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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 6
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
On Bye
BUF, DEN
Monday
DET, IND
PIT, SFO
*updated

Prediction: WAS 16, GB 20

Both of these teams are one home loss to a divisional opponent away from being undefeated and the Packers come off their just last week. Playing in Green Bay will slant this towards the Packers but it is a toss up game depending which teams show up.

Update: Antwaan Randle El has not practiced because of his strained hamstring and is not expected to play this week. Santana Moss has returned to full practices and is expected to start. I have added him back into the projections.

Greg Jennings has been nursing a sore shoulder and been limited this week. The Packers hope to have him practice fully on Firiday but this shoulder sprain is separate from the hamstring issue that made him miss time earlier this year. If you need him, make sure he is active for the game. I will not change his projections but be aware of his shoulder situation.

Washington Redskins (2-1)
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIA 16-13 -3 35
2 @PHI 20-12 +7 38.5
3 NYG 17-24 -3.5 40.5
4 BYE - - -
5 DET 34-3 -4 44.5
6 @GB   +3 40.5
7 ARI 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 @NE 28-Oct SUN 4:15 PM
9 @NYJ 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 PHI 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @DAL 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @TB 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 BUF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CHI 6-Dec THU 8:15 PM
15 @NYG 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @MIN 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DAL 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
WAS at GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell 30   220,1
RB Clinton Portis 70 10  
RB LaDell Betts 20 20  
TE Chris Cooley   50,1  
WR Santana Moss   60  
WR James Thrash   10  
WR Keenan McCardell   30  
WR Brandon Lloyd   40  
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: After squeaking out two wins this year, the Redskins came off their bye week rather rested and prepared because they not only held the Lions to a single field goal, the Skins posted a season high 34 points in the game. More impressively, they accomplished it without Santana Moss and even Antwaan Randle El only played for one half before getting injured. Clinton Portis had his knee bother him. But none of that mattered with a defense that shut down the Lions and an offense that could shift gears to other players. This week will be the biggest challenge of the season on the road against a team that just had their first loss of the year.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell has been more of a game manager than a quarterback though he comes off a season high 248 yards and two scores against the Lions. Prior to that he had not thrown for more than one score in a game and usually hangs around 200 yards in most match-ups. The tougher the game, the more Campbell will run but last week he had no rushing yardage.

Running Backs: Once again, Clinton Portis only gets 18 carries in a game which makes him turn in 17 or 18 when the Skins win and less when they lose. Portis only gained 72 yards and did not score against the Lions after recording a touchdown in each of the first three games. The Skins are not going to over-use him and limit his carries. Last week Ladell Betts had his normal six or eight carries per game but Mike Sellers stepped up with five carries for 24 yards and one touchdown and added three catches for 36 more yards and another score.

Bad enough to watch Portis and Betts limit each other, but now Sellers is stepping in to take the touchdowns. Sellers won't show up in a box score again until you least expect it though, he only had six carries for 16 yards over the first three games.

Wide Receivers: Facing the ultra-soft secondary of the Lions last week did result in better passing numbers but Santana Moss was out with a strained groin suffered two weeks ago. Antwaan Randle El was having a nice game with 100 yards on seven catches but he too left the game with a hamstring strain. Despite playing the Lions, no other wideout had any significant production. Actually no other wideout has ever done anything for the Skins this year.

Pending practice information, I am assuming that Moss and Randle El will be out this week and will add them back in on Friday if warranted.

Tight Ends: While Campbell doesn't throw a lot to any receiver, he does even less towards Chris Cooley who has yet to record more than 26 receiving yards in a game this year but for the third straight week he scored a touchdown.

Match Against the Defense: The Packers at home have not allowed any runner to gain more than 85 rushing yards and even held Tomlinson to just 62 yards on 22 carries. The score by Benson last week was the first rushing score allowed by the Packers this year. Expect moderate rushing yards here by the Skins and likely no rushing score.

