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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

Prediction: PHI 10, WAS 23

Update: Santana Moss has been held out of practice this week because of his badly bruised heel and is not a lock to play. I am lowering his projections but be aware that he could end up inactive. Antwaan Randle El also was held out on Thursday to rest his hamstring but is expected to play.

Two long-time NFC East rivals square off with much less anticipation than recent years. The Eagles have stumbled to a 3-5 record while never scoring more than two touchdowns in road games and their offense is better considered "the many facets of Brian Westbrook". The Redskins squeaked out a win over the Jets last week and at 5-3 still have a shot at the playoffs. The Skins won 20-12 when these teams met in Philadelphia during week two.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5)
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @GB 13-16 -3 43.5
2 WAS 12-20 +7 38.5
3 DET 56-21 -6.5 44.5
4 @NYG 3-16 -2.5 47
5 BYE - - -
6 @NYJ 16-9 -4.5 43.5
7 CHI 16-19 -4.5 40.5
8 @MIN 23-16 -1 37.5
9 DAL 17-38 +3 46
10 @WAS   +2.5 37.5
11 MIA 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @NE 25-Nov SUN 8:15 PM
13 SEA 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 NYG 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @DAL 16-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
16 @NO 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 BUF 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
PHI at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb     250,1
RB Brian Westbrook 70 70  
TE L.J. Smith   40,1  
WR Reggie Brown   30  
WR Kevin Curtis   50  
WR Jason Avant   20  
PK David Akers 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Eagles continue to under perform and McNabb's level of play as more than a few fans asking "so what about that Kolb kid?" The Eagles have now officially dropped from any playoff dreams but at least the defense has continued to play reasonably well outside of last week. The Redskins already won in Philadelphia but the Eagles are still good enough that they cannot be overlooked. At least week 11 has the Dolphins coming to town.

Quarterback: In a fantasy sense, Donovan McNabb hasn't been all that bad unless you lose points on interceptions. Over the last four games he has thrown for exactly one score per week and averaged 275 passing yards per week. But he has been unable to complete those passes to the endzone and comes off a loss to the Cowboys that had him throwing two interceptions and he even lost a fumble on the very first play of the game. He still has no mobility in the pocket and seems to be slowly writing his ticket out of Philly.

McNabb had 240 passing yards and no scores against the Skins this year. He was sacked three times.

Running Backs: With McNabb unable to mount a consistent passing game, Brian Westbrook often becomes the primary outlet and even had a career high 14 catches against the Cowboys on Sunday night. The Eagles do not even rely on Correll Buckhalter for relief anymore, each play is either a Westbrook run or a pass that scans the receivers and often ends up with Westbrook right before McNabb gets sacked. He is averaging about 90 rushing yards per game and around six catches for 60 yards. He basically is the Philly offense outside of a couple completions to Kevin Curtis or Reggie Brown.

Westbrook gained 96 yards on 17 carries and added 66 yards on eight receptions when the Skins came to Philly in week two.

Wide Receivers: The wideouts have settled into a pattern each week where Kevin Curtis usually has about 60 yards each game while Reggie Brown ends up with around 50 yards though either can turn in a 100 yard game in any given week. The problem is that they do not score much - Brown has never recorded a touchdown this year while Curtis has four scores but those came in only two games. Jason Avant did not play in Sunday's loss because he was sidelined with a groin injury but I will assume he will play this week.

The top receiver against the Skins last time was Avant with only 55 yards on five catches. Curtis only turned in 28 yards on four catches and Brown had 27 yards on two receptions.

Tight Ends: Worth noting is that L.J. Smith is getting back into the offense again after missing three games with a groin injury and playing less than 100% in the rest. He had two catches for 34 yards against the Cowboys and should start to see expanded use.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins have already beaten the Eagles and turned them into the standard Westbrook pass and run team. Expect a nice game here from Westbrook that should feature as many receiving yards and rushing.

McNabb only had 240 yards and no scores in the previous meeting with the Skins and this time he is on the road. Expect his standard one passing score in this game and anything more is just gravy. The Skins at home in an important divisional game will not allow the Eagles any more yardage or points than can be avoided. The Redskins corners should hold the Philly wideouts at bay again so the one passing score favors Smith the most.

Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 14 3 13 29 7 26
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 23 8 8 13 13 19


Washington Redskins (5-3)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIA 16-13 -3 35
2 @PHI 20-12 +7 38.5
3 NYG 17-24 -3.5 40.5
4 BYE - - -
5 DET 34-3 -4 44.5
6 @GB 14-17 +3 40.5
7 ARI 21-19 -7 37
8 @NE 7-52 +16 48
9 @NYJ 23-20 -3.5 35.5
10 PHI   -2.5 37.5
11 @DAL 18-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
12 @TB 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 BUF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CHI 6-Dec THU 8:15 PM
15 @NYG 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @MIN 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DAL 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
WAS vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     180,1
RB Clinton Portis 90,1 20  
TE Chris Cooley   40,1  
WR Santana Moss   30  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Brandon Lloyd   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Redskins are 5-3 but three wins came by a margin of three points or less over teams that currently have a combined 3-21 mark on the year. They are only two games out of first place in the NFC East but that will be tough to make up with road games left in DAL, TB, NYG and MIN and a week 17 season finale in Dallas.

Quarterback: Last week Jason Campbell only had 142 yards and no scores since Portis finally showed up in a game but in most weeks, Campbell still only has one score and around 200 yards. In fact, Campbell passed for 209 yards and one score against the Eagles in week two. He only has six scores on the season and hasn't passed over that 200 yard mark for the last three games.

Running Backs: After never having more than 20 carries in any game, Clinton Portis feasted on the Jets last week for 196 rushing yards on 36 carries and even scored a touchdown. The Jets game was so easy to run in that even Ladell Betts had nine carries for 64 yards but he had never had more than 22 rushing yards in any other game this season. Portis reversed a month long trend of declining effectiveness and production with his big game on Sunday but he only gains around 60 yards in most games and rushed for 69 yards on 17 carries and scored one touchdown in Philly this year.

Wide Receivers: After half a season, the wideouts are still waiting for their first touchdown of the year. Santana Moss hasn't managed more than 50 yards in the last four weeks and Antwaan Randle El hasn't been better than 54 yards. This offense just doesn't pass much nor particularly well and when they near the goal line, the wide outs are not in the gameplan. Santana Moss bruised his heel last week and Brandon Lloyd did not make the trip after missing a team meeting on Friday. Both are expected to play this week.

Moss caught six passes for 89 yards while Randle El only had four receptions for 44 yards against the Eagles this season.

Tight Ends: What little fantasy value there is in the Redskins' passing game belongs to Chris Cooley who has scored five of the six receiving team touchdowns this season. He rarely has more than 30 yards in a game but has scored in five of the last seven.

Cooley only had two receptions for 25 yards in Philadelphia but scored once.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins had a very standard game against the Eagles already this year and this week it is played in Washington. Expect a better rushing game from Portis and just the normal effort from Campbell. The Skins cannot overlook the Eagles and this is one of the home games that they must win.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 25 8 32 10 20 18
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 15 7 17 25 25 23

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night
On Bye

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