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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 9
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
Monday
On Bye
CHI, MIA
*updated
NYG, STL

Prediction: GB 17, KC 24

The Chiefs have won four of their last five games and Larry Johnson has been getting on track again. The Packers continue to surprise with an overtime win in Denver but they'll be a bit more tired with a short week and yet another road trip. Never count out Favre, but figure the conditions are ripe for a let down this week. Then again, The Packers are 3-0 on the road this season. But the Chiefs have been preparing for this game for two weeks.

Green Bay Packers (6-1)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 PHI 16-13 +3 43.5
2 @NYG 35-13 +2.5 38.5
3 SD 31-24 +5 43
4 @MIN 23-16 -1 38
5 CHI 20-27 -3 41
6 WAS 17-14 -3 40.5
7 BYE - - -
8 @DEN 19-13 +3 44
9 @KC   +2.5 38.5
10 MIN 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 CAR 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @DET 22-Nov THU 12:30 PM
13 @DAL 29-Nov THU 8:15 PM
14 OAK 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @STL 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @CHI 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DET 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
GBP at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     280,2
RB Ryan Grant 70 20  
RB Vernand Morency 20 30  
TE Donald Lee   30  
WR Donald Driver   50  
WR Greg Jennings   70,1  
WR James Jones   60,1  
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: It was a patented Favre moment when he lofted that 82-yard touchdown pass to Greg Jennings in overtime on Monday and the win keeps the Packers a game ahead of the Lions in the NFC North. The Packers are now moving on to their fourth running back of the year in Ryan Grant who looked sharp against the soft defense of the Broncos. The Packers defense remains unheralded for what they have accomplished but this week is going to be a tired one.

Quarterback: Yet again, Brett Favre gives announcers reasons to love him. His exciting finish to the Denver game gave him 331 yards and two scores against two of the better cornerbacks in the league though roughly half the yardage and both scores came on just two very long completions. That gives Favre his fourth 300 yard game this year and in three road games this year he has always had at least two passing scores and at least 280 passing yards.

Running Backs: DeShawn Wynn was placed on injured reserve due to his shoulder injury and now Ryan Grant has been named the starter after gaining 104 yards on 22 carries against the Broncos. Vernand Morency will fill the third down role but has been of only minor fantasy value and now no one in the backfield will have scored a touchdown this year. Grant ran well as everyone else has in Denver. But he gets his shot now to show that was not just a one week performance against a bad defense. Grant also had three catches last week though he only had seven yards gained. Morency should end up with more receptions in most games.

Wide Receivers: For all the big fun of Monday night, Donald Driver still only had three catches for 28 yards though one score did ping off his hands in the endzone. Driver has not done much since week three. He hasn't scored and hasn't turned in more than 58 receiving yards as the one guy the defense focuses on stopping. Greg Jennings comes off a career best 141 yards and one score thanks to his 82-yard touchdown catch and that makes four of his five games played this year producing a touchdown. James Jones comes off a career best 107 yards on three catches thanks to his one score on a 79- yard reception last Monday. He only had one other score this season and had never gained more than 75 yards in a game prior to being in Denver.

Tight Ends: Donald Lee has only scored once this year but has been rock solid in yardage for a tight end. He's averaging four catches per week with 43 yards.

Match Against the Defense: The Chiefs are only average against the run overall, but at home has been better and Ryan Grant is still new. Expect that Grant has a decent rushing yard total and some receiving yards but not score.

Favre faces a very good secondary but their higher ranking has been helped by facing some weaker opponents so far, Carson Palmer threw for 320 yards and two scores there in week six so expect almost the same from Favre. That should again favor both Jennings and Jones though without the 80+ yard scoring this time.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 6 20 6 9 11 13
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 4 15 8 5 13 22

 

Kansas City Chiefs (4-3)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @HOU 3-20 +3 38
2 @CHI 10-20 +12 34.5
3 MIN 13-10 -3 33.5
4 @SD 30-16 +13 38.5
5 JAC 7-17 +2 35
6 CIN 27-20 +3 42
7 @OAK 12-10 +3 37.5
8 BYE - - -
9 GB   -2.5 38.5
10 DEN 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @IND 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 OAK 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 SD 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @DEN 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 TEN 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @DET 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @NYJ 30-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
KCC vs GBP Rush Catch Pass
QB Damon Huard     210,2
RB Larry Johnson 100,1 20  
TE Tony Gonzalez   90,2  
WR Jeff Webb   40  
WR Samie Parker   20  
WR Dwayne Bowe   40  
PK Dave Rayner 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs started 0-2 on the season but after winning four of their next five games, they have clawed their way back up and now come off their bye week to host four of the next five match-ups at Arrowhead Stadium. Larry Johnson has been back in top form for the last two weeks and the defense continues to be underrated. With two games left to play against Denver and two road wins over the Raiders and Chargers, the Chiefs are in control of their own fate. They just need to continue to win.

Quarterback: Damon Huard has an easier job when Larry Johnson runs well but when the rushing game takes over the offense as it did in Oakland, then Huard's numbers decline anyway. He still only has six scores on the year and in most games remains under 200 passing yards because he locks onto Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez. Their fortunes are the same as Huard each week.

Running Backs: Larry Johnson has topped 100 rushing yards three of the last four games but that one where he missed was against the Jaguars when he only had 12 yards on ten carries. But Johnson has finally scored in each of the last two games and become more used as a receiver with six catches in Oakland. Facing two soft rushing defenses produced two very nice games but Johnson has to show he can do it against better match-ups. Then again, only the Colts present an above average rushing defense on the remaining schedule.

Wide Receivers: Though he has not scored in the last three games, Dwayne Bowe continues to be a factor in the passing game every week and is the lone wideout for the Chiefs with any reliable use. Jeff Webb appeared to be stepping up with seven catches in week six but then had no catches in the last game. Bowe has taken over the "Kennison" role in the offense and should be a contender for Offensive Rookie of the Year. If the wideouts are going to be a factor in a game, it will be Bowe who has all but one receiving score by Chiefs' wideouts this year.

Tight Ends: There is no doubt that Tony Gonzalez is having a great year. He has only scored three times this season but already has two efforts over 100 yards and has been averaging seven catches for 87 yards over the last five games. His 66 yards in Oakland was his lowest output since week two.

Match Against the Defense: The Packers are good against the run and have only allowed one running back to rush in a score against them (Benson of all people) and only Peterson has topped 100 yards. But Larry Johnson is rested unlike the Packers defense. Look for a good yardage game with a good chance for one touchdown.

Where this game tilts is in the passing since the Packers are one of the worst teams against tight ends and Gonzalez is one of the best . Huard should manage to get above 200 yards here but not by much since Johnson will be running a lot. But I like the chance for Gonzo to score at least one touchdown and possibly two this week. The Packers have already given up four scores to tight ends in just the last three weeks.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 24 30 26 5 24 11
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 23 10 4 30 15 5

The Huddle
WEEK 9
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
Monday
On Bye
CHI, MIA
*updated
NYG, STL

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