The Packers secondary has always allowed at least one passing score to opponents and decent yardage if they pursue the pass enough. But the Skins may have problems with starting wideouts this week and that greatly shrinks this passing attack. Best bet here is one touchdown pass that ends up with Cooley though Campbell may end up with two. If Moss and Randle El cannot play, it should result in Cooley's best game of the year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 19 5 26 11 13 13
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 19 13 14 29 21 11

 

Green Bay Packers (4-1)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 PHI 16-13 +3 43.5
2 @NYG 35-13 +2.5 38.5
3 SD 31-24 +5 43
4 @MIN 23-16 -1 38
5 CHI 20-27 -3 41
6 WAS   -3 40.5
7 BYE - - -
8 @DEN 29-Oct MON 8:30 PM
9 @KC 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 MIN 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 CAR 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @DET 22-Nov THU 12:30 PM
13 @DAL 29-Nov THU 8:15 PM
14 OAK 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @STL 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @CHI 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DET 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
GBP vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     250,1
RB DeShawn Wynn 50,1    
RB Vernand Morency 30 50  
TE Donald Lee   30,1  
WR Donald Driver   50  
WR Greg Jennings   40  
WR James Jones   50  
PK Mason Crosby 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: It had to happen eventually. The Packers come off their first loss of the year and it was the worst game of all to have lost - a home stand against the rival Bears. The oddity in the game was that for the first time the Packers were producing a decent rushing attack and were passing well but the fabled Magical Mystery Tour of Brett Favre got derailed. The Packers defense finally could not hold up but this week gets to try to get it right with another home game. This makes the fourth time in six weeks that the Packers are at Lambeau Field. The schedule gets a lot tougher after the week seven bye and there'll only be three more home games in the nine weeks following the bye.

Quarterback: Brett Favre has now thrown for over 320 yards in each of the last three games and his 322 against the Bears was actually lower than he has been throwing. But he only had one score and threw for two interceptions after only having two in the first four games combined. Favre is well on his way to get the yardage record from Marino this year and he even got his name in the record book on Sunday when he officially threw more interceptions than any person to play in NFL history.

Running Backs: Brandon Jackson was deactivated for the second straight game because of a strained shin but the Packers ran better than any other time this year. DeShawn Wynn carried 13 times for 78 yards and one score while finally got back to playing this year when he ran nine times for 43 yards and caught seven passes for 48 more. When Jackson is healthy, it will only serve to make this unit even more fractured as the committee approach is on tap the entire season.

Morency is the one worth a casual eye here because of his role in passing game. For leagues that use reception points, Morency may end up worthwhile start if he continues to be a common receiver.

Wide Receivers: Greg Jennings may have missed the first two weeks with a hamstring injury but he has returned with a vengeance. He has scored in each of the three games he has played and twice had over 80 receiving yards. Donald Driver has been stuck around 50 or 60 yards the last couple of weeks while James Jones was on a 70+ yard streak until last week when he only had 49 yards but scored his first NFL touchdown. Of course he also lost two critical fumbles that likely killed scoring drives in a game the Packers lost as well. With Favre throwing well, this unit is coming along and no longer relies solely on Driver to score points.

Tight Ends: The tight ends were used more in the initial weeks of the season when they scored three touchdowns between Bubba Franks and Donald Lee in the first three weeks but the last two games have seen more passing to the wideouts, particularly with Jennings back.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins defense has been very improved this season though this will only be the second time they have played on the road. The Packers rushing attack only recently has shown some life so expect only moderate numbers here though Morency could turn in decent numbers as a receiver as did Westbrook when they met. The Packers should punch in one rushing score but no more than that.

Favre faces a secondary that has been very solid and that has faced good quarterbacks in Green, Manning, Kitna and McNabb and yet has only allowed two scores - in total. And never more than 240 passing yards. Favre has been on a 300 yard streak but that should end this week. Look for at least one passing score but two would be much more than the Skins have yet allowed. Look for the tight ends and backs to be used more as receivers this week since the Skins have held almost all wideouts to very little and only Burress has scored against them.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 6 18 5 9 8 18
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 2 14 2 9 15 3


The Huddle
WEEK 6
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
On Bye
BUF, DEN
Monday
DET, IND
PIT, SFO
*updated

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