FANTASY FOOTBALL ARTICLES

Ease of Schedule - Running Backs
David Dorey
June 1, 2007

What 2006 Defenses Allowed Opposing RB's

Good	Allow	Avg	Allow	Bad	Allow
IND	26.6	CLE	21.5	SD	18.3
STL	26.1	ARI	21.4	NE	16.6
SF	25.5	NYJ	21.0	CHI	16.3
TEN	24.5	DEN	20.6	NO	16.1
DET	24.5	SEA	20.2	CAR	15.6
PHI	22.6	WAS	19.9	MIA	14.5
BUF	22.5	KC	19.8	JAX	14.3
OAK	22.2	CIN	19.8	PIT	14.0
GB	22.1	TB	19.7	MIN	11.4
HOU	21.9	NYG	18.7	BAL	9.9
	Good	DAL	18.6		Bad
	Match-up	ATL	18.4		Match-up

Using the actual results from weeks 2 through 16 of last year with also the highest and lowest games removed (12 games total), the schedule was compared against the top 10 and worst 10 defenses for allowing fantasy points.

The table to the right shows the fantasy points allowed to opposing teams for all running backs in that game and are the actual results.

A "Good" game was when the team faced an opposing defense that was in the top 10 for allowing fantasy points. A "Bad" game was when that team faced an opposing defense that was in the ten defenses that allowed the least amount of fantasy points.

These rankings are highly skewed by even one very good or very bad game, so use some wisdom in addition to considering the results. As with all such reviews, the most important findings are the extremes as they will change less as the season progresses and it is generally more important to not face a tough ("bad") defense than it is to go against an easy defense ("good"). Most of your starters are going to be among the best at their postion, so the biggest question is if they will be limited by opposing defenses.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)				Weeks 1 to 16				Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
	EOS	Good	Bad		EOS	Good	Bad		EOS	Good	Bad
BAL	2	2	0	MIN	3	7	4	CIN	2	2	0
MIA	2	2	0	CAR	2	6	4	KC	2	2	0
NYG	2	2	0	CHI	2	6	4	NYG	2	2	0
CAR	1	2	1	NO	2	6	4	SD	2	2	0
JAC	1	2	1	NYG	2	6	4	TB	2	2	0
PHI	1	2	1	JAC	2	7	5	CLE	1	1	0
PIT	1	2	1	DEN	2	8	6	HOU	1	1	0
TB	1	3	2	TB	1	6	5	NO	1	1	0
WAS	1	3	2	KC	1	7	6	DAL	1	2	1
NE	0	1	1	MIA	0	5	5	GB	1	2	1
CHI	0	2	2	WAS	0	5	5	IND	1	2	1
IND	0	2	2	DAL	0	6	6	OAK	1	2	1
MIN	0	2	2	SD	0	6	6	BAL	0	1	1
NO	0	2	2	ARI	-1	4	5	CHI	0	1	1
SD	0	2	2	BAL	-1	4	5	DEN	0	1	1
DEN	0	3	3	HOU	-1	5	6	MIN	0	1	1
SEA	-1	1	2	OAK	-1	5	6	NYJ	0	1	1
STL	-1	1	2	SEA	-1	5	6	STL	0	1	1
ARI	-1	2	3	PIT	-2	3	5	ARI	-1	0	1
ATL	-1	2	3	STL	-2	3	5	ATL	-1	0	1
DAL	-1	2	3	CIN	-2	4	6	BUF	-1	0	1
DET	-1	2	3	NE	-2	4	6	CAR	-1	0	1
NYJ	-1	2	3	TEN	-2	4	6	DET	-1	0	1
GB	-2	1	3	ATL	-2	5	7	PHI	-1	0	1
HOU	-2	1	3	DET	-3	3	6	SF	-1	0	1
OAK	-2	1	3	CLE	-3	4	7	TEN	-1	0	1
SF	-2	1	3	GB	-3	4	7	JAC	-1	1	2
TEN	-2	1	3	NYJ	-3	4	7	MIA	-1	1	2
BUF	-3	0	3	PHI	-4	2	6	PIT	-1	1	2
CIN	-3	0	3	SF	-4	2	6	NE	-2	0	2
CLE	-3	1	4	IND	-4	4	8	SEA	-2	0	2
KC	-3	1	4	BUF	-8	0	8	WAS	-2	0	2

