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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 4
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
Monday
On Bye
JAX, NO
*updates
TEN, WAS

Prediction: OAK 17, MIA 24

Here's an even match between teams that are struggling with new schemes and new players. The Raiders are hardly road warriors but the Dolphins haven't been good anywhere. This is a coin flip game but the home team searching for their first win has the slight advantage... even if that is their only advantage.

Oakland Raiders (1-2)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DET 21-36 -1 39
2 @DEN 20-23 +10 37.5
3 CLE 26-24 +3 40.5
4 @MIA   +4 41.5
5 BYE - - -
6 @SD 14-Oct SUN 4:15 PM
7 KC 21-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
8 @TEN 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 HOU 4-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
10 CHI 11-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
11 @MIN 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @KC 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 DEN 2-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
14 @GB 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 IND 16-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
16 @JAC 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 SD 30-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
OAK at MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Daunte Culpepper     170,1
RB Lamont Jordan 90,1 20  
TE Zach Miller   20  
WR Jerry Porter   50  
WR Ronald Curry   60,1  
WR Mike Williams   20  
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Raiders finally got their win by holding off a comeback bid by the Browns last week and now travel to Miami before taking their bye. So far the rushing game with Lamont Jordan has been a big plus and even playing without Josh McCown in the second half didn't end up hurting the team. The Raiders have scored at least 20 points in every game this year which alone speaks volumes about how much better they are playing in 2007.

Quarterback: With Josh McCown nursing an injured foot, Daunte Culpepper may get the sweetest game of all - a chance to beat the team that he feels never showed him the proper respect or opportunity. Until further word is given to change it, I am assuming that Culpepper gets to take his first start. Since JaMarcus Russell has been with the team for three weeks now and Andrew Walter may be released soon, this could also be the final start for Culpepper as well. Russell may serve as the #2 quarterback this week if McCown cannot play.

Running Backs: Three weeks into a season that has included three soft defenses against the run and Lamont Jordan has been reborn if only for three games. Jordan gained a shocking 159 yards against the Broncos and then 121 yards against the Browns. He still is not being used as a receiver as he was in week one when he had nine catches but with so many rushing yards, the need was not as great. Soft defenses aside, this offense is blocking better and Jordan is running with purpose again.

Wide Receivers: Ronald Curry has been solid so far as long as the Raiders are at home against either the Lions or the Browns. He scored his second touchdown on the year last week against the Browns and is the only wide out that has any appreciable numbers. Jerry Porter has been almost invisible, catching one score in Denver but only totaling four catches for 92 yards over three games this year. Mike Williams only catches one pass per home game.

Tight Ends: John Madsen had a nice 61 yard effort on three catches last week thanks to one 39 yard reception but only has two catches on the season. Zach Miller remains the future at this position but that hasn't accounted for much this season.

Match Against the Defense: The Dolphins rush defense has not been as good this year in part because opponents are getting 30+ carries in most games. Jordan should have a decent game here and has a chance for one score as long as the Dolphins offense struggles.

Culpepper - at least likely - will face a secondary that is pretty solid while playing at home and the Raiders so far have only been able to get numbers from Curry this year - and only in home games. Expect lower passing numbers here even though Culpepper will want to show up his old team. The Fins are hungry for a win and almost had one in New York against the Jets. Whatever happens in the passing game here almost has to go through Curry.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 19 3 21 20 21 12
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 18 23 14 15 30 22

 

Miami Dolphins (0-3)
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @WAS 13-16 +3 35
2 DAL 20-37 +3.5 40.5
3 @NYJ 28-31 +3 35.5
4 OAK   -4 41.5
5 @HOU 7-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
6 @CLE 14-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
7 NE 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 NYG 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 BYE - - -
10 BUF 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @PHI 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @PIT 26-Nov MON 8:30 PM
13 NYJ 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @BUF 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 BAL 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @NE 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 CIN 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
MIA vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Green     260,2
RB Ronnie Brown 100,1 30  
TE David Martin   30  
WR Chris Chambers   110,1  
WR Marty Booker   60,1  
WR Ted Ginn Jr.   20  
PK Jay Feeley 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: Hopefully HC Cam Cameron noticed that when he just stuck with Ronnie Brown last week, he almost won the game and Brown was the most productive tailback in the NFL and in a road game no less. Trent Green continues to throw the ball at a high rate and with a ground game that works - these Fins can be competitive. Now back at home this week, this is the test to see if Cameron will stick with a good thing or decide he knows better by using Chatman again.

Quarterback: Trent Green is producing decent fantasy numbers lately with the last two efforts averaging 300 yards per game and scoring three times through the air over these last two weeks. Chambers is enjoying a career pace so far and the Dolphins offense is scoring an extra touchdown per game as they go. This is the first week that Miami is favored in a game too so Green has the consensus green light to win this one.

Running Backs: For reasons of sudden sanity, HC Cam Cameron opted to not use Jesse Chatman last week at all and see what Ronnie Brown could do as the primary, heavy-use back fantasy fans were wanting all along. With 112 yards on 23 rushes, 99 yards on six catches and three touchdowns, Brown alone equaled all the scoring of the team from the previous two games and led fantasy teams to victory last week if in fact they actually started him. The first two games had only 22 carries and 66 yards combined. If Cameron trots Chatman out onto the field this week, the Dolphin's fans should storm the field and lynch Cameron. All fantasy owners in the crowd will reach him first.

Wide Receivers: The heavy dose of passing has propelled Chris Chambers to all new highs - 21 catches for 302 yards in just three games. That's a 112 catch pace and the only thing Chambers needs is to actually score a touchdown. He has never been targeted less than 11 times in a game and never had less than six catches.

Marty Booker has come along for the ride to a lesser degree with about 70 yards in each of the last two games and one score on the year. Tedd Ginn Jr. even has an NFL catch now. Just one for 15 yards but there's some payback for the #9 overall pick in the NFL draft.

Tight Ends: All this passing and David Martin has only caught three passes for 31 yards so far. The lone passing score to tight ends ended up with Justin Peele in week one.

Match Against the Defense: The only good rushing attack that has faced the Raiders this year was on the road in Denver where Henry gained 128 yards. It's still a bit scary to expect that Brown is back, but he should turn in decent numbers this week if the Fins let him carry the load again.

Green faces a secondary that has allowed every team to score and throw for at least 250 yards. Expect decent numbers here that should see Chambers finally getting that first score on the season.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 11 8 15 19 13 32
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 27 17 29 13 28 28

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