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Ease of Schedule - Running Backs
David Dorey
June 1, 2007

What 2006 Defenses Allowed Opposing RB's

Good Allow Avg Allow Bad Allow
IND 26.6 CLE 21.5 SD 18.3
STL 26.1 ARI 21.4 NE 16.6
SF 25.5 NYJ 21.0 CHI 16.3
TEN 24.5 DEN 20.6 NO 16.1
DET 24.5 SEA 20.2 CAR 15.6
PHI 22.6 WAS 19.9 MIA 14.5
BUF 22.5 KC 19.8 JAX 14.3
OAK 22.2 CIN 19.8 PIT 14.0
GB 22.1 TB 19.7 MIN 11.4
HOU 21.9 NYG 18.7 BAL 9.9
  Good DAL 18.6   Bad
  Match-up ATL 18.4   Match-up

Using the actual results from weeks 2 through 16 of last year with also the highest and lowest games removed (12 games total), the schedule was compared against the top 10 and worst 10 defenses for allowing fantasy points.

The table to the right shows the fantasy points allowed to opposing teams for all running backs in that game and are the actual results.

A "Good" game was when the team faced an opposing defense that was in the top 10 for allowing fantasy points. A "Bad" game was when that team faced an opposing defense that was in the ten defenses that allowed the least amount of fantasy points.

These rankings are highly skewed by even one very good or very bad game, so use some wisdom in addition to considering the results. As with all such reviews, the most important findings are the extremes as they will change less as the season progresses and it is generally more important to not face a tough ("bad") defense than it is to go against an easy defense ("good"). Most of your starters are going to be among the best at their postion, so the biggest question is if they will be limited by opposing defenses.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule) Weeks 1 to 16 Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  EOS Good Bad   EOS Good Bad   EOS Good Bad
BAL 2 2 0 MIN 3 7 4 CIN 2 2 0
MIA 2 2 0 CAR 2 6 4 KC 2 2 0
NYG 2 2 0 CHI 2 6 4 NYG 2 2 0
CAR 1 2 1 NO 2 6 4 SD 2 2 0
JAC 1 2 1 NYG 2 6 4 TB 2 2 0
PHI 1 2 1 JAC 2 7 5 CLE 1 1 0
PIT 1 2 1 DEN 2 8 6 HOU 1 1 0
TB 1 3 2 TB 1 6 5 NO 1 1 0
WAS 1 3 2 KC 1 7 6 DAL 1 2 1
NE 0 1 1 MIA 0 5 5 GB 1 2 1
CHI 0 2 2 WAS 0 5 5 IND 1 2 1
IND 0 2 2 DAL 0 6 6 OAK 1 2 1
MIN 0 2 2 SD 0 6 6 BAL 0 1 1
NO 0 2 2 ARI -1 4 5 CHI 0 1 1
SD 0 2 2 BAL -1 4 5 DEN 0 1 1
DEN 0 3 3 HOU -1 5 6 MIN 0 1 1
SEA -1 1 2 OAK -1 5 6 NYJ 0 1 1
STL -1 1 2 SEA -1 5 6 STL 0 1 1
ARI -1 2 3 PIT -2 3 5 ARI -1 0 1
ATL -1 2 3 STL -2 3 5 ATL -1 0 1
DAL -1 2 3 CIN -2 4 6 BUF -1 0 1
DET -1 2 3 NE -2 4 6 CAR -1 0 1
NYJ -1 2 3 TEN -2 4 6 DET -1 0 1
GB -2 1 3 ATL -2 5 7 PHI -1 0 1
HOU -2 1 3 DET -3 3 6 SF -1 0 1
OAK -2 1 3 CLE -3 4 7 TEN -1 0 1
SF -2 1 3 GB -3 4 7 JAC -1 1 2
TEN -2 1 3 NYJ -3 4 7 MIA -1 1 2
BUF -3 0 3 PHI -4 2 6 PIT -1 1 2
CIN -3 0 3 SF -4 2 6 NE -2 0 2
CLE -3 1 4 IND -4 4 8 SEA -2 0 2
KC -3 1 4 BUF -8 0 8 WAS -2 0 2

