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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: GB 17, NYG 13

Here's an interesting game. The Packers defense is looking very good even if the offense isn't but the Giants return home from Dallas without their starting running back or quarterback. They also evidently never brought their defense with them as well since the Cowboys scored 45 points to lead the league this week. The Packers are banged up as well and this is one coin flip game.

Update: Lawrence Tynes has missed the last two days of practice with a calf injury and may not play this weekend. A determination will be made today or tomorrow about his availability and if needed, the Giants can sign a kicker quickly. Too much risk here to risk using Tynes this week. Also, Eli Manning has "worked on the side" and refuses to concede that he will not be playing this week but chances are best that he will and that Lorenzen takes the start. Derrick Ward has been named the starter this week with Reuben Droughns as his back-up.

Green Bay Packers (1-0)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 PHI 16-13 +3 43.5
2 @NYG 16-Sep +1 38
3 SD 23-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
4 @MIN 30-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
5 CHI 7-Oct SUN 8:15 PM
6 WAS 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 BYE - - -
8 @DEN 29-Oct MON 8:30 PM
9 @KC 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 MIN 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 CAR 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @DET 22-Nov THU 12:30 PM
13 @DAL 29-Nov THU 8:15 PM
14 OAK 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @STL 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @CHI 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DET 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
GB at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     260,2
RB Brandon Jackson 60 20  
TE Donald Lee   20  
WR Donald Driver   100,1  
WR Greg Jennings   40  
WR James Jones   70,1  
PK Mason Crosby 2 XP 1 FG  
Pregame Notes: The Packers offense only had marginal success last week against the Eagles but the defense controlled the game and allowed the close win. The rushing game went no where with the rookie Jackson and Jennings was out nursing a hamstring. Favre did little in his quest to own all the passing record but that could get a bump this week against the worst secondary after the first week of the season.

Quarterback: The management decision to not acquire any veteran upgrades to the receivers looks a bit ill-advised though the Packers got away with it last week. Brett Favre only threw for 206 yards and one interception. This week is bound to be more productive since the Giants were horrible on defense in Dallas and Jennings should be back.

Running Backs: Vernand Morency was held out last week with lingering soreness from his stained patellar tendon and the rookie Brandon Jackson did little to secure his role once Morency is healthy. Jackson only ran for 40 yards on 15 carries though he did add four catches for 35 yards. Morency will be questionable again this week and I will assume he sits out until more information is known. Updates if warranted.

Wide Receivers: Donald Driver had a decent game with six catches for 66 yards and that was fortunate since he had little help from anyone else. Jennings was out and replaced by the hot rookie James Jones who cooled down and only managed four catches for 29 yards. Ruvell Martin had two catches for 14 yards and when Ruvell shows up in the box score, you know the Packers should have spent some cash in fee agency this year.

I am assuming that Jennings plays this week since his hamstring strain wasn't considered severe last week. HC Mike McCarthy has expressed optimism that Jennings can play and this is a very good week to show back up on the field. That would push Jones back into the slot.

Tight Ends: Donald Lee supplied four catches last week but only gained 27 yards and all the good news on Bubba Franks only turned into 17 yards just like he's always been good for. Favre needs the targets but the tight ends took a hit with David Martin leaving.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants defense was terrible last week and may be without DE Osi Umenyiora who has an injury to his meniscus. That would greatly help open the running lanes for Jackson. There's not much to expect from the rookie who has not looked particularly sharp but this could be a decent game for him. Expect decent yardage but nothing worth changing your starters for.

Favre has to salivate thinking of going against the worst secondary in the league this week even though his receivers are "wanting". Look for a better game from Favre and the gang that should have decent yardage and scores for Driver and likely Jones or Jennings. Not yet knowing Jennings final status, I will give the score to Jones.

Gaining Fantasy Points GB 27 27 23 11 5 5
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 32 25 28 32 24 4


New York Giants (0-1)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @DAL 35-45 +5.5 44
2 GB 16-Sep -1 38
3 @WAS 23-Sep SUN 4:15 PM
4 PHI 30-Sep SUN 8:15 PM
5 NYJ 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 @ATL 15-Oct MON 8:30 PM
7 SF 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 @MIA 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 BYE - - -
10 DAL 11-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
11 @DET 18-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
12 MIN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @CHI 2-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
14 @PHI 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 WAS 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @BUF 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 NE 29-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
NYG vs GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Jared Lorenzen 10   160
RB Derrick Ward 70,1 30  
TE Jeremy Shockey   40  
WR Plaxico Burress   40  
WR Amani Toomer   30  
WR Steve Smith   10  
PK Undetermined 1 XP 2 FG  

Pregame Notes: Tough loss last week to the Cowboys that not only exposed a porous defense, it knocked out Eli Manning (shoulder), Brandon Jacobs (knee) and Osi Umenyiora (knee). Were they to lose Burress and Shockey too, the Giants could forfeit the rest of the season and save on aviation fuel. The Giants were already needing to replace Tiki Barber and now the offense will miss at least Jacobs for an extended period of time. This home game should have been one of the easier on the schedule but now takes on an entirely new look. Fortunately the Giants have one of the lighter schedule in the league this season.

Quarterback: Eli Manning actually outgunned his big brother last week when he threw for 312 yards and four touchdowns but he suffered a slightly separated shoulder and is listed as day to day. That could mean he is out for a month or he could play this week. Until credible information is available, the assumption is that he misses this week. If he is not 100%, it would be better to get him healthy for two divisional games waiting on the other side of this week. Jared Lorenzo would take the start with virtually no experience but Manning apparently is not bad enough to warrant finding a new quarterback.

Running Backs: Brandon Jacobs will miss three to five weeks with a sprained MCL in his right knee but at least Derrick Ward looked up to the task last week. Once Jacobs went down, Ward gained 89 yards on just 13 carries and looked surprisingly good against what was a surprisingly bad Dallas defense. Reuben Droughns only had one carry in that game as a sign that he's not going to be a threat to Ward or Jacobs when he returns.

Wide Receivers: Plaxico Burress a monster game last week in Dallas when he had eight catches for 144 yards and three touchdowns. His back is obviously not an issue now and he'll sorely miss Manning who relies on him in scoring situations. Amani Toomer had nine catches for 91 yards last week as well which was another sign that the Dallas secondary is hurting. The passing lanes were so open that Manning never had much reason to use the rookie slot receiver Steve Smith (3-16).

Without Manning in the lineup, this unit carries more than a little risk of a down game this week against what should be a much better secondary.

Tight Ends: While Jeremy Shockey has enjoyed many big games against the Cowboys in the past, he only turned in five catches for 41 yards because Manning could make completions much farther down the field.

Match Against the Defense: The Packers defense was stout against the pass last week though how much of that was a gimpy McNabb remains to be seen. The rush defense is softer though and Ward at home should have at least enough yardage to merit grabbing him in your waivers this week. Ward should have one score here if Lorenzen can get the Giants near the goal line. With a new quarterback, it is safe to assume that the run will be getting extra attention by the defense.

Lorenzen's production is relatively unpredictable though I will update later in the week if anything changes or more is known. The Packers help McNabb to only 184 yards and a gimpy McNabb should still be better than whatever a healthy Lorenzen will be.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 2 11 1 14 3 21
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 15 15 17 3 15 19

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