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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: KC 3, CHI 24

Both teams enter this week with 0-1 records but that is about the end of any comparisons. The Chiefs looked out of synch in their loss in Houston while the Bears hung tough in San Diego until the end. With a home opener for the fans and the need to get on the winning track, look for the Bears to continue to make the Chiefs look unprepared to play this year.

Update: Greg Olsen has returned to limited participation in practice but is still healing from his sprained knee. There is a chance that Olsen could play in the home opener this week but the safest course here is to not use Olsen. Even if he plays he will likely be limited in the game so I am not adding him to the projections.

Kansas City Chiefs (0-1)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @HOU 3-20 +3 38
2 @CHI 16-Sep +13 34.5
3 MIN 23-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
4 @SD 30-Sep SUN 4:15 PM
5 JAC 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 CIN 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 @OAK 21-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
8 BYE - - -
9 GB 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 DEN 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @IND 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 OAK 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 SD 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @DEN 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 TEN 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @DET 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @NYJ 30-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
KC at CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Damon Huard     180
RB Larry Johnson 50 50  
TE Tony Gonzalez   60  
WR Jeff Webb   20  
WR Samie Parker   30  
WR Dwayne Bowe   20  
PK Dave Rayner 1 FG    
Pregame Notes: The second season for Herman Edwards is not shaping up to be a very good one. The Chiefs were clobbered by the Texans last week, now play in Chicago and then get to go against the defenses of MIN, SD and JAC. All this with a passing game which lost the only wideout that has mattered the last few years and with Larry Johnson fat and happy but evidently not yet into game shape. Last week was their chance to start with a win. It is not here.

Quarterback: Opting to remain with Damon Huard over Brodie Croyle is like going back to driving your mini-van because it still runs unlike your new sports car. Huard only managed to throw for 168 yards and two interceptions last week and that may actually be unattainable here with Eddie Kennison out and Tony Gonzalez waltzing with the linebackers.

Running Backs: Larry Johnson only had ten carries last week and he did gain a respectable 43 yards but the game situation dictated that the Chiefs abandon the run. Johnson had seven catches for 44 yards as well and should maintain those sort of receiving numbers as the Chiefs work their way through a gauntlet of defenses the first month of the season. His receptions should keep up his fantasy value until the schedule relaxes a bit. But this offense is not looking like it will have the luxury of just running the ball in many games this year.

Wide Receivers: Just to make matters worse, Eddie Kennison pulled a hamstring last week and will likely to miss this game. A small positive so far is that Dwayne Bowe had three catches for 42 yards and is already getting into the swing but he'll still take time to produce fantasy significant numbers if at all this year. WIth Kennison out, the Chiefs will likely rotate receivers using Bowe and Jeff Webb

Tight Ends: Tony Gonzalez had five catches last week but only gained 28 yards. WIth Kennison out, the offense contracts to little more than Johnson and Gonzalez. That won't be lost on the Bears. He'll still have fantasy value if only because he will get so many passes thrown to him.

Match Against the Defense: The Chiefs catch a small break with the safety Mike Brown out with a knee injury and nose tackle Dusty Dvoracek nursing a sprained knee. Nothing nearly so good as to turn this offense around but the beat may not be as bad. Look for Johnson to gain as much or more yardage as a receiver as he does running and likely not score.

Huard struggled against the Texans last week and now goes to Chicago with little more than Parker, Webb and the rookie Bowe for wideouts. Huard will need to throw a lot in this game but that doesn't equate to decent numbers. Stay away from this entire offense other than Gonzalez and Johnson and even they won't likely have much production.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 30 26 26 22 25 16
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 4 27 1 31 3 24


Chicago Bears (0-1)
Homefield: Soldier Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @SD 3-14 +5.5 42.5
2 KC 16-Sep -13 34.5
3 DAL 23-Sep SUN 8:15 PM
4 @DET 30-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
5 @GB 7-Oct SUN 8:15 PM
6 MIN 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 @PHI 21-Oct SUN 4:15 PM
8 DET 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 BYE - - -
10 @OAK 11-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
11 @SEA 18-Nov SUN 8:15 PM
12 DEN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 NYG 2-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
14 @WAS 6-Dec THU 8:15 PM
15 @MIN 17-Dec MON 8:30 PM
16 GB 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 NO 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
CHI vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Rex Grossman     220,2
RB Cedric Benson 100,1 10  
TE Desmond Clark   20  
WR Bernard Berrian   80,1  
WR Muhsin Muhammad   60  
WR Devin Hester   30,1  
PK Robbie Gould 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Bears return from San Diego with an 0-1 record and more questions than answers about the offense. The defense played great holding the Chargers to only 14 points but neither Rex Grossman nor Cedric Benson did much to foster confidence that the offense will still click this year. Just one game and against a good defense on the road but this week the opener needs to show that all is fine in Chicago.

Quarterback: When the regular season started, Rex Grossman needed to show that he wasn't going to be inconsistent this year but after completing only 12 of 23 passes for 145 yards and one interception. When the Bears needed him most, Grossman couldn't deliver so this week is critical to have a good showing.

Running Backs: Cedric Benson already has fed his critics with his 19 carry, 42 yard performance in San Diego but in fairness he was often met by defenders before ever reaching the line of scrimmage. Like Grossman, a big game here would do a lot for his public relations and should be a good game. If Benson cannot get it done at home against a soft Chiefs team, then the rest of the season won't get much better.

Wide Receivers: Grossman spent most of the last game searching for Bernard Berrian downfield and threw 10 passes his way for five receptions and 83 yards. Muhsin Muhammad had only one catch for eight yards and Rashied Davis was held to no catches. No one expects Muhammad to be turning in big numbers but he has to matter more than just one catch.

Tight Ends: While Greg Olsen mends his knee, Desmond Clark takes all the work here and had three catches for 38 yards last week. He won't do much more than that in any game but should offer a few fantasy points each week until Olsen can play.

Match Against the Defense: Benson faces a defense that gave up 106 rushing yards to the Texans and that was one of the softer rush defenses last year. Look for Benson to finally get 20+ carries in a game and his best chance to top the 100 yard mark. He has plenty of motivation here along with the rest of the team and the Bears defense should grant him plenty of opportunities to run.

Grossman too gets a break since Patrick Surtain injured his shoulder last week though he would cover Muhsin Muhammad on most plays and Grossman just prefers Berrian. Expect a decent game here by Grossman but nothing too showy. The Bears needs a solid win but there is no reason to throw more than is really needed. While there is no real reason to expect it, I like the chance that Devin Hester is used on the offense and scores for the hometown crowd. Davis is a much better risk but the Bears need something for the hometown fans.

Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 31 28 27 15 28 15
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 19 11 22 4 21 30


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