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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
December 27, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
ATL at PHI DET at DAL NE at TEN STL at MIN Sunday Nite
BUF at BAL OAK at NYJ updated GB at CHI

Prediction: OAK 10, NYJ 24

All the Jets need for a wildcard is a win this week. Oh look, here come the Raiders. WE'RE GOING TO THE PLAYOFFS, WE"RE GOING TO THE PLAYOFFS!!! There are other ways that the Jets could end up with a wild card but facing the Raiders means all others are moot.

Oakland Raiders (2-13)
1 0-27 SD 10 13-17 DEN
2 6-28 @BAL 11 13-17 @KC
3 Open Bye 12 14-21 @SD
4 21-24 CLE 13 14-23 HOU
5 20-34 @SF 14 10-27 @CIN
6 3-13 @DEN 15 0-20 STL
7 22-9 ARZ 16 9-20 KC
8 20-13 PIT 17 --- @NYJ
9 0-16 @SEA - MON SAT
OAK at NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Walter 0 0 160,1
RB Justin Fargas 70 10 0
TE Courtney Anderson 0 20 0
TE Randal Williams 0 20 0
WR Johnnie Morant 0 30 0
WR Alvis Whitted 0 20 0
WR Ronald Curry 0 60,1 0
PK S. Janikowski 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Raiders close out their nightmare season and head to New York to complete their perfect season on the road (no wins). What started out with Aaron Brooks, Lamont Jordan and Randy Moss now is Andrew Walter (maybe), Justin Fargas (sort of) and Ronald Curry (mostly). The Raiders dumped their mayor offensive coordinator but still have Art Shell for at least this week. Reports are that he is gone at the end of the season though the Raiders vehemently denied that attacked the reporter. The Raiders will be better next year and in some ways it just won't be nearly so fun for the other 31 teams in the NFL.

Quarterback: The Raiders opted to use Andrew Walter for the loss to the Chiefs since Aaron Brooks was sidelined with a supposed shoulder stinger. This team has not thrown a touchdown pass for the last three games and has only seven passing scores on the year. They also have never thrown for over 200 yards in any road game this season.

Running Backs: Justin Fargas comes off his best game this year when he ran for 90 yards on 19 carries on Sunday and about all that really provokes would be "isn't that cute!". Fargas only scored once this year and last week hardly ranks him highly for next year. Lamont Jordan had the only 100 yard rushing game by a Raider this year and as a team, the running backs only scored five times. There's a reason why the Raiders have the lowest scoring team in the NFL. Something about everything not related to the Oakland defense.

Wide Receivers: Not unlike the running backs, the Raiders only had one performance by a wideout that exceeded 100 yards this year (Moss - week 7). This entire unit accounted for only four touchdowns this year and the only positive is that Ronald Curry started to emerge at the end of the season. This team is a prime example of why drafting your fantasy receivers because "the team is going to need to throw a lot this year" is not all that sound by itself.

Randy Moss has missed the last two games but probably no one has noticed.

Tight Ends: Take Courtney Anderson, John Madsen and Randal Williams and put them all together and they would not equal one decent tight end from a team that uses the position.

Match Against the Defense: Knowing that there is a great chance for this nightmare season to end with HC Art Shell deposed (and replaced by a mannequin in a jumpsuit for all we know), this final road trip looks like it could really be a bad one. While all the Raiders are still playing to keep a job next year, there's a good chance many will be on other teams and those coaches won't be watching this game anyway.

Fargas will get some yardage here against a soft rush defense but that has never meant much so far. Expect no more than one touchdown and anything more would be a genuine surprise. This is not the last chance to look good, this is just the final sixty minutes of hell before the offseason.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 32 31 31 12 32 15
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 18 26 18 18 6 7


New York Jets (9-6)
1 23-16 @TEN 10 17-14 @NE
2 17-24 NE 11 0-10 CHI
3 28-20 @BUF 12 26-11 HOU
4 28-31 IND 13 38-10 @GB
5 0-41 @JAX 14 13-31 BUF
6 20-17 MIA 15 26-13 @MIN
7 31-24 DET 16 13-10 @MIA
8 13-20 @CLE 17 --- OAK
9 Open Bye - - MON
NYJ vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Pennington 0 0 170,1
RB Kevan Barlow 70,1 10 0
RB Leon Washington 30 40 0
TE Chris Baker 0 20 0
WR Laveranues Coles 0 40,1 0
WR Justin McCareins 0 20 0
WR Jerricho Cotchery 0 30 0
PK Mike Nugent 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Jets have to win this game and there's no reason why they shouldn't manage that by halftime. The defense has been outstanding in the second half of the season and the offense can be just good enough even without Cedric Houston. The Jets lost their last two home games so a win here takes on even more meaning. A trip to the playoffs stamps new HC Eric Mangini's first season as a rousing success and he managed that with virtually no running game.

Quarterback: While everyone stood by waiting for the next injury to Chad Pennington, we're all still tapping our fingers and look at our watches. Pennington has not missed a game and with 16 touchdowns this year has been exactly the quarterback they Jets have always wanted him to be - they just needed to stop expecting it. Pennington has scored at least once in all but three games this year and has been turning in solid yardage for the last month. He may not have been outstanding this year, but for a first year offense with no running threat to support him, it has been a very positive and encouraging year for Pennington.

Running Backs: With Cedric Houston out, the Jets went back to using Kevan Barlow and Leon Washington who turned in a monster 64 yard catch at the end of the Dolphins game to set up the winning field goal. There is virtually no chance that the same set of running backs are going to be used next year but at least Washington has made a great case to be kept as the third down back.

Wide Receivers: Laveranues Coles was not even certain to play last week with a bad back but he suited up and was absolutely leveled on one play. After missing the rest of the series, Coles was back on the field as one of the toughest wideouts in the league. Jerricho Cotchery remains the solid complement and his score last week was instrumental in the win. Coles is not expected to be limited after last week's beating but he'd play even if he was.

Tight Ends: Chris Baker has three scores on the season but in most games he turns in just one catch. No reliable fantasy value here.

Match Against the Defense: The Jets need this win and the Raiders are more likely to lie down than stand up and fight here in this final beat down of the season. Expect that the rushing game here works well and the defense likely scores once. Pennington could end up throwing for a score just because he can but anything more than one touchdown means the Jets are delaying the conclusion of the game when they should just be running the ball. The current outlook is for cold rain - that'll be a delight for the Raiders.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 25 20 11 29 20 21
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 1 25 3 6 24 32