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FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFT GUIDE

2007 Player Rankings: Wide Receivers
Updated: September 3, 2007
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Tier 1
Chad Johnson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 1
Keeper: 1
Auction 10: 20%
Auction 12: 20%
2004 CIN 16 95 1274 13.4 9 4 39  
2005 CIN 16 97 1432 14.8 9 5 33  
2006 CIN 16 87 1370 15.7 7 6 24  
Avg   16 93 1359 14.6 8 5 32 0
Proj FA   93 1390   10      

Johnson comes off one of the most unusual and frustrating seasons of his six years in the league. His 1369 receiving yards were more than any other player. He ranked 8th best in both targets (152) and catches (87). He had seven touchdowns and was a top five fantasy wideout in almost every league. And yet – he did almost all his damage during a three week frenzy when he had 34 catches for 573 yards and five scores. In just three weeks! For the other 13 games of the season, he only had one game over 100 yards and scored only twice more. He only had 786 yards in those 13 games – an average of only 60 yards per game.

Johnson was far more consistent in 2005 when he had at least one score in eight different games and topped 100 yards four times. He ended with 1432 yards that year – 3rd best in the NFL. His inconsistent play – though productive – was bothersome last year to all but those in total points leagues. With the absence of Chris Henry, Johnson will need to be no less integral to the passing attack in Cincy and yet he could endure more coverage – though that would be hard to do. Figure Johnson as a reliable wideout and look for him to return to more consistent play in 2007 with the entire offense (sans Henry for 8 weeks) to be back again this year.

Steve Smith - BAL YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 2
Keeper: 2
Auction 10: 20%
Auction 12: 20%
2004 CAR 1 6 60 10.0        
2005 CAR 16 103 1563 15.2 12 4 25 1
2006 CAR 14 83 1166 14.0 8 8 61 1
Avg   10 64 930 13.1 7 4 29 1
Proj BAL   91 1380   10      

Smith comes off a down year but still had 1166 yards and eight touchdowns in 2006. That paled to the 1563 yards and 12 touchdowns he turned in for 2005.He missed the first two weeks with a hamstring strain but roared back to life with 112 yards in week three against TB. Over the first eight games that he played, Smith totaled 870 yards on 57 receptions but along with the rest of the team, Smith took a nosedive as the wheels fell off the offensive wagon. For the next five weeks – right through fantasy playoffs – Smith never had more than 67 yards and even failed to make a single catch in week 16 when owners needed him most.

Smith was openly critical of the offensive play calling (as were others) and the Panthers have a new OC in Jeff Davidson from Cleveland (but mostly New England). The new playbook calls for a return of the slant pass which Smith has been deadly within the past and Smith is already excited about 2007. He’s healthy and he’s happy. Now he just needs to be as productive as he already has proven he is capable of being. The Panthers have a much lighter schedule this year and Smith should be the direct beneficiary.

08-24-07 Update: Smith falls from the top spot to the #2 mostly because no clear-cut #2 has emerged from Drew Carter, Keary Colbert or Dwayne Jarrett. He will still get a ton of passes and could easily remain the #1 wideout, but the lack of a credible #2 so far means Chad Johnson is a better risk.

Terrell Owens - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 3
Keeper: 3
Auction 10: 18%
Auction 12: 18%
2004 PHI 14 77 1200 15.6 14 3 -5  
2005 PHI 7 47 763 16.2 6 1 2  
2006 DAL 16 85 1180 13.9 13      
Avg   12 70 1048 15.2 11 1 0 0
Proj FA   85 1230   12      

Owens' first season in Dallas resulted in 1180 yards and 13 touchdowns - about the same that he had in his final healthy year in Philadelphia. He played much of the year with an injured right ring finger that was blamed for his unusually high number of dropped passes. The finger had two surgeries in the offseason and an entourage everywhere it went. Owens has been faithfully rehabbing the finger with a hand specialist and has already shown up for minicamps. The finger should not be an issue this year and he played with the condition much of last year anyway.

What is most notable about last year was the role that Tony Romo had in Owens' success. Prior to week seven, Bledsoe had only thrown three scores to Owens and two of those came in his final game as a starter when Romo first took the field. In the 12 games that Romo played, Owens scored in all but three of them and had three 100 yard games. He had none with Bledsoe. While Bledsoe had trouble connecting with Owens, Romo knew right where the money was. Terry Glenn's numbers did not really suffer much with Owens, so the defense cannot solely concentrate on Terrell though he obviously will always be a concern. The new coaching staff may change some aspects, but feeding the ball to Owens will not be among the differences from 2006.

Marvin Harrison - FA* YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 4
Keeper: 6
Auction 10: 18%
Auction 12: 18%
2004 IND 16 86 1113 12.9 15      
2005 IND 15 82 1146 14.0 12      
2006 IND 16 95 1366 14.4 12      
Avg   16 88 1208 13.8 13 0 0 0
Proj FA*   93 1260   10      

Just when it appeared that Harrison was slowing down, he turns in 95 catches for 1366 yards and 12 touchdowns last season – 2nd in both the NFL in yardage and receiving touchdowns. Harrison has not been under 10 touchdowns per year since 1999 and though he turns 34 this season, it does not appear he is ready to slow down quite yet. He had six 100 yard games and scored multiple touchdowns in four match-ups. As long as Peyton Manning is on the other end of the pass, Harrison remains one of the most consistently productive wideouts for the last eight years and has never missed more than one game in any season during that time.

Reggie Wayne - IND YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 5
Keeper: 4
Auction 10: 18%
Auction 12: 18%
2004 IND 16 77 1210 15.7 12 1 -4  
2005 IND 16 83 1055 12.7 5      
2006 IND 16 86 1310 15.2 9      
Avg   16 82 1192 14.5 9 0 0 0
Proj IND   86 1250   10      

Wayne ended his sixth season in the NFL last year and had career high receptions (86) and receiving yardage (1310) to rank 9th and 4th in those categories for 2006. He’s been consistently good for the last three years and has never missed a game. With Peyton Manning under center, Wayne is a lock for a 1000+ yard season and it is his touchdown scoring that wavers each year. He split the difference with nine scores last season but had five in 2005 and 12 in 2004. Like Harrison, Wayne is always a solid draft pick with the promise of returning to his 12 touchdown ways. The worst you get is still top ten.

Larry Fitzgerald - ARI YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 6
Keeper: 8
Auction 10: 16%
Auction 12: 14%
2004 ARI 16 58 780 13.4 8 8 14  
2005 ARI 16 103 1409 13.7 10 8 41  
2006 ARI 13 68 941 13.8 6 1 5  
Avg   15 76 1043 13.6 8 6 20 0
Proj ARI   92 1300   9      

(+Upside) The third season for Fitzgerald did not provide the breakout year (which really was 2005 anyway) but much of that was due because of a balky hamstring that forced him to miss three games and play less than 100% in a couple others last year. Fitzgerald still ended with 946 yards on 69 catches and scored six times. He had only two games over 100 yards though he was pretty solid in turning in 70 or more in most games. This was a big step backwards from his 1409 yards and 10 scores in 2005.

Fitzgerald had one monster game in 2006 – 172 yards against the Vikings in week 12 but never again had more than 93 for the rest of the year. But he did score four times in those final six games as a precursor to what he can do with a more experienced Matt Leinart under center. So long as he can remain healthy – a problem shared with Anquan Boldin – Fitzgerald will overtake Boldin as the clear top wideout in Arizona this year. In the new scheme ushered in by HC Ken Whisenhunt, the two primary wideouts should continue to enjoy fairly heavy use and Fitzgerald’s success in the endzone will be exploited. Also, Whisenhunt has always been noted for creative, "trick" plays that often use wideouts in various rushing or even passing capacities. Fitzgerald is the best athlete for a Cardinals wideout and that too will lead to more use in any gimmick plays dreamed up by the coaching staff.

Roy Williams - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 7
Keeper: 5
Auction 10: 16%
Auction 12: 14%
2004 DET 14 54 817 15.1 8 1 1  
2005 DET 12 45 687 15.3 8      
2006 DET 16 82 1310 16.0 7 2 2  
Avg   14 60 938 15.5 8 1 1 0
Proj FA   91 1300   9      

(+Upside) Following the traditional route, Williams had his breakout season in his third year when 2006 saw him catch 82 passes for 1310 yards and seven touchdowns. He has never had less than those seven scores in a season but he almost doubled his career best yardage in his first year in the Martz offense in Detroit. He ended with six games over 100 yards and four of those exceeded 130 yards. The drafting of Calvin Johnson should not dig into Williams’ numbers (but will for Furrey) since by mid-season, defenses were content on blanketing Williams and letting Furrey end up with 98 catches on the year. Secondaries will not have that luxury once, or if, Johnson can meet his expectations.

Williams is now entering his prime years as an NFL wideout and plays in an excellent offense for generating big passing numbers. While Johnson gathers the attention, don’t forget that Williams’ ranked #3 in the NFL last year with 1310 yards while escorting much of the secondary around the field every week. It’s too early, of course, to overrate Johnson but what worked well with Holt and Bruce now turns into Williams, Johnson and Furrey.

Torry Holt - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 8
Keeper: 7
Auction 10: 14%
Auction 12: 14%
2004 STL 16 94 1372 14.6 10      
2005 STL 14 102 1331 13.0 9 1 2  
2006 STL 16 93 1188 12.8 10      
Avg   15 96 1297 13.5 10 0 1 0
Proj FA   88 1290   9      

(-Risk) Holt comes off yet another good season with 93 catches for 1188 yards and 10 scores. Those marks all were top eight or better in the NFL last year and Holt’s been golden for the last seven years but perhaps all is not as well as total numbers suggest. Holt comes off his lowest yardage since his rookie year in 1999 and his yards per catch (12.8) was the lowest of his NFL career. He started the year out red hot and by week six, he already had 526 yards and seven touchdowns. But in the final ten games of 2006 – when the new offense was starting to take shape and Jackson was running well – Holt only averaged 66 yards per week and scored in only two of those ten games. Not exactly what the first six weeks suggested would happen.

He topped 90 yards only once in those final ten games despite keeping up with the number of receptions. Even Isaac Bruce averaged 71 yards a game for the last ten weeks. Make no doubt – Holt is one of the most talented wideouts in the NFL and in his prime but the change in offensive scheme has not proven to benefit Holt’s production. Two main culprits exist here – the receptions by Jackson cost Holt some yardage and more importantly, the Rams now use more traditional formations instead of the four and five receiver sets. That means on most plays Holt and Bruce are alone in patterns and that prompts the secondary to devote extra attention to Holt. He did have a knee injury sustained in week 13 but that was his only 100 yard game in that last ten stretch. And he had 75 yards and two scores the following week against the Bears. He still has a solid reception total, but they are shorter catches than ever before. Add in Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael into the mix and Holt improving his numbers is harder to expect.

Holt still deserves to be a top wideout draft pick but he may carry more risk this year from the increased options for Bulger with Jackson’s receiving and the addition of Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael. There are only so many balls to throw in St. Louis. While obviously a solid pick, this season will answer if the change in personnel, team dynamics and scheme are really to blame for Holt’s marginal downturn in 2006.

08-27-07 Update: Holt falls a few spots with the news that his knee is bothering him from back when he had surgery in January. The joint has swollen and prevented Holt from playing in a preseason game. The Rams are taking it easy with Holt who may still not be 100% by the start of the season. Holt already saw a major decline in his production last year when the offense was finally installed and running to form.

Tier 2
Lee Evans - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 9
Keeper: 13
Auction 10: 14%
Auction 12: 14%
2004 BUF 16 48 843 17.6 9 5 85  
2005 BUF 16 49 743 15.2 7 4 38  
2006 BUF 16 82 1290 15.7 8      
Avg   16 60 959 16.2 8 3 41 0
Proj FA   90 1290   9      

True to form, Lee Evans had his break-out during his third season when 2006 provided 82 catches for 1292 yards and eight touchdowns. Evans went from catching the occasional long pass for a score to a consistent receiver with around 70 yards in most games and as high as one magic 265 yard effort he had in Houston. He only had two other games exceed 100 yards but he also ended the year on a high note with touchdowns in each of the last four games. Once the Bills elected for stability at the quarterback spot with J.P. Losman, Evans became one of the better wideouts in the league. His 1290 yards ranked 5th best among all NFL receivers last year and only nine wideouts had more touchdowns.

On the negative side, the Bills have a brutal schedule this year but then again, that will mean that Evans will be called upon no less than in 2006. He still lacks a credible #2 to lessen his coverage, but he excelled last year with the same situation.

Andre Johnson - HOU YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 10
Keeper: 9
Auction 10: 14%
Auction 12: 12%
2004 HOU 16 79 1142 14.5 6 4 12  
2005 HOU 13 63 688 10.9 2 6 10  
2006 HOU 16 103 1147 11.1 5 3 14  
Avg   15 82 992 12.2 4 4 12 0
Proj HOU   99 1350   8      

(+Upside) Johnson led the NFL in 2006 when he had 103 catches – the only one over 100. He ended with a career high 1147 yards while scoring five times but he stands to improve if only Schaub can meet expectations. Johnson had a good overall season last year but like the rest of the Texans passing game, he did almost all his damage in early in the season and was much less effective as the season progressed. Johnson opened the year with four 100 yard games in the first six weeks and scored four times by midseason.

Johnson could be a great value in your league since the offense will improve with Schaub at the helm and so far there are just no other receivers that seem likely to cut into his action much. That could end up with him constantly double covered, but Johnson is much more talented than the team around him has allowed. The change to Schaub and at least marginally better rushing from Ahman Green should only help Johnson. Expect Johnson to improve this year and make a stronger case for being considered one of the elite wideouts in the NFL.

Donald Driver - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 11
Keeper: 18
Auction 10: 12%
Auction 12: 10%
2004 GBP 16 84 1208 14.4 9 3 4  
2005 GBP 16 86 1221 14.2 5 2 13  
2006 GBP 16 91 1288 14.2 8 7 16  
Avg   16 87 1239 14.3 7 4 11 0
Proj FA   90 1280   9      

Thanks to playing with a Hall of Fame quarterback for a team that has not been really active trying to get a great #2 wideout, Driver has shown amazing consistency over the last three seasons with around 1250 yards and seven scores each year. He’s slowly been increasing his number of receptions a year to a career high 92 in 2006 but his average has fallen to only 14.1 – more catches but not that much more done with them.

The beauty in drafting Driver is knowing that Brett Favre is going to throw for good yardage and Driver is always his preferred target. While he had eight scores in 2006, the other six wideouts combined only accounted for five touchdowns. Favre needs 3862 yards to sew up the all-time yardage record and who better to help him than Driver? The worst you will get from Driver is solid and this could be his final year with Favre – the duo will be connecting as much as possible.

Marques Colston - NOS YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 12
Keeper: 10
Auction 10: 12%
Auction 12: 10%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 NOS 13 70 1038 14.8 8      
Avg   13 70 1038 14.8 8 0 0 0
Proj NOS   85 1220   9      

(-Risk) (+Upside) Colston was a sleeper wideout for the ages. No other seventh round pick can claim to have made such an impact as a rookie – maybe not for an entire career. Colston wasn’t even the first wideout drafted by the Saints (Mike Haas 6.02) and most figured him to be a tight end since he is 6’4" and 231 pounds. Colston was such a surprise in training camp that Donte Stallworth was sent to Philadelphia while Colston took the NFL and fantasy leagues by storm. He led all Saints receivers with 70 catches for 1038 yards and eight touchdowns. Not bad for a player that was skipped over 260 times in the draft and that came within four picks of being undrafted.

Through week 10, Colston already had 869 yards and seven scores but sprained his ankle, forcing him out for three games. That pace would have given him 1544 yards which would have easily led the NFL but after missing those three, he returned and only managed 169 yards on 16 catches for the next three weeks and then had nothing in the meaningless final game of the regular season. The noticeable drop in production came when the rushing game was going very well and more notably, Reggie Bush was turning in big receiving yardage games. And – Joe Horn was out of the line-up. With Horn gone after week 13, Colston was not nearly as effective and was the main focus of the secondary. The question to be answered this year is if that decline was related to a slow comeback from an ankle sprain, the increased use of Bush and/or the absence of Joe Horn who is gone this year as well. Brees threw for 384 yards in Dallas in week 14 but Colston only had 48 yards. It was Bush (125 yards) and Devery Henderson replacing Horn (92 yards) that had the biggest games.

