The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, GuestJOINHELP


Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: BUF 3, NEP 27

The Bills barely lost to the Broncos and then got demolished by the Steelers in Pittsburgh. Now heading into New England is no place to hope for a turnaround. The way the Patriots are playing, the Bills should just start their second string and save their starters for games they can win. This could be a shutout if the Patriots care enough.

The Patriots swept the Bills in 2006, winning 19-17 at home and later 28-6 in Buffalo.

Buffalo Bills (0-2)
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DEN 14-15 +3.5 37
2 @PIT 3-26 +10 37.5
3 @NE 23-Sep +16.5 42
4 NYJ 30-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
5 DAL 8-Oct MON 8:30 PM
6 BYE - - -
7 BAL 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 @NYJ 28-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
9 CIN 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 @MIA 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 NE 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @JAC 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @WAS 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 MIA 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @CLE 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 NYG 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @PHI 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
BUF at NE Rush Catch Pass
QB J.P. Losman     150
RB Marshawn Lynch 40 10  
TE Robert Royal   10  
WR Lee Evans   30  
WR Roscoe Parrish   30  
WR Peerless Price   20  
PK Rian Lindell 1 FG    
Pregame Notes: Marshawn Lynch remains a gem of a draft pick and pretty much nothing else on this entire offense merits a positive note. Every apparent gain that was made last year with Losman and Evans in particular has been erased by two weeks of futility which are probably going to turn to three this week unless the Patriots decide to take a week off and just win by 10 points.

Quarterback: After two weeks of playing, J.P. Losman now has a total of just 251 passing yards and no scores with no interception. Losman cannot even manage to produce trash yards and scores when games are out of reach. On the road in New England probably is going to be every bit as ugly since the Patriots need to win big to prove they are good beyond their surveillance equipment.

Losman threw for 164 and 193 yards in meetings with the Patriots last year and never scored.

Running Backs: Marshawn Lynch was held to only 64 yards on 18 carries last week in Pittsburgh but that gives him 154 yards on 37 caries for a very respectable 4.2 yards per carry average. On this offense, it's downright astronomical. What has not been used is his ability as a pass catcher which he excelled in at Cal. Lynch only has three catches for 30 yards in his first two starts and for a team that really needs a decent receiver, it almost unfathomable why they have not used him more in this capacity.

The Bills using McGahee last year only had games of 70 and 59 yards against the Pats.

Wide Receivers: Those Lee Evans owners can readily tell you just how anemic his numbers are this year. The same receiver that had the 6th best receiving yardage in the NFL last year and that scored eight times has so far manage to catch only four passes for a total of 22 yards. Evans has been swallowed up by the secondary who just doesn't care who else goes out for a pass for the Bills because either Losman will miss them or the receiver will just drop it. Until Losman gets on track, Evans will continue to suffer. Expect this week to be more suffering.

Josh Reed missed the Steelers game with a thigh contusion but chances are you did not miss him.

No wideout had more than 53 yards against the Pats last year and none scored.

Tight Ends: Still shaken by the injury to Kevin Everett, this group has never had anyone with more than one catch per game.

Match Against the Defense: The Bills never scored a touchdown in New England last year and that was when they were much better and the Patriots were a lot worse. There could be some trash time, there could be a lot of it but so far Losman does not appear up to the task of benefiting from it. The only Bills player worthy of a start is Marshawn Lynch and now he goes to New England to play against a team that has not allowed more than 43 rushing yards this year.

After the big emotional win over the Chargers, the Pats could be down this week but still - would it matter?

Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 31 25 30 26 30 19
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 20 6 9 26 2 2


New England Patriots (2-0)
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYJ 38-14 -6.5 40.5
2 SD 38-14 -3 47
3 BUF 23-Sep -16.5 42
4 @CIN 1-Oct MON 8:30 PM
5 CLE 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 @DAL 14-Oct SUN 4:15 PM
7 @MIA 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 WAS 28-Oct SUN 4:15 PM
9 @IND 4-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
10 BYE - - -
11 @BUF 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 PHI 25-Nov SUN 8:15 PM
13 @BAL 3-Dec MON 8:30 PM
14 PIT 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 NYJ 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 MIA 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @NYG 29-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
NEP vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady     270,2
RB Laurence Maroney 90    
RB Sammy Morris 60,1 20  
TE Ben Watson   40  
WR Randy Moss   90,1  
WR Donte Stallworth   30  
WR Wes Welker   80,1  
PK Stephen Gostkowski 3 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Patriots were very motivated to win last week and show that their ability goes beyond stealing signs from opponents. They crushed the Chargers by the same 38-14 score that they crushed the Jets. This cakewalk on Sunday is followed by a game in CIN and later in DAL, but for now, this offense and defense are as dominating as any that the Pats have put up in the last decade. While Belichick's legacy now has a black mark, this year's Patriots look picture perfect.

Quarterback: Not only has Tom Brady thrown for three scores in each of the first two games, he has averaged 288 passing yards in each. He has also been dropped from a planned commercial for Right Guard deodorant because no one is sure if he still sweats. It's looked pretty easy so far - almost too easy. His limitation this week is how big of a score that they want to run up. No need to give away any more valuable game film than needed.

Brady threw for 163 and 195 yards in the games against the Bills last year with two scores in each game.

Running Backs: Since taking over as the primary back this year, Laurence Maroney has not been nearly as good as many who drafted him had hoped. Two big wins and so far Maroney has not scored a touchdown, not caught a pass and averaged only 18 carries for 75 yards with a high of just 79 yards. Even more bothersome is that Sammy Morris is turning in around ten carries per game for about 50 yards and has scored once. At this rate, Maroney is turning into the Boston version of Julius Jones. Even Heath Evans has a score and he only had two carries this year.

Maroney ran for 86 yards on 17 carries at home against the Bills last year but only managed eight carries for 29 yards in the week seven meeting when he was dinged up. Corey Dillon scored twice in that game.

Wide Receivers: After two games, Randy Moss has caught 17 passes for 285 yards and three touchdowns. He already has chemistry with Brady and despite being covered by up to three defenders, he still catches the ball. Brady is being everything that Culpepper ever was plus this is a winning team. Donte Stallworth only catches a couple of pass per game so far while Wes Welker has become the possession receiver with 14 catches for 152 yards. Throw in a good tight end and the occasional Jabar Gaffney and this passing game is perhaps the most dangerous in the league. Don't forget - Brady and company has yet to be in a game where he had to pass. So far this is all just "because we can".

Tight Ends: While Ben Watson hasn't had many yards so far, he has caught a touchdown in each of the first two games and remains a target despite there being so many others now.

Watson had nice efforts both times against the Bills last year, turning in 50 and later 60 yards.

Match Against the Defense: The question here is less what the Patriots can do and more what they want to do. No reason to unveil anything new here and a win should come with less challenge than last year. Look for moderate to good games from Maroney and even Morris just to run out the clock. The use of Maroney this week should be interesting and telling since he could get 25 carries if they want.

Brady faces a secondary that he could shred much like Jay Cutler and Ben Roethlisberger did but no reason here to roll up an obscene score. I like Brady to have a solid game but less than the first two weeks. There just is not as big a need and anything more than two passing scores is just showing off.

Gaining Fantasy Points NE 4 10 4 8 15 3
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 23 27 23 23 30 7

Other Features

Fantasy Statistics
Training Room
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t