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Ease of Schedule - Quarterbacks/Receivers
David Dorey
October 3, 2007

2007 Fantasy Points Allowed Opposing Passers

Good Allow Avg Allow Bad Allow
CLE 25.7 BAL 18.4 SEA 14.2
CIN 23.9 HOU 18.3 WAS 14.2
DET 22.7 OAK 18.1 NE 14.0
SD 21.5 DAL 17.8 MIA 13.6
BUF 21.3 CHI 17.5 PIT 13.1
NO 21.3 CAR 16.6 TB 12.4
NYG 20.0 ATL 16.5 IND 12.3
NYJ 19.9 PHI 16.5 KC 11.6
MIN 19.3 SF 16.4 DEN 11.5
GB 19.1 STL 16.2 JAC 9.7
  Good ARI 15.7   Bad
  Match-up TEN 15.0   Match-up

Using the actual results from weeks 1 through 4 of lthis season, the schedule was compared against the top 10 and worst 10 defenses for allowing fantasy points for passing yards and scores.

These will obviously be skewed by single games that are unusually big or small since the sample size is so small.

The table to the right shows the fantasy points allowed to opposing teams for all the combination of those three positions. At this early juncture, the positions were all combined to give a more realistic view of what each defense is allowing via the passing game. It is too early to break the positions out since single games against stud tight ends alone are enough to skew the results..

A "Good" game was when the team faced an opposing defense that was in the top 10 for allowing fantasy points. A "Bad" game was when that team faced an opposing defense that was in the ten defenses that allowed the least amount of fantasy points.

These rankings are highly skewed by even one very good or very bad game, so use some wisdom in addition to considering the results. As with all such reviews, the most important findings are the extremes as they will change less as the season progresses and it is generally more important to not face a tough ("bad") defense than it is to go against an easy defense ("good"). Most of your starters are going to be among the best at their position, so the biggest question is if they will be limited by opposing defenses.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 4 to 8 show what players will face during the next month. Weeks 4 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 4 to 7 Weeks 4 to 16 Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
EOS Good Bad EOS Good Bad EOS Good Bad
CHI 3 3 0 WAS 4 6 2 CLE 3 3 0
NYJ 3 3 0 DAL 3 6 3 PHI 2 2 0
ATL 1 2 1 CHI 2 6 4 WAS 2 2 0
MIA 1 2 1 MIN 2 4 2 BUF 1 2 1
PHI 1 2 1 MIA 1 5 4 CHI 1 2 1
SF 1 2 1 NYG 1 4 3 CIN 1 1 0
WAS 1 2 1 SF 1 4 3 DAL 1 1 0
BAL 0 1 1 ARI 0 4 4 SF 1 2 1
BUF 0 1 1 DEN 0 4 4 STL 1 2 1
DAL 0 2 2 SEA 0 2 2 TEN 1 2 1
DEN 0 2 2 STL 0 4 4 ARI 0 1 1
NYG 0 1 1 ATL -1 3 4 ATL 0 1 1
STL 0 1 1 CAR -1 3 4 DEN 0 1 1
CAR -1 1 2 CIN -1 3 4 DET 0 1 1
HOU -1 1 2 DET -1 4 5 GB 0 0 0
KC -1 1 2 KC -1 4 5 IND 0 0 0
MIN -1 0 1 NYJ -1 4 5 KC 0 1 1
NE -1 1 2 PHI -1 4 5 MIA 0 1 1
NO -1 0 1 TEN -1 3 4 NO 0 0 0
OAK -1 1 2 BAL -2 4 6 NYG 0 1 1
SEA -1 1 2 BUF -2 4 6 NYJ 0 1 1
TB -1 1 2 CLE -2 3 5 SD 0 1 1
TEN -1 0 1 GB -2 2 4 SEA 0 0 0
ARI -2 0 2 JAC -2 3 5 TB 0 0 0
CIN -2 1 3 PITH -2 4 6 JAC -1 0 1
PITH -2 1 3 TB -2 2 4 MIN -1 0 1
SD -2 0 2 HOU -3 3 6 NE -1 1 2
CLE -3 0 3 NE -3 3 6 OAK -1 1 2
DET -3 0 3 NO -3 0 3 CAR -2 0 2
GB -3 0 3 OAK -3 3 6 PITH -2 0 2
IND -3 0 3 SD -4 2 6 BAL -3 0 3
JAC -3 0 3 IND -5 1 6 HOU -3 0 3