Further complicating the situation was that the Saints wrapped up their division early and even Brees took it easier in those final weeks so Colston would naturally have lower numbers. His chemistry with Brees was obvious but he will be the main focus of the coverage this year and that could lead to a sophomore slump after a shockingly good rookie year. For these reasons he is a risk to consider as a #1 fantasy wide receiver for your team but on this offense with that quarterback, he makes for one of the most intriguing #2 wideouts you could draft.

Laveranues Coles - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 13
Keeper: 15
Auction 10: 12%
Auction 12: 8%
2004 WAS 16 90 950 10.6 1 3 -3  
2005 NYJ 16 73 845 11.6 5      
2006 NYJ 16 91 1098 12.1 6 2 14  
Avg   16 85 964 11.4 4 2 4 0
Proj FA   96 1190   8      

(+Upside) Re-uniting with Chad Pennington hasn’t provided the potential uptick in Coles’ production that was hoped for, even with Pennington remaining healthy for an entire season finally. Coles comes off his seventh NFL season with 91 catches for 1098 yards and six scores – a career best for receptions and tied for 5th best in the NFL last year. But Coles only averaged 12.1 yards per catch and played through two separate concussions last year and also suffered through calf and rib injuries during the year and yet never missed a game. He’s a gamer to be sure and plays much bigger than his 193 pound frame suggests he should.

Coles should be a decent value this season since his numbers from 2006 don’t speak to the fact that he was so often banged up and playing injured. He turned in five efforts over 100 yards and when healthy usually caught six or eight passes per game. Now that Pennington has a full season under his belt and Coles starts the year healthy once again, the addition of Thomas Jones should greatly help out the passing game by giving the defense something more to think about than Coles and Cotchery. He carries some risk from durability concerns but then again – he always plays. Figure on Coles having some upside this year and a good value where you can reach him in fantasy drafts.

T.J. Houshmandzadeh - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 14
Keeper: 16
Auction 10: 10%
Auction 12: 8%
2004 CIN 15 73 978 13.4 4 6 51  
2005 CIN 14 78 956 12.3 7 8 62 1
2006 CIN 14 90 1081 12.0 9 3 6  
Avg   14 80 1005 12.6 7 6 40 0
Proj FA   89 1110   9      

Six seasons in the NFL and Houshmandzadeh just keeps getting better – and rewarding anyone who has drafted him in the last two years. Houshmandzadeh comes off a career best 90 catches for 1081 yards and nine touchdowns last year and is getting rich as the Bengals’ starting wideout who is not Chad Johnson. He ranked 7th in the NFL for receptions in 2006 and was tied for 6th best among all wideouts with nine scores. Not only did he have more receptions and scores than Johnson, he was one of the most consistent wideouts in the league last year. Houshmandzadeh scored in eight different games and never went more than two weeks without a touchdown.

The absence of Chris Henry for the first half of the season could benefit Houshmandzadeh but it just as easily could be a detriment for him since Henry stretched the field so well and allowed Houshmandzadeh to operate over the middle and on shorter routes without being double covered. Even if Houshmandzadeh declines this year, it won’t be by much because he is so integral to the passing game. He doesn’t score quite as much as Johnson in most leagues because of yardage differences but he’s much more consistent and historically is a steal where he has been drafted. Carson Palmer relies on him and that can never be a bad thing.

Tier 3
Randy Moss - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 15
Keeper: 14
Auction 10: 10%
Auction 12: 8%
2004 MIN 12 49 767 15.7 13      
2005 OAK 16 60 1005 16.8 8      
2006 OAK 13 42 553 13.2 3      
Avg   14 50 775 15.2 8 0 0 0
Proj FA   72 1030   10      

(-Risk) (+Upside) This is simply the most interesting situation of all NFL wide receivers. And the most productive... maybe. The 30-year old Moss had not turned in more than 1005 yards in any of the last three seasons though he did have 13 touchdowns in 2004 during his final year in Minnesota. His time in Oakland produced two injury shortened years and perhaps one of the biggest "malcontent" performances of recent memory. Moss only had 42 catches for 553 yards and three scores last year in the offensive black hole known as the Oakland Raiders of 2006. There are now two parts of the equation to consider what Moss may do this year with Tom Brady throwing him passes.

First - has Moss' skills diminished as reported by sour grape ex-coaches? Hard to say since Moss has been unable to remain healthy all season since 2003. When healthy in 2004, Moss was still very productive with scores in all but two games when he was healthy. His first season In Oakland, his initial four games posted 117 yards per game on average with five catches in each and two scores. But then he was injured and plodded the rest of the year as mostly a decoy. In 2006, the well-documented fall-out with the new coaching staff left Moss little used if for no other reason than the quarterbacks could not even pass the ball before getting crushed. That season should be no measuring stick either. Moss is only 30 years old and has been wildly productive when healthy (which isn't always) and when on a team with a good offense (which wasn't last year).

Secondly, Moss now plays for the Patriots and their passing game that never focuses much on one receiver by design. Then again, there have been few receivers there that rank highly. For the last five seasons, the Patriots have had a different lead receiver in every year. But under Brady, there have been individual performances in the past with fantasy value. Troy Brown turned in 1199 and 890 yards in his first two seasons with Brady. Branch then had 803 in 2003 and then 998 yards in 2005. Those first two seasons with Brady had Troy Brown catching 101 and 97 passes. But also relevant, the Patriots have Donte Stallworth and Wes Welker to add to the same mix that played last season. There are only so many balls to distribute in New England and Brown's big years were when there were almost no other decent receivers. This will be a fascinating year for Moss and one that could define his career. Play back to form and head into the playoffs or tail off as he has and get injured once again. Regardless, Moss brings a very nice target in the endzone this year even if his receptions and yards wane.

07-27-07 Update: Moss tumbles a couple of spots because he hasn't been able to practice with Brady due to a hamstring issue. The Pats still contend that Moss will be ready for the start of the season but there is just more risk with Moss not practicing with his new team and new quarterback while nursing yet another hamstring strain. Big upside here but equally troubling risk.

Anquan Boldin - SFO YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 16
Keeper: 17
Auction 10: 10%
Auction 12: 8%
2004 ARI 10 56 623 11.1 1 1 3  
2005 ARI 14 102 1398 13.7 7 12 45  
2006 ARI 16 83 1203 14.5 4 5 28  
Avg   13 80 1075 13.1 4 6 25 0
Proj SFO   88 1150   8      

For the first time since his rookie season, Boldin played all 16 games last year though he was hampered by a bad back for a while around mid-season. But he only had 83 catches last year and ended with 1203 yards and only four touchdowns. This partially was due to the learning curve of Matt Leinart. In the first four games, Boldin averaged 74 yards per game while under Leinart; he still had 76 yards per game. Not much change though three of his scores came from the rookie quarterback as did three of his four 100 yard efforts.

The more bothersome fact was that as the offensive line and rushing game improved the less that Boldin was used – particularly near the goal line. He had only one score in the final 10 games. The maturation of Larry Fitzgerald also had a definite effect on Boldin’s numbers as he managed four scores in the final five games with Leinart. With the new offense being installed this season, Boldin should continue to provide a rock solid possession role but his higher scores of years past may be over. Boldin often had more yards per game than Fitzgerald last year but lost out when the endzone neared.

Deion Branch - IND YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 17
Keeper: 23
Auction 10: 8%
Auction 12: 6%
2004 NEP 9 35 454 13.0 4      
2005 NEP 16 78 998 12.8 5      
2006 SEA 14 53 725 13.7 4 4 30  
Avg   13 55 726 13.2 4 1 10 0
Proj IND   80 1170   7      

(+Upside) This is the year that Branch either takes the final step up or ruins his chance to ever be a stud wideout in the NFL. After five seasons in the NFL, his best year came in 2005 when he had 78 catches for 998 yards and five scores for the Patriots. He was traded so late to the Seahawks in 2006 that he did not play in the first two games and it wasn’t until week six that he had more than three catches in a game. With 13 starts, Branch managed to turn in 53 catches for 725 yards and four scores.

Branch only had one game over 76 yards last year but he remained good for at least three or four catches per week (or more) and averaged 14.0 yards per catch when he played with Hasselbeck in the game. Now that he has a season in the offense, Branch moves over to the flanker spot vacated by Darrell Jackson – the first place that Hasselbeck has been targeting since joining forces with Jackson. With D.J. Hackett assuming the old split end spot, Branch is now a true #1 wideout for the first time in his career. He was Brady’s favorite target as well in New England but that scheme spreads the ball out far more than what Seattle will do. This is show time and Branch had the talent – now he has the opportunity.

Plaxico Burress - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 18
Keeper: 11
Auction 10: 8%
Auction 12: 6%
2004 PIT 11 35 698 19.9 5      
2005 NYG 16 76 1214 16.0 7      
2006 NYG 15 63 988 15.7 10      
Avg   14 58 967 17.2 7 0 0 0
Proj FA   75 1100   8      

(-Risk) Two seasons with the Giants and Burress remains one of the better fantasy wideouts in the league but mainly because of his touchdowns. He scored ten last year to tie for 3rd best in the league but his yardage fell from 1214 yards in 2005 to only 988 in 2006. His yards per catch remained almost the same but falling from 76 to only 63 catches last year was reflective of the passing problems of the Giants in 2006. Still, Burress scored in ten different games and typically had four or more catches every week. He only had two games over 100 yards last year and both came against the Eagles but he was at his best when facing NFC East opponents.

With the departure of Tiki Barber, the Giants will likely be motivated to throw the ball more and that should directly benefit Burress. The biggest problem that he has from becoming a leader in yardage is the decline of Amani Toomer and the lack of any other credible replacement so far. The drafting of Steve Smith this year may help, but Sinorice Moss last year was supposed to offer the same optimism. His role as a touchdown catcher maintains his value as a #1 WR in fantasy terms and a very strong one if he can be landed as a #2.

08-28-07 Update: Burress takes a small tumble in the rankings because he continues to suffer injuries and has not been able to practice or play. Burress has had ankle sprains and the flu and a bad back and now the back is flaring up again. He carries more risk this year.

Joey Galloway - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 19
Keeper: 30
Auction 10: 6%
Auction 12: 6%
2004 TBB 10 33 416 12.6 5 2 19  
2005 TBB 16 83 1287 15.5 10 2 4  
2006 TBB 16 62 1057 17.0 7 2 9  
Avg   14 59 920 15.0 7 2 11 0
Proj FA   70 1150   7      

The speedy wideout turns 36 years old this year and yet he hasn’t shown a lot of signs that his skills have diminished. Though the Buccaneers struggled as a team in 2006, Galloway still had 62 catches for 1057 yards and seven scores – a very healthy 17.0 yard average per catch and this while the Buccaneers passing game fell apart otherwise. The addition of Jeff Garcia would likely help Galloway with more accurate passing but Garcia’s arm strength would come up short on the deep routes that Galloway has always excelled with. The Buccaneers have a very favorable passing schedule for 2007 and with no upgrades to a lethargic rushing attack, it is reasonable to expect the passing game to pick up this year regardless which quarterback takes the starting role.

Galloway only had four games over the 100 yard mark in 2007 but his season high came in week two with Chris Simms at quarterback. Potential upgrades in Jerramy Stevens and especially the improving Maurice Stovall could yield a passing attack that gives defenders more than just Galloway to consider (unlike last year). He’s too old to be doing as well as he has, but with no other wideout nearly as adept as Galloway, the old man still is running fast and should be the focus of the passing game.

Santonio Holmes - CHI YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 20
Keeper: 19
Auction 10: 6%
Auction 12: 4%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 PIT 16 49 824 16.8 2 1 13  
Avg   16 49 824 16.8 2 1 13 0
Proj CHI   74 1160   6      

The 1.25 draft pick by the Steelers was the first wideout taken in 2006. He would have been the most productive rookie wideout had it not been for the aberration of the decade in Marquez Colston. Holmes ended up second only to Hines Ward for the Steelers last year when he turned 49 catches into 824 yards and a very healthy 16.8 yards per catch. He only scored twice last year but came on strongly towards the end of the season, topping 80 yards in three of the final four games and ending the season with his first game over the 100 yard mark. Those final four games were also the only ones that he started, having taken the #2 role from the ineffective Cedrick Wilson.

All things considered, Holmes had an excellent rookie season and should be even better this year. Hines Ward will attract enough attention that Holmes will continue to get the lesser coverage at least until he starts to show up Ward which could come sooner than later. He should come as a very good value in drafts this year since he only scored twice in 2006 and yet he only started four games and ended with 824 yards. That’s just the start of what should be a more productive Holmes for 2007.

Javon Walker - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 21
Keeper: 12
Auction 10: 6%
Auction 12: 4%
2004 GBP 16 89 1380 15.5 12      
2005 GBP 1 4 27 6.8        
2006 DEN 16 69 1084 15.7 8 9 123 1
Avg   11 54 830 12.7 7 3 41 0
Proj FA   77 980   8      

Javon Walker made a big splash as a Bronco last year, ending with 1084 yards on 69 catches with eight touchdowns scored. But that wasn’t good enough to rank in the top ten for any receiving category of NFL wideouts in 2006. Where Walker made up some ground was in rushing nine times for 123 yards and one score. His numbers were boosted in week nine in Pittsburgh when he caught six passes for 134 yards and two scores, and added a 72-yard touchdown run for one of the highest scoring weeks of any fantasy wide receiver last year. He only had three games with more than 100 receiving yards.

Most relevant is that once Jay Cutler became the starter in week 13 (AKA just when you needed him most), Walker only averaged 46 yards per game for the rest of the year after turning in around 78 yards each week. He scored once in games against the Bengals and Cardinals but only once had more than 52 yards when Cutler was playing. Walker had problems from a lack of a #2 wideout to worry the defense and relieve coverage on him. Rod Smith has lost two steps by now while Brandon Marshall is still learning the game. Walker is clearly talented but that works against him until Cutler becomes more comfortable throwing into the tight coverage that Walker’s talent attracts. Expect a season that improves as Cutler gains more experience and realize that four of his eight scores came in just two games with Plummer as quarterback and those games produced 264 receiving yards – about 25% of his season totals.

Braylon Edwards - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 22
Keeper: 21
Auction 10: 6%
Auction 12: 4%
2004                  
2005 CLE 10 32 512 16.0 3      
2006 CLE 16 60 879 14.7 6 4 12  
Avg   13 46 696 15.4 5 2 6 0
Proj FA   66 970   8      

(-Risk) (+Upside) Edwards tore his ACL during his rookie season and there was guarded optimism that he would not miss much time in 2006 and that he could return without too many problems. Ends up modern medicine is a good thing. Edwards richly rewarded fantasy teams when he caught 61 passes for 884 yards and six touchdowns in 2006. That included three games over 100 yards and six different efforts with one touchdown. All things considered, the second-year player had a banner year.

Now entering his third season, he is in a nice spot for a break-out but that will be controlled by the fortunes of the team more than by him. The Browns have a fairly brutal schedule and did nothing to address the #2 spot other than cross their fingers that Joe Jurevicius can play 16 games for the first time in his nine year career and allow Dennis Northcutt to leave in free agency. No doubt that Edwards will be the primary target in the passing game, but he’ll also be the primary target of the defense. If Winslow has any problems stemming from his knee surgery, then Edwards won’t be seen this year due to all the different colored jerseys surrounding him on every play.

Also notable is that the Browns may go to the rookie Brady Quinn at some point which could actually be a good thing, but it all introduces more risk in expecting the nice breakout that Edwards seems so capable of having. Edwards has already gone on record as supporting Fry to remain the starter but that will likely end up short-sighted because Quinn will get his shot at some point and likely that comes during the season. Vastly talented with great potential, Edwards is rather unlike most of the other offensive players.

Chris Chambers - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 23
Keeper: 24
Auction 10: 4%
Auction 12: 4%
2004 MIA 15 69 898 13.0 7 9 76  
2005 MIA 16 82 1118 13.6 11 12 92  
2006 MIA 16 59 677 11.5 4 8 95  
Avg   16 70 898 12.7 7 10 88 0
Proj FA   73 960   8      

Chambers turned in a career best 1118 yards and scores in 2005 and by some accounts was slated to step even higher in 2006 with the addition of Daunte Culpepper. Instead Chambers took a big leap backwards, recording a career low 677 yards on 59 catches and only four scores. His 11.5 yards per catch also was a career low mark. The reality here is that his 2006 season wasn’t all that big of a drop when you factor in that he had a 238 yard game in 2005 that greatly increased his normal season totals. His typical year was only around 900 yards anyway. Chambers usually would turn in only moderate yardage in most games and have a couple of big efforts each year. In 2005, he had two big efforts and one was a true monster. In 2006, he only had one game over 100 yards.