Week - By - Week

  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @SF SEA @BAL PIT @STL CAR @WAS BYE @TB DET @CIN SF CLE @SEA @NO ATL
ATL @MIN @JAC CAR HOU @TEN NYG @NO BYE SF @CAR TB IND @STL NO @TB @ARI
BAL @CIN NYJ ARI @CLE @SF STL @BUF BYE @PIT CIN CLE @SD NE IND @MIA @SEA
BUF DEN @PIT @NE NYJ DAL BYE BAL @NYJ CIN @MIA NE @JAC @WAS MIA @CLE NYG
CAR @STL HOU @ATL TB @NO @ARI BYE IND @TEN ATL @GB NO SF @JAC SEA DAL
CHI @SD KC DAL @DET @GB MIN @PHI DET BYE @OAK @SEA DEN NYG @WAS @MIN GB
CIN BAL @CLE @SEA NE BYE @KC NYJ PIT @BUF @BAL ARI TEN @PIT STL @SF CLE
CLE PIT CIN @OAK BAL @NE MIA BYE @STL SEA @PIT @BAL HOU @ARI @NYJ BUF @CIN
DAL NYG @MIA @CHI STL @BUF NE MIN BYE @PHI @NYG WAS NYJ GB @DET PHI @CAR
DEN @BUF OAK JAC @IND SD BYE PIT GB @DET @KC TEN @CHI @OAK KC @HOU @SD
DET @OAK MIN @PHI CHI @WAS BYE TB @CHI DEN @ARI NYG GB @MIN DAL @SD KC
GB PHI @NYG SD @MIN CHI WAS BYE @DEN @KC MIN CAR @DET @DAL OAK @STL @CHI
HOU KC @CAR IND @ATL MIA @JAC TEN @SD @OAK BYE NO @CLE @TEN TB DEN @IND
IND NO @TEN @HOU DEN TB BYE @JAC @CAR NE @SD KC @ATL JAC @BAL @OAK HOU
JAC TEN ATL @DEN BYE @KC HOU IND @TB @NO @TEN SD BUF @IND CAR @PIT OAK
KC @HOU @CHI MIN @SD JAC CIN @OAK BYE GB DEN @IND OAK SD @DEN TEN @DET
MIA @WAS DAL @NYJ OAK @HOU @CLE NE NYG BYE BUF @PHI @PIT NYJ @BUF BAL @NE
MIN ATL @DET @KC GB BYE @CHI @DAL PHI SD @GB OAK @NYG DET @SF CHI WAS
NE @NYJ SD BUF @CIN CLE @DAL @MIA WAS @IND BYE @BUF PHI @BAL PIT NYJ MIA
NO @IND @TB TEN BYE CAR @SEA ATL @SF JAC STL @HOU @CAR TB @ATL ARI PHI
NYG @DAL GB @WAS PHI NYJ @ATL SF @MIA BYE DAL @DET MIN @CHI @PHI WAS @BUF
NYJ NE @BAL MIA @BUF @NYG PHI @CIN BUF WAS BYE PIT @DAL @MIA CLE @NE @TEN
OAK DET @DEN CLE @MIA BYE @SD KC @TEN HOU CHI @MIN @KC DEN @GB IND @JAC
PHI @GB WAS DET @NYG BYE @NYJ CHI @MIN DAL @WAS MIA @NE SEA NYG @DAL @NO
PIT @CLE BUF SF @ARI SEA BYE @DEN @CIN BAL CLE @NYJ MIA CIN @NE JAC @STL
SD CHI @NE @GB KC @DEN OAK BYE HOU @MIN IND @JAC BAL @KC @TEN DET DEN
SEA TB @ARI CIN @SF @PIT NO STL BYE @CLE SF CHI @STL @PHI ARI @CAR BAL
SF ARI @STL @PIT SEA BAL BYE @NYG NO @ATL @SEA STL @ARI @CAR MIN CIN TB
STL CAR SF @TB @DAL ARI @BAL @SEA CLE BYE @NO @SF SEA ATL @CIN GB PIT
TB @SEA NO STL @CAR @IND TEN @DET JAC ARI BYE @ATL WAS @NO @HOU ATL @SF
TEN @JAC IND @NO BYE ATL @TB @HOU OAK CAR JAC @DEN @CIN HOU SD @KC NYJ
WAS MIA @PHI NYG BYE DET @GB ARI @NE @NYJ PHI @DAL @TB BUF CHI @NYG @MIN

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