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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: JAC 13, DEN 23

The Jaguars squeaked out a win last week despite hosting only the Falcons while the Broncos have now won two games this year on last play field goals. Both these teams are nowhere near as good on offense as expected and both are struggling to score points. This game has to favor the homefield Broncos who has to finally get past moving all over the field and yet rarely scoring.

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1)
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 TEN 10-13 -6.5 37.5
2 ATL 13-7 -10.5 34.5
3 @DEN 23-Sep +3 35.5
4 BYE - - -
5 @KC 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 HOU 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 IND 22-Oct MON 8:30 PM
8 @TB 28-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
9 @NO 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 @TEN 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 SD 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 BUF 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @IND 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CAR 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @PIT 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 OAK 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @HOU 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
JAX at DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB David Garrard 30,1   90
RB Fred Taylor 60    
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 40 20  
TE Marcedes Lewis   30  
WR Dennis Northcutt   20  
WR Ernest Wilford   10  
WR Matt Jones   10  
PK Josh Scobee 2 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Jaguars barely won last week and now are done with their two home games to open the year. That they only produced a total of 23 points is more than a mere concern. The rushing game is still MIA in Jacksonville and that spells doom for a team that cannot figure out which wideouts to use. The Jags fall from last year somewhat defies explanation since the combined totals from Jones-Drew and Taylor do not add up to what either could do in games last year.

Quarterback: David Garrard would be fine for a quarterback if only he had a rushing attack to balance the offense. Garrard has thrown a score in both games this year and averaged 235 yards using a motley crew of receivers. He even runs for around 25 yards per game and had yet to have a turnover. He's not there to win games as much as to not lose them and he plays his role well enough if the rest of the offense would come off vacation.

Running Backs: Just mind-boggling. Facing the visiting Atlanta Falcons, the best this crew could do was Fred Taylor running for 56 yards on 16 carries while Maurice Jones-Drew only had 16 yards on six runs. Combined, the duo have produced 135 rushing yards between them on 40 runs for a 3.4 yard average per run. The scoring machine Jones-Drew hasn't seen an endzone this year. Last week was the big chance for improvement and it didn't happen. It could be related to the new offense and it could be part of the failure to produce a respected passing game. Either way, it just doesn't work after two home games and now has to hit the road.

Wide Receivers: Dennis Northcutt is the closest the Jags can get to a decent wideout and he only had nine catches for 132 yards this season. Matt Jones stock is dropping so fast that he may not be active in future games. Ernest Wilford only gets two or three passes per week. The only wideouts to score so far are John Broussard on a bomb and Reggie Williams and neither player had catches in both games this year. This needs to be fixed and the running game would do much to help out.

Tight Ends: With about 35 yards per game, Marcedes Lewis is actually a very consistent and productive player in this offense.

Match Against the Defense: The Broncos have been surprisingly soft against the run this year with Lynch gaining 90 yards in the opener and then Lamont Jordan running for 159 yards last week. That should mean that Taylor and Jones-Drew have a bounce back game but the same was true last week and they were at home. Until the boat stops sinking, expect only minimal numbers from Taylor and Jones-Drew.

You can safely forget about Garrard this week against a defense that has not allowed any QB to throw for more than 97 yards this year. This should be about the Jags establishing the run but the jury is out on how that plays out.

Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 13 31 16 13 25 18
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 1 17 1 2 5 29


Denver Broncos (2-0)
Homefield: Invesco Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @BUF 15-14 -3.5 37
2 OAK 23-20 -10 37.5
3 JAC 23-Sep -3 35.5
4 @IND 30-Sep SUN 4:15 PM
5 SD 7-Oct SUN 4:15 PM
6 BYE - - -
7 PIT 21-Oct SUN 8:15 PM
8 GB 29-Oct MON 8:30 PM
9 @DET 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 @KC 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 TEN 19-Nov MON 8:30 PM
12 @CHI 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @OAK 2-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
14 KC 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 @HOU 13-Dec THU 8:15 PM
16 @SD 24-Dec MON 8:00 PM
17 MIN 30-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
DEN vs JAX Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler     240,1
RB Travis Henry 110,1 10  
RB Selvin Young 30    
TE Daniel Graham   20  
WR Javon Walker   90,1  
WR Brandon Stokley   50  
WR Brandon Marshall   60  
PK Jason Elam 3 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: Denver is 2-0 but that is about the ugliest way to get to undefeated. Last second field goals have now saved this team twice and it even took icing Janikowski last week to happen. The Raiders! The Broncos almost lost to the Raiders IN DENVER. It isn't that the Broncos do not have production from their offense, there are plenty of yards. They just cannot actually get points. With a trip to Indy waiting next week, Denver needs to fix their allergy to the endzone.

Quarterback: Jay Cutler has shown very nice progress from last year and has averaged about 285 yards per game this year with one score in each. He had thrown three interceptions but overall, he has been very solid in all facets other than scoring.

Running Backs: Travis "Big Daddy" Henry has been solid addition as well gained 267 rushing yards already this year while averaging 5.4 yards per carry. He's even had five catches for 52 yards. He just hasn't scored yet. It's all like all the yardage of Terrell Davis without any of the touchdowns.

The Broncos are starting to use Selvin Young more as a relief runner for Henry and Selvin bought his way into increased time with 43 yards on only three carries last week. Cecil Sapp only has five carries this year for 13 yards BUT... he has one touchdown. The only rushing score in fact.

Wide Receivers: Cutler's big numbers have translated directly to Javon Walker who has topped 100 yards in both games this year and 17 receptions easily leads the team. But he hasn't scored. Brandon Stokley plays as the #2 here and has one of the two receiving scores but hasn't been over 65 yards yet while Brandon Marshall is coming on strong with a 82 yard effort last week and a score from the season opener. This unit pumps out the yardage but is light on the touchdowns.

Tight Ends: Daniel Graham was impressive in the offseason but hasn't made any impact as a receiver so far. He's mainly just blocking which is why they brought him in anyway.

Match Against the Defense: This is a big test for the Jaguars since so far they have only faced Vince Young and Joey Harrington - hardly elite passers quite yet. And Chris Brown ripped this defense for 175 yards in week one. Look for another very solid game from Travis Henry with a great chance for a score if Cecil Sapp doesn't steal it again.,

Cutler should manage good numbers though the Jags secondary just hasn't been tested enough this year to draw solid conclusions yet. But if Roddy White can gain 81 yards last week, then fellow flanker Javon Walker should be just fine.

Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 10 4 7 30 4 16
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 2 23 2 11 7 8

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