The entire offense had struggles last year even without the numerous injuries that occurred. Chambers has been a solid yet unspectacular possession receiver for his entire career but this year could signal a change. The Fins are switching Chambers over to the split end position to give him better match-ups and hopefully create more space for him on routes. Converting from flanker – where most possession receivers play – could add a spike to Chambers numbers or it could result in little difference since he is not exceptionally fast – he just runs precise routes with sure hands and has never shied away from the middle.

The worst that Chambers should post in 2007 should be his standard fare but there is upside from the new position in a new offensive scheme. He will be the primary focus of the passing game as well. As a #3 fantasy wideout, Chambers would be a gem and even as your #2, he shouldn’t hurt your team and could end up a nice surprise.

08-30-07 Update: Chambers was reportedly shopped around for a trade which is not likely to happen but he drops a few spots because HC Cam Cameron appears intent on putting question marks onto the few offensive players that matter in Miami.

Reggie Brown - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 24
Keeper: 26
Auction 10: 4%
Auction 12: 3%
2004                  
2005 PHI 14 43 571 13.3 4 1 5  
2006 PHI 15 46 816 17.7 8 3 24 1
Avg   15 45 694 15.5 6 2 15 1
Proj FA   67 950   8      

(+Upside) Brown enters his third season and is positioned for a breakout year. After recording 571 yards and four scores as a rookie, he led all receivers with 816 yards on 46 catches and scored eight times last year. He fared better when Donovan McNabb was still playing and recorded 489 yards and five scores in the first seven games. He had two 100 yard games with McNabb but then suffered until Jeff Garcia heated up and ended his season with three straight weeks of 70+ yards. After two seasons, Brown has emerged as the preferred target for whoever the quarterback is. The addition of Kevin Curtis should not have much impact since he replaces the oft-injured Donte Stallworth and should actually help Brown by giving the secondary more to think about every play. His numbers from 2006 already make him a viable #2 wideout for your team and that was just his second season. He’ll be better this year.

Mark Clayton - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 25
Keeper: 22
Auction 10: 4%
Auction 12: 3%
2004                  
2005 BAL 13 44 471 10.7 2 8 33 1
2006 BAL 16 67 939 14.0 5 7 -30  
Avg   15 56 705 12.4 4 8 2 1
Proj FA   72 1000   7      

(+Upside) Break-out time. His rookie season featured 44 catches for 471 yards and just two scores, and in 2006 he basically doubled that with 939 yards and five scores. Even better still was that Clayton had 562 yards in the final eight games including week 17 when he barely played. He turned in three of his four 100+ yard games in the final half of the season with his new quarterback Steve McNair. While Derrick Mason was supposed to be the primary wideout last year, the two wideouts ended with roughly the same number of catches but with Clayton having 189 more yards and three more scores.

This is his third year which could be a true breakout season. Clayton has all the markings of a player ready to take the final step up and will only be limited by how often the Ravens need to throw. That could limit Clayton, but there’s no reason to expect anything less than a solid season with some nice upside.

08-30-07 Update: Clayton has an ankle sprain that likely won't be healed by week one. Clayton claims that he will play regardless if it is ready but he drops a few spots from what could be a slow start.

Devery Henderson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 26
Keeper: 29
Auction 10: 4%
Auction 12: 3%
2004                  
2005 NOS 13 22 343 15.6 3 1 9  
2006 NOS 12 32 745 23.3 5 2 14 1
Avg   13 27 544 19.5 4 2 12 1
Proj FA   68 960   7      

(+Upside) Henderson takes over Joe Horn’s spot this year, at least until someone takes it away from him like the rookie Robert Meacham. But since Meacham appears to be progressing slowly, Henderson could end up a very nice draft pick for you in the #1 passing offense from 2006. Starting in week nine, Henderson took over for the missing Horn and later Colston and turned in games of 111, 169 and 158 yards in those three games. He also had a 92 yard game in Dallas when Colston was doubled and Horn was out again. Otherwise he did almost nothing last year and his 745 yards and five scores happened almost entirely in those four games. With Horn gone and Colston the main focus of the secondary, Henderson is in a great spot to have a surprisingly good year because Brees was deadly whenever a wideout was single covered. With Colston a hotter property in fantasy drafts, Henderson is a definite sleeper type that is available much later. Meacham’s presence is a concern but unless he shows up well in training camp, Henderson could be a safe play the entire year – and a productive one.

Darrell Jackson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 27
Keeper: 25
Auction 10: 4%
Auction 12: 3%
2004 SEA 16 87 1207 13.9 7      
2005 SEA 6 38 482 12.7 3 1 7  
2006 SEA 13 63 956 15.2 10      
Avg   12 63 882 13.9 7 0 2 0
Proj FA   64 990   6      

It’s been three long seasons since the 49ers had a wideout of any note but the addition of Darrell Jackson should final give the fans someone to get excited about. Jackson was very consistent in Seattle with around 1100 yards and eight scores in years that he was not injured but his durability has been a big issue the last two years and undoubtedly was a part of the reason why Seattle allowed him to leave. Jackson missed ten games in 2005 and three games last year due to a variety of injury issues but even despite having only 13 games in 2006, he scored a career best ten touchdowns and had a 15.2 yard average per catch until he suffered a turf toe condition. His toe was still a problem earlier this spring but should be cleared up for training camp – or at least until he suffers something else.

Jackson is only 28 years old and has several good seasons left in him if he can hold up. He’s one of the lowest risk fantasy wideouts this year in the sense that it is guaranteed that he will be the starter and receive the majority of wideout catches. He brings not only terrific possession ability, but his 47 career touchdowns is far more than all other SF wideouts combined. He will be a factor in the endzone though tight end Vernon Davis will as well. The 49ers defense should be improved this year and rushing game is already stellar. That will place Jackson primarily into a possession, “keep the chains moving" role that should produce consistent numbers each week, even if they rarely ever turn into a truly big game. Alex Smith enters his third season and will improve – and to large extent because he actually has a top-flight wideout finally and not a set of receivers that make the average 49er fan thumb through the game program to see who they are.

Jerricho Cotchery - CAR YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 28
Keeper: 28
Auction 10: 4%
Auction 12: 3%
2004 NYJ 6 6 60 10.0        
2005 NYJ 11 19 251 13.2   1 4  
2006 NYJ 16 82 961 11.7 6 5 25  
Avg   11 36 424 11.6 2 2 10 0
Proj CAR   85 970   6      

The third year wideout had a breakout season of sorts in 2006 when he beat out Justin McCareins for the starting job and then turned in an impressive 82 catches for 961 yards and six touchdowns. He only had three games with 99 or more yards last year but was good for around 50 yards in all but three efforts last season with the occasional good game to reward teams using him as a #3 fantasy wideout. Cotchery has proven to be everything that Justin McCareins was supposed to be – a solid complement to Coles that can offer solid production in games and has enough big weeks to make him rate as one of the better #2 wideouts in the league. Since Cotchery only had 25 career catches prior to 2006, his outlook for this year should be no less than a good 2006 campaign and could be at least a little better.

Calvin Johnson - DET YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 29
Keeper: 20
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 2%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj DET   71 880   7      

(-Risk) (+Upside) When Johnson was drafted with the 1.02 pick in April, most people believed the Lions netted the best player of the draft – his hype is that high. Johnson is viewed as mixing the work ethic and smarts of Marvin Harrison, the physical ability of Terrell Owens and the speed of Randy Moss. Johnson stands 6’4" and yet runs a 4.35. During his 28 games at Georgia Tech, he accounted for 40% of their entire passing game and scored 20 touchdowns. He has the size to tower over most cornerbacks and the speed to beat almost anyone to the endzone. And now he plays in a pass-happy offense in Detroit.

The problem with Johnson is that it would almost be impossible for him to live up to the hype that went so far as to deem him the “most gifted wideout in the history of college football". Unlike other star wide receivers, he is not heading to a team starved of talent since Roy Williams and Mike Furrey already accounted for 2396 yards and 13 touchdowns last year. Johnson doesn’t have to save the franchise from day one though many will expect nothing less. The reality is that he is a very talented, much heralded wideout who is still just a rookie with only 28 college games as the starter. He left after his junior season.

Johnson could not have asked for a better situation to land in the NFL short of playing with Peyton Manning if Harrison and Wayne were not playing. The extreme measuring stick with rookie wideouts is Randy Moss who had 1313 yards and 17 touchdowns in his first season. That is rather unreliable of course but if Johnson can learn quickly enough and show even half of his celebrated ability, he could surprise given the offense. Too risky to rely on for being a #1 or even #2 wideout for a fantasy team, but a worthy risk to take for your #3.

08-05-07 Update: Johnson has signed a $64 million, six-year deal and has shown up to camp without missing much at all. The outlook for the hottest rookie wideout in years is more than a little promising in a Mike Martz offense and he's already lining up as a starter.

Jerry Porter - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 30
Keeper: 31
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 2%
2004 OAK 16 64 998 15.6 9 1 -4  
2005 OAK 16 76 942 12.4 5 1 -8  
2006 OAK 2 1 19 19.0        
Avg   11 47 653 15.7 5 1 0 0
Proj FA   72 940   6      

(+Upside) Though he openly quarreled with the coaching staff last year and only had one catch all year, Porter is back in the good graces of the team and on board with the new coaches and offensive scheme. After two seasons of flirting with 1000 yards and seven scores on average, Porter disappeared in 2006 along with most of the Raiders’ sense of dignity. Forget last year, Porter is the most experienced and talented wideout on the team and likely the only one with a lock on a starting job. At 29 years of age and seven years in the NFL, now is the time for Porter to step up if his career is to ever be more than unrealized promise. Porter has never been the #1 wideout before and this will be new to him, along with the playbook and his quarterback who may switch from Josh McCown to the rookie JaMarcus Russell at some point in the season. That’s risk to be sure, but as deeply as Porter can be had in most leagues, he has much more upside this year.

D.J. Hackett - FA* YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 31
Keeper: 32
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 2%
2004                  
2005 SEA 9 28 400 14.3 2      
2006 SEA 13 45 610 13.6 4      
Avg   11 37 505 14.0 3 0 0 0
Proj FA*   68 920   6      

(+Upside) With Deion Branch moving over to take the place of Darrell Jackson, D.J. Hackett is moving up to the starting flanker spot this year. He started five games in 2006 and his 45 catches for 610 yards were enough to impress the coaches and merit this move up in his fourth season. Hackett makes for a very interesting draft pick this year since Branch will be attracting the most attention. Once the #1 NFL wideouts are taken in your draft, consider Hackett who is in a great spot for a surprising season. He’s been with the same system and quarterback for three years and has improved in both his years of playing time. At 6’2", he’s a full 4" taller than Branch and Jerramy Stevens is also gone leaving only aging Marcus Pollard at tight end. Hackett will be the tallest target downfield – and in the end zone.

Hines Ward - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 32
Keeper: 33
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 2%
2004 PIT 16 80 1004 12.6 4 7 25 1
2005 PIT 15 69 975 14.1 11 3 10  
2006 PIT 14 74 975 13.2 6 2 30  
Avg   15 74 985 13.3 7 4 22 0
Proj FA   77 940   5      

The 31-year old wide receiver now enters his 10th NFL season and his age appears to be starting to catch up to him. After never missing a game in his first seven seasons, he was out for one week in 2005 and missed two games last year while playing hurt in others. Ward injured his knee in week 13 which included a broken bone which required arthroscopic surgery. He ended the year with the exact same yardage as in 2005 - 975 yards. Notable too is that his touchdown totals plummeted from 11 to only six last year which in part reflected the struggles of Ben Roethlisberger but also the play of Nate Washington and the rookie Santonio Holmes.

Ward has never been that big on yardage and his career high came in 2002 when he had 1329 yards on 112 catches but he's been closer to the 1000 yard mark for each of the last four years. His role as the touchdown guy is what propped up his fantasy value and now with other weapons for Roethlisberger, Ward does not need to provide such a high percentage of all catches for the Steelers to win a game. As a possession receiver and devastating blocker downfield, it doesn't really matter if Ward has lost a step or not - that is not so much his role anyway. But the erosion of his touchdowns is troubling in fantasy terms and the improvement that Washington and Holmes have made to the wideout crew should keep Ward to moderate numbers in most games. He's almost a guaranteed lock to catch four passes for 50 yards every week and he'll do a bit better in many others, but he only had two 100 yard games last year. He's a safe draft pick but not one that will be a difference maker for your fantasy team.

Santana Moss - WAS YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 33
Keeper: 27
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 2%
2004 NYJ 15 45 838 18.6 5 6 18  
2005 WAS 16 84 1483 17.7 9 3 -3  
2006 WAS 14 55 790 14.4 6 7 82  
Avg   15 61 1037 16.9 7 5 32 0
Proj WAS   68 880   6      

Moss had a career best season in 2005 when he had 1483 yards and nine scores but so many of those came early in the season that by year’s end, the defenses had figured out that shutting him down stunted the Washington passing attack. They remembered this again in 2006 when Moss only had 790 yards on 55 catches for a career low 14.4 yards per catch and just six touchdowns. The problem with Santana is that he either has a great game or a total flop with very few efforts falling between the extremes. Playing with Campbell six times at the end of 2006 improved his numbers with two games over 100 yards and three different match-ups with one touchdown but the other four efforts ended with less than 40 yards. That sort of inconsistency drops Moss in the rankings.

There will be some in every fantasy league who still remember how hot Moss was in the first six weeks of 2005, but that cooled down the rest of that season and it was with Mark Brunell as quarterback. And in a different offensive scheme. Consider Moss as a risky #2 fantasy wideout since he is so inconsistent and while he is better suited to be your #3, he’ll never last that long in most leagues. Moss missed two games last year with a hamstring injury and missed time with a sore groin and right hip flexor during the off-season. His magic year of 2005 was just that – magic. And the reality was it only lasted the first six games of that year.

Tier 4
Vincent Jackson - TBB YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 34
Keeper: 34
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 SDC 3 3 59 19.7        
2006 SDC 13 27 453 16.8 6 3 16  
Avg   8 15 256 18.3 3 2 8 0
Proj TBB   60 840   6      

(+Upside) Jackson enters his third season with a chance to become a starter now that Keenan McCardell is gone. He only had 27 catches for 453 yards last year but easily led all other Chargers wideouts with six touchdowns – no other wideout had more than three. The optimism for what this year could bring was sparked by a very nice ending to the regular season of 2006 when Jackson turned in games of 95, 66 and 97 yards and scored three times in the final two weeks. At 6’5", Jackson presents a very big target for Phillip Rivers and has the most promise of any wideout this year. His season will be limited only by the amount of plays going to Tomlinson and Gates, but his six scores in 2006 already have shown that Jackson can be a factor as well and he was starting to mesh with Rivers as the season ended last year. He gets the odd benefit of being the only wideout that can be #1 for his own team and yet be just the #3 receiver used by the quarterback. He has upside this year but don’t spend too much – Gates and Tomlinson get their cut first.

Terry Glenn - FA* YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 35
Keeper: 44
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 DAL 6 24 400 16.7 2 1 -3  
2005 DAL 16 62 1136 18.3 7 2 -4 1
2006 DAL 15 70 1047 15.0 6 3 11  
Avg   12 52 861 16.7 5 2 1 0
Proj FA*   65 890   5      

(-Risk) The introduction of Terrell Owens naturally forced the expectations of Glenn down last year but by the end of the year, he only dropped from 1136 yards to 1047 yards in 2007. His touchdown total only fell to 6 from 7 scores. Owens did not rob Glenn so much as merely added a lot more to the Dallas passing game. Glenn comes off his second best season as a Cowboy and his 70 catches last year were his highest in the last seven seasons.

Glenn turns 33 this summer so a downturn would be expected soon but 2007 should be every bit as productive as 2006 with virtually the exact same offense returning. Glenn will never overtake Owens in being the primary target, but he remains a very integral part of the passing equation on a team that will have a tougher schedule in 2007 and that will need to pass no less than last year.

