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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
December 13, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Sunday Late

Prediction: PHI 20, NYG 31

This should be a very good game with some decent points scored. The Eagles are playing well under Garcia while the Giants are maybe back on track now. Both teams are 7-6 and need this win to at least contend for a wildcard if not the actual NFC East title. Both teams have struggled this year and this game could go either way.

The Giants won 30-24 in week two when they visited the Eagles and Manning pulled off a big comeback to win.

Philadelphia Eagles (7-6)
1 24-10 @HOU 10 27-3 WAS
2 24-30 NYG 11 13-31 TEN
3 38-24 @SF 12 21-45 @IND
4 31-9 GB 13 27-24 CAR
5 38-24 DAL 14 21-19 @WAS
6 24-27 @NO 15 --- @NYG
7 21-23 @TB 16 --- @DAL
8 6-13 JAX 17 --- ATL
9 Open Bye - - MON
PHI at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Jeff Garcia 10 0 250,2
RB Brian Westbrook 60 60 0
TE L.J. Smith 0 30,1 0
WR Donte Stallworth 0 50 0
WR Reggie Brown 0 80,1 0
WR Greg Lewis 0 20 0
PK David Akers 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: A couple of wins - albeit rather close - and suddenly the Eagles season does not appear to be a lost cause just because McNabb has suffered his annual season ending injury. The next two weeks are critical and daunting - on the road to New York and Dallas. Garcia has been more than adequate so far but he barely beat the Skins last week who have lost Portis and swapped out Brunell.

Quarterback: Three weeks as a starter and Jeff Garcia still has not thrown for less than two scores in a game. Last week he was at his best on the road in Carolina when he passed for 312 yards and three scores. Best of all - he has not thrown an interception yet.

McNabb threw for 350 yards and two scores against the Giants in week two.

Running Backs: Brian Westbrook turned in 88 yards on 17 carries and gained 39 yards on three receptions last week which was his lowest receiving yardage since Garcia took over. Westbrook only gained 68 yards on 19 carries but he scored a touchdown and added 56 yards on seven receptions against the Giants back in week two.

Wide Receivers: Having Garcia around hasn't hurt Reggie Brown or Donte Stallworth. Last Sunday Brown had three catches for 73 yards and scored in each of the two previous games while Stallworth has scored in each of the last two games with a high of 111 yards against Carolina. Brown has the better yardage so far but both players have scored as good or better as when McNabb was starting.

Stallworth scored once and had 81 yards on five catches against the Giants in week two while Brown also scored on his only catch in the game.

Tight Ends: While Garcia has used L.J. Smith very little - only seven catches for 31 yards over three games - Smith has scored twice in that time. Against the Panthers he had no catches but at least Smith is still an endzone target.

Smith had a big game the last time he faced the Giants, catching seven passes for 111 yards.

Match Against the Defense: Westbrook has been rock solid but the Giants in New York have been tougher to run against and have only allowed three runners to score and only one has topped 100 rushing yards - Thomas Jones with 30 carries. Expect Westbrook to only run for moderate yardage here but make it up with receiving yards.

The Giants have the worst ranking against quarterbacks but while they have allowed 12 passing and three rushing scores on the road, at home in six games they have only given up four passing and one rushing touchdown to the position. Expect a good game here by Garcia but not nearly as good as the ranking suggests. Smith should be a lock for a score in this game and Reggie Brown gets a slightly better matchup for a second one. With four scores given up on quarterback runs, Garcia has a chance to rush one in but has not ran for more than 12 yards in a game so far - he's just not running like he used to..

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 1 11 10 9 24 11
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 32 7 18 28 17 5


New York Giants (7-6)
1 21-26 IND 10 20-38 CHI
2 30-24 @PHI 11 10-26 @JAX
3 30-42 @SEA 12 21-24 @TEN
4 Open Bye 13 20-23 DAL
5 19-3 WAS 14 27-13 @CAR
6 27-14 @ATL 15 --- PHI
7 36-22 @DAL 16 --- NO
8 17-3 TB 17 --- @WAS
9 14-10 HOU - MON SAT
NYG vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 0 0 210,2
RB Tiki Barber 130,1 40 0
RB Brandon Jacobs 20,1 10 0
TE Jeremy Shockey 0 60,1 0
WR David Tyree 0 30 0
WR Plaxico Burress 0 60,1 0
WR Tim Carter 0 10 0
PK Jay Feely 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The big win in Carolina was exactly what the Giants needed to end their four game losing streak last week. At 7-6 and only one game behind the Cowboys, the Giants hold their playoff destiny in their own hands with two more home games then a trip to face the Skins. This is a must win and the offense at home is usually far better than the road version.

Quarterback: After hitting a five game streak with only four touchdowns against seven interceptions, Eli Manning has strung together two nice games with a 270 yard, two score effort against the Cowboys and last Sunday throwing for 172 yards and three scores in Carolina without any turnovers in either game. He's finally getting past the loss of Toomer and not relying on Barber and Burress exclusively.

Manning threw for 371 yards and three scores in Philadelphia this season.

Running Backs: Tiki Barber comes off a 112 yard effort in Carolina on just 20 carries and that was his first game over 100 yards in the last four weeks. But Barber only caught one pass for six yards last week for a season low. Barber only gained 51 yards on 21 carries but added 57 yards on seven receptions against the Giants this year. He's only scored once this year while Brandon Jacobs has eight but Jacobs has not scored in either of the last two weeks.

Wide Receivers: While Plaxico Burress remains the clear primary wideout, at least Manning is starting to use other players. Burress has caught a touchdown in each of the last four games and six of the last seven though his 77 yards last week were his best in the last five weeks. Sinorice Moss is slowly becoming more involved and had four targets with two short catches last week while David Tyree scored once against the Panthers. With Barber, Burress and Shockey already heavily used, branching out to yet more receivers only makes this passing offense harder to defend against.

Burress had six catches for 114 yards and one score against the Eagles this season.

Tight Ends: Jeremy Shockey has scored in each of the last two games and averages around six catches for 60 yards in most games recently. Shockey only caught two passes for 17 yards in the previous meeting with the Eagles back in week two.

Match Against the Defense: The Philly rush defense has fallen apart in recent weeks and the last three runners to face them have turned in 170 total yards or more. Look for a big yardage game here from Barber who will be in his second to last home game in New York. Jacobs should score at least once in this game and I like Barber to notch one as well in one of his final games.

Manning faces a secondary that is not as good as the ranking suggests. Whenever they have faced even a good quarterback, the only thing limiting him was the wild success of the rushing game. Look for two scores here from Manning for the usual Burress and Shockey connections but major yardage is not likely because the Giants will run well in this one.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 16 9 16 7 16 14
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 15 23 6 6 25 24