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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

Prediction: CAR 6, TEN 20

The Panthers are on an amazing streak of winning every road game and yet losing every home effort. The Titans have won at home as long as they are not facing the Colts and these Panthers bear little resemblance to them. The only certain thing here is that there will not be a ton of points or likely much passing.

Carolina Panthers (4-3)
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @STL 27-13 -1 42
2 HOU 21-34 -6.5 39
3 @ATL 27-20 -4 37.5
4 TB 7-20 -3 39
5 @NO 16-13 +4 43
6 @ARI 25-10 +6 38.5
7 BYE - - -
8 IND 7-31 +6.5 45
9 @TEN   +4 40
10 ATL 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @GB 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 NO 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 SF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @JAC 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 SEA 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 DAL 22-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
17 @TB 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
CAR at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB David Carr     150
RB DeShaun Foster 50 10  
RB DeAngelo Williams 20 10  
TE Jeff King   30  
WR Steve Smith   50  
WR Keary Colbert   30  
WR Drew Carter   20  
PK John Kasay 2 FG    

Pregame Notes: How weird is it to have lost the last five straight games at home and yet to have won all six of the most recent road games? And despite the odd trend, these Panthers are still a half game in the lead of the NFC South over the Buccaneers. The quarterback situation is still highly questionable going into this week and yet the same was true in the two previous road trips that resulted in wins. The trend needs to stop now though since the Panthers have five of their next games at home. Usually that is an advantage but in Carolina this year nothing is usual.

Quarterback: Looks like David Carr is the likely starter this week despite nursing a sore back that bothers him just to bend over to take a snap. Vinny Testaverde strained his right Achilles tendon last week and the old man won't be healing quickly. Carr has never had more than 155 passing yards in any game with the Panthers and only has two passing scores on the year.

Running Backs: DeShaun Foster has three scores on the year but only one outside of Atlanta and that came last week during the blowout loss to the Colts when he ran for 62 yards on 19 carries. That 60 yard mark appears to be his natural level even though he gets around 18 carries in most games. DeAngelo Williams is as inconsistent as ever coming off a 121 yard game against the Cardinals and only coming up with five runs for 14 yards on Sunday. Unfortunately, he tends much more towards the 14 than the 121 in games this year. This rushing attack has been rather pedestrian outside of two games and has only produced three rushing scores on the year.

Wide Receivers: Steve Smith has been the only wideout of any note in Carolina this year and yet he comes off a game of only 18 yards against the Colts and that wasn't even his worst effort so far. Outside of the one big game in Arizona when Testaverde was the quarterback, Smith has remained below 50 yards in each of the last five games and really misses Delhomme who gave two huge games to start the season. With Carr as the starter, even Smith cannot come up with much.

Tight Ends: After three bad efforts, Jeff King finally turned back to productive ways when he had a season high 10 catches for 82 yards against the Colts last week. That level of workload could continue this week against a decent secondary in Tennessee. But in the two previous starts by Carr, King only had a total of three catches for 47 yards. Last week, Carr completed five passes for 50 yards to King.

Match Against the Defense: The Titans have been outstanding against the run this year and only Addai had success against them. No other runner has gained more than 61 rushing yards and the Panthers are going to split carries anyway. Expect lower games from Foster and Williams here with likely no score.

Carr faces a secondary that had only allow one passing score during the three home games this season and that belonged to Peyton Manning. No reason to expect more than minimal passing yardage and no passing score either. This should be yet another game with low results from Smith who just has never been on the same page with Carr.

Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 18 15 17 17 20 31
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 9 3 17 8 10 15


Tennessee Titans (5-2)
Homefield: LP Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @JAC 13-10 +6.5 37.5
2 IND 20-22 +7 46
3 @NO 31-14 +4 45
4 BYE - - -
5 ATL 20-13 -8 41
6 @TB 10-13 +2.5 37
7 @HOU 38-36 OFF OFF
8 OAK 13-9 -7 41
9 CAR   -4 40
10 JAC 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @DEN 19-Nov MON 8:30 PM
12 @CIN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 HOU 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 SD 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @KC 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 NYJ 23-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
17 @IND 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
TEN vs CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 20   130
RB Chris Henry 60,1 10  
RB Lendale White 80,1 20  
TE Bo Scaife   20  
WR Justin Gage   30  
WR Eric Moulds   30  
WR Roydell Williams   20  
PK Rob Bironas 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Titans are winning games but not by much. The last two games went against the Texans and Raiders and were only won by a combined five points though in Houston there was that fourth quarter explosion. A wake up call to be sure for the defense and the Panthers come to town this week with an offense that is almost certain to sputter. The Titans could be caught looking past to their match-up against the Jaguars but at 5-2 they cannot afford to under prepare any week. More troubling than anything is the play of Vince Young who has been on a five game slide since week two with decreasing effectiveness as a passer.

Quarterback: Vince Young returned in week eight after missing a game with a quad injury. He only completed six of 14 passes for 42 yards and his seven runs only gained 11 yards. Since his 184 yard effort against the Colts, he has decreased each week and only has 319 passing yards combined over the last three games with no touchdowns. If that's not bad enough, he's also been below 30 rushing yards in every game since week two and has only one rushing score on the year. After six starts, Young only has three passing scores.

Running Backs: The great news for the offense is that LenDale White is running well lately and has logged 100+ yard efforts in each of the last two games and has four touchdowns on the season. Chris Henry has now played in two games and been the most impressive runner of the crew even though he is officially ranked third on the depth chart behind White and the ever-injured Chris Brown. Henry has scored in both games played and ran for a total of 15 carries for 105 yards - an average of seven yards per carry.

I am including Henry in the projections from now on and he has to be given more work since he's been so productive each time he touches the ball.

Wide Receivers: There's no real fantasy value with this group when Young plays and even Roydell Williams went from 124 yards on five catches with Collins as the starter to only one catch for three yards last week when Young played. Brandon Jones has been out since week five and even he only has one score on the year and just no games over 40 yards since week three. It's just a barren wasteland with Young playing.

Tight Ends: Sadly the same woes hit the tight ends as well. Bo Scaife had a season high six catches for 49 yards with Collins and last week settled down to only two catches for 12 yards.

Match Against the Defense: The Panthers rushing defense has been their weakness and five different runners have scored against them this year though only Addai topped the 100 yard mark. Expect solid rushing numbers here with a score each for Henry and White and decent rushing totals.

The Panthers have a good secondary that has only allowed Peyton Manning to score against them in the last four games. Look for more of the same from Young which will depress his wideouts and their fantasy owners as well.

Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 29 9 27 23 1 8
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 13 20 18 6 17 7

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

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