08-31-07 Update: Glenn's knee is still an issue and he may not be ready by week one. At his age, healing quickly just doesn't happen anymore.

Kevin Curtis - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 36
Keeper: 35
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 STL 14 32 421 13.2 2 3 24  
2005 STL 16 60 801 13.4 6 1 5 1
2006 STL 15 39 469 12.0 4 4 4  
Avg   15 44 564 12.9 4 3 11 0
Proj FA   65 880   5      

(+Upside) The Eagles dumped the injury-prone Donte Stallworth and put their money into Curtis – a good bit at that. Curtis signed a six-year deal worth $32 million dollars in the offseason and is a lock to play across from Reggie Brown this year. Curtis is only 5’11" and 183 pounds but brings speed and crisp route running to a team that needs a viable #2 wideout. The 29 year old Curtis enters his fifth season and has a career best of 60 catches for 801 yards and six scores in the pass-happy Rams offense of 2005 when he covered for the injured Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt for a total of nine games. The Rams were looking for a bigger possession receiver to back-up their starters and acquired Drew Bennett. Curtis is a very nice fit into the west coast offense in Philly and with McNabb healthy, he should finally make his mark as an NFL starter. He has upside with the Eagles and almost no risk of turning in a bad year. He’s better drafted as wide receiver depth but he could end up being a nice surprise that makes his way into your starting lineup.

Ronald Curry - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 37
Keeper: 37
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 OAK 12 50 679 13.6 6 1 -3  
2005 OAK 2 2 12 6.0        
2006 OAK 16 62 727 11.7 1 1 4  
Avg   10 38 473 10.4 2 1 0 0
Proj FA   70 850   4      

(+Upside) Ronald Curry is in the lead to assume the #2 role vacated by Randy Moss but whether he can even remain healthy for a season is a big risk. Curry has played with the Raiders for the last five years and never had more than four starts in any season and lost most of 2004 and 2005 due to Achilles injuries. Curry managed to make it through 2006 and played in every game at least a few plays. He led the receivers with 62 catches for 727 yards but only scored once. Curry was having a break-out season in 2004 when he scored six times and gained 679 before the year was ended early by injury.

Curry was due a $5 million roster bonus but to free up space he renegotiated the deal. Curry could be challenged by Mike Williams eventually, but he should start the season and could hold on for the year since Williams has yet to impress. Curry makes for an interesting upside player because he has the tools to make a difference and the offense will need to throw this year. But he’ll have to mesh with a new quarterback and a new offensive scheme – if not two quarterbacks by the end of the season. That could start out well with no game film on the offense and later tone down, but a healthy Curry early in the year could surprise.

Muhsin Muhammad - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 38
Keeper: 39
Auction 10: 2%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CAR 16 93 1405 15.1 16 3 15  
2005 CHI 15 64 750 11.7 4      
2006 CHI 16 60 863 14.4 5      
Avg   16 72 1006 13.7 8 1 5 0
Proj FA   58 800   4      

Two years with the Bears and the 34 year-old Muhammad still hasn't totaled the numbers he produced in his one magic season with the Panthers in 2004. Muhammad turned in his best season as a Bear last year but only had 60 catches for 863 yards and five touchdowns. He had two 100 yard games in the first three weeks but then only passed the century mark once more last year. He also only scored once over the final seven weeks. Like Grossman, Muhammad looked very strong early last year and then just faded.

Muhammad is yet another year older and the offense will have a new tight end in Greg Olsen. That won't affect the wideouts too much at least early in the year but Muhammad has not shown enough consistency in Chicago to warrant being much more than a #3 wideout on a fantasy team if that. Seven of his games came in with 45 yards or less last year. Muhammad makes for a stronger fantasy back-up since he almost always gets something every week and about one in every three games ends up decent. He's lost a step and joined a team that will be developing other receivers.

Isaac Bruce - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 39
Keeper: 51
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 STL 16 89 1292 14.5 6      
2005 STL 11 36 525 14.6 3      
2006 STL 16 74 1098 14.8 3      
Avg   14 66 972 14.6 4 0 0 0
Proj FA   60 850   3      

(-Risk) Bruce turns 35 in November but he still turned in a solid showing last year when he caught 74 passes for 1098 yards and three scores. His 14.8 yards per catch led the Rams and he was a nice value pick in drafts last summer since he was coming off a 525 yard injury-marred season. His yards per catch says he hasn’t lost a step but any wideout at 35 years of age is a dicey proposition to expect the same level of production. The Rams brought in Drew Bennett during the offseason and there’s no doubt he will figure in at the expense of Bruce. The only question is when during the season will he assume the starting flanker role.

Eddie Kennison - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 40
Keeper: 40
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 KCC 14 62 1086 17.5 8 2 15  
2005 KCC 16 68 1102 16.2 5 7 43  
2006 KCC 16 53 860 16.2 5 4 16  
Avg   15 61 1016 16.6 6 4 25 0
Proj FA   48 740   4      

After his first two seasons with over 1000 yards, Kennison reverted to his old standard production level when 2006 had him catching 53 passes for 860 yards and five scores – almost exactly what he had in 2004. At the age of 35 by the end of the season, Kennison is on the final legs of his career but still had a healthy 16.2 yard average per catch last year, same as he had the season prior. The offense has been in decline for three years with using their wideouts and only Kennison has remained with any real fantasy value but now on a Herman Edwards team, his time as a viable #2 fantasy wideout is over and his 2007 numbers likely won’t rate any better than a #3 if that good.

The Chiefs drafted Dwayne Bowe in April to build for the future but until he shows up in good measure, this will be the same receiving crew as previous years less only Dante Hall. That means Kennison will provide the best numbers for a wideout in Kansas City but beyond his moderate consistency, Kennison won’t carry as much value this year as last. Brodie Croyle could become a starter and with that an almost always certain increase to tight ends and running backs closer to the new quarterback. He’s hanging deeply enough in fantasy drafts to merit consideration, but he’s much better playing as just a back-up for your fantasy team.

Roddy White - ATL YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 41
Keeper: 41
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 ATL 15 29 446 15.4 3 4 12  
2006 ATL 15 30 506 16.9        
Avg   15 30 476 16.2 2 2 6 0
Proj ATL   59 680   4      

While Roddy White failed to score last year, the second-year player did lead the Atlanta wideouts with 506 yards on only 30 catches which was almost identical to the yardage and catches of his rookie year. White will likely interchange with Horn in the rotation and that won’t help his production this year. White was the most productive wideout for the Falcons last year even if only occasionally when he had three games over 90 yards (no other wideout had any) but he mixed that in with nine games less than 20 yards including two without a catch. White has almost no fantasy value this year with Vick at the helm and Horn wanting to play. Unless there are injuries or substitutions at both quarterback and wideout, he’ll likely ride the fantasy pine the entire season.

07-18-07 Update: White gets a minor bump up with the Vick situation which increases the chance that Harrington will get more playing time. That can only help the wideouts here and White should get at least a little better production because of it.

Drew Bennett - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 42
Keeper: 42
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 TEN 16 80 1247 15.6 11 1 12  
2005 TEN 13 58 738 12.7 4 1 3  
2006 TEN 16 45 737 16.4 3      
Avg   15 61 907 14.9 6 1 5 0
Proj FA   48 680   4      

(+Upside) After a career best 2004 season with 1247 yards and 11 touchdowns, Bennett reverted to the same production expected from him. His final two seasons in Tennessee posted 738 and 737 yards with four and three touchdowns scored. Hardly the stuff of a #1 wideout but the Titans’ passing struggles were well known since Bennett had almost no help from being heavily covered every play. Now with the Rams, he signed a six-year deal worth around $30 million. With Bruce hitting 35 years of age in 2007, Bennett is destined to be the new flanker sooner than later. He’ll likely split time with Bruce as the season progresses but should be entrenched as the starter as early as 2008 if not be the end of this season.

Bernard Berrian - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 43
Keeper: 43
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CHI 15 15 225 15.0 2 8 28  
2005 CHI 8 13 246 18.9   2 31  
2006 CHI 15 51 775 15.2 6 2 5  
Avg   13 26 415 16.4 3 4 21 0
Proj FA   48 690   4      

After three seasons in the NFL, Berrian broke out in 2006 such as it is in Chicago. Berrian gained 775 yards on 51 catches with six touchdowns but those numbers were affected by a rib injury that Berrian suffered in week seven. Berrian only missed two games and bounced back with a 104 yard effort against the Patriots in week 10. Along with the rest of the passing game in Chicago last year, Berrian started the season out red hot with scores in four of the first five games but then only managed two more touchdowns in the remaining nine games that he played.

Berrian was successful early in the year on long catches when he had a 40+ yard reception in each of those early scoring games but unless he caught a deep pass, he was only marginal as a receiver last year. In the six games that he scored a touchdown, he averaged 25.3 yards per catch. When he did not score, his average was only 10.9 yards per catch for around 40 yards per game. Feast or famine with Berrian and after a hot start, it was mostly famine in fantasy terms. Berrian will be one more year experienced which is important since he was only a starter for last season but he’s not yet progressed beyond being a long-ball specialist.

Brandon Marshall - CHI YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 44
Keeper: 46
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 DEN 10 20 309 15.5 2 2 12  
Avg   10 20 309 15.5 2 2 12 0
Proj CHI   45 590   5      

(+Upside) The tall rookie only had 20 catches for 309 yards and two scores last year but 14 receptions for 233 yards came after week 13 when Jay Cutler was given the starting nod. Consider that Javon Walker only had 18 for 230 yards when Cutler started. Rod Smith only managed 14 for 130 yards. The Broncos had only acquired slot receiver Brandon Stokley in the offseason and Rod Smith returns one year older and slower. Marshall has a chance to build on a solid showing at the end of last year. His numbers won’t likely carry enough to warrant being a fantasy starter, but he’s definitely one to keep an eye on to see how quickly he develops and increases his playing time. In a keeper league, Marshall’s stock rises higher.

One note with Marshall. He was accused on charges of false imprisonment and domestic violence for allegedly stopping a taxi cab from bringing his girlfriend to the airport by blocking it with his car and then punching the windows. The charge was later dropped.

08-15-07 Update: Marshall moves up because Rod Smith is looking very unlikely to be much of a contributor this year.

Brandon Jones - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 46
Keeper: 45
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 TEN 9 23 299 13.0 2 1 1  
2006 TEN 16 27 384 14.2 4 1 3  
Avg   13 25 342 13.6 3 1 2 0
Proj FA   51 680   3      

(+Upside) The Titans wide receiver crew is the most inexperienced in the NFL and is hardly the way to ensure that Vince Young continues to develop. Jones stands as the default best wideout on the basis of his 27 catches for 384 yards and four scores last year. With Bennett and Wade gone, the rest of the current Titan wideouts only accounted for 253 yards and no scores last year. Jones scored three of his touchdowns in the final six games and even gained 101 yards in Buffalo but never had more than 53 yards in any other game. He even had four weeks without a catch.

The Titans will have some wide receiver emerge this year to replace Bennett and Wade being gone and Jones is in the lead position entering training camp. But that won’t guarantee that Jones will take a big step up. The Titans will be using their training camp to sort out of the depth chart and Jones deserves a watch, but the Titans may not have a wide receiver with value of a fantasy starter this year.

Demetrius Williams - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 47
Keeper: 50
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 BAL 15 22 396 18.0 2      
Avg   15 22 396 18.0 2 0 0 0
Proj FA   50 660   3      

Williams had a good rookie campaign last year with 22 catches for 396 yards and two scores and the second year player has a chance to increase his role as a slot receiver this year. What was most impressive about Williams in 2006 was that he improved as the season progressed and scored both his touchdowns over the final three games and even had 100 yards against the visiting Browns in week 15. With Mason there as the veteran possession receiver and Mark Clayton as the entrenched starter, Williams won’t have much chance at more playing time until Mason leaves.

08-30-07 Update: Williams has taken over the #2 role from Derrick Mason in Baltimore and has impressed the coaching staff.

Joe Horn - FA* YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 48
Keeper: 82
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 NOS 16 94 1399 14.9 11      
2005 NOS 13 49 654 13.3 1      
2006 NOS 10 37 679 18.4 4      
Avg   13 60 911 15.5 5 0 0 0
Proj FA*   56 620   4      

(-Risk) Rather than let 2007 be his swan song, Horn has opted to leave the team with the most passing yards (4503) and end his career going to the team with the least passing yards (2371). If nothing else, there is room for improvement in Atlanta. The Falcons have never had a 1000 yard wide out since Vick started to play and in the last three years under Mora, no wideout has managed more than 611 receiving yards. Now Horn shows up at the age of 35 (36 in January) and there's little chance that the tide is turning just because Horn showed up.

The main role Horn is expected to fill is to mentor the wideouts in what an actual NFL-quality receiver is supposed to be like. No one on the roster currently knows. Horn will get playing time and may even start in this catch-starved offense but he hasn't played a full season since 2004 when he gutted out a groin injury all season long. He has the name but he's on the wrong team to end his career with a bang.

07-18-20 Update: Horn gets a minor bump up with the legal woes of Vick which calls into question who the starting quarterback will be this year in Atlanta. Horn is on the downside of his career and likely won't be a big contributor regardless who the quarterback is, but with the specter of Vick possibly missing time, it does help the wideouts here.

Marty Booker - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 49
Keeper: 75
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 MIA 15 50 638 12.8 1 1 -8  
2005 MIA 14 39 686 17.6 3      
2006 MIA 14 55 747 13.6 6 3 19  
Avg   14 48 690 14.7 3 1 4 0
Proj FA   48 670   3      

After eight seasons in the NFL, Booker has truly found his niche in Miami where three seasons have offered up nearly the same results with small incremental increases each season. Booker started with just 50 catches for 638 yards and one score in 2004 and has worked his way up to 55 catches for 747 yards and six scores in 2006. That’s consistency even if it falls below the threshold for significance in most fantasy leagues. The new offense installed by HC Cam Cameron won’t likely result in any better numbers for Booker since it is a run-heavy attack that will have Chambers already receiving the bulk of the wideout work. At the age of 30, Booker’s days as a fantasy starter are five years in the rear view mirror back in Chicago.

Mike Furrey - WAS YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 50
Keeper: 54
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 STL 1 1 8 8.0        
2005                  
2006 DET 16 98 1086 11.1 6      
Avg   9 50 547 9.6 3 0 0 0
Proj WAS   48 600   4      

Not too shabby for a one-time XFL receiver who was temporarily switched to defensive back in St. Louis. After three seasons with the Rams, Furrey only had 20 catches for 189 yards and no scores but in Detroit with the Martz-led offense looking for open players downfield, Furrey turned in 98 catches for 1086 yards and six scores – roughly five times that of his entire previous NFL career combined. Furrey ranked #2 in the NFL for receptions in 2006 and came on strongly starting around mid-season when defenses were only concerned about Roy Williams. At the age of 29, Furrey finally found his niche in professional football.

Unfortunately, the Lions drafted Calvin Johnson in April and there is no pretense that he is anything less than the starter across from Roy Williams once he is ready for the job (which his college career says could be by week one). Furrey will still figure in but his fantasy value will take a very big hit once he is moved to being the #3 wideout since the Martz-scheme employs two heavy use wideouts and then mixes in multi-receiver sets with several options for Jon Kitna. All told last year, outside of Williams and Furrey there were only 45 catches for 461 yards and one score total. This should improve with a better set of receivers but Furrey’s fantasy value will only hold any consistency until Johnson makes the move to being the starting flanker. Furrey should continue to figure in since the secondary eventually will be devoted to stopping Williams and Johnson but last season was the “golden year".

Bobby Wade - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 51
Keeper: 95
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CHI 16 42 481 11.5   12 76  
2005 TEN 13 14 120 8.6   1 1  
2006 TEN 16 33 461 14.0 2      
Avg   15 30 354 11.4 1 4 26 0
Proj FA   40 600   4      

Wade came over to the Vikings after two seasons in both Chicago and Tennessee. He has never had more than 481 yards in any season and 2006 was the first time he caught an NFL touchdown. He’s expected to become the starting slot receiver and almost has to be an upgrade since no receiver in Minnesota has distinguished themselves. Wade brings good speed and some much needed experience to the wideouts, but he won’t likely have enough fantasy value to merit owning – there is just very little upside here.

