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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
WEEK 16
December 20, 2006
Season Ticket
Thursday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
MIN at GB BAL at PIT NE at JAX WAS at STL SD at SEA
Saturday
CAR at ATL NO at NYG
Sunday Late
Monday
KC at OAK CHI at DET TB at CLE ARZ at SF PHI at DAL
updated IND at HOU TEN at BUF CIN at DEN NYJ at MIA

Prediction: WAS 17, STL 24

The Skins welcomed their trap game last week when they took down the Saints. There's likely no escaping the cellar of the NFC East but at least ending the season on a high note is a welcome change. The Rams remain in mathematical contention for a wildcard but it took a game against the Raiders to gain their second win in the last nine games played. The Redskins are 2-5 on the road while the Rams are just 3-4 at home.

Washington Redskins (5-9)
1 16-19 MIN 10 3-27 @PHI
2 10-27 @DAL 11 17-20 @TB
3 31-15 @HOU 12 17-13 CAR
4 36-30 JAX 13 14-24 ATL
5 3-19 @NYG 14 19-21 PHI
6 25-22 TEN 15 16-10 @NO
7 22-36 @IND 16 --- @STL
8 Open Bye 17 --- NYG
9 22-19 DAL - MON SAT
WAS at STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell 0 0 200,1
RB Ladell Betts 110 10 0
TE Chris Cooley 0 40 0
WR Santana Moss 0 80,1 0
WR Brandon Lloyd 0 30 0
WR Antwaan Randle El 0 40 0
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: Last week was the second time that the Skins won a road game this year, the only other being in Houston back in week three. It was a trap game and the Skins are to credit by refusing to allow the Saints to get back into the game. Jason Campbell is looking better and Ladell Betts is running so well that the Skins may have a dilemma when Portis returns next year. But last week aside, this is no road team by any means and stringing back to back wins away from home would be a major accomplishment.

Quarterback: After five starts, Jason Campbell has scored at least once in every game and last week in New Orleans he had no interceptions for only the second time this season. He ended with 204 yards last Sunday though his completion percentage remains low. Campbell hasn't been pressing in games even when the Redskins trail but for a debut of his career, the early results are encouraging.

Running Backs: Perhaps it is a nice problem to have, but the Redskins lost Clinton Portis in week nine and while he had scored seven times on the year, he had only one game over 100 rushing yards. Since Ladell Betts took over, he has scored only once, but he has turned in four consecutive games over the century mark. He has averaged 137 rushing yards per game for the last month. Granted, he does not score much but he is running better than Portis had this year. That will be interesting to see come next year when yet another RBBC could be born.

Wide Receivers: Since the passing for the Skins rarely tops 200 yards - and not by much if it does - Santana Moss has not been a big factor this year regardless which quarterback is playing. Moss had a score last week but only caught three of ten passes thrown to him for a total of 37 yards. With only three scoring games and just two over 50 yards this year, Moss lacks the consistency to be a reliable fantasy starter. Antwaan Randle El and Brandon Lloyd still figure in, but rarely in any significant measure. Lloyd was supposed to be the big upgrade across from Moss and he still has never caught a touchdown or turned in more than 52 yards in any game.

Tight Ends: Cooley remains the clear favorite of Campbell even though he had just 12 yards in week 14. If there is a passing score, more than likely it ends up with Cooley who is tied with Moss for the team lead with five receiving touchdowns on the season

Match Against the Defense: The Rams defense is nothing special to be sure, but the Skins offense is hardly a juggernaut. Look for some healthy rushing numbers from Betts again with a good chance he could actually rush in a score for only the third time this season.

Campbell faces a secondary that doesn't know how to not give up at least one score but that's about all the Skins usually pass for anyway so expect just an average game here by Campbell who should find better success with Moss again this week. For as bad as the defense has been, they have only allowed any receiver to gain more than 90 yards for the last nine games.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 31 16 23 11 24 32
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 8 30 23 9 15 24

 

St. Louis Rams (6-8)
1 18-10 DEN 10 22-24 @SEA
2 13-20 @SF 11 0-15 @CAR
3 16-14 @ARZ 12 20-17 SF
4 41-34 DET 13 20-34 ARZ
5 23-20 @GB 14 27-42 CHI
6 28-30 SEA 15 20-0 @OAK
7 Open Bye 16 --- WAS
8 24-38 @SD 17 --- @MIN
9 17-31 KC - - MON
STL vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Marc Bulger 0 0 280,2
RB Steven Jackson 110,1 40 0
TE J. Klopfenstein 0 20 0
WR Torry Holt 0 110,1 0
WR Isaac Bruce 0 60 0
WR Kevin Curtis 0 30,1 0
PK Jeff Wilkins 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: It may have required a game in Oakland, but the Rams not only get back in the win column, they recorded their first shut out of the season. Since the two previous opponents scored 76 points, that says more about the Raiders offense than the Rams defense but a win is a win. The Rams end their season with this home game and then a trip to the Metrodome so an 8-8 season is definitely within reach. The debut of HC Scott Linehan started well but suffered with the injury to Bulger's ribs and the decline of the defense. There is still time to end the season on a high note.

Quarterback: Marc Bulger only had 137 passing yards last week because handing off to Steven Jackson was more than enough to win in Oakland. But Bulger had thrown for over 300 yards in the last two games while scoring five times in those games. He's back in form, he just needs a game that requires him to pass the ball.

Running Backs: Steven Jackson is enjoying a career year and one that trails only Tomlinson and Johnson as a fantasy stud. Jackson is usually a big component in the passing game but had no catches last week while rushing 31 times for 127 yards and two scores. Over the last month, Jackson has been turning in at least 140 total yards in each home game. He's been very good on the road this year and he's playing great in St. Louis.

Wide Receivers: Last week was harsh on all the wideouts when the Raiders rolled over and the Rams only rushed the ball. But Torry Holt had scored in both the previous games and Bulger's playing well again. No need to worry about Holt or Isaac Bruce - Holt remains an elite wide out while Bruce rides out the balance of his career as a decent possession receiver.

Tight Ends: The rookie Joe Klopfenstein is stepping up lately for around 30 yards per game but has not scored since week four.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins rush defense is odd in that their road games almost always have an opposing runner turning in very good yardage but only two have scored against them away from Washington. Figure on a very healthy yardage game here by Jackson but no more than one score - that hasn't happened all year to the Redskins.

Bulger goes against a secondary that usually offers up two passing scores and very nice yardage when the Skins visit. Bulger needs to end the year on a high note and this final home game is just the place for a nice showing. Expect very good numbers from Holt this week with at least one touchdown and possibly two.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 10 12 7 28 3 18
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 20 13 27 23 27 3