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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
December 27, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
ATL at PHI DET at DAL NE at TEN STL at MIN Sunday Nite
BUF at BAL OAK at NYJ updated GB at CHI

Prediction: BUF 7, BAL 24

The Ravens have clinched their division and could even get the #1 seed with a win here and a loss by the Chargers. But they will not know what San Diego will do anyway and all the Ravens need is a win here to secure the #2 seed or a Colts loss. They still need to win this game. The Bills are out of contention after being just the most recent victim of Vince Young. This could be a week to see if any players need a look before the off-season and playing in Baltimore is not likely going to be a treat anyway.

Buffalo Bills (7-8)
1 17-19 @NE 10 16-17 @IND
2 16-6 @MIA 11 24-21 @HOU
3 20-28 NYJ 12 27-24 JAX
4 17-12 MIN 13 21-24 SD
5 7-40 @CHI 14 31-13 @NYJ
6 17-20 @DET 15 21-0 MIA
7 6-28 NE 16 29-30 TEN
8 Open Bye 17 --- @BAL
9 24-10 GB - - -
BUF at BAL Rush Catch Pass
QB J.P. Losman 0 0 180,1
RB Willis McGahee 60 0 0
TE Robert Royal 0 30 0
WR Peerless Price 0 40,1 0
WR Lee Evans 0 50 0
WR Josh Reed 0 40 0
PK Rian Lindell 0 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The loss to the Titans proved very costly - now the Bills will likely have a losing season and winning four of the last six games ends up just losing draft positioning for next April. The rushing game never developed much this year but at least Losman has ended well in the final month. This game is on the road with nothing left to win. Makes using any of these players a big fantasy risk this week.

Quarterback: J.P. Losman has turned in a far better season, so far throwing for 18 touchdowns against 12 interceptions and managing to score eight times in the last four games. His worst games have come away from Buffalo and since he has taken every snap this year, the team could end up giving some playing time to Craig Nall who originally was expected to challenge for the starting position this year. But Nall is usually not even active for games.

Running Backs: After scoring only once in the first eight games, Willis McGahee has scored five times in the last five games. This has been a disappointing season since McGahee only topped 100 rushing yards twice and never was a factor as a receiver.

Wide Receivers: While the Bills managed to get at least one decent game from Roscoe Parrish, Peerless Price and Josh Reed, this unit never developed outside of Lee Evans who had seven scores on the season and one in each of the last three games. The passing numbers never were big enough to allow any wideout here to have a truly big game outside of the one 265 yard, three touchdown game enjoyed by Evans in Houston.

Tight Ends: If the offense remains the same next year, perhaps Robert Royal will have to be considered for fantasy purposes since he scored in three of the last four games. He never had any role for yardage, but Losman zeroed in on him for scores here in the last month.

Match Against the Defense: The Ravens need this win and are at home while the Bills are just playing out what will be a losing season. Look for a down game here by McGahee who has had precious few good ones.

Losman will want to end the year on a good note but this is a bad place to look for it since he never really involved any other wideout besides Evans with any consistency. Look for one passing score later in the game that will favor a receiver besides Evans since he will be covered with much focus by the defense.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 26 29 15 28 15 11
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 13 1 17 4 1 2


Baltimore Ravens (12-3)
1 27-0 @TB 10 27-26 @TEN
2 28-6 OAK 11 24-10 ATL
3 15-14 @CLE 12 27-0 PIT
4 16-13 SD 13 7-13 @CIN
5 3-13 @DEN 14 20-10 @KC
6 21-23 CAR 15 27-17 CLE
7 Open Bye 16 31-7 @PIT
8 35-22 @NO 17 --- BUF
9 26-20 CIN - THU MON
BAL vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Steve McNair 10 0 190,1
RB Jamal Lewis 80,1 10 0
TE Todd Heap 0 50,1 0
WR Derrick Mason 0 40 0
WR Mark Clayton 0 60 0
WR Demetrius Williams 0 10 0
PK Matt Stover 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Ravens prepare for their playoff run with the same dominating defense as always - maybe better - and this time around a passing attack that least inspires respect if not occasionally fear. The running game has never amounted to much but it rarely has needed to for the Ravens to win their games. Just one win here ensures a bye week and a first round home game.

Quarterback: While Steve McNair has not ushered in a wildly productive passing game, he has been at least solid and has managed multiple scores four times this year. More importantly, McNair has given the position a sense of stability and consistency with far fewer turnovers. McNair has 11 interceptions against 14 touchdowns this season.

Running Backs: This has been a good "bounce back" season for Jamal Lewis and while he only has two efforts over 100 yards, he has gained 1063 rushing yards already this year and scored consistently in the second half of the season. Lewis has nine touchdowns on the year and all but one came after week eight.

Wide Receivers: The much anticipated reunion with McNair never helped Derrick Mason be more than he already was - just another possession receiver with consistency around 50 yards per week and scoring a rarity. Mark Clayton enjoyed the best season with five scores and four efforts over 100 yards including two in the last three weeks. Mason is slipping away while Clayton is becoming better with every game.

Tight Ends: It did not take McNair long to home in on Todd Heap this year. Heap turned in five scores in the first seven games but then has only scored once since. Heap remains a consistent performer around 50 or so yards in most weeks but his role as the leading scorer appears done with Lewis assuming that job the last two months.

Match Against the Defense: The Bills have a weak rush defense so expect at least decent numbers and a score from Lewis this week while Steve McNair will do just enough to win - about one score that should favor Heap but since that doesn't happen much anymore, it could end up back with Lewis or even with Clayton. This team normally scores in very few ways though a defense score this week looks good as well.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 13 22 19 5 9 2
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 12 29 9 14 7 21