Tier 5
James Jones - OAK YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 52
Keeper: 48
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj OAK   44 560   4      

(+Upside) Jones was drafted by the Packers with their 3.14 pick and he already worked as the slot man in minicamp. Jones has decent size (6’1", 210) and his speed is adequate though hardly blazing (4.55/40). It is not a given that he will end up in the slot until he can show enough in training camp since Robert Ferguson and fifth-round pick David Clowney will be in the mix, along with Ruvell Martin. Jones is worth a casual look in training camp to see what develops but expectations are that he’ll likely help out on punts and just work into the mix of wideouts behind Driver and Jennings.

08-17-07 Update: Slides up with Robert Ferguson now safely out of the way. Jones has looked very good in training camp and is making moves to have some significance this season.

08-20-07 Update: Jones rises because not only has he been a training camp star, but he has carried that into the preseason when he caught four passes for 58 yards and two scores against the Seahawks. He will get playing time this year and could be the #2 wideout in week one.

08-24-07 Update: If preseason play was the only thing that mattered, Jones would be a top five wideout this year. He has looked awesome the past two weeks and had six catches for 80 yards against the Jaguars in the first half. He also lost a fumble and had other problems running routes so he is not "there" yet. But he will definitely figure into the season and is a spark of excitement that Greg Jennings wishes would go away.

Jacoby Jones - BAL YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 53
Keeper: 72
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj BAL   44 600   3      

(+Upside) Jones is an interesting rookie who stands 6’3" and weighs 210 and yet has run as low as a 4.47/40. He was a track star in high school and even in college which detracted from his offseason football work. The Texans like him not only as a receiver but also for his special teams return skills as well. The 3.09 pick was the 9th wideout drafted in April and will be in the mix for the open #2 spot across from Andre Johnson. Jones won’t likely win that this year but could very well rise in the depth charts by next year. For 2007, expect some duty as an extra wideout and for him to get a good chance to return punts or kickoffs. He’s still pretty raw and could use at least a year learning the pro game.

08-21-07 Update: The rookie has been a star in camp and is now pushing Kevin Walter for the #2 spot.

08-27-07 Update: The rookie is really challenging Kevin Walter for the starting spot across from Andre Johnson and appears to have won it with impressive play. He is still a rookie and Walter will not disappear, but Jones has definitely bought himself some playing time with his actions in camp and in games.

Patrick Crayton - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 54
Keeper: 56
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 DAL 5 11 132 12.0 1      
2005 DAL 10 22 341 15.5 2 1    
2006 DAL 15 36 516 14.3 4      
Avg   10 23 330 13.9 2 0 0 0
Proj FA   37 530   4      

(+Upside) With the much-feared Terrell Owens and the respected Terry Glenn on the field, Crayton in the slot enjoyed a career best season in 2006 when he reeled in 36 catches for 516 yards and four scores. As the fourth option behind the wideouts and tight end Jason Witten, Crayton turned in expected inconsistency last year with five games over 60 yards, four games with a score and yet seven performances of less than 20 yards. Limited fantasy value here but Crayton has a needed role for the Cowboys.

08-31-07 Update: Crayton is the only young wideout for the Cowboys that will get much playing time and with Glenn already questionable for week one with a knee condition and Owens seemingly always due to miss a game or two, Crayton will get several starts before the season is over.

Michael Jenkins - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 55
Keeper: 65
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 ATL 8 7 119 17.0   1 2  
2005 ATL 14 36 508 14.1 3      
2006 ATL 16 39 436 11.2 7 1 2  
Avg   13 27 354 14.1 3 1 1 0
Proj FA   40 530   4      

The first round draft pick by the Falcons has never managed more than 508 yards in any of his three seasons but 2007 proved to be a breakout of sorts for the third year wideout. Jenkins led the team in touchdown catches with eight – five more than he had in his first two seasons combined. He scored once in six of the last ten games. Despite being such a valuable target in the endzone, Jenkins only once had more than 53 yards in any game and that was in the season opener. .

The new offense being installed by Petrino and crew certainly cannot hurt Jenkins’ numbers but with Vick under center, his upside is almost non-existent. Joe Horn will be on the field this year which could drain a little action away but at least Roddy White is considered much less consistent and allows Jenkins the chance to be the favored endzone target. At 6-4, Jenkins is tall enough to be a solid possession receiver and is already a weapon near the goal line. As always, it mostly depends on Vick.

07-18-07 Update: Jenkins gets a healthy bump in the rankings with what appears to be the absence of Vick who was indicted in the dog fighting case. If Vick does not play, and that seems likely for a least a time, then the passing game overall gets upgraded even with Harrington and Jenkins has the biggest boost.

08-15-07 Update: Jenkins falls in the rankings because he has been moved to the slot recently and Roddy White looks the most likely to fill the spot across from Joe Horn. The new coaching staff has thrown out the old depth charts and Jenkins has lost out in the process.

Dennis Northcutt - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 56
Keeper: 68
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CLE 16 55 806 14.7 2 8 19  
2005 CLE 16 42 441 10.5 2 2 33  
2006 CLE 12 22 228 10.4   3 32  
Avg   15 40 492 11.9 1 4 28 0
Proj FA   50 590   3      

(+Upside) The Jaguars brought in Northcutt to challenge for the slot position this year since someone noticed that Ernest Wilford had no speed. But the new offense will use more two tight end formations which means less time for the slot receiver to be on the field and Northcutt’s biggest benefit is if he can stretch the field and let Matt Jones and Reggie Williams have more working room. Leave Northcutt alone this summer – he’ll never offer the consistency to merit a starting role with fantasy value in this offense.

08-21-07 Update: Northcutt has risen in the depth charts to currently being a starter. That may not last, but he's impressed coaches and will see playing time this year in the worst case.

08-24-07 Update: Northcutt is slated to be a starter in JAX this year and while he will lack the week to week consistency, it's pretty obvious in camp and preseason games that the Jaguards are enamored with Northcutt's deep play ability.

Donte' Stallworth - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 57
Keeper: 49
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 NOS 15 58 767 13.2 5 6 37  
2005 NOS 16 70 945 13.5 7 2 2  
2006 PHI 12 38 725 19.1 5      
Avg   14 55 812 15.3 6 3 13 0
Proj FA   44 530   4      

When Stallworth left New Orleans last year to pursue being the #1 wideout in Philadelphia, he had reasons to be optimistic trading Aaron Brooks for Donovan McNabb. Ends up – same old, same old. Stallworth turned in 725 yards and five scores on just 38 catches and only started 11 games thanks to injuries. About the same as he had in New Orleans every year. He has yet to start more than 13 games in a season though he played the full year for his final two seasons in New Orleans. Now he goes to the Patriots who already have Randy Moss and a slew of other receivers. He has the chance to fight for the #2 spot but his history says he’s much better suited to playing a slot role in a multiple receiver set. He has the speed, he just does not have the durability or ability to make tougher catches over the middle. Chances are excellent that he will be drafted this summer well ahead of what his true value will end up being.

Wes Welker - DEN YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 58
Keeper: 52
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 MIA 16 29 434 15.0   1 5  
2006 MIA 16 67 687 10.3 1      
Avg   16 48 561 12.7 1 1 3 0
Proj DEN   45 520   4      

After three seasons with the Dolphins, Welker lands in New England where he should continue to be a double threat. He had a career high 67 catches for 687 yards and one score last year and also is used on both punt and kick returns. The drafting of Ted Ginn Jr. is likely a reason why Welker was no longer wanted by the Dolphins but the short (5’9") speedy wideout makes a nice fit in New England both for special teams and for yet another target for Brady. He won’t likely have much fantasy value this year other than from his special teams play.

Dwayne Jarrett - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 59
Keeper: 53
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   40 580   3      

The 6’5" Jarrett comes to the Panthers with their 2.13 draft pick and played in 41 games at USC over his three year career there. He was a playmaker on a very powerful offense that saw him score at least 12 touchdowns per season and over 1000 yards in his final two years. He was the seventh wideout drafted this year for one main reason – he only runs a 4.6/40 on a good day. His skills match up to make him another Keyshawn Johnson. At 6’5", he has the height to make possession catches including in the endzone but he’s not likely to snare many long bombs for a score. He fits in as a near perfect replacement for Keyshawn. The question is how long it will take him to assume the #2 spot currently held by Drew Carter because Jarrett is not cut out for a slot receiver role.

Jarrett seems to struggle some in mini-camp but can make his case with a decent training camp. As long as Jarrett can play to even a moderate level as a rookie, the offense would be better off with the faster Carter reprising that slot role. For this season, his fantasy value is marginal but in keeper leagues he’s worth holding on to in case he can translate college success into the NFL.

Drew Carter - OAK YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 60
Keeper: 38
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 CAR 3 5 103 20.6 1      
2006 CAR 10 27 352 13.0 3 2 18  
Avg   7 16 228 16.8 2 1 9 0
Proj OAK   50 550   3      

(-Risk) (+Upside) Carter only had 28 catches for 357 yards and three scores last year but the departure of Keyshawn Johnson has bumped him up the depth chart into being a starter this year – the guy who is not Steve Smith. He made the case for the promotion last year when he caught eight passes for 144 yards and a touchdown against the Giants in week 14. He also had 65 yards on four catches against the Ravens and did almost nothing more all year than the occasional one catch game. The 6’3" Carter has the size to out jump defensive backs and the speed to do something with the catch but he’s been in the league for three years and only has a total of 33 catches and just two starts.

Carter will also have to hold off rookie Dwayne Jarrett and that will be tough in the long term. Jarrett is a near clone of Keyshawn Johnson and was selected with the 2.13 pick by the Panthers. Expect Jarrett to get opportunity to show what he can do this year but for Carter and he to share playing time and passes. Unless Jarrett stumbles – and he has not looked that impressive in mini-camp – Carter is just a place holder and won’t carry nearly the fantasy value that being the #2 would seem to suggest. It may not be his job all season long.

Matt Jones - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 61
Keeper: 63
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 JAC 16 36 432 12.0 5 12 51  
2006 JAC 13 41 643 15.7 4 1 -6  
Avg   15 39 538 13.9 5 7 23 0
Proj FA   44 550   3      

The 6’6" ex-Arkansas quarterback came to the Jaguars in the first round of the 2005 NFL draft as the physical freak of the year (AKA Vernon Davis –’06, Calvin Johnson-’07). Jones is very fast and taller than any defensive back in the league. But so far – he cannot remain healthy. Jones had a better year in 2006 when he ended with 41 catches for 643 yards and four touchdowns. But all four scores and both 100 yard games came with David Garrard at quarterback. Now Byron Leftwich is back and the offense is changing again.

Jones suffered from a groin injury last year that forced him to miss a couple of games early in the year and he missed the final five games of 2005. HC Jack Del Rio has already publicly questioned if Jones can ever remain healthy because even when he does play, he often has a nagging injury. He already missed time in minicamp because of a quad injury. When he is healthy, he is the most productive. It just never seems to make it anything near 16 pain-free games. The new offense should benefit Jones though since it will be using deeper, more vertical routes which will absolutely play into his strengths of speed and leaping ability.

His risk means anything beyond a #3 fantasy wideout in a deep league is optimistic and you better have a replacement ready. But he enters his third season in what should be a better offense. As your primary back-up wideout, Jones is a great pick just in case he can turn the tide and remain healthy.

08-15-07 Update: Jones has been missing practice due to injury but is expected back soon. He still appears likely to be the #1 but the coaching staff is looking at all wideouts and Jones has been missing valuable time.

Steve Smith - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 62
Keeper: 83
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   35 550   3      

(+Upside) After last year’s rookie of Sinorice Moss had almost no impact, the Giants opted for Steve Smith from USC with their 2.19 selection in the 2006 NFL draft. Moss is still around and should be healthy (at least temporarily) this year but Smith was drafted to compete for the #3 wideout role and could represent the eventual replacement for the aging Amani Toomer (which should come sooner than later). Smith has about average size for a wideout (6’0" and 198 pounds) and runs a around a 4.4/40. Having spent four seasons in the USC offense has been a benefit for Smith who has played in very big games in the past and he was a playmaker in 2006 despite playing much of that season with a sore ankle. Unlike Sinorice Moss who is better suited for a slot role with his speed, Smith is a much more complete wideout that can be involved in all phases of the passing game and has shown to be a willing blocker and nearly fearless going over the middle.

His rookie season likely won’t produce much in fantasy terms but for keeper leagues, he’s a worthwhile play since he should evolve into Toomer’s role. If he can pick up the offense well enough in training camp and show something early in the season, he may yet end up with some fantasy value this year.

Derrick Mason - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 63
Keeper: 71
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 TEN 16 96 1168 12.2 7 1 -3  
2005 BAL 16 86 1073 12.5 3      
2006 BAL 16 68 750 11.0 2 1 -4  
Avg   16 83 997 11.9 4 1 0 0
Proj FA   62 700   2      

When Mason reunited with Steve McNair, the expectation was that the duo would resume their chemistry. The reality was that Mason turned in his worst season since becoming a starter in 2000. He caught 68 passes but only gained 750 yards for a career-worst 11.0 yards per catch. He also had his lowest scoring total with just two touchdowns. At the age of 33 (34 in January), Mason has lost a step and hasn't been able to regain his dominating possession role just because he is with McNair again. Add in Mark Clayton who is improving every season and the outlook for Mason is to struggle to just maintain his role from last year. Once a solid WR2 in fantasy leagues, he's now only a marginal #3.

08-30-07 Update: Mason has been moved to the slot and will not have as many catches as the #3 in Baltimore.

Anthony Gonzalez - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 64
Keeper: 36
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   35 480   4      

(+Upside) The Colts lost Brandon Stokley in free agency this spring but the reality was that Stokley was oft-injured last year and only had eight catches. Stokley accounted for a career best 1077 yards and 10 scores as the slot man in Indy in 2004 but never again came anywhere near that mark. The Colts moved forward by drafting Gonzalez from Ohio State with their 1.32 draft pick. According to HC Tony Dungy, Gonzalez is a “perfect fit".

Gonzalez compares very favorably to Stokley in terms of size, speed and hands. He’s also known as a hard worker who is extremely intelligent. He not only can make the difficult catch, he can tack on nice yardage with the ball. He ran a 4.4 at the combine and is considered to be as quick as he is fast. At Ohio State, he played in 33 games and never once fumbled. A bit slight at 195 pounds, Gonzalez should make an outstanding slot receiver within a few seasons and holds some promise for 2007 for one very big reason – he’s playing in the high-powered Colts offense for a team that used their slot receiver for 10 scores just two years ago. No need to get too excited for this season as he goes through the learning curve, but for keeper leagues he should be a hot commodity. Harrison may not be slowing down yet but he’s already one of the oldest wideouts in the game and the Colts will need to shift to another receiver at some point. Gonzalez also stands to inherit a valuable role should Wayne or Harrison get injured.

Greg Jennings - MIN YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 65
Keeper: 62
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 GBP 14 45 632 14.0 3      
Avg   14 45 632 14.0 3 0 0 0
Proj MIN   35 520   3      

(+Upside) The rookie Jennings turned in a very nice year – 45 catches for 632 yards and three touchdowns. Other than Donald Driver, no other wideout had more than one score for the Packers last year. He had all three scores and two 100 yard games by week five but then cooled sharply after badly spraining his ankle and later re-spraining it as well. He only missed two games but the injury lingered and affected his ability to play. Over that initial four week period, Jennings had 19 catches for 359 yards so the question to answer in 2007 is if he can return to that form or if that was just a nice start by someone the defenses did not prepare for. Bad ankle or not, Jennings never had more than 69 yards in any game after week nine and five times remained well under 40 yards.

Jennings has undeniable upside entering his second season as the starting split end and Favre will be on a quest to have a good year and be done with his record-setting career. Jennings should benefit if he can remain healthy.

08-20-07 Update: Jennings is publicly grousing about not being used in training camp and preseason and has taken a backseat to James Jones in the eyes of the coaching staff. Jennings started out last year well but faded and now it appears that Jones is the new hot rookie.

Malcom Floyd - SDC YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 66
Keeper: 61
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 SDC 2 3 49 16.3 1      
2005                  
2006 SDC 11 15 210 14.0 3      
Avg   7 9 130 15.2 2 0 0 0
Proj SDC   35 500   3      

Floyd has played with the Chargers for three years now but last year was his best – and that was only 15 catches for 210 yards and three touchdowns. He will figure in again this year but will likely lose some playing time to the rookie Craig Davis once he is ready to play. Short of catastrophic injuries to the Chargers, Floyd won’t have any significant fantasy value this season.

