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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
On Bye

Prediction: IND 24, CAR 14

Just one more game for the Colts to get through to reach the much-hyped game of the year at home against the Patriots next week. The Panthers have lost Jake Delhomme and hope to get David Carr back but the Panthers offense has never been much more than Steve Smith and the Colts can cover one person with Carr - or Vinny Testaverde - throwing the ball.

Update: Marvin Harrison has not practiced so far this week and I am lowering his projections slightly because it is not likely he will show up healthy and have a big game here. David Carr has practiced fully this week but still has the back issue that could force him from the game if he gets hit too hard. DeShaun Foster was limited on Wednesday but returned on Thursday and his toe is not expected to prevent him from playing this week.

Indianapolis Colts (6-0)
Homefield: RCA Dome
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NO 41-10 -6 51.5
2 @TEN 22-20 -7 46
3 @HOU 30-24 -6 47.5
4 DEN 38-20 -10 46.5
5 TB 33-14 -9 45
6 BYE - - -
7 @JAC 29-7 -3.5 45
8 @CAR 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 NE 4-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
10 @SD 11-Nov SUN 8:15 PM
11 KC 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @ATL 22-Nov THU 8:15 PM
13 JAC 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @BAL 9-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
15 @OAK 16-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
16 HOU 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 TEN 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
IND at CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning     230,2
RB Joseph Addai 70 10  
RB Kenton Keith 30,1 20  
TE Dallas Clark   50,1  
WR Marvin Harrison   30  
WR Reggie Wayne   80,1  
WR Anthony Gonzalez   20  
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: Solid win over the Jaguars on Monday puts the Colts on a short week to prepare but they've won each of the last three games by 18 points or more and the Colts are all healthy again. Just have to make it through this week with another "W" and no one injured.

Quarterback: Peyton Manning has not posted as gaudy numbers this year as expected but then again - the Colts keep winning and the rushing game is better than hoped for with Addai and Keith taking the load. And Manning has scored in every game this year and turned in a total of eight scores over the last three weeks. Manning is only doing what needs to be done.

Running Backs: Joseph Addai returned last week after missing one game and ran for 85 yards on 16 carries. He was joined by Kenton Keith who also had 15 runs for 56 yards and one score. No need to rush Addai back too heavily with his chest injury sustained a few weeks ago. He needs to be healthy in week ten. If the Colts get a decent lead here (and they will) expect to see more of Keith again this week.

Wide Receivers: Marvin Harrison is still not completely healed from his bruised knee and only had three catches for 16 yards against the Jaguars while Reggie Wayne enjoyed his best showing of the season with nine catches for 131 yards. Between the success of the rushing game and the use of Dallas Clark, this has been the most unproductive seasons for Colts wide receivers this century. But they are there and they can step up when needed.

Anthony Gonzalez dressed and was active but for the first time he had no passes thrown to him and the Colts relied more on Aaron Moorehead.

I would expect that Harrison would take it easy this week as well.

Tight Ends: While Dallas Clark did not get involved until later in the game on Monday, he still ended up with four receptions.for 66 yards and his fifth consecutive game with a touchdown catch. He nearly rivals Wayne in his consistency every week and has more receiving scores (6) than the rest of the Colts team combined (5).

Match Against the Defense: The Panthers have been fairly good at stopping the run this year but have given up a rushing score four times this year. Look for one touchdown by Addai or Keith this week and moderate rushing numbers.

Manning should manage to toss at least two scores in this game since the Panthers high ranking stems from playing mostly bad passing teams (STL, ATL, TB, NO). This game has the look of a repeat of last week only with more second string Colts playing by the end of the game.

Gaining Fantasy Points IND 5 3 14 1 2 18
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 10 16 17 6 20 7


Carolina Panthers (4-2)
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @STL 27-13 -1 42
2 HOU 21-34 -6.5 39
3 @ATL 27-20 -4 37.5
4 TB 7-20 -3 39
5 @NO 16-13 +4 43
6 @ARI 25-10 +6 38.5
7 BYE - - -
8 IND 28-Oct SUN 1:00 PM
9 @TEN 4-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
10 ATL 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @GB 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 NO 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 SF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @JAC 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 SEA 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 DAL 22-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
17 @TB 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
CAR vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB David Carr     170,1
RB DeShaun Foster 50 10  
RB DeAngelo Williams 60 20  
TE Jeff King   40,1  
WR Steve Smith   70  
WR Keary Colbert   20  
WR Drew Carter   10  
PK John Kasay 1 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Panthers took their win in Arizona thanks to last minute addition Vinny Testaverde and that was good enough to propel the Panthers to a 4-2 record at their bye week. But now it all gets tougher with looming games against the Colts, Titans and Packers in the next four weeks. The rushing game came to life in the last game but mostly only because of one run. With Delhomme out and David Carr in place, these Panthers need the defense to step up for the next month and keep them in games that the offense can win.

Quarterback: While Vinny Testaverde did win the game in Arizona with one touchdown and 206 passing yards, David Carr remains the starter. This is exactly why he was acquired in the offseason. Unfortunately, his two starts this year have only produced 155 passing yards at best and only one score in each game. What is worse is that he killed off the value of Steve Smith and without Smith catching passes, the defenses can focus more on the ground game that doesn't need much to bog down. Carr has not officially been named the starter but expects to play.

Running Backs: DeShaun Foster was already struggling in most games this year and the loss of Delhomme only made matters worse. Over the last three games, Foster has only run 51 times for 166 yards and a meager 3.3 yard rushing average. DeAngelo Williams was much worse until the most recent game against the Cardinals when he broke off a 75-yard run for a touchdown. He added nine more carries for 46 yards. Foster still remains the starter here despite his pedestrian numbers but Williams will still figure in. For most weeks, the duo shared about 2:1 in carries to favor Foster.

Wide Receivers: With Testaverde as the starter, Steve Smith came back to life and reeled in 10 catches for 136 yards and one score in Arizona but the two games with Carr produced only nine catches for 79 yards combined though he did score once against the Saints. The passing with Carr gave Keary Colbert 74 yards on four catches against the Saints but otherwise he has killed off the fantasy value here other than Smith. That will come back to haunt the Panthers during the tougher match-ups looming for the next four games and in particular this week.

Tight Ends: Jeff King probably misses Delhomme more than any other receiver. He has only had 59 yards on five receptions in the three games since Delhomme left.

Match Against the Defense: The Colts on the road still have a formidable rushing defense and the Panthers will need to start throwing at some point anyway. Look for only average numbers from both Foster and Williams and likely no score against the Colts who have only given up three rushing scores to running backs this year.

Carr faces One of the very best defenses in the league and the #1 against wideouts as well. That does not bode well for Smith who should have a fair amount of catches for a very low average per catch. I like the Panthers to throw for just one score that will likely end up with King.

Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 16 15 12 22 14 31
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 3 11 1 18 5 2

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
On Bye


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