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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 4
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
Monday
On Bye
JAX, NO
*updates
TEN, WAS

Prediction: NYJ 24, BUF 10

The Jets finally make it to the win column after squeaking past the Dolphins last week. The Bills are not only still searching for their first win, they are now doing it with a rookie quarterback on a team that has lost their last two games by a combined score of 64-10. This is easily the best chance that the Bills have to get a win so far but that hardly means it has to happen. The same is true for the Jets.

These teams traded road wins in 2006, with the Jets taking the game in Buffalo 28-20 and later the Bills winning 31-13 in New York.

New York Jets (1-2)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NE 14-38 +6.5 40.5
2 @BAL 13-20 +9.5 33
3 MIA 31-28 +3 35.5
4 @BUF   -3 37
5 @NYG 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 PHI 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 @CIN 21-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
8 BUF 28-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
9 WAS 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 BYE - - -
11 PIT 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @DAL 22-Nov THU 4:15 PM
13 @MIA 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CLE 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 @NE 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @TEN 23-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
17 KC 30-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
NYJ at BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Pennington     250,2
RB Thomas Jones 110,1 10  
TE Chris Baker   20  
WR Laveranues Coles   100,1  
WR Jerricho Cotchery   80,1  
WR Justin McCareins   20  
PK Mike Nugent 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Jets finally won a game this year but had to hold off a big rally by the Dolphins at the end of the fourth quarter. More than the mere win was the fact that the Jets actually can score points this year when they are not facing teams like the Patriots and Ravens. The defense still has not allowed less than 20 points per game but at least the offense is finally getting into gear.

Quarterback: After sitting out week two with an ankle injury, Chad Pennington returned last week and threw for two scores and ran for a third one against the Dolphins. He still has not had more than 165 yards in a game this year thanks to bowing out early in week one but he has thrown for two scores in each and has yet to lose the ball on a fumble or interception. With Thomas Jones looking better and Pennington nearly healthy again, the offense should be flexing more muscle in the coming weeks.

Pennington had mirror games last year against the Bills, throwing for 183 and 182 yards with one score in each game. At home he did toss two interceptions.

Running Backs: After a slow start to the season while he regained form because of a calf injury, Thomas Jones finally had a big game when he ran for 110 yards on 25 carries last week - exactly what he was brought in to do. Leon Washington was given seven carries as well but did little with them. Now that the schedule is turning softer, Jones should regain his stature as an above-average back in the league. He just needs to keep the yardage and start adding in scores.

Wide Receivers: Other than the 165 yards gained by Jerricho Cotchery in week two when Pennington was out, the wide outs here haven't done too much this year. Laveranues Coles has scored in both games which Pennington started but hasn't had more than 59 yards in a game. Cotchery has turned in identical 55 yard games with Pennington at the helm as well. With a softer schedule looming and Jones finally running well, the duo here should step up their production over the coming weeks.

Coles had games of 10 catches for 78 yards in Buffalo and later four receptions for 67 yards and a score in the home game against the Bills. Cotchery only had games of 33 and 37 yards with no scores.

Tight Ends: Chris Baker only has four catches on the year but two went for touchdowns. No other receiver besides Coles has any scores.

Match Against the Defense: Great news here for Thomas Jones owners. Not only is he running well again, he goes against one of the worst rushing defenses in the league. The Bills have allowed every opponent to have a rusher exceed 100 yards against them this year so expect to see your best game yet from Jones. With Losman out for the Bills, there should be plenty of opportunities to run the ball for the Jets.

Pennington faces a secondary that held him in check in both games of 2006 but that has also given up at least 240 yards to all three quarterbacks that they have faced. Between Roethlisberger, Cutler and Brady, the Bills are allowing 285 passing yards per game. The Bills have a bottom five ranking against every fantasy position. Look for two scores here split between Cotchery and Coles.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 13 31 14 16 24 28
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 28 29 28 27 31 9

 

Buffalo Bills (0-3)
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DEN 14-15 +3.5 37
2 @PIT 3-26 +10 37.5
3 @NE 7-38 +16.5 41
4 NYJ   +3 37
5 DAL 8-Oct MON 8:30 PM
6 BYE - - -
7 BAL 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 @NYJ 28-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
9 CIN 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 @MIA 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 NE 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @JAC 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @WAS 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 MIA 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @CLE 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 NYG 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @PHI 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
BUF vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Edwards     140
RB Marshawn Lynch 90,1 20  
TE Robert Royal   10  
WR Lee Evans   20  
WR Josh Reed   30  
WR Peerless Price   30  
PK Rian Lindell 1 XP 1 FG  

Pregame Notes: This is not shaping up to be a banner season for HC Dick Jauron. It may be his final season, but by no means a banner one. The Bills have stumbled out of the gate to an 0-3 record and haven't even remotely been in games the last two weeks on the road. Now J.P. Losman has a sprained MCL and the rookie Trent Edwards takes over. Not only are the Bills ranked bottom five against every fantasy position, their own offense ranks bottom three in every fantasy position other than running back. After this week, all the Bills have to do is host the Cowboys before reaching their bye week. And then open against the Ravens in week seven.

Quarterback: J.P. Losman misses at least this week with a sprained MCL and the rookie Trent Edwards gets his first NFL start. Edwards entered the game in New England last week on the second series but still only managed to complete 10 of 20 passes for 97 yards and one interception. It was a tough spot to get his first playing time. The sixth quarterback drafted last April, Edwards inherits a team already struggling and it won't get any better under his inexperienced leadership. Losman had already killed off the fantasy value of Lee Evans and Edwards won't be doing any better.

Losman had 328 passing yards and one score when the Jets visited in week three and later had 157 yards and two scores in New York during week 14.

Running Backs: Even worse than Dwayne Bowe in Kansas City, Marshawn Lynch was drafted by a team with no offensive punch this year outside of himself. Given the bad situations that Lynch constantly finds himself in, his two touchdowns and 258 rushing yards on 57 carries has been nothing short of astounding. He is averaging 4.5 yards per carry and his two scores are the only ones made by the team this year. Lynch is the real deal but he got a raw deal being drafted by this team.

McGahee was the starter last year and he ran for 150 and 125 yards in games against the Jets with a score in the away game.

Wide Receivers: They also serve who stand and watch errant passes flutter past. But not in fantasy football where you get no fantasy points for incompletions.

Evans caught only two and four passes against the Jets in 2006 but had 91 and 104 yards with a score in each game.

Tight Ends: The tight ends have a pool going to see when the first one of them has two catches in a game. So far, it looks like someone can afford a new car at the end of the year.

Match Against the Defense: There is nothing special about the Jets defense this year by any means but the Bills offense is even worse and now it has a rookie quarterback trying to kick start it. Start Lynch here who should have a decent game,

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 32 24 31 30 32 24
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 25 30 15 30 22 17

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