Joe Jurevicius - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 67
Keeper: 69
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 TBB 10 27 333 12.3 2      
2005 SEA 16 55 694 12.6 10      
2006 CLE 11 40 495 12.4 3      
Avg   12 41 507 12.4 5 0 0 0
Proj FA   40 500   3      

Jurevicius ended his first season with the Browns with only 495 yards and three touchdowns. While that was a big step down from his 694 yards and ten touchdowns in 2005 when he was with Seattle for a year. Then again, 2006 matched about every other season that Jurevicius has ever had. After nine years in the league, he has been on four teams and never had more than four touchdowns in a season. He has never started more than 12 games either thanks largely to either injuries or not being good enough to be a starter. He’s 6’5" but has never been much used as an endzone target and those opportunities do not come often with Cleveland anyway. Jurevicius has marginal fantasy value and there’s no reason to expect much upside here.

Devin Hester - ATL YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 68
Keeper: 64
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj ATL   32 480   3      

Hester is practicing at wideout and looking every bit as good as he did as a punt returner. While most players that switch from defense to wideout like this get little playing time and make no fantasy mark, this time it appears that Hester will have a role on the offense that is only balanced by the need to keep him healthy for the special teams play. It is still a risk and there are only so many passes to be thrown in Chicago though and Muhammad and Berrian will still get the most as the starters. But Hester devalues both Mark Bradley and Rashied Davis.

Dwayne Bowe - KCC YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 69
Keeper: 57
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj KCC   36 480   3      

The on-going dearth of viable wideouts besides Eddie Kennison led the Chiefs to snapping up Dwayne Bowe with their 1.23 pick in the 2007 NFL draft. Bowe was the second overall wideout taken in April and brings in a solid resume from LSU where he had 990 yards on 65 receptions for 12 touchdowns in 2006. Bowe is 6’2" and weighs 221 pounds to make him a nice fit as a possession receiver who has 4.5/40 speed to do more with the ball once it is caught. Bowe was the other end of most of JaMarcus Russell’s touchdown passes last year. His size can beat line jams and he well adapted for over the middle and underneath routes where he can gain separation and then tack on yards.

Bowe will be in a learning mode for 2007 after trading the wide open LSU attack for a team that only passes for 3243 yards and 18 touchdowns last year. Add in the likely switch to new quarterback Brodie Croyle and the outlook for a big rookie season is even worse. But Bowe is a very talented player who remained in college through his senior year and should be ready for the NFL. With only the disappointing Samie Parker and second year player Jeff Webb between Bowe and a starting gig, it would be no surprise to see him rise in the depth charts and assume his expected role by the end of this year. The lack of other talented wideouts is a benefit to Bowe but ending up on a team that had none top 860 yards in 2006 will be a limitation as well. Consider him more valuable in a keeper league for what could become a productive Croyle-Bowe connection in the future.

Brandon Stokley - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 70
Keeper: 72
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 IND 16 68 1077 15.8 10      
2005 IND 14 41 543 13.2 1      
2006 IND 4 8 85 10.6 1      
Avg   11 39 568 13.2 4 0 0 0
Proj FA   31 480   3      

The 31-year old Stokley signed a one-year contract with the Broncos for an undisclosed amount thought to be just over $1 million. Incentives were built into the contract just in case the Achilles tendon tear that he suffered last year continues to be a problem. Stokley’s claim to fame was his 68-catch, 1077 yard season in 2004 when he caught 10 touchdowns with the Colts. For a bit of perspective, consider that he only scored 11 times in his seven other seasons and has never had more than 344 yards in a year without Peyton Manning throwing him passes. Stokley signed to bring a deep threat over the middle to the Broncos but he’ll be too inconsistent at best to warrant being a fantasy starter.

Arnaz Battle - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 71
Keeper: 73
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 SFO 10 8 143 17.9   2 5  
2005 SFO 10 32 363 11.3 3 8 11  
2006 SFO 16 59 686 11.6 3 5 25  
Avg   12 33 397 13.6 2 5 14 0
Proj FA   32 480   3      

During his four seasons in San Francisco, Battle has improved every year and ended with 59 catches for 686 yards and three scores in 2006. That may prove to be his upper limit though with the addition of Darrell Jackson and Ashley Lelie and the drafting of Jason Hill. Throw in second year player Brandon Williams and Battle would do well enough to hold on to that level of production. He has never had more than three scores in a season and last year totals were when Vernon Davis was mostly hurt and only Antonio Bryant was there to compete for passes. Best bet is to leave Battle alone this summer unless training camp has everyone else get injured. He has no upside this year and could experience a decline from already mediocre numbers.

Troy Williamson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 72
Keeper: 67
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 MIN 12 24 372 15.5 2 3 28  
2006 MIN 14 37 455 12.3        
Avg   13 31 414 13.9 1 2 14 0
Proj FA   38 520   2      

Two years in and the speedy Williamson has not shown much more than the ability to drop passes and disappear in games. His career high is only 37 catches for 455 yards and he went all of 2006 without a single touchdown. Bringing in the west coast style offense with HC Brad Childress did him no favors either – if he has a strength it is in straight line speed down the sidelines – not shorter timing routes over the middle. His average yardage per catch fell from 15.5 as a rookie down to just 12.3 last year. Williamson will likely remain the starter in Minnesota because of the investment they have in him and the lack of other credible receivers to challenge him but the offense is not suited to his style and will feature the inexperienced Tavaris Jackson at quarterback. That’s enough to let someone else draft him.

David Patten - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 73
Keeper: 78
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 NEP 16 44 800 18.2 7 1 5  
2005 WAS 9 22 217 9.9        
2006 WAS 3 1 25 25.0        
Avg   9 22 347 17.7 2 0 2 0
Proj FA   30 460   3      

Patten lands on his fifth NFL team just in time for his 33rd birthday and after ten years in the league, he's never had more than 824 yards (2002 NE) or more than 61 catches. After being released from the Pats in 2004, he spent two remarkably unproductive seasons with the Redskins where he only had 23 total catches and mainly just got older and slower. He adds some needed veteran depth in New Orleans but his value will come more from working with the your receivers and in the lockerroom than anything he does on the field.

Nate Washington - TEN YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 74
Keeper: 75
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 PIT 16 35 624 17.8 4 3 8  
Avg   16 35 624 17.8 4 3 8 0
Proj TEN   30 460   3      

Washington enters his third season and while he had no playing time as a rookie, he turned in a surprising 35 catches for 624 yards and four scores last year. He replaced Hines Ward for the two weeks he was gone and had games of 78 and 67 yards with one touchdown scored. He had catches in every game last year and even though he was not a starter, he was turning in 30 or more yards in most weeks. There’s no chance that he’ll replace a healthy Hines Ward anytime soon, but he has marginal fantasy value even as a #3 wideout in Pittsburgh and has already shown that he can step up his play when given the opportunity.

Bobby Engram - FA* YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 75
Keeper: 74
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 SEA 13 36 499 13.9 2      
2005 SEA 13 67 774 11.6 3      
2006 SEA 6 24 290 12.1 1 1 4  
Avg   11 42 521 12.5 2 0 1 0
Proj FA*   33 460   3      

Engram had been a solid contributor in Seattle with around 600 yards and a few scores each season but in 2005 during the great wideout injury party in Seattle had him start 13 games and lead all receivers that year with a 67 catches for 778 yards and three scores. But 2006 had the Seahawks restock their wide receivers and Engram developed a thyroid condition which forced him to miss ten games. His condition has responded to medication and he will return for his 12th NFL season but at the age of 34 and still not entirely 100% healthy, he’ll be battling for playing time as a #3 wideout. His veteran experience will help with Darrell Jackson gone, but his days of stepping up into a big role are over.

Peerless Price - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 76
Keeper: 70
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 ATL 16 45 575 12.8 3 3 34  
2005 DAL 7 6 96 16.0   1 9  
2006 BUF 16 50 402 8.0 3 5 18  
Avg   13 34 358 12.3 2 3 20 0
Proj FA   52 450   3      

Price’s attempt to resurrect his career once again in Buffalo only ended with 49 catches for 402 yards and three scores and that was as the starting flanker. Since his magic 2002 season when he had 1252 yards and nine scores, he has never had more than three touchdowns in a year with any of the three different teams he has played on. Price will start again this year if only because the Bills made no moves to acquire a better option and Josh Reed has already amply proven he is not up to the task.

Tab Perry - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 77
Keeper: 86
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 CIN 6 4 21 5.3 1 3 9 1
2006 CIN 2 5 81 16.2   2 4  
Avg   4 5 51 10.8 1 3 7 1
Proj FA   30 450   3      

Perry only has nine catches in his two seasons in Cincinnati but the absence of Chris Henry for the first eight games could see him gain a bit more playing time. No real upside here and not worthy of a fantasy pick.

Shaun McDonald - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 78
Keeper: 81
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 STL 15 37 494 13.4 3 4    
2005 STL 15 46 523 11.4   1 7  
2006 STL 12 13 136 10.5 1      
Avg   14 32 384 11.8 1 2 2 0
Proj FA   26 390   4      

McDonald reunites with Mike Martz this year when he leaves the Rams after four seasons to join the Lions. As a #4 wideout in Mart's system, McDonald had back-to-back 500 yard seasons in St. Louis but then only had 13 catches in 2006 once Scott Linehan brought balance back to the offense. McDonald is plenty buried on the depth chart and likely won't get the chance to regain his 500 yard level. He has virtually no upside other than the occasional game with a long catch but may play on special teams as a punt returner.

Buster Davis - BUF YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 79
Keeper: 85
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj BUF   28 440   3      

The Chargers used their first pick in the 2006 NFL draft (1.30) to make Davis as the 4th wideout taken last April. The team was thrilled with the chance to add the LSU product since he not only has been successful as a receiver; he also doubles as a punt returner. The Chargers wideouts have been rather lackluster since Gates took over but the emergence of Vincent Jackson and the development of Davis could change the look of the offense in the coming years. Expect this to be a learning year for Davis with little fantasy value but he is a good pick in deep keeper leagues that could pay off as early as next year. For 2007, expect to see him field more punts than passes.

08-05-07 Update: The rookie is looking great in camp and with Eric Parker gone until week six of the season, the door is open for Davis to take a starting role across from Vincent Jackson.

Antwaan Randle El - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 80
Keeper: 79
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 PIT 16 43 601 14.0 3 8 34  
2005 PIT 16 35 558 15.9 1 12 73  
2006 WAS 16 32 351 11.0 3 19 118  
Avg   16 37 503 13.6 2 13 75 0
Proj FA   32 360   4      

Randle El’s first season with the Redskins provided him with his career worst season – just 32 catches for 351 yards and three scores. His progress did not change with the addition of Jason Campbell as the starting quarterback in week 11. For those seven final games of the year, Randle El had only two games with more than 19 yards and averaged a paltry 25 yards per game with only one touchdowns over that time. Randle El is still used on gimmick plays and had 19 runs for 118 yards and even through two completions for 88 yards and one score, but all together it still lags what you need for him to be worthy of a fantasy starter. That won’t change this year either.

Ted Ginn Jr. - ARI YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 81
Keeper: 60
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj ARI   25 400   3      

(-Risk) (+Upside) The Dolphins surprised the crowd at the 2007 NFL draft when they used their 1.09 selection on the speedy Ginn from Ohio State. He was tabbed as a first round talent, but the Fins by-passed a new quarterback like Brady Quinn and other wideouts that bring a much more complete receiving package than the 180 pound, 6’0" Ginn who was Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith’s favorite target last year. Ginn came out after his junior year and never had more than 59 catches in a season for the Buckeyes. What Ginn does uniquely bring is a blazing fast 4.38/40 speed and the ability to terrify a defense when he gets out in the open. His role will definitely include special teams and the season after Devin Hester helped bring the Bears to the Super Bowl, the Fins are paying to get that sort of spark to their return games. Ginn was a big weapon whenever he fielded a kick or punt and left Ohio State with 900 yards on 64 punt returns with six touchdowns and brought back 38 kickoffs for 1012 yards and two more scores. This is not a player which you want to leave an open lane.

Ginn is multidimensional and has even had a few passes and some rushing in college. He’s truly a playmaker that could make a huge mark in the NFL if he is used correctly. How that translates into fantasy football is less certain since his value will be strongly tied to his special teams play. Ginn also suffered a Lis Franc injury in the BCS Championship game and is still not a lock to be ready for the opening of training camp. That will delay his ability to pick up his receiver role but shouldn’t affect his role on special teams as long as he is healthy by the start of the season. The second wideout drafted usually commands fantasy attention but recovering from a foot injury and being acquired equally for his return abilities will leave Ginn drafted far too early in most fantasy leagues.

Sidney Rice - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 82
Keeper: 87
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   27 400   3      

The Vikings made Rice the 6th wideout drafted in April when they spent their 2.12 selection. Wide receiver was a huge need for the Vikings since none of the crew had more than 651 yards (and that was Travis Taylor who was released). Rice ran a 4.5/40 at the combine which is fast for a 6’4" player. His long arms and legs will give him an advantage and his speed is deceptive. There is plenty of opportunity for wideouts in Minnesota since both Taylor and Marcus Robinson left (with their seven touchdowns versus only two by all other WR combined). But Rice only played two years in college and doesn’t turn 21 until after the season starts. That’s a very green player trying to learn a complicated offense which evidently was too much for all the receivers last year. His biggest advantage here is that he hasn’t yet proven himself as sub-standard, unlike fellow South Carolina alum Troy Williamson.

Maurice Stovall - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 83
Keeper: 76
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 TBB 6 7 102 14.6   2 29  
Avg   6 7 102 14.6 0 2 29 0
Proj FA   35 460   2      

(+Upside) The second year player from Notre Dame makes for an interesting pick deeply in your draft to round out your wide receivers. The 6’4 wideout was taken with the 3.26 selection in the 2006 draft which was later than most predicted and his role as a rookie was very limited. Stovall only caught seven passes last year for 102 yards and no scores but that came almost entirely in the final three games. There is an outside chance that Stovall could actually work his way up to replacing Michael Clayton as the #2 wideout and regardless, his playing time will increase. His size would make for a great endzone target. What little Stovall accomplished in 2006 was with Bruce Gradkowski as quarterback.

It is premature to expect a big year from Stovall, but he is a name to remember and track. The Bucs have upgraded at quarterback and Galloway is already 36 years old. Figure in an ineffective Ike Hilliard and Michael Clayton and it would be hard to Stovall not to make waves this year. The only question to be answered in training camp is how big a wave can he make.

Justin Gage - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 84
Keeper: 66
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CHI 12 12 156 13.0        
2005 CHI 14 31 346 11.2 2      
2006 CHI 2 4 68 17.0        
Avg   9 16 190 13.7 1 0 0 0
Proj FA   37 400   3      

After four years with the Bears, Gage comes to Tennessee with a chance to gain playing time and spark his career. He never had more than 346 yards in a season for the Bears and only has four career touchdowns but in Tennessee this year, those are rather impressive numbers. Figure Gage to be one of the front runners to take the place of Drew Bennett and Bobby Wade but with the three rookie wideouts to compete against, even if Gage does win a starting spot he may not hold onto it. His 6’4" frame is bigger than any other Titan wideout so that may give him an advantage near the endzone.

Robert Meachem - NOS YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 85
Keeper: 47
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj NOS   28 410   2      

(+Upside) Meacham was the third wideout drafted last April, coming off the board with the Saints first pick in the draft (1.27). With Joe Horn released, the Saints needed a playmaker for the future and tabbed this 6’2" Tennessee product that runs a 4.39/40 – that’s blazing for the size. Meacham was up near 230 pounds but weighed in at 218 for the first minicamp and then turned his ankle. He had been struggling in the rookie camp and was limited in May due to the injury. A slow start notwithstanding, Meacham has all the tools needed to succeed in the NFL from speed to size to ability to defeat jams, make the difficult catch and do something after he has the ball. His size makes him harder to knock off the pattern by defenders and can have explosive acceleration. Add all that to the #1 passing offense from last year and there is both opportunity with Horn gone and a quarterback who made a 7th round rookie into a phenom in 2006. Keep a very close eye on the development of Meacham because he will succeed in the NFL and is a great keeper league pick. For 2007, he may turn out to be an actual rookie who takes time to adjust (unlike Marques “the freak" Colston). As deeply as Meacham can be drafted, he makes a nice depth pick for your wideouts just in case lightening strikes twice in the Big Easy. One big note of caution. Meacham had to undergo arthroscopic surgery to his knee to clean out loose cartilage and repair a tear to his meniscus in early June. He should be healthy again for training camp but he's already had a sprained ankle as well in mini-camp. He's a definite training camp watch because of his risk but a worthy player of attention as a first rounder pick on one of the most productive passing teams.

