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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: MIA 10, NYJ 17

The beauty here is that one team finally gets a win on the year. The downside - one falls to 0-3 and already is facing a big uphill battle in a division where the Pats once again are the only team currently with any wins this year. The Jets clipped the Dolphins twice last year, winning 20-17 at home and later 13-10 in Miami.

Update: Jerricho Cotchery has been limited in practice this week due to a sprained shoulder but is expected to play. Thomas Jones practiced fully on Thursday for the first time during the regular season and appears to be almost completely healed from his calf injury. Chad Pennington's ankle had him limited on Thursday but he's expected to play without limitation this week.

Miami Dolphins (0-2)
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @WAS 13-16 +3 35
2 DAL 20-37 +3.5 40.5
3 @NYJ 23-Sep +3 35.5
4 OAK 30-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
5 @HOU 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 @CLE 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 NE 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 NYG 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 BYE - - -
10 BUF 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @PHI 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @PIT 26-Nov MON 8:30 PM
13 NYJ 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @BUF 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 BAL 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @NE 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 CIN 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
MIA at NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Green     230,1
RB Ronnie Brown 40 40  
RB Jesse Chatman 30 20  
TE David Martin   10  
WR Chris Chambers   80,1  
WR Marty Booker   50  
WR Ted Ginn Jr.   10  
PK Jay Feeley 1 XP 1 FG  
Pregame Notes: A road trip to Washington was a close loss and then a home stand against the Cowboys was an big loss. This offense is apparently predicated on preventing any runner from getting into a rhythm and then just chunking the ball at or near Chris Chambers or the closest defensive back. Both running backs now have more receiving yardage than rushing and this from the coach that just left the all-time greatest rusher in San Diego. Go figure.

Quarterback: Trent Green is apparently set on replicating a high school offense where there is only one player on the team who can catch and he is winging it about 40 times per week and so far 27 passes have gone to Chris Chambers. There is no rushing game to support him and apparently none is really desired so it is only a matter of time before Green gets blasted because defenses know he will throw it 40 times each week and the majority of passes go to Chambers or to a running back.

The Dolphins had 266 yards and one score in week six against the Jets but later only managed 146 yards and one score.

Running Backs: Ronnie Brown has been consistent but that only means 11 carries per week for about 33 yards and three or four catches. He has 76 yards as a receiver against 65 as a runner. Jesse Chatman missed practices last week with a bruised knee but still played and had three carries for 27 yards to boost his two yard average from the previous week. He also had ten catches for 63 yards. This is one lethargic rushing attack. The offensive line is bad here but it was last season when Ronnie Brown ran for 90 or more rushing yards in six games and never once had less than 12 carries.

Brown loved running against the Jets in 2006. On the road, he gained 127 yards on 22 carries and scored once while at home he had 18 runs for 110 yards. That seems surreal now in this offense and it cannot be that the 25 year-old Brown is suddenly washed up. In two seasons, brown never had less than a 4.2 yard average. Now he has a three yard average and only 22 carries in two games. And no end in sight.

Wide Receivers: As noted, this offense is all about Chris Chambers who has been thrown 27 passes for 15 receptions and 201 yards with no score. Marty Booker briefly came to life on Sunday with 79 yards and a score against the soft Dallas secondary while Ted Ginn Jr. remains the most expensive kick returner in the world. He still has no catches.

No wideout had more than 66 yards against the Jets last year and only Chambers scored once in the road game.

Tight Ends: The step down from Antonio Gates to David Martin would break your ankle. Martin has three catches for 22 yards this season and is not yet a part of the passing scheme. If ever.

Match Against the Defense: The Jets are soft against the run again this year but there is simply no reason to expect that Brown can reprise his previous success against them since he is only going to get 11 carries a game and then let Jesse Chatman take over. Trent Green faces a low ranked secondary but only because Tom Brady shredded them in the opener. Last week in Baltimore the best any wideout had was 54 yards. Expect just more of the same here from Cameron.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 11 26 13 15 18 28
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 26 22 21 30 19 23


New York Jets (0-2)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NE 14-38 +6.5 40.5
2 @BAL 13-20 +9.5 33
3 MIA 23-Sep -3 35.5
4 @BUF 30-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
5 @NYG 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 PHI 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 @CIN 21-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
8 BUF 28-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
9 WAS 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 BYE - - -
11 PIT 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @DAL 22-Nov THU 4:15 PM
13 @MIA 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CLE 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 @NE 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @TEN 23-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
17 KC 30-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
NYJ vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Pennington     200,2
RB Thomas Jones 80 20  
RB Leon Washington   30  
TE Chris Baker   20  
WR Laveranues Coles   80,1  
WR Jerricho Cotchery   40  
WR Justin McCareins   10,1  
PK Mike Nugent 1 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Jets are now 0-2 and predictably so since they opened their season against two very tough opponents - NE and BAL. This is the week to get back to the winning ways of 2006. The Dolphins bring yet another solid defense but at least the offense is struggling for the Fins and the Jets just need a win before heading off for two road games that they can win. This should be the lowest point for the Jets this year and now a climb back up to chase that AFC wildcard.

Quarterback: Chad Pennington was knocked out of the season opener with a sprained ankle and missed last week but is expected to return this Sunday. Kellen Clemens did a solid job in relief with 260 yards and a score against the Ravens but Pennington is ready to play and has been named the starter this week. He also appreciates that Kellen took the job in Baltimore.

Pennington threw for 175 yards and two scores last year when the Dolphins visited in week six. He later had 237 yards and a score in Miami without any turnovers in either game.

Running Backs: So far the Thomas Jones experience has been a pretty dull ride. He has only gained 109 yards on 38 carries over the first two weeks for a 2.9 yard average but was facing two big defenses with a still healing calf injury. The Jets are not using Leon Washington any more even for relief so Thomas is getting everything there is to get in games.

The Jets never scored a rushing touchdown last year against the Dolphins.

Wide Receivers: Laveranues Coles scored twice in the first game - both from Pennington - but he is stalled around 60 yards per game. Jerricho Cotchery also had around 60 yards in that first week but then turned in a career best 165 yards on seven catches against the Ravens last week before injuring his shoulder and leaving the game. Pending later injury information, I am assuming that Cotchery will play this week without much limitation since there has been very little said about his shoulder so far. Updates as warranted.

Coles had five catches for 106 yards and two scores in the home game against the Fins last year while Cotchery scored in Miami.

Tight Ends: Chris Baker had a touchdown last week but it came on his only catch in the game. He'll just be a blocker with the occasional catch and every so often he is standing in the endzone when he gets the reception.

Match Against the Defense: The Dolphins rushing defense has been surprisingly soft this year and has already given up three rushing scores and over 110 rushing yards to running backs in each game so far. Jones hasn't looked great yet but should have an improved showing this week.

Pennington faces a secondary that he posted two scores against last year in New York and he's been very good with connecting with Coles against the Fins. Look for two passing scores in this one that could favor Coles for both or have one go to either McCareins, Washington or even Baker again. Cotchery never had a big yardage game against the Dolphins last year and hasn't connected well with Pennington this year so far. Add in a shoulder condition and it is safer to assume the score goes elsewhere. I am giving it to McCareins just to put it somewhere.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 15 32 11 16 26 32
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 17 31 14 19 29 19

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