Week - By - Week

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
ARI	@SF	SEA	@BAL	PIT	@STL	CAR	@WAS	BYE	@TB	DET	@CIN	SF	CLE	@SEA	@NO	ATL
ATL	@MIN	@JAC	CAR	HOU	@TEN	NYG	@NO	BYE	SF	@CAR	TB	IND	@STL	NO	@TB	@ARI
BAL	@CIN	NYJ	ARI	@CLE	@SF	STL	@BUF	BYE	@PIT	CIN	CLE	@SD	NE	IND	@MIA	@SEA
BUF	DEN	@PIT	@NE	NYJ	DAL	BYE	BAL	@NYJ	CIN	@MIA	NE	@JAC	@WAS	MIA	@CLE	NYG
CAR	@STL	HOU	@ATL	TB	@NO	@ARI	BYE	IND	@TEN	ATL	@GB	NO	SF	@JAC	SEA	DAL
CHI	@SD	KC	DAL	@DET	@GB	MIN	@PHI	DET	BYE	@OAK	@SEA	DEN	NYG	@WAS	@MIN	GB
CIN	BAL	@CLE	@SEA	NE	BYE	@KC	NYJ	PIT	@BUF	@BAL	ARI	TEN	@PIT	STL	@SF	CLE
CLE	PIT	CIN	@OAK	BAL	@NE	MIA	BYE	@STL	SEA	@PIT	@BAL	HOU	@ARI	@NYJ	BUF	@CIN
DAL	NYG	@MIA	@CHI	STL	@BUF	NE	MIN	BYE	@PHI	@NYG	WAS	NYJ	GB	@DET	PHI	@CAR
DEN	@BUF	OAK	JAC	@IND	SD	BYE	PIT	GB	@DET	@KC	TEN	@CHI	@OAK	KC	@HOU	@SD
DET	@OAK	MIN	@PHI	CHI	@WAS	BYE	TB	@CHI	DEN	@ARI	NYG	GB	@MIN	DAL	@SD	KC
GB	PHI	@NYG	SD	@MIN	CHI	WAS	BYE	@DEN	@KC	MIN	CAR	@DET	@DAL	OAK	@STL	@CHI
HOU	KC	@CAR	IND	@ATL	MIA	@JAC	TEN	@SD	@OAK	BYE	NO	@CLE	@TEN	TB	DEN	@IND
IND	NO	@TEN	@HOU	DEN	TB	BYE	@JAC	@CAR	NE	@SD	KC	@ATL	JAC	@BAL	@OAK	HOU
JAC	TEN	ATL	@DEN	BYE	@KC	HOU	IND	@TB	@NO	@TEN	SD	BUF	@IND	CAR	@PIT	OAK
KC	@HOU	@CHI	MIN	@SD	JAC	CIN	@OAK	BYE	GB	DEN	@IND	OAK	SD	@DEN	TEN	@DET
MIA	@WAS	DAL	@NYJ	OAK	@HOU	@CLE	NE	NYG	BYE	BUF	@PHI	@PIT	NYJ	@BUF	BAL	@NE
MIN	ATL	@DET	@KC	GB	BYE	@CHI	@DAL	PHI	SD	@GB	OAK	@NYG	DET	@SF	CHI	WAS
NE	@NYJ	SD	BUF	@CIN	CLE	@DAL	@MIA	WAS	@IND	BYE	@BUF	PHI	@BAL	PIT	NYJ	MIA
NO	@IND	@TB	TEN	BYE	CAR	@SEA	ATL	@SF	JAC	STL	@HOU	@CAR	TB	@ATL	ARI	PHI
NYG	@DAL	GB	@WAS	PHI	NYJ	@ATL	SF	@MIA	BYE	DAL	@DET	MIN	@CHI	@PHI	WAS	@BUF
NYJ	NE	@BAL	MIA	@BUF	@NYG	PHI	@CIN	BUF	WAS	BYE	PIT	@DAL	@MIA	CLE	@NE	@TEN
OAK	DET	@DEN	CLE	@MIA	BYE	@SD	KC	@TEN	HOU	CHI	@MIN	@KC	DEN	@GB	IND	@JAC
PHI	@GB	WAS	DET	@NYG	BYE	@NYJ	CHI	@MIN	DAL	@WAS	MIA	@NE	SEA	NYG	@DAL	@NO
PIT	@CLE	BUF	SF	@ARI	SEA	BYE	@DEN	@CIN	BAL	CLE	@NYJ	MIA	CIN	@NE	JAC	@STL
SD	CHI	@NE	@GB	KC	@DEN	OAK	BYE	HOU	@MIN	IND	@JAC	BAL	@KC	@TEN	DET	DEN
SEA	TB	@ARI	CIN	@SF	@PIT	NO	STL	BYE	@CLE	SF	CHI	@STL	@PHI	ARI	@CAR	BAL
SF	ARI	@STL	@PIT	SEA	BAL	BYE	@NYG	NO	@ATL	@SEA	STL	@ARI	@CAR	MIN	CIN	TB
STL	CAR	SF	@TB	@DAL	ARI	@BAL	@SEA	CLE	BYE	@NO	@SF	SEA	ATL	@CIN	GB	PIT
TB	@SEA	NO	STL	@CAR	@IND	TEN	@DET	JAC	ARI	BYE	@ATL	WAS	@NO	@HOU	ATL	@SF
TEN	@JAC	IND	@NO	BYE	ATL	@TB	@HOU	OAK	CAR	JAC	@DEN	@CIN	HOU	SD	@KC	NYJ
WAS	MIA	@PHI	NYG	BYE	DET	@GB	ARI	@NE	@NYJ	PHI	@DAL	@TB	BUF	CHI	@NYG	@MIN

	Ease of Schedule Quarterback / Receiver
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