Kevin Walter - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 86
Keeper: 59
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CIN 6 8 67 8.4        
2005 CIN 9 19 211 11.1        
2006 HOU 11 17 160 9.4   1 3  
Avg   9 15 146 9.6 0 0 1 0
Proj FA   30 400   2      

(+Upside) Walter was with the Bengals for three seasons and spent 2006 in Houston where he only had 17 catches for 160 yards and no scores. But he impressed coaches enough to drop the ineffective Eric Moulds and not pursue a free agent #2 receiver this year. Walter never had more than three catches or more than 28 yards in any single game last season so a major step up would be surprising but he is the front runner for the starting job and already knows the offense. HC Gary Kubiak already said that looking back at 2006, he wished he had relied on Walter more. Walter already has worked out with the first team in minicamps and should end up the starter.

Josh Reed - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 87
Keeper: 82
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 BUF 11 16 153 9.6   2 -1  
2005 BUF 16 32 449 14.0 2 1 -3  
2006 BUF 13 34 410 12.1 2 4 13  
Avg   13 27 337 11.9 1 2 3 0
Proj FA   35 400   2      

The amazing part of Josh Reed is that he turns in between 400 and 550 yards a year no matter if he is a starter or not. Taking a backseat to Peerless Price in 2006, Reed had 34 receptions for 410 yards and two scores. That makes four of the last five years with just two scores (he had none in 2004). Reed figures into the passing equation because the Bills won’t upgrade the crew but he turns in around 40 yards in most games fairly consistently. And he scores two touchdowns per year. No upside here.

Mark Bradley - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 88
Keeper: 84
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 CHI 7 18 230 12.8        
2006 CHI 7 16 300 18.8 3      
Avg   7 17 265 15.8 2 0 0 0
Proj FA   28 400   2      

Bradley enters his third season trying to hold on to the slot position that the Bears rarely use. There is some reason to have hope for this season though, since Bradley lost most of his rookie year to a knee injury and scored three times in the final six regular season games. But Bradley lost time again last year when he had an ankle injury in week two and by the time he was finally activated again for games, it was already week ten. He again hurt his ankle at the end of the year and had almost no playing time in the playoffs.

There is a definite opportunity in Chicago for a wideout to step up his play and Muhammad is not getting any better. Berrian still has yet to prove he is much more than a deep pass catcher but Bradley cannot stay healthy. And yet – the Bears drafted no wideouts and added none in free agency. They even lost Justin Gage. Until Bradley can remain healthy for more than a six week stretch, he’ll continue to play only in multiple receiver sets and as a back-up wideout but the few times he has been healthy, he has made some impressive plays. He’s worth a flyer only in leagues with a deep roster just in case he does stay healthy and delivers on his potential.

Samie Parker - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 89
Keeper: 88
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 KCC 3 9 137 15.2 1      
2005 KCC 12 36 533 14.8 3      
2006 KCC 16 41 561 13.7 1 3 7  
Avg   10 29 410 14.6 2 1 2 0
Proj FA   28 400   2      

After three seasons with the Chiefs, Parker has proven to be incapable of taking the next step up despite starting 15 games last year. He ended with just 41 catches for 561 yards and one score which was almost the exact same production that he had in 2005 when he started nine games and scored three times. Parker’s failure to improve coupled with Kennison’s advancing age prompted the Chiefs to use their first draft pick to grab Dwayne Bowe. Parker may be the starter in week one but it would delight the team if he was replaced during the season. Leave Parker alone – there is no upside in this offense or with him as a player in it.

Amani Toomer - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 90
Keeper: 77
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 NYG 15 51 747 14.6        
2005 NYG 16 60 684 11.4 7      
2006 NYG 8 32 360 11.3 3 1    
Avg   13 48 597 12.4 3 0 0 0
Proj FA   30 400   2      

(-Risk) The 33-year old wideout enters his 11th season with the Giants and his production is quickly falling off the map. Starting in 2002, Toomer has declined in yardage every year and only played eight games in 2006 thanks to a partially torn ACL in his left knee. He underwent surgery and expects to play this year but his yards per catch is down to a career low 11.3 yards and was only 11.4 yards in 2005. Toomer has lost a step or two and is slowly heading for the pasture. His final full season in 2005 still only produced 60 catches for 684 yards. The Giants will not push Toomer in training camp so he comes with a little risk since it will be tougher to gauge how well he has rehabbed his 32 year-old knee. Also complicating matters is that the rookie Steve Smith has been very impressive so far and could merit some playing time at the expense of Toomer if he does not come roaring back healthy.

David Boston - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 91
Keeper: 97
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 MIA 5 4 80 20.0        
2006                  
Avg   5 4 80 20.0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   35 400   2      

(-Risk) Boston is back in Tampa Bay where he was cut from training camp last year and the 29 year old receiver is giving it yet another go this year. He’s been nearly out of football for the last two years while he mainly just existed on Miami’s roster since the Dolphins took a chance on him twice but until he shows up big in camp and gives more than a hint that he will do more than get injured. Stay away – very far away.

Laurent Robinson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 92
Keeper: 93
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   32 390   2      

(+Upside) Lower expectations this year on the third round rookie, but it speaks some future promise that the third pick of the new Petrino era would be on a wide receiver. Robinson had a big 2005 season for Illinois State when he was a consensus All-American but he lost time in 2006 due to an ankle sprain that depressed his numbers. In future seasons, Robinson could make inroads to being the #3 wideout but for 2007, a rookie on a team that only had three wideouts even catch a single pass last year means almost no fantasy value now.

Mike Williams - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 93
Keeper: 94
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 DET 14 29 350 12.1 1      
2006 DET 8 8 99 12.4 1      
Avg   11 19 225 12.3 1 0 0 0
Proj FA   25 380   2      

(+Upside) Williams was finally dropped by the Lions two seasons after being their first round draft pick. He only managed to total 37 catches for 449 yards and two scores during his time in Detroit but could not ask for a better location for a second chance. Williams is reunited with Lane Kiffen, his position coach at USC when he was a dominating wideout in 2002-2003. He still has to work his way up and already had a hamstring strain set him back in minicamp, but as a long-term pick in a keeper league, he has to carry some amount of upside. Unless he really impresses in training camp, he’ll be stuck in multi-receiver sets and produce low numbers but having a previous relationship with the head coach is never a bad thing.

Taylor Jacobs - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 94
Keeper: 90
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 WAS 8 16 178 11.1   1 -6  
2005 WAS 6 11 100 9.1        
2006 SFO 3 4 29 7.3        
Avg   6 10 102 9.2 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   28 360   2      

No analysis available.

Bryant Johnson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 95
Keeper: 95
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 ARI 15 49 537 11.0 1 2 -6  
2005 ARI 14 40 432 10.8 1 1    
2006 ARI 16 40 740 18.5 4 1 -3  
Avg   15 43 570 13.4 2 1 0 0
Proj FA   24 400   1      

Johnson comes off a career high 740 yards on 40 catches last year, good enough for a lofty 18.5 yards per catch and he had four scores as well. His role was expanded last year thanks in part to the three games missed by Larry Fitzgerald but like Anquan Boldin, his role shrank later in the year when the rushing game was in gear and Fitzgerald was healthy. Johnson only had one score in the final six games.

Johnson remains the slot receiver in the offense but with the change in offensive scheme, it’s expected that his role will decrease this year. He’s a marginal fantasy starter if either Boldin or Fitzgerald goes down and this year likely will carry very little fantasy value.

Terrance Copper - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 96
Keeper: 96
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 DAL 6 7 84 12.0 1 1 -1  
2005 DAL 4 1 5 5.0        
2006 NOS 9 23 385 16.7 3 1 8  
Avg   6 10 158 11.2 1 1 2 0
Proj FA   20 320   2      

The Saints re-signed restricted free agent Terrance Copper to a one-year contract and he’ll help keep Brees loaded with targets in the case that rookie Robert Meacham takes a while to come around. Copper enjoyed a career best year in 2006 when he had 23 catches for 385 yards and three scores. He had games of 92 and 87 yards when Colston was injured but never had more than 48 yards in any other game. He’s just depth with a really good quarterback.

Reggie Williams - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 97
Keeper: 80
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 JAC 14 27 268 9.9 1      
2005 JAC 14 35 445 12.7   2 3  
2006 JAC 16 53 615 11.6 4 6 34  
Avg   15 38 443 11.4 2 3 12 0
Proj FA   22 350   1      

Williams was a first round pick in 2004 and while he has started much more slowly than desired, he has improved each season and ended 2006 with 52 catches for 616 yards and four touchdowns. The new offense brought in by OC Dirk Koetter should help Williams who will play the possession role since it should stretch the field and allow him to work the middle. The scheme also calls for more two tight end sets to help the running game and that’s just one slot receiver less to catch passes on those plays. Williams has never been great at scoring with just five career touchdowns and he’s no long-ball receiver either since his yards per catch has never been higher than 12.7, but he can fill a valuable possession role with yards and catches.

Travis Taylor - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 98
Keeper: 89
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 BAL 10 34 421 12.4        
2005 MIN 16 50 604 12.1 4 2 3  
2006 MIN 16 57 651 11.4 3 1 5  
Avg   14 47 559 12.0 2 1 3 0
Proj FA   20 290   2      

No analysis available.

Brandon Lloyd - SFO YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 99
Keeper: 98
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 SFO 13 43 565 13.1 6      
2005 SFO 16 48 733 15.3 5      
2006 WAS 14 23 365 15.9        
Avg   14 38 554 14.8 4 0 0 0
Proj SFO   25 340   1      

One of the many moves by Danny Snyder to upgrade the team last year failed to meet expectations when Brandon Lloyd came over from San Francisco where he had posted a 733 yard, five touchdown season in 2005. As with all who went before him, Lloyd only managed to record 23 catches for 365 yards and no touchdowns – a wasted pick in fantasy drafts as well. The Skins did elect to exercise a $5 million option on Lloyd in the offseason to keep him but that still doesn’t mean that he’ll ever raise high enough to merit fantasy attention. The new offense installed last year by Al Saunders replicated Kansas City in one respect – there was no wideout with much production outside of the #1 guy. Leave Lloyd on the board and likely on the waiver wire for the season.

Chris Henry - CIN YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 100
Keeper: 58
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 CIN 13 31 422 13.6 6      
2006 CIN 13 37 616 16.6 9      
Avg   13 34 519 15.1 8 0 0 0
Proj CIN   15 270   2      

(-Risk) Henry has proven to be a force as the slot receiver for the Bengals and has scored 15 touchdowns over the last two seasons. He would be entering his third season now except his lengthy list of off-the-field legal problems has given the new NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell a chance to flex his muscles and Henry is now suspended for the first eight games of 2007. Even once he clears that, he has to apply for reinstatement and will not have been with the Bengals for the first half of the season. It’s unlikely that a replacement #3 wideout will be anywhere as good as Henry is, but losing out on the first half of the season is likely a death card for Henry in fantasy terms. Most leagues will have someone take a flyer on him in their draft but he’s far better left on the waiver wire until his return draws closer. He’s a terrific #3 wideout for the Bengals but he lacks the consistency to be considered as a fantasy starter in most leagues anyway. Let someone else take him this summer.

Eric Moulds - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 101
Keeper: 102
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 BUF 16 88 1043 11.9 5 5 19  
2005 BUF 15 81 816 10.1 4      
2006 HOU 16 57 557 9.8 1 1 6  
Avg   16 75 805 10.6 3 2 8 0
Proj FA   36 330   1      

No analysis available.

Jason Hill - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 102
Keeper: 104
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   20 320   1      

The 49ers spent their 3.12 selection in the NFL draft on this Washington State star and that could pay off dividends in the future and possibly this year. Hill ran a blazing 4.32/40 at the NFL combine and consistently comes in at sub-4.4’s. He gained over 1000 yards in each of his last two seasons in college and has impressive size (6’0?, 210) for a player that fast. The best Hill could do this year is to challenge for the slot role which his speed says would be a natural for him but there’s others in the way for now. Consider Hill an interesting but very deep pick in a keeper league and he’s just a training camp watch to see if he develops enough for 2007 to merit any fantasy attention.

Paul Williams - TEN YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 103
Keeper: 99
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj TEN   20 260   2      

The Fresno State star was drafted with the 3.17 draft pick by the Titans last April and was the first of three wideouts taken by the team. He timed a 4.45/40 at the combine and brings an impressive blend of size, long arms and speed. He fell in the draft thanks to knee and hip injuries in his senior year when he only played in seven games and never had more than 85 yards per effort. He only had 229 yards and one score last year but turned in 729 yards and seven scores as a junior including three games over 120 receiving yards. He’ll be given the opportunity to win playing time during training camp while the Titans are trying to determine which of their many inexperienced wideouts will figure into 2007.

Roscoe Parrish - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 105
Keeper: 103
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 BUF 8 15 148 9.9 1 2 -2  
2006 BUF 14 23 320 13.9 2 2 18  
Avg   11 19 234 11.9 2 2 8 0
Proj FA   20 300   1      

The diminutive Parrish (5’9", 168 pounds) enters his third season but it’s unlikely he will experience a breakout in 2007. Due to his size, he’s a slot player at best and a punt returner with a few catches at worst. Parrish only has 23 catches for 320 yards and two scores last year and that came in the eight games in which he actually had a catch. There were only four games with more than 25 yards, so expect to see Parrish only in multiple receiver sets and on punt returns this year.

Rod Smith - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 106
Keeper: 109
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 DEN 16 79 1144 14.5 7 5 33  
2005 DEN 16 85 1105 13.0 6 1 7  
2006 DEN 16 52 512 9.8 3 1 -5  
Avg   16 72 920 12.4 5 2 12 0
Proj FA   24 300   1      

The venerable Smith returns for his 13th season and at the age of 37, he's the oldest starting wideout in the NFL. He had been in decline starting in 2001 but had a two-year return to 1100 yard, six touchdown seasons when Plummer started in 2004. Last year was a steep dive into mediocrity when he started all 16 games but only accounted for 52 catches for 512 yards and three scores - career lows since he became a starter in 1996. His 9.8 yards per catch was also his lowest and falls more into the category of a tight end.

Smith is destined for the Hall of Fame but at the age of 37, his run is over. Smith may end up starting each game again this year but he'll almost certainly be giving up playing time to Brandon Marshall who was encouraging last year with Cutler at the helm. Unless you can live with 30 or 40 yards per week, leave Smith on the waiver wire this year. A great run that has turned into a jog toward the finish line.

08-15-07 Update: Smith remains on PUP and may be there when the season starts - not a safe pick at all this year.

Justin McCareins - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 107
Keeper: 105
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 NYJ 16 56 770 13.8 4 2 -5  
2005 NYJ 16 43 713 16.6 2 1 8  
2006 NYJ 14 23 347 15.1 1      
Avg   15 41 610 15.2 2 1 1 0
Proj FA   20 300   1      

McCareins lost his starting spot to Jerricho Cotchery last year and only ended with 23 catches for 347 yards and a score – his lowest total since leaving the Titans in 2003 and merely yet another declining season over the last three years. The Jets intend on keeping him this year but they won’t do anything more with him than last year.

Roydell Williams - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 108
Keeper: 116
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 TEN 8 21 299 14.2 2      
2006 TEN 8 8 121 15.1        
Avg   8 15 210 14.7 1 0 0 0
Proj FA   19 290   1      

Williams enters his third season but comes off a 2006 season with only eight catches for 121 yards. He’ll be in the mix in training camp to replace Drew Bennett and Bobby Wade but he hasn’t shown enough so far to expect any breakout this year – if any.

Michael Clayton - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 109
Keeper: 92
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 TBB 16 80 1193 14.9 7 5 30  
2005 TBB 13 32 372 11.6   1 2  
2006 TBB 12 33 356 10.8 1 5 41  
Avg   14 48 640 12.4 3 4 24 0
Proj FA   18 260   1      

Clayton’s rookie season is fast becoming a distant memory. After exploding for 1193 yards and seven scores in 2004, the last two years have been injury marred efforts full of dropped passes and missed games. Clayton missed four match-ups last year thanks to a knee injury which landed him on injured reserve but there’s been nothing in the last two seasons that says Clayton will come back to form. In the last two seasons, he’s only had one game over 62 yards and most end up well below 40 yards. He also only scored once since 2004.