Week - By - Week

  5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @STL CAR @WAS BYE @TB DET @CIN SF CLE @SEA @NO ATL
ATL @TEN NYG @NO BYE SF @CAR TB IND @STL NO @TB @ARI
BAL @SF STL @BUF BYE @PIT CIN CLE @SD NE IND @MIA @SEA
BUF DAL BYE BAL @NYJ CIN @MIA NE @JAC @WAS MIA @CLE NYG
CAR @NO @ARI BYE IND @TEN ATL @GB NO SF @JAC SEA DAL
CHI @GB MIN @PHI DET BYE @OAK @SEA DEN NYG @WAS @MIN GB
CIN BYE @KC NYJ PIT @BUF @BAL ARI TEN @PIT STL @SF CLE
CLE @NE MIA BYE @STL SEA @PIT @BAL HOU @ARI @NYJ BUF @CIN
DAL @BUF NE MIN BYE @PHI @NYG WAS NYJ GB @DET PHI @CAR
DEN SD BYE PIT GB @DET @KC TEN @CHI @OAK KC @HOU @SD
DET @WAS BYE TB @CHI DEN @ARI NYG GB @MIN DAL @SD KC
GB CHI WAS BYE @DEN @KC MIN CAR @DET @DAL OAK @STL @CHI
HOU MIA @JAC TEN @SD @OAK BYE NO @CLE @TEN TB DEN @IND
IND TB BYE @JAC @CAR NE @SD KC @ATL JAC @BAL @OAK HOU
JAC @KC HOU IND @TB @NO @TEN SD BUF @IND CAR @PIT OAK
KC JAC CIN @OAK BYE GB DEN @IND OAK SD @DEN TEN @DET
MIA @HOU @CLE NE NYG BYE BUF @PHI @PIT NYJ @BUF BAL @NE
MIN BYE @CHI @DAL PHI SD @GB OAK @NYG DET @SF CHI WAS
NE CLE @DAL @MIA WAS @IND BYE @BUF PHI @BAL PIT NYJ MIA
NO CAR @SEA ATL @SF JAC STL @HOU @CAR TB @ATL ARI PHI
NYG NYJ @ATL SF @MIA BYE DAL @DET MIN @CHI @PHI WAS @BUF
NYJ @NYG PHI @CIN BUF WAS BYE PIT @DAL @MIA CLE @NE @TEN
OAK BYE @SD KC @TEN HOU CHI @MIN @KC DEN @GB IND @JAC
PHI BYE @NYJ CHI @MIN DAL @WAS MIA @NE SEA NYG @DAL @NO
PIT SEA BYE @DEN @CIN BAL CLE @NYJ MIA CIN @NE JAC @STL
SD @DEN OAK BYE HOU @MIN IND @JAC BAL @KC @TEN DET DEN
SEA @PIT NO STL BYE @CLE SF CHI @STL @PHI ARI @CAR BAL
SF BAL BYE @NYG NO @ATL @SEA STL @ARI @CAR MIN CIN TB
STL ARI @BAL @SEA CLE BYE @NO @SF SEA ATL @CIN GB PIT
TB @IND TEN @DET JAC ARI BYE @ATL WAS @NO @HOU ATL @SF
TEN ATL @TB @HOU OAK CAR JAC @DEN @CIN HOU SD @KC NYJ
WAS DET @GB ARI @NE @NYJ PHI @DAL @TB BUF CHI @NYG @MIN

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