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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

Prediction: DAL 24, NYG 20

This should be the game of the week since it pits two of the best teams in the NFC fighting for the divisional crown. A win by Dallas puts them into the driver's seat but a loss will ensure that the division will not be won likely until the final game. Dallas has been very good but the Giants are on a six game winning streak.

The Cowboys won the season opener 45-35 when the Giants were the visitor.

Dallas Cowboys (7-1)
Homefield: Texas Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NYG 45-35 -5.5 44
2 @MIA 37-20 -3.5 40.5
3 @CHI 34-10 +3 41
4 STL 35-7 -13 47
5 @BUF 25-24 -10 42
6 NE 27-48 +5 52.5
7 MIN 24-14 -9.5 46
8 BYE - - -
9 @PHI 38-17 -3 46
10 @NYG   -1.5 49
11 WAS 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 NYJ 22-Nov THU 4:15 PM
13 GB 29-Nov THU 8:15 PM
14 @DET 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 PHI 16-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
16 @CAR 22-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
17 @WAS 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
DAL at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo     260,2
RB Julius Jones 40 10  
RB Marion Barber 60,1 20  
TE Jason Witten   90,1  
WR Terrell Owens   80,1  
WR Patrick Crayton   30  
WR Sam Hurd   10  
PK Nick Folk 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: A bit of a stumble against the Patriots in week six but otherwise the Cowboys have been clicking every week and the offense still has yet to score less than 24 points in any game. Only the Patriots have more points scored than the Cowboys. This could be the toughest remaining game on the schedule since the only other match-up that should prove troublesome is hosting the Packers and the week 17 game in Washington.

Quarterback: Tony Romo got his $67 million contract extension but he's hardly been sitting back taking it easy. He turned in his fifth 300+ yard game of the year in Philly last week when he threw for three scores. That gives him 19 touchdowns on the season and a pace that will shatter all Cowboys passing records. He already has 2308 passing yards.

Romo opened his season with 345 passing yards and four touchdowns against the Giants. That was his best game of the year so far.

Running Backs: After a three game stretch without any scores, Marion Barber has been back on track the last two weeks with a touchdown in each game and over 100 total yards in each game. He has now finally overtaken Julius Jones as the primary runner even if Jones starts on the first offensive series in games. The duo will continue to be mixed but more work is finally going to Barber.

Jones rushed for 66 yards on 16 carries against the Giants in week one while Barber gained 65 yards on 11 carries with one touchdown. Barber also had 29 receiving yards on one catch.

Wide Receivers: Patrick Crayton has really fallen off the last two games with only two catches for 19 yards total (and no catches last week) but Terrell Owens ended his three game drought with three consecutive big games with a score ending with a season high 174 yards and a score in Philly last Sunday. With Witten also a big cog in the machine, the Cowboys rarely bother with Sam Hurd in the slot. He only has one game with more than one catch.

Owens only had three receptions in the season opener but gained 87 yards and scored twice against the Giants. Sam Hurd also scored once on a 51-yard pass completion and Crayton only had 51 yards on his three catches in that game.

Tight Ends: Jason Witten still chugs along with more than 70 yards in most games and already has five touchdowns on the year. He opened the season with a bang when he had six receptions for 116 yards and a score against the Giants for his best effort yet.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants have vastly improved on defense since week one but there is one rather good reason why - they have faced PHI, NYJ, ATL, SF and MIA in the most recent games. That's a far cry from going against the #2 scoring team in the league. Expect decent yardage from the running game here with one score by Barber but the split of yardage will prevent either Barber or Jones from having a big game.

Romo has already torched the Giants this year and while they have been far better against the likes of Lemon, Dilfer, Harrington and Pennington, this will be a much tougher match-up. Expect a very good game here from Witten who will score as should Owens though his yardage is likely to be less than recent weeks.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 2 4 9 1 3 11
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 20 13 10 26 4 10


New York Giants (6-2)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @DAL 35-45 +5.5 44
2 GB 13-35 -2.5 38.5
3 @WAS 24-17 +3.5 40.5
4 PHI 16-3 +2.5 47
5 NYJ 35-24 -3 41
6 @ATL 31-10 -3 43.5
7 SF 33-15 -9.5 40
8 @MIA 13-10 -9.5 48
9 BYE - - -
10 DAL   +1.5 49
11 @DET 18-Nov SUN 4:15 PM
12 MIN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @CHI 2-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
14 @PHI 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 WAS 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @BUF 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 NE 29-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
NYG vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     250,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 80,1 10  
TE Jeremy Shockey   40  
WR Plaxico Burress   80,1  
WR Amani Toomer   60  
WR Sinorice Moss   30  
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 XP 2 FG  

Pregame Notes: The Giants have gone from an 0-2 team with no defense to a six game winning streak where they have allowed only 13 points per game on average. They are now one of the top teams in the NFC and a win this week gives them the lead in the NFC East with a remaining schedule that doesn't look as tough as it did when the season began. The late bye week helps to rest and refresh the team for what will be a drive to the playoffs.

Quarterback: The game in London was not characteristic of either team and other wise Eli Manning has not only thrown for a score in every game, he had been on a two touchdown streak for three weeks. His two games over 300 yards both came in road efforts while at home he has tended to remain at or below about 200 yards each week.

Manning had his season best game in Dallas this year, throwing for 312 yards and scoring four touchdowns.

Running Backs: Since returning in week five, Brandon Jacobs has averaged 106 rushing yards per game with a score during both the home stands. He is averaging around 5.6 yards per carry but has played against four of the weaker teams in the league the past month. Derrick Ward's role has shrank with each game that Jacobs plays and was down to only seven carries for 27 yards in the London game.

Jacobs only gained 26 yards on six carries in the first meeting with the Cowboys since he was injured. Derrick Ward stepped in and reeled off 89 yards on only 13 runs and added 27 yards on four receptions with one touchdown catch.

Wide Receivers: After opening with a score in each of the first six games, Plaxico Burress hasn't scored the last two games and only had 57 yards total in those two efforts. But he still has eight touchdowns on the season with two games over 120 receiving yards. And the last two games didn't really need Burress in order to get the win - not so this week. Amani Toomer has scored twice in the last three games but he varies between 90 and no yards per game.

Burress had a season high game in week one when he caught eight passes for 144 yards and three touchdowns. Even Toomer had nine receptions for 91 yards in that game.

Tight Ends: It's not that Jeremy Shockey has been bad this year, it's that he hasn't really ever been good. He only has two touchdowns on the season, never more than five catches per game or more than about 50 or 60 yards in most games.

Shockey only had five catches for 41 yards against the Cowboys this year.

Match Against the Defense: The Cowboys still have not allowed any runner to exceed 100 rushing yards this year though Jacobs should challenge that. I like Jacobs to have good yardage and one score here since the Giants will try to run to keep Romo off the field.

Manning will have to step in and make the difference and while he had a big game in week one, much of that came in trash time. This is a big game and both teams will be up for it but it is also a far tougher match-up than the Giants have experienced in over a month. Shockey should be held in check against the Cowboys again but eventually Burress will get free for his standard score.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 15 6 14 14 13 4
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 19 6 26 3 10 26

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

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