The Buccaneers have not given up on their former first-round pick yet but Maurice Stovall has made strides toward taking over the #2 role from Clayton. Consider Clayton as undraftable until there is concrete evidence that he has turned the corner on two horrific seasons.

Josh Cribbs - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 110
Keeper: 108
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005 CLE 1 1 7 7.0        
2006 CLE 11 10 91 9.1   2 11  
Avg   6 6 49 8.1 0 1 6 0
Proj FA   17 250   1      

Cribbs enters his third season but so far he only has 11 catches in the NFL and has never scored. He’ll compete with Tim Carter for the slot but that won’t yield any significant fantasy value in the best case.

Nate Burleson - CLE YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 111
Keeper: 110
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 MIN 16 68 1006 14.8 9 6 49  
2005 MIN 12 30 328 10.9 1 2 -6  
2006 SEA 14 18 192 10.7 2      
Avg   14 39 509 12.1 4 3 14 0
Proj CLE   14 200   1      

The Seahawks landed Burleson in 2006 as a “back at ya" to the Vikings for taking Steve Hutchinson but the knowing wink belongs to Minnesota on that swap. Burleson only managed 18 catches for 192 yards and two scores for Seattle last year and had an injured thumb which hampered him much of the season. That poison pill clause that prevented the Vikings from retaining him last year had to be reworked since the $49 million contract proved to be a bit pricey considering what they were really getting.

Even though Darrell Jackson has left, that doesn’t mean that the expensive Burleson is becoming a starter. D.J. Hackett will be the split end this year and Burleson will battle with Bobby Engram for the rights to the slot. Unless he remotely starts to earn his paycheck, leave Burleson off your draft board this year.

Hank Baskett - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 112
Keeper: 115
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 PHI 14 22 464 21.1 2      
Avg   14 22 464 21.1 2 0 0 0
Proj FA   12 180   1      

Baskett was considered a sleeper of sorts last summer. The rookie looked good in training camp and Terrell Owens had left an open spot. Actually it was all true except for it happened to Marques Colston – not Baskett. He ended with 464 yards and two scores on the year but that came via a 112 yard game in week five against Dallas and a 177 yard effort in week 17 when most starters were wearing baseball caps on the sideline. Otherwise, Baskett never had more than 27 yards or two catches in any game. With the addition of Kevin Curtis, Baskett slips down the depth chart a little farther. Not worth drafting. And nothing more in common with Colston than the year of their first season.

Kelley Washington - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 113
Keeper: 113
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CIN 14 31 378 12.2 3 1 -1  
2005 CIN 6 10 101 10.1 1      
2006 CIN 4 9 115 12.8 1      
Avg   8 17 198 11.7 2 0 0 0
Proj FA   10 140   1      

The tall (6’3")Washington came over from the Bengals during the Patriots receiver shuffle this offseason but he’s never proven to be much more than a #4 wideout so far. Chris Henry managed to make Washington almost irrelevant and over the last two years, Washington has never had more than 10 catches per season or more than one touchdown. Since the Patriots are so stocked at wideouts now, Washington will do well enough to just hold a roster spot. Barring the unforeseen and unlikely, he holds no fantasy value this year. The second-year player Chad Jackson is recovering from an ACL injury last year and would displace him when he is healthy.

Cedrick Wilson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 114
Keeper: 112
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 SFO 15 47 641 13.6 3 1 6  
2005 PIT 16 26 451 17.3   1    
2006 PIT 13 37 504 13.6 1 2 14  
Avg   15 37 532 14.8 1 1 7 0
Proj FA   15 170          

The Steelers brought in Wilson in 2005 to find a complementary receiver across from Hines Ward after the departure of Plaxico Burress. Never really happened. Wilson has turned in back-to-back seasons of around 475 yards and only scored once as a Steeler. He’s tumbled back on the depth chart with the emergence of Santonio Holmes and Nate Washington and now is little more than roster depth.

Eric Parker - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 115
Keeper: 91
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 SDC 13 47 690 14.7 4 4 53  
2005 SDC 15 57 725 12.7 3 4 55  
2006 SDC 15 48 659 13.7   2 19  
Avg   14 51 691 13.7 2 3 42 0
Proj FA   12 170          

For the last three seasons, Parker has been given a starting role and the payback for that has been oddly consistent every year – though not in a good way. He’s remained between 659 and 725 yards every season and never had more than four scores – last year he never had any touchdowns. With Keenan McCardell gone, Parker is a starter yet again by default but that may only hold for this year since the Chargers used their 1.30 pick on acquiring Craig Davis from LSU. Expect Parker to chug along with mediocre numbers and to be replaced eventually if not by the end of this year.

08-05-07 Update: Parker underwent surgery on the big toe of his right foot and is expected to miss ten weeks while he recuperates. He is not expected back until week six of the regular season and likely will have lost his starting job for good by then.

Sinorice Moss - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 116
Keeper: 114
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 NYG 5 5 25 5.0        
Avg   5 5 25 5.0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   11 160          

The rookie year for Moss was rather inauspicious with only five catches for 25 yards and no scores, but the Miami product suffered a groin injury after week two and did not return until week 13 of last year. He had no impact and apparently is following in the footsteps of his older brother Santana who also missed his first year due to injury. Moss is healed up and ready to restart his NFL career but so far he’s been a nonfactor. The Giants also drafted USC’s Steve Smith with their 2.19 pick and will be also working him into the offense as well. Until Moss finally shows up with any significant production in any game, he has no fantasy value yet and lost out on some opportunity with the drafting of Smith.

Antonio Chatman - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 117
Keeper: 106
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 GBP 13 22 246 11.2 1 4 36  
2005 GBP 16 49 549 11.2 4 8 34  
2006 CIN 3 3 22 7.3        
Avg   11 25 272 9.9 2 4 23 0
Proj FA   14 160          

Chatman has a nice opportunity this season since Chris Henry is gone for the first eight games and there’s no other wideouts on the Cincy roster with Chatman’s sort of experience – and that’s only four seasons and a total of 74 catches. The Bengals will be determining who will man the slot in Henry’s absence this year and Chatman is a front runner but that doesn’t mean he’ll step in and replicate what Henry has done. Short of a shockingly good training camp, leave Chatman on the waiver wire.

Ashley Lelie - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 118
Keeper: 101
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 DEN 16 54 1084 20.1 7 3 5  
2005 DEN 16 42 770 18.3 1 5 84  
2006 ATL 15 28 430 15.4 1      
Avg   16 41 761 17.9 3 3 30 0
Proj FA   10 150          

Ashley Lelie finally wore out his welcome in Denver after four years and went to the passing-deprived Falcons in 2006 where he only had 28 catches for 430 yards and one touchdown. Released once again, now Lelie joins up with the 49ers where they were receiver-deprived. The opportunity look great up until Darrell Jackson came on board. Lelie’s best season was in 2004 when he had 54 catches for 1084 yards and seven scores and he averaged 20.1 yards per catch that year. He’s not proven to be anything more than a decent long-ball wideout that has been unable to transition to shorter routes over the middle (which is Jackson’s forte anyway). Lelie is no lock to be a starter though and will compete with Arnaz Battle, Brandon Williams and even the rookie Jason Hill for playing time. Barring any training camp development, Lelie likely has the edge over all besides Battle and could still replace him, but if the 49ers try to use him for more than a streak down the sideline, he’ll likely under perform again. Watch him in training camp but with Jackson and Vernon Davis already there, even the best case for Lelie probably has little fantasy significance.

Derek Hagan - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 119
Keeper: 117
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   16 140          

Hagan comes off his rookie season with a less than remarkable 221 yards and one score but he’ll be in the mix again for 2007 and could get some slot work at least until Ted Ginn Jr. takes it all away. Hagen is little more than a warm body for round out wide receivers in a very deep league.

Rashied Davis - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 120
Keeper: 111
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 CHI 15 22 303 13.8 2      
Avg   15 22 303 13.8 2 0 0 0
Proj FA   10 130          

With Mark Bradley often injured last year, the second-year Davis was given slot duty and managed to turn in a respectable 22 catches for 303 yards and two touchdowns. At only 5’9" and 180 pounds, he won’t be playing much more than the slot either. In most games he only recorded one catch and never had more than 48 yards in any game. Davis will continue to figure in but there’s no expectation that he’ll ever be much more than he was last year. He mainly serves as a kick returner.

Greg Lewis - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 121
Keeper: 118
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 PHI 14 17 183 10.8   4 16  
2005 PHI 16 48 561 11.7 1 2 13  
2006 PHI 15 24 348 14.5 2      
Avg   15 30 364 12.3 1 2 10 0
Proj FA   10 120          

The chance for Lewis to become an NFL starter has come and gone and he never managed more than 48 catches for 561 yards despite the opportunity. He’s just roster depth now and carries no real fantasy value.

Tim Carter - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 122
Keeper: 120
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 NYG 5 12 182 15.2 1 2 23  
2005 NYG 13 10 186 18.6   6 46  
2006 NYG 16 22 253 11.5 2      
Avg   11 15 207 15.1 1 3 23 0
Proj FA   8 100          

Carter was acquired in the same trade that sent Rueben Droughns to the Giants and he’s in a good spot to replace the departed Dennis Northcutt but that won’t mean he’ll have any real fantasy value this year. After five years with the Giants, Carter never took the next step up into being more than roster depth and has never had more than 309 yards or two scores in any NFL season. He’ll work along with Joshua Cribbs for the slot role but leave Carter off your draft list except for incredibly deep leagues where you just need warm bodies. He hasn’t even been involved on special teams.

Dante Hall - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 123
Keeper: 122
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 KCC 13 25 230 9.2   8 56  
2005 KCC 16 34 436 12.8 3 7 11  
2006 KCC 15 26 204 7.8 2 3 11  
Avg   15 28 290 9.9 2 6 26 0
Proj FA   8 100          

Dante Hall comes over from the Chiefs but don’t expect too much in the receiving department. Hall has never had more than 436 yards in a season or more than three scores and after the three main wideouts for St. Louis in 2006, Shaun McDonald and Dane Looker combined for only 13 catches for 136 yards and no scores. The offense rarely relies on four receiver formations under Linehan and that makes any wideout after Holt, Bruce and Bennett almost insignificant in fantasy terms. Hall was brought on for his special teams ability on punt and kick returns.

Keary Colbert - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 124
Keeper: 123
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CAR 15 47 754 16.0 5      
2005 CAR 16 25 282 11.3 2 1 6  
2006 CAR 10 5 56 11.2        
Avg   14 26 364 12.8 2 0 2 0
Proj FA   8 80          

Colbert has already proven that he is not up to the task of being a starter and comes off a horrible five catch, 56 yard season. He’ll still potentially figure in but Smith, Jarrett and Carter will take the lion’s share of work with very little left over for Colbert. Even if wideouts are injured, Colbert cannot be relied on to produce any significant fantasy value.

Andre' Davis - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 125
Keeper: 121
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 CLE 7 16 416 26.0 2 1 -3  
2005 NEP 8 9 190 21.1 1      
2006 BUF 4 2 13 6.5        
Avg   6 9 206 17.9 1 0 0 0
Proj FA   6 80          

Davis is now on his fourth team in the last four years and stints in New England and Buffalo amounted to little more than the chance to return a few punts. He signed with the Texans since there is an opening at the #2 spot but nothing in the last couple of years suggests that Davis will be able to dislodge Kevin Walter or even keep the rookie Jacoby Jones from passing him on the depth chart.

Jeff Webb - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 126
Keeper: 124
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 KCC 1 3 23 7.7        
Avg   1 3 23 7.7 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   7 80          

Webb’s rookie season only produced three catches for 23 yards and no scores but he’s gaining the confidence of the coaching staff and his ridiculously low numbers from 2006 were still fourth best on a team that has lost Dante Hall. That makes Webb into a slot receiver this year until Dwayne Bowe passes him up. And that could be in fairly short order. The 4th best wideout on a team that doesn’t use the position much is no place to hunt for a sleeper. Forget Webb.

Troy Walters - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 127
Keeper: 126
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 IND 1 1 5 5.0        
2005 IND 3 14 152 10.9 3      
2006 ARI 12 23 209 9.1 2      
Avg   5 13 122 8.3 2 0 0 0
Proj FA   5 70          

The diminutive Walters is only 5-8 and 172 pounds, so his role will continue to be mostly just punt returns and the rare catch in a game. No reason to expect more this year after seven seasons has proven him to be mainly just a special teamer.

Marcus Robinson - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 128
Keeper: 127
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 MIN 16 47 657 14.0 8      
2005 MIN 15 31 515 16.6 5      
2006 MIN 9 29 381 13.1 4      
Avg   13 36 518 14.6 6 0 0 0
Proj FA   4 60          

No analysis available.

Ruvell Martin - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 129
Keeper: 119
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 GBP 10 21 358 17.0 1      
Avg   10 21 358 17.0 1 0 0 0
Proj FA   5 60          

The tall (6’4?) rookie came in during the season in 2006 when the Packers were down to cold call dialing and asking other teams who they did not want. Martin ended up with 21 catches for 358 yards and one score last year but 118 yards came in week 17 when the Bears had lost all interest and were playing waterboys and equipment managers while resting their defensive starters. Martin will figure into the mix behind Driver and Jennings but he’ll likely lose out to one of the rookies eventually. No likely fantasy value here.

Chris Davis - FA* YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 130
Keeper: 107
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA*   6 60          

This Florida State rookie was drafted with the Titans 4.29 selection and he is expected to compete for the slot role in Tennessee. Davis runs a 4.5/40 and while he doesn’t have blazing speed, he runs very precise routes and can be a clutch receiver. He also has experience returning punts which could figure in as well. Davis isn’t expected to turn into a stating flanker or split end so his upside is minimal this year and at best he’ll only develop into a slot receiver for a team that rarely relied on the position last year.

Yamon Figurs - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 131
Keeper: 130
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006                  
Avg   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   3 50          

Figurs had the fastest time at the combine, running the 40-yard dash in only 4.28 seconds.. The Ravens rated him as a second-round talent but was able to trade back in the third round and still reach him. Figurs is only around 175 pounds and is almost certainly too slight for a starting role but his speed and ability should see him challenge as the punt returner and grant him the occasional playing time on offense. In a long term sense, Figurs could one day advance to a slot role, but his value this year is likely entirely on special teams.

Sam Hurd - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 132
Keeper: 129
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004                  
2005                  
2006 DAL 6 5 75 15.0        
Avg   6 5 75 15.0 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   4 50          

After Owens, Glenn and Crayton, the only other Dallas wideout to record a catch last year was Sam Hurd who totaled five catches for 75 yards over the three games that he played. He’s just roster depth and could even lose a spot on the depth chart if the rookie Isaiah Stanback can convert quickly from college quarterback to NFL wideout.

Aaron Moorehead - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 133
Keeper: 128
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 IND 1 1 7 7.0        
2005 IND 2 7 75 10.7        
2006 IND 7 8 82 10.3 1      
Avg   3 5 55 9.3 0 0 0 0
Proj FA   5 50          

Moorehead only had eight catches for 82 yards last year despite the Colts needing someone to replace the injured Brandon Stokley. Moorehead will get some playing time this year as well as the team gets the rookie Anthony Gonzalez integrated into the scheme but there’s no chance he’ll have any significant fantasy value this or any year.

Ike Hilliard - FA YEAR TM GMS CAT CYD YPC CTD CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 134
Keeper: 125
Auction 10: 1%
Auction 12: 1%
2004 NYG 16 49 437 8.9   3 34  
2005 TBB 15 35 282 8.1 1      
2006 TBB 16 34 339 10.0 2      
Avg   16 39 353 9.0 1 1 11 0
Proj FA   5 50          

Hilliard’s move to Tampa Bay instead of retiring may have put a few dollars in his pocket, but it hasn’t done much to change the Buccaneers. During his two seasons there, Hilliard has been very consistent with about 35 catches for 300 yards and a score or two per year. This despite the big need for viable receivers in Tampa Bay since 2004. Consider Hilliard to be playing out a mediocre career and not to provide enough this year to merit any real fantasy attention. There is no upside here.

   
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