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Ease of Schedule - Running Backs
David Dorey
November 1, 2007

What 2007 Fantasy Points Allowed Opposing RB's

Good Allow Avg Allow Bad Allow
OAK 26.1 TB 20.1 JAC 15.2
DET 26.1 BUF 19.6 NE 15.0
NYJ 24.3 MIA 19.4 PHI 14.1
CHI 23.5 SEA 19.4 MIN 13.9
DEN 21.7 CLE 19.0 SD 13.8
HOU 21.5 KC 18.2 DAL 13.4
CAR 21.5 ARI 17.8 NO 13.3
ATL 21.2 SF 17.7 TEN 12.2
STL 21.1 WAS 17.1 BAL 11.6
CIN 20.9 NYG 16.8 PIT 10.1
  Good IND 16.5   Bad
  Match-up GB 15.7   Match-up

Using the actual results from weeks 2 through 8 of lthis season, the schedule was compared against the top 10 and worst 10 defenses for allowing fantasy points for rushing yards and scores.

The table to the right shows the fantasy points allowed to opposing teams for all running backs per game.

A "Good" game was when the team faced an opposing defense that was in the top 10 for allowing fantasy points. A "Bad" game was when that team faced an opposing defense that was in the ten defenses that allowed the least amount of fantasy points.

Tthe most important findings are the extremes as they will change less as the season progresses and it is generally more important to not face a tough ("bad") defense than it is to go against an easy defense ("good"). Most of your starters are going to be among the best at their position, so the biggest question is if they will be limited by opposing defenses.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 9 to 13 show what players will face until the fantasy playoff weeks. Weeks 9 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 9 to 13 Weeks 14 to 16 (Playoffs) Weeks 9 to 16
EOS Good Bad EOS Good Bad EOS Good Bad
SF 3 3 0 GB 3 3 0 GB 3 5 2
TEN 3 4 1 CLE 2 2 0 SF 3 4 1
ARI 2 2 0 TB 2 2 0 TEN 3 5 2
ATL 2 2 0 CIN 1 1 0 ARI 2 3 1
DEN 2 3 1 HOU 1 1 0 DEN 2 4 2
NO 2 3 1 IND 1 2 1 KC 2 4 2
OAK 2 3 1 JAC 1 2 1 MIN 2 3 1
CHI 1 2 1 KC 1 2 1 NO 2 4 2
KC 1 2 1 MIN 1 1 0 ATL 1 2 1
MIN 1 2 1 SD 1 2 1 CLE 1 3 2
PIT 1 2 1 ARI 0 1 1 OAK 1 3 2
SEA 1 2 1 BAL 0 0 0 SEA 1 3 2
DAL 0 1 1 BUF 0 0 0 TB 1 3 2
DET 0 1 1 DAL 0 1 1 CHI 0 2 2
GB 0 2 2 DEN 0 1 1 DAL 0 2 2
BUF -1 1 2 NE 0 1 1 PIT 0 3 3
CAR -1 1 2 NO 0 1 1 BUF -1 1 2
CLE -1 1 2 SEA 0 1 1 HOU -1 2 3
NYG -1 2 3 SF 0 1 1 IND -1 3 4
STL -1 1 2 STL 0 1 1 STL -1 2 3
TB -1 1 2 TEN 0 1 1 WAS -1 2 3
WAS -1 1 2 WAS 0 1 1 BAL -2 1 3
BAL -2 1 3 ATL -1 0 1 CIN -2 1 3
HOU -2 1 3 CHI -1 0 1 DET -2 1 3
IND -2 1 3 NYG -1 0 1 JAC -2 2 4
MIA -2 1 3 OAK -1 0 1 NYG -2 2 4
PHI -2 0 2 PIT -1 1 2 SD -2 2 4
CIN -3 0 3 CAR -2 0 2 CAR -3 1 4
JAC -3 0 3 DET -2 0 2 NE -3 1 4
NE -3 0 3 MIA -2 0 2 MIA -4 1 5
NYJ -3 0 3 NYJ -2 0 2 PHI -4 0 4
SD -3 0 3 PHI -2 0 2 NYJ -5 0 5

Week - By - Week

  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @TB DET @CIN SF CLE @SEA @NO ATL
ATL SF @CAR TB IND @STL NO @TB @ARI
BAL @PIT CIN CLE @SD NE IND @MIA @SEA
BUF CIN @MIA NE @JAC @WAS MIA @CLE NYG
CAR @TEN ATL @GB NO SF @JAC SEA DAL
CHI BYE @OAK @SEA DEN NYG @WAS @MIN GB
CIN @BUF @BAL ARI TEN @PIT STL @SF CLE
CLE SEA @PIT @BAL HOU @ARI @NYJ BUF @CIN
DAL @PHI @NYG WAS NYJ GB @DET PHI @CAR
DEN @DET @KC TEN @CHI @OAK KC @HOU @SD
DET DEN @ARI NYG GB @MIN DAL @SD KC
GB @KC MIN CAR @DET @DAL OAK @STL @CHI
HOU @OAK BYE NO @CLE @TEN TB DEN @IND
IND NE @SD KC @ATL JAC @BAL @OAK HOU
JAC @NO @TEN SD BUF @IND CAR @PIT OAK
KC GB DEN @IND OAK SD @DEN TEN @DET
MIA BYE BUF @PHI @PIT NYJ @BUF BAL @NE
MIN SD @GB OAK @NYG DET @SF CHI WAS
NE @IND BYE @BUF PHI @BAL PIT NYJ MIA
NO JAC STL @HOU @CAR TB @ATL ARI PHI
NYG BYE DAL @DET MIN @CHI @PHI WAS @BUF
NYJ WAS BYE PIT @DAL @MIA CLE @NE @TEN
OAK HOU CHI @MIN @KC DEN @GB IND @JAC
PHI DAL @WAS MIA @NE SEA NYG @DAL @NO
PIT BAL CLE @NYJ MIA CIN @NE JAC @STL
SD @MIN IND @JAC BAL @KC @TEN DET DEN
SEA @CLE SF CHI @STL @PHI ARI @CAR BAL
SF @ATL @SEA STL @ARI @CAR MIN CIN TB
STL BYE @NO @SF SEA ATL @CIN GB PIT
TB ARI BYE @ATL WAS @NO @HOU ATL @SF
TEN CAR JAC @DEN @CIN HOU SD @KC NYJ
WAS @NYJ PHI @DAL @TB BUF CHI @NYG @MIN

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