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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

Prediction: NYG 24, ATL 14

After a slow start to the season, the Giants are on a three game winning streak. The 1-4 Falcons needed the Texans to be decimated by injury to get their only win of the year and the G-Men come to town getting healthier. And playing the Falcons this year with a change in quarterbacks should make the Giants both healthy and happy. Byron Leftwich? I gotta see this...

The Giants beat the Falcons 27-14 in Atlanta last year.

New York Giants (3-2)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @DAL 35-45 +5.5 44
2 GB 13-35 -2.5 38.5
3 @WAS 24-17 +3.5 40.5
4 PHI 16-3 +2.5 47
5 NYJ 35-24 -3 41
6 @ATL   -3 43.5
7 SF 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 @MIA 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 BYE - - -
10 DAL 11-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
11 @DET 18-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
12 MIN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @CHI 2-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
14 @PHI 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 WAS 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @BUF 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 NE 29-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
NYG at ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     190,2
RB Brandon Jacobs 80,1 10  
RB Derrick Ward 40 20  
TE Jeremy Shockey   60,1  
WR Plaxico Burress   50,1  
WR Amani Toomer   20  
WR Sinorice Moss   20  
PK Lawrence Tynes 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: After a nice road win in Washington, the Giants looked very good taking down the visiting Eagles and Jets these last two weeks. While no game is truly a "gimmee" in the league, playing the Falcons is about as close as the Giants can hope to see one this year. No time for taking a week off or underestimating an opponent with the Cowboys 5-0 in the NFC East. Getting Brandon Jacobs back last week made the offense that much better.

Quarterback: The Giants are back to winning but it hasn't had a lot to do with Eli Manning aside from wisely looking for Plaxico Burress near the goal line. Manning has not thrown for more than 232 yards in the last four weeks but his best two passing games did come on the road in Dallas (312) and Washington (232). The rushing game with Jacobs and Ward was big last week against the Jets and only helps serve to keep the defenses from loading up against the pass. Manning has thrown a score in every game this year.

Manning had 180 passing yards and two scores against two interceptions against the Falcons last season.

Running Backs: Derrick Ward was the starter last week and gained 56 yards on 13 carries with one touchdown but the story was the return of Brandon Jacobs who gained 100 yards on 20 carries and also had a touchdown. That was his first game over the century mark and his first in a full sixty minute game without Tiki Barber around. Ward was dinged up last week but assumedly plays again this week but the roles will be reversed with Jacobs after such nice results last week. Ward won't fade away by any means, but Jacobs will take the bigger slice of the pie.

Wide Receivers: Plaxico Burress has not been practicing because of his severe ankle sprain and he had swelling on it after the Jets game. But he keeps on playing and keeps on scoring - seven times already this year to lead the league and he has scored in every game. Burress turned in 124 yards last week for his second big yardage game of the year and has been as low as just 24 yards in a game. But he scores, he always scores.

Amani Toomer started the year out well with 91 yards in Dallas but just gets worse each week and had no catches on Sunday. This is all about Burress and Shockey and there is no room for Toomer.

Burress only caught four passes for 44 yards and did not score against the Falcons last year.

Tight Ends: Jeremy Shockey finally scored for the first time last week when he had just two catches for 33 yards against the Jets. Two of his best three games this year came on the road though and Shockey will need to show up no less with Burress the only other viable receiving option for the Giants.

Shockey turned six receptions into 55 yards and two touchdowns in Atlanta last season.

Match Against the Defense: The Falcons have been about average against the rush but have not played against many decent running attacks this year. Jacobs and Ward will decrease each other but together they should post at least solid numbers with Jacobs a good chance for one rushing score in this match-up.

Manning goes against a secondary that will pit DeAngelo Hall on Toomer if they line up normally but the Falcons have moved Hall around before and only Burress commands much respect here. Expect lower passing numbers in this game and two passing scores that favor Shockey and Burress (but with fewer yards thanks to Hall).

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 11 12 10 13 19 8
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 10 19 8 17 23 26


Atlanta Falcons (1-4)
Homefield: Georgia Dome
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @MIN 3-24 +3 36
2 @JAC 7-13 +11 34.5
3 CAR 20-27 +4 37.5
4 HOU 26-16 +2.5 39.5
5 @TEN 13-20 +8 41
6 NYG   +3 43.5
7 @NO 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 BYE - - -
9 SF 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 @CAR 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 TB 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 IND 22-Nov THU 8:15 PM
13 @STL 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 NO 10-Dec MON 8:30 PM
15 @TB 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @ARI 23-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
17 SEA 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
ATL vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Joey Harrington     240,2
RB Warrick Dunn 50 10  
RB Jerious Norwood 30 20  
TE Alge Crumpler   50,1  
WR Joe Horn   10  
WR Michael Jenkins   50,1  
WR Roddy White   80  
PK Morten Andersen   2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The 1-4 Falcons opted to bench Joey Harrington last week and go with Byron Leftwich as the guy who couldn't get it done at the end of the game near the goal line with four tries. Harrington returns as the starter this week but the worse news of all is that LT Wayne Gandy tore his ACL and is gone for the season. Remember what happened when the Eagles lost their left tackle and tried to use a replacement? It was spelled Omenyiora and pronounced as "ouch".

Quarterback: Joey Harrington was yanked from the Titans game last week after completing 16 of 31 passes for just 87 yards and one interception. Luckily for him, Byron Leftwich looked just as bad going 2 of 8 for 28 yards and an interception as well and the Falcons have named Harrington as the starter again this week. He gives them a much better chance to lose by fewer points.

Running Backs: Wow. The NFL's best overall rushing team not only lost all those Vick yards, they are getting about half as much from the duo of Warrick Dunn and Jerious Norwood as they did last year. Dunn comes off his worst game of the year with only 27 yards on ten carries but he has scored once this year. He is hanging in just north of three yards per carry while Jerious Norwood is given between six and nine runs per week where he gains just over four yards per carry. The Falcons allude to using Norwood more every week and never do. Then again they keep losing as well.

Dunn ran for 146 yards and one score on only 14 carries against the Giants last year.

Wide Receivers: This should be an interesting week since Michael Jenkins only has two good games this year - both in the only two home games played. He had six catches in each and scored twice against the Texans. He has never had more than two catches in a road game or more than 15 yards. Roddy White is the primary here and good for at least 60 yards per week and he too has been better at home. With a struggling rushing game, the receivers will need to step up this week so long as Harrington has the time to throw.

Joe Horn is now searching for the game that can yield double digit yardage. He only had eight yards in the last two games combined.

Tight Ends: If any Falcons player still pines for Michael Vick, it is Alge Crumpler who only had five catches for 38 yards in the last two games combined. But Crumpler, like the rest of the offense, has played better in home games and scored once in the Panthers match-up.

Crumpler caught five passes for 66 yards against the Giants last season.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants have been about average against the run this year but that does not describe what the Falcons bring to the table. No reason to expect even moderate yards or a score from the split between Dunn and Norwood.

Harrington gets his second chance to keep Leftwich on the bench and goes against one of the softer secondaries in the league so long as the pass rush does not get to him as it did to McNabb. Best bet here is to expect decent yardage and one or two scores that should end up with Jenkins and especially Crumpler going against one of the worst teams against tight ends.

Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 27 28 19 15 20 25
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 28 18 15 31 5 15

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

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