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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: MIN 16, KC 20

The Vikings come off their first loss of the season and head to Kansas City where the Chiefs still await their first win of the year. Neither offense is working particularly well and the road team has the much better defense. That means a coin flip this week that slightly favors the hungry Chiefs who are at home for the first time this season.

Update: While Tarvaris Jackson has not yet been officially ruled out this week it appears all but spoken, His back-up has been Brooks Bollinger but the Vikings will likely opt for recently acquired Kelly Holcomb instead. A starter should be formally named as early as Friday afternoon and in either case it makes the already low passing numbers even more unreliable. Chester Taylor continues to be limited in practice because of his hip but is still expected to return to limited play this week. Troy Williamson is still hampered by a pulled hamstring and is not a lock to play but even if he does there would be very little expectations anyway.

Minnesota Vikings (1-1)
Homefield: Metrodome
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 ATL 24-3 -3 36
2 @DET 17-20 +3 42.5
3 @KC 23-Sep +2.5 33
4 GB 30-Sep SUN 1:00 PM
5 BYE - - -
6 @CHI 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 @DAL 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 PHI 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 SD 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 @GB 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 OAK 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @NYG 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 DET 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @SF 9-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
15 CHI 17-Dec MON 8:30 PM
16 WAS 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @DEN 30-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
MIN at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Kelly Holcomb     180,1
RB Chester Taylor 20    
RB Adrian Peterson 60 50  
TE Visanthe Shiancoe   20  
WR Troy Williamson   20  
WR Bobby Wade   50,1  
WR Sidney Rice   10  
PK Ryan Longwell 3 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Vikings defense has been the strength of this team since last season but the offense under one-time mastermind Brad Childress has just never caught on to his scheme or at least had the personnel to make it happen. With an injury to Tarvaris Jackson this week, the quarterback position is up for grabs while the defense has to figure out how to make sure Larry Johnson remains stuck in the mud this year.

Quarterback: Tarvaris Jackson suffered a groin injury on Sunday and is questionable at best this week. Jackson has only produced 165 passing yards in each game and even had four interceptions last week against the Lions. If he cannot play, it could be Brooks Bollinger again or even Kelly Holcomb could take the start since he has been with the team for a month now and should be ready as well. I am assuming that Jackson plays but is limited until later week information warrants updates.

Running Backs: After an electric start to his career by running for 103 yards in his debut, Adrian Peterson was held to just 66 yards on 20 carries in Detroit though he added four catches for 52 yards as well. Chester Taylor was inactive last week with a hip injury but it went to game day before the decision was official.

Taylor should be back at least on a limited basis this week and I am projecting based on a limited use of Taylor this week.

Wide Receivers: Troy Williamson had hamstring spasms last week and could not finish the game. He is expected to return this week. Bobby Wade remains the primary wideout here because he had a team high 34 yards last week against the porous Lions secondary. it is not going to get any easier from here on out.

The passing game is so bad here that none of these wideouts have any fantasy value until either Jackson undergoes a major transformation or when someone like Holcomb takes the starts. Until then, there are no scores here and hardly any yardage as well.

Tight Ends: The best any tight end has this year is 18 yards. No fantasy value here either.

Match Against the Defense: This week is the first time that the Chiefs will be at home and that makes a big difference. Look for Peterson to have only moderate gains here and to end with no touchdown.

Jackson faces a secondary that is at least average and sometimes better which is more than can be said for any part of the Vikings passing attack. Expect minimal passing yards unless Holcomb gets the start and even then it won't be much against a reeling Chiefs team at home for the first time.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 23 5 31 29 24 1
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 5 7 10 4 20 32


Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @HOU 3-20 +3 38
2 @CHI 10-20 +12 34.5
3 MIN 23-Sep -2.5 33
4 @SD 30-Sep SUN 4:15 PM
5 JAC 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 CIN 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 @OAK 21-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
8 BYE - - -
9 GB 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 DEN 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @IND 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 OAK 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 SD 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @DEN 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 TEN 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @DET 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @NYJ 30-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
KCC vs MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Damon Huard     150,1
RB Larry Johnson 80,1 40  
TE Tony Gonzalez   40  
WR Jeff Webb   10  
WR Samie Parker   20  
WR Dwayne Bowe   30,1  
PK Dave Rayner 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs slink back to Arrowhead for their first home game and a chance to finally win a game. While the defense has not been that bad this year, the offense has witnessed the complete shut down of Larry Johnson and the wildly ineffectiveness of Damon Huard. There was even enough speculation that the team would change quarterbacks that Herman Edwards had to officially say "everything is the same". This is a great chance for a win and one that the Chiefs need very badly.

Quarterback: While Damon Huard was clearly better than Brodie Croyle this sumner, so far that has only equated to about 170 passing yards per game with one touchdown against three interceptions . Of course Croyle stepped in and completed 4 of 4 for 55 yards in Chicago but that wasn't enough to erase the folly of the preseason quite yet. Huard was replaced last week after hurting his wrist and getting banged on the head but is expected to be ready this week.

Running Backs: Larry Johnson is rich, he is signed long-term and he once again looks like the Chiefs made a bad decision with a running back. Johnson only had 98 yards on 26 carries so far this year with some of his limitation stemming from a lack of carries and general rust. He has only had 16 runs in a game tops so far and expect that to start to increase - particularly at home against an opponent who has scoring woes themselves..

Wide Receivers: Dwayne Bowe has quickly become the primary wideout in Kansas City but it has only required five catches for 64 yards over two weeks to get there. Bowe not only has a touchdown this year, he has THE touchdown - the only one scored by the offense. Samie Parker plays the #2 here still but with almost no impact. Eddie Kennison remains out with a hamstring injury.

Tight Ends: This lack of success in the passing game has meant Tony Gonzalez is just another tight end - at best. He only has nine catches for 71 yards with no touchdowns. That's only bye week replacement good, not premier tight end good. He probably looks at pictures of Trent Green and just sighs.

Match Against the Defense: No doubt that the Vikings defense is good but this is the first home game for the Chiefs and the Vikes are on the road for a second straight game. Look for improvement by Larry Johnson this week and much more than the 16 carries he has been getting, The Vikes are tough on the run but LJ should get it done by volume of carries.

Huard will have a rough time getting much yardage this week but there's a good chance for one score here that should favor Bowe again or could end up with Gonzalez. This will be a lower scoring game and two touchdowns probably wins it.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 28 27 25 14 27 17
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 24 4 26 17 10 16

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