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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: IND 24, HOU 10

The Colts head to Houston with a 2-0 record and for the first time actually meet a 2-0 record already there. The Texans have been a nice surprise this year but now the Colts cannot take them lightly anymore. These teams traded home wins last year, amazing as that seems, with the Colts winning 43-24 in week three and later losing 24-27 in week 16 in Houston.

Update: Dallas Clark was held out of practice on Wednesday and Thursday with a strained neck but has not been ruled out for this week. I am lowering his projections because he has not practiced and be sure of his status on Sunday if you intend on starting him. It still looks favorable that he will play.

Andre Johnson is already deemed out this week and Ahman Green was limited in practice on Wednesday but then practiced on Thursday. Ron Dayne was held out on Wednesday and then had only limited participation on Thursday due to a bruised ribs. Ahman Green was rested on Wednesday but then returned to practice on Thursday because of a sore knee. He should be pretty close to 100% by game time.

Indianapolis Colts (2-0)
Homefield: RCA Dome
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NO 41-10 -6 51.5
2 @TEN 22-20 -7 46
3 @HOU 23-Sep -5.5 48
4 DEN 30-Sep SUN 4:15 PM
5 TB 7-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
6 BYE - - -
7 @JAC 22-Oct MON 8:30 PM
8 @CAR 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 NE 4-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
10 @SD 11-Nov SUN 8:15 PM
11 KC 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @ATL 22-Nov THU 8:15 PM
13 JAC 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @BAL 9-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
15 @OAK 16-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
16 HOU 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 TEN 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
IND at HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning     300,3
RB Joseph Addai 70 30  
TE Dallas Clark   20  
WR Marvin Harrison   110,2  
WR Reggie Wayne   60,1  
WR Anthony Gonzalez   50  
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: After a blowout season opener, the Colts had another struggle against the Titans last week and now head to the site of their last loss. With the Patriots looking so strong, the Colts are no longer getting the media attention and that's just fine with them. Remember last year where they barely won a lot of games, it all counts as "W's no matter how they happen and this team can make it happen.

Quarterback: Peyton Manning is off to another hot start with a pace that would end with 4800 passing yards and 32 touchdowns and last least for this week that should continue. Manning had very little trouble passing against the Texans, he threw for 400 yards at home and 205 yards in Houston with three scores in each game.

Running Backs: Joseph Addai continues to shine with a score in each game so far and around 100 rushing yards per game. He enjoyed nice outings against the Texans last year, gaining 82 yards on 16 carries at home and later 100 yards on only 15 runs in Houston.

Wide Receivers: The season is still young but Marvin Harrison is chugging along with around 85 yards per game and one score while Reggie Wayne has slightly higher and two scores to his credit. Last week's excitement was the leaping catch between defenders that rookie Anthony Gonzalez made during his three receptions for 49 yards. That's all this offense needs - another set of good hands.

Predictably, Harrison had big games against the Texans last year when he had 127 yards at home on seven catches and later 112 yards on eight receptions with two scores in Houston. Wayne gained 135 yards in the home meeting but only had 27 yards in Houston and never scored in either.

Tight Ends: Throw a bucket of water on Dallas Clark before he bursts into flames. Clark has turned in games of 48 and 69 yards so far with one score and a total of nine catches. It isn't top five tight end stuff but it is consistent so far which is rare in Indy for a tight end.

Match Against the Defense: The Texans rush defense has much improved and held Larry Johnson to only 43 yards and the Panthers to just 53 rushing yards as a team. Look for a moderate game here by Addai and a good chance that his touchdown scoring ways will take a one week respite.

Manning has long trashed the Houston secondary and the Texans have only faced two teams so far - the Chiefs who cannot do anything and the Panthers who had Delhomme toss for 307 yards and three scores basically using only one receiver. Expect Manning to remind the Texans that 3-0 doesn't come all that easy.

Gaining Fantasy Points IND 8 15 6 5 3 7
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 22 3 24 8 3 1


Houston Texans (2-0)
Homefield: Reliant Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 KC 20-3 +3 38
2 @CAR 34-21 +6.5 39
3 IND 23-Sep +5.5 48
4 @ATL 30-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
5 MIA 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 @JAC 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 TEN 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 @SD 28-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
9 @OAK 4-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
10 BYE - - -
11 NO 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @CLE 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @TEN 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 TB 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 DEN 13-Dec THU 8:15 PM
16 @IND 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 JAC 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
HOU vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Schaub     160,1
RB Ahman Green 60 30  
TE Owen Daniels   40,1  
WR Andre Davis   20  
WR Jacoby Jones   40  
WR Kevin Walter   20  
PK Kris Brown 1 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: No doubt about it - these Texans are better with Matt Schaub and even Ahman Green. The win in Carolina placed an immediate stamp of legitimacy on this team and leadership and poise shown by the quarterback now paints a brighter future to come. Just not so much this week since Andre Johnson represents the entire passing game and he is likely out this week when they needed him the most. The Texans are making strides though and even that #1 draft pick from 2006 is starting to pay off.

Quarterback: Matt Schaub has brought all new life into the Texans offense by throwing for almost exactly 225 yards per game and scoring three times. The problem with that now is that Andre Johnson is expected to miss at least this week and he merely had 262 of the 452 passing yards this season and all three of the passing scores. That will be a huge adjustment for Schaub to have to make this week against a defense that is very good against the pass anyway.

David Carr threw for 219 yards and three scores at Indianapolis last year but later only managed 163 yards and one score at home.

Running Backs: Ahman Green has ran for around 70 yards in both games this year and scored once. He sat out from midway through third quarter until the end of the game because of cramping last week but should be fine for Sunday. The Texans ran for almost nothing in the road game against the Colts last year but then Ron Dayne rumbled for 153 yards on 32 carries and scored twice when they visited in week 16. This was when the Colts had clinched and their rush defense was the worst in the league.

Wide Receivers: Andre Johnson has a sprained posterior cruciate ligament in his left knee that will keep him out at last this week if not more. This is devastating to the Texans since Johnson accounted for all but 50 yards from the wideouts this year. He was having a great start to the season but Jacoby Jones only has two catches and none last week. Kevin Walter also only has one catch per week. While this may seem like a great week to start either Jones or Walter, the reality is that Johnson never had more than 56 yards against the Colts last year and scored only once at Indy. No other Texans wideout had any success against the Colts in 2006.

Andre Davis is likely to become the #3 wideout this week.

Tight Ends: Owen Daniels had five catches for 58 yards last week after a only a single catch in the season opener. He will have to show up big this week with Andre Johnson out.

Both Owens and Mark Bruener scored in the first meeting wit the Colts though neither had more than 45 yards and back in Houston the tight ends did nothing since the Texans ran so well.

Match Against the Defense: The Colts rush defense had not allowed more than 64 yards to any runner and only LenDale White rushed in a score on them. Look for an only a mediocre showing here by Ahman Green since the offense will already have challenges passing without Andre Johnson and the run will be that much easier to defend against.

Schaub faces a secondary that has only given up one score so far and no team has had more than 200 passing yards. Without Johnson in the lineup, figure it going to three. Ahman Green and Owen Daniels must figure in as receivers this week since Jones and Walter will struggle against the Indy secondary.

Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 16 19 12 19 8 2
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 9 10 11 9 11 14

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