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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

Prediction: TEN 16, HOU 13

Both teams are coming off a road loss but only the Texans still have their quarterback - at least potentially. This should be a surprisingly competitive game between two good teams instead of two bad teams as it would have in the past. The outcome of this game - and any by the Titans for that matter - depends on how healthy Vince Young is. This should be another low scoring game barring a defensive score.

The Titans swept the Texans last year, winning 28-22 at home in week eight and later 26-20 in Houston during week 14.

Update: Vince Young remains "day to day" officially but has not practiced this week and now HC Jeff Fisher says he is a game time decision. This is an early game so you could potentially start him if he is active but do not expect it. I am not changing the projections.

Ahman Green was held out of practice on Wednesday to rest his knee but returned for full work on Thursday and is expected to play. ANdre Johnson appears still to be a scratch this week despite the varying reports of his return. He has not practiced since week two when he suffered the injury and that says it all. Jacoby Jones does not appear on the injury report and is expected to play this week.

Tennessee Titans (3-2)
Homefield: LP Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @JAC 13-10 +6.5 37.5
2 IND 20-22 +7 46
3 @NO 31-14 +4 45
4 BYE - - -
5 ATL 20-13 -8 41
6 @TB 10-13 +2.5 37
7 @HOU   SUN 1:00 PM
8 OAK 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 CAR 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 JAC 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @DEN 19-Nov MON 8:30 PM
12 @CIN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 HOU 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 SD 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @KC 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 NYJ 23-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
17 @IND 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
TEN at HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins     190,1
RB Lendale White 60 10  
TE Bo Scaife   20,1  
TE Ben Troupe   20  
WR Justin Gage   40  
WR Eric Moulds   60  
WR Roydell Williams   40  
PK Rob Bironas 3 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Titans dropped their game in Tampa Bay by the slimmest of margins and lost Vince Young and Chris Brown in the process. Seeing Kerry Collins again served as a reminder why Vince Young was drafted in the first place. This week is the fourth road game in six games played so the schedule lightens up with three straight home games but it all depends on what "day to day" means for Young.

Quarterback: Vince Young was running out of bounds against the Buccaneers and pulled up lame thanks to what was termed a quadriceps injury. In his place, Kerry "the statue" Collins only competed 10 of 20 passes for 125 yards and the Titans could not score more than 10 points in the game. According to trainers, he could not bend his knee without pain and is called "day to day" which is coachspeak for "you guess". I am projecting for Collins to start this week until Young can practice and appears a safe start. The Texans have a decent pass rush and exposing Young to further injury would do little to help the Titans.

Young threw for 218 yards in Houston last year and also ran for 86 yards. He scored rushing touchdowns in both games against the Texans in 2006.

Running Backs: The Titans ground game has been mediocre this year since week one and Chris Brown left the Bucs game with a sprained ankle. That left LenDale White to take a career high 25 carries to produce only 64 rushing yards though he did score for the third time this year. If Young misses time, the offense needs this unit to step up but so far it has not appeared capable of improvement.

Wide Receivers: The bad news continued with arthroscopic surgery on Brandon Jones last week that will have him out for the next couple of weeks. Jones was the only wideout here with productive consistency and Roydell Williams and Eric Moulds have done little in the last three weeks. And even less with Collins though Moulds has slowly been getting more catches and yards and is already up to a whole 49 yards on six catches. The absence of Jones really hurts this unit since the rest of this group would struggle to serve as a #3 on most any other NFL team.

No Titans' wide receiver did much against the Texans last year except for Drew Bennett who had six catches for 113 yards in Houston.

Tight Ends: Bo Scaife comes off a season high three catches for 45 yards and he has the only touchdown pass caught by a tight end this year. Even with Jones and Young out, there's little to suggest that the tight ends here will step up much this week. All three of Scaife's catches last week did come from Collins.

No tight end had more than 15 yards during the two match-ups with Houston last year.

Match Against the Defense: The Houston defense has been dinged by Addai, Brown and Jones-Drew but there is hardly an equivalent on the Texans squad. I am counting out Chris Brown for now with his ankle injury and LenDale White will do well enough to get moderate rushing yardage regardless which quarterback plays.

