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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

Prediction: WAS 17, NYJ 10

This could be the most depressing game of the weekend. The Redskins come off a spanking of historic proportions by the Patriots while the Jets lone claim to winning remains a three point game over the winless Dolphins. The Jets are starting to come apart at the seams internally and losing Laveranues Coles last week is akin to most teams losing half their offense. The Skins are in a classic situation for getting caught in a trap game coming off a total thrashing and facing off against one of the weakest teams in the league. It's even a road game where the Skins play worse but still it is the Jets and that cannot be enough since there is no confusing Campbell with Tom Brady.

Update: Laveranues Coles has not practiced this week because of his concussion from last Sunday. I am removing him from the projections because there is too great a risk that he does not play this week. This is his second concussion in the last ten months and that must be treated seriously. Justin McCareins or Brad Smith would start in his place. Chris Baker has been limited this week because of his sore back so I am lowering his projection slightly but he still could play. I like the Jets to score a touchdown here but it could go to any player.

Washington Redskins (4-3)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIA 16-13 -3 35
2 @PHI 20-12 +7 38.5
3 NYG 17-24 -3.5 40.5
4 BYE - - -
5 DET 34-3 -4 44.5
6 @GB 14-17 +3 40.5
7 ARI 21-19 -7 37
8 @NE 7-52 +16 48
9 @NYJ   -3.5 35.5
10 PHI 11-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
11 @DAL 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @TB 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 BUF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CHI 6-Dec THU 8:15 PM
15 @NYG 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @MIN 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DAL 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
WAS at NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     220,1
RB Clinton Portis 90,1 20  
RB LaDell Betts 30 10  
TE Chris Cooley   50,1  
WR Santana Moss   50  
WR Antwaan Randle El   70  
WR Brandon Lloyd   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: Nothing like losing 52-7 to remind a team that they are not quite "there yet." Fortunately all the NFC East has to lose to the Pats this year so the Skins remain within two games of the Cowboys and just one game behind the Giants. But the offense has been mired around 17 points in most games and that alone will prevent the Skins from advancing in the playoffs even if they make it there.

Quarterback: It doesn't really matter if the Skins are dominating the Lions or getting scalped by the Patriots, Jason Campbell is programmed to throw for around 200 yards each week with one score thrown to Chris Cooley. He even started out with 68 rushing yards in the first two games but now never runs for more than ten yards if that. He's wonderfully consistent as a quarterback but the rest of the team cannot guarantee that 200 yards and one score is enough to win every game. So far - barely half of them.

Running Backs: It's been a case of Portis-lite all year. After seven games, Clinton Portis still has yet to break 100 rushing yards despite playing some soft opponents and he's only scored in one game since week three. And it isn't a case of Ladell Betts taking a significant number of carries from him either. Portis has gained 433 yards on 115 carries so far for an average of 3.7 yards per carry and he only ran for 134 yards on 49 carries over the last three games - just 2.7 yards per carry. On the road, Portis has only scored once this season.

Wide Receivers: The lower passing game of Campbell really affects this unit that has yet to record a single touchdown this season. Not one. Santana Moss lost a fumble once so they have more fumbles than scores. Santana Moss hasn't been above 41 yards since week three and Antwaan Randle El shows up about once every three or four weeks with a good yardage game but overall this unit just does not invoke much fear into opposing secondaries. Moss did miss the Lions game though and Randle El gained 100 yards in that match-up.

Tight Ends: With five touchdowns in the last six games, Chris Cooley is not only the lead scorer for the Skins, he has all but one of the passing touchdowns this year. His yardage tends to remain around 20 or 30 yards per game but he just shows up in the endzone with the ball in almost every game. Without him, the Skins would have no passing game that could score.

Match Against the Defense: Jason Campbell is set up well here because the Jets have never failed to give up at least one passing score in every game and almost all opponents end up around 200 yards or better. There's even the chance that he could have one of his ultra-rare double score games here. The Jets are fairly weak against tight ends and have given up a score to four already so expect Cooley to chug along with his usual touchdown.

This has to be the game where Portis gets back on track since the Jets are horrible against the run and had allowed nine rushing scores and solid to great yardage to every running back that they have faced. Expect at least 80 rushing yards here and one score with a bigger game very possible.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 23 14 30 10 30 16
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 20 30 25 18 21 23


New York Jets (1-7)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NE 14-38 +6.5 40.5
2 @BAL 13-20 +9.5 33
3 MIA 31-28 +3 35.5
4 @BUF 14-17 -3 37.5
5 @NYG 24-35 +3 41
6 PHI 9-16 +4.5 43.5
7 @CIN 31-38 +5.5 46.5
8 BUF 3-13 -3 37
9 WAS   +3.5 35.5
10 BYE - - -
11 PIT 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @DAL 22-Nov THU 4:15 PM
13 @MIA 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CLE 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 @NE 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @TEN 23-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
17 KC 30-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
NYJ vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Kellen Clemens     200,1
RB Thomas Jones 60 20  
TE Chris Baker   20  
WR Laveranues Coles 50
WR Justin McCareins   40  
WR Jerricho Cotchery   60,1  
WR Brad Smith   30  
PK Mike Nugent 1 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: Overall, this season could have gone better. The Jets not only have the lone win over the Dolphins to keep them from being an equivalent to them (which may happen in week 13 anyway), but they have lost most of their games by a full touchdown or more. There is enough talent on this team to get another win this year if only be trapping some opponent but there won't be many of them.

Quarterback: After finally giving in and making the switch to Kellen Clemens in the final three minutes of their latest loss, HC Eric Mangini has named Kellen Clemens as the starter for this game and the move should help improve the offense. At the very least, it gives Clemens some playing time since Pennington's time in New York is drawing to a close.

Running Backs: Thomas Jones complained last week about his playing time and went from 19 carries for 67 yards to 16 carries for 70 yards last week. At least the Jets did finally use him as a receiver and he turned in five receptions for 34 yards after never catching more than two passes in any other game. He still has not scored this year and is averaging 3.9 yards per carry. He just rarely gets more than 20 carries in any game.

Wide Receivers: The Jets may be facing a catastrophe if Laveranues Coles cannot play this week. He is the only wideout that is reliable as a scorer and his presence is what frees up Jerricho Cotchery to be the "yardage" guy from this unit. Coles was hit in the fourth quarter and had to be helped off the field. He did not return and since HC Eric Mangini learned his craft under Bill Belichick, the only information released so far was that he had an unspecified injury. Coles has already been banged up in virtually every game this year and often misses practice time but then plays. Barring practice information, I will assume that Coles will play without much limitation but will update as needed.

Tight Ends: The only start by Clemens this year has been week two and in that game he only threw one pass to Chris Baker for a three-yard touchdown. Going against a good secondary this week could mean more action for Baker.

Match Against the Defense: You can forget the showing of the Redskins defense last week - there is no comparison between the Patriots and the Jets. Until last week, the Skins had only allowed five passing scores in their first six games and starting Clemens this week won't make it any better. Look for one passing score eventually but nothing more. That will obviously favor Coles if he is healthy and likely Baker if he is not.

Jones goes against a very good rush defense that has only allowed two running backs to score this year. Safest bet here is that Jones continues his impressive string of mediocre yardage and no scores. The Skins have never allowed a runner to top 100 rushing yards and Jones is far less likely to be the first.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 22 32 11 26 25 26
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 24 12 10 11 12 18

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

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