG at TEN   Updated

Prediction: NYG 24, TEN 17

The Giants are 6-4 but their effort on Monday night says that injuries are not being compensated for and that the G-Men are in jeopardy of becoming a footnote instead of a favorite. The Titans are already 2-1 against the NFC East and most recently sent McNabb packing for the rest of the year. This is anyone's game really depending on which Eli Manning shows up.

New York Giants (6-4)
1 21-26 IND 10 20-38 CHI
2 30-24 @PHI 11 10-26 @JAX
3 30-42 @SEA 12 --- @TEN
4 Open Bye 13 --- DAL
5 19-3 WAS 14 --- @CAR
6 27-14 @ATL 15 --- PHI
7 36-22 @DAL 16 --- NO
8 17-3 TB 17 --- @WAS
9 14-10 HOU - MON SAT
NYG at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 0 0 200,2
RB Tiki Barber 90 20 0
RB Brandon Jacobs 20,1 0 0
TE Jeremy Shockey 0 70,1 0
WR David Tyree 0 20 0
WR Plaxico Burress 0 80,1 0
WR Tim Carter 0 10 0
PK Jay Feeley 1 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: On the heels of two straight losses, the Giants have the Cowboys and Panthers waiting after this week. The offense has progressively worsened as the year grows old and the injuries to the line showed up last week as Manning was getting battered and Barber was stuffed at the line. Without Toomer, the offense was turning into little more than pitch and catch with Burress until Shockey fired up again last week. This week is an opponent that the Giants can beat but they have never looked more susceptible to a loss.

Quarterback: At least Eli Manning draws a nice graph. It starts out high with multiple scores in four of the first five games and then starts the downward trend with only three scores over the last four weeks and never more than one per game. Manning had 230 passing yards against the Jaguars but that was his first trip over 200 since week five. What is even worse is that Manning has thrown two interceptions in each of his last couple of games.

Running Backs: Tiki Barber comes off his worst game of the year with just 27 yards on ten carries in Jacksonville last Monday. He still has only one touchdown on the season but had been rolling with 100+ rushing yard games in five of the last six efforts until last Monday. Barber usually runs well on the road but facing a top defense denied him the amount of carries to contribute much.

Wide Receivers: Plaxico Burress had five catches for 65 yards and one score in Jacksonville but he is getting almost no help from any other wideout with Toomer gone. David Tyree had just two catches for 15 yards and Tim Carter had no receptions last week. That has shifted Shockey into actually lining up as a wideout on some plays because Carter and Tyree are such little help.

Tight Ends: With the need great, Jeremy Shockey is stepping up lately and had a team high seven catches for 82 yards last week.

Match Against the Defense: The Titans are one of those teams that can win a game and make everyone wonder how they did it, because it did not come from a big defensive effort balanced by a good offensive showing. The Titans are soft against the run with half their opponents rushing for at least 90 yards. Expect Barber to get back on track this week with good yardage and for Jacobs to bang in at least one score.

Manning faces a secondary that has allowed quarterbacks like Rosenfels, Garrard and McNair to each throw for three scores so look for a bounce back game here. Figure on at least two passing scores split between Shockey and Burress but for the passing yardage to remain only moderate.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 19 9 15 10 14 15
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 29 25 28 28 25 13


Tennessee Titans (3-7)
1 16-23 NYJ 10 26-27 BAL
2 7-40 @SD 11 31-13 @PHI
3 10-13 @MIA 12 --- NYG
4 14-45 DAL 13 --- IND
5 13-14 @IND 14 --- @HOU
6 25-22 @WAS 15 --- JAX
7 Open Bye 16 --- @BUF
8 28-22 HOU 17 --- NE
9 7-37 @JAX - - -
TEN vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 50,1 0 130
RB Travis Henry 70,1 0 0
RB LenDale White 20 0 0
TE Bo Scaife 0 20 0
WR Drew Bennett 0 40 0
WR Bobby Wade 0 30 0
WR Brandon Jones 0 30 0
PK Rob Bironas 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Titans come off a big win in Philly but are only 1-3 at home this year and 2-4 on the road. Twice now teams have been trapped when the Titans came to visit but the incoming Giants are not going to be looking past this week. The passing game with Young is mediocre at best and balanced only by his occasional run into the endzone. Travis Henry has been running strong but the defense just cannot keep pace in most games.

Quarterback: After seven NFL starts, Vince Young has thrown for just six touchdowns this year and never more than one per week. He has only one effort over 200 passing yards and most weight in at 150 yards or less. His running ability has made a difference with three scores so far and around 40 yards in most games. He rarely completed more than half his passes. But - he keeps the chains moving with his legs as well.

Running Backs: Travis Henry pops up with big games just when you expect it least. He ran for 143 yards and one score last week thanks to runs of 70 and 43 yards. Henry has five scores on the season and four efforts over 100 rushing yards including the last two games .His success has managed to keep LenDale White on the bench for all but eight carries a week. Henry seems to run the worst in the easiest match-ups likely because those opponents are preparing to play an equal.

Wide Receivers: None of these wideouts have any fantasy value and rarely have more than 20 yards in a game. Drew Bennett turned in 115 yards against the Ravens in week ten and then turned around to have no catches last week.

Tight Ends: Ben Troupe caught a touchdown last week for only the second time this year and it was his only catch in the game. He also had his ankle injured again so he may not be around for his one catch this week. Bo Scaife is a more consistent player and even he had no catches last week.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants may be wounded now and Strahan likely is still out, but Henry will be challenged to get enough carries this week to eventually pop one. Look for decent yardage and likely one score but anything else will rely on one long run to happen.

Young faces a weaker secondary and a pass rush that has declined recently but nothing in Young's season says he will suddenly have a big game. Look for no passing scores but one rushing touchdown. The Giants have already allowed three quarterbacks to score on the ground.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 22 23 31 13 30 8
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 28 11 10 25 12 14