Collins faces a secondary that is not better than average but then again, the Titans receivers can only dream of meeting average status. I like one passing score here eventually that could go anywhere. I will give it to Scaife mostly just to put it somewhere.

Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 26 16 26 22 16 19
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 17 21 20 15 26 7


Houston Texans (3-3)
Homefield: Reliant Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 KC 20-3 +3 38
2 @CAR 34-21 +6.5 39
3 IND 24-30 + 6 47.5
4 @ATL 16-26 -2.5 39.5
5 MIA 22-19 -5.5 43
6 @JAC 17-37 +7 37
7 TEN 21-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
8 @SD 28-Oct SUN 4:05 PM
9 @OAK 4-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
10 BYE - - -
11 NO 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @CLE 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @TEN 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 TB 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 DEN 13-Dec THU 8:15 PM
16 @IND 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 JAC 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
HOU vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Schaub 10   260,1
RB Ahman Green 50 20  
TE Owen Daniels   80  
WR Andre Davis   70,1  
WR Jacoby Jones   40  
WR Kevin Walter   50  
PK Kris Brown 2 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Texans have now lost three of their last four games and only a three point win over the visiting Dolphins prevented the sweep. The running game remains near death and the passing game just cannot keep receivers healthy. That hot start to the season is fading quickly and while the future looks brighter with Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson, the present still has problems on defense stopping opponents and Johnson remains out for yet more time. This would be a great place to notch a win with four road venues in the next five games and the Texans may have caught a break if Vince Young cannot play but since Andre Johnson left, the offense has struggled and the team keeps losing all but the easiest games.

Quarterback: Matt Schaub is having more challenges every week with an ever-injured receiving corps and few signs of life from the rushing game to support him. Schaub hasn't thrown a touchdown pass since week four and only has five on the season. In each of the last three games he has lost a fumble and usually been sacked a couple of times. He's also throwing an interception a week lately with most yardage coming later in games during trash time.

Running Backs: Ahman Green returned on Sunday but against an aggressive Jags defense only could gain 44 yards on 16 carries. Green was injured in week three but like Schaub, his only good games came in the first two weeks when the receivers were all healthy as well. Playing in Jacksonville is not usually a treat though and this week should provide an easier match-up for Green. The Texans elected to keep Ron Dayne inactive last week and use Samkon Gado who also plays on special teams. Gado had four carries but only gained 15 yards last week. This rushing game continues to be a focus of the coaching staff but so far the results are not changing.

Wide Receivers: The most recent word on Andre Johnson has him out for several more weeks and perhaps until week eleven after the Texans' bye. This knee has been slow to heal up and get into shape. Jacoby Jones had a slightly separated shoulder in week three and hasn't played since but could return this week. I will include him in Friday updates if he is able to practice this week and play.

Last week had ample trash time in the blowout in Jacksonville and Kevin Walter had a career game of 12 catches for 160 yards. That was roughly 90 yards more than he had ever had in his career. And yet he still never scored. Andre Davis fell to only three catches for 30 yards and it was rather apparent which receiver was the larger concern for the Jaguars secondary.

Andre Johnson had games of 78 and 68 yards against the Titans last year and scored in Tennessee.

Tight Ends: Owen Daniels continues to provide excellent yardage numbers this year and also continues to never score a touchdown. He has averaged about five catches for 70 yards in games this year. If he could just throw in even the occasional score, he would be a truly great fantasy tight end and his consistency each week does merit him as an automatic starter.

Daniels had a career best fantasy game last year when he caught nine passes for 99 yards and two scores as a visitor against the Titans last year. At home he only managed two catches for 25 yards.

Match Against the Defense: The struggling rushing game is not likely to improve much this week. The Titans have only allowed one runner to top 49 rushing yards against them and even Addai only had 80 yards. Expect just moderate yardage at best this week from Green and likely no score.

More bad news for Schaub since the Titans have only given up three passing scores this season though most teams have decent yardage against them. Look for another nice yardage effort from Schaub that will favor Andre Davis the most for just one touchdown pass though Jones could as well if he plays.

Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 14 22 13 12 4 8
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 4 5 11 11 9 17

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

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