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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 11
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
Monday
*updated

Prediction: CAR 6, GB 24

Update: Both David Carr and Vinny Testaverde are not on the injury report but HC John Fox has not yet named a starter. That may be strategically be left for game time but the safest bet is that Testaverde takes the start this week. DeShaun Foster was held out of practice on Wednesday because of his injured toe but returned on Friday. He may end up limited in the game but the Packers defense has been great against the run anyway so lower any expectations regardless of his healthy. Steve Smith was held out of practice on Wednesday and Thursday but is still likely to play. He is being rested because of a shin injury but check the game time inactives before you settle on starting him just to ensure that there is nothing more significant with his leg than is being let on.

The Panthers are on a three game losing streak and yet are 4-1 on the road and only 0-4 at home. The Packers have an 8-1 record now though and back at Lambeau should be plenty more than these Panthers can handle. The wheels are wobbling badly on the Carolina wagon and look like they are about to completely fall off.

Carolina Panthers (4-5)
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @STL 27-13 -1 42
2 HOU 21-34 -6.5 39
3 @ATL 27-20 -4 37.5
4 TB 7-20 -3 39
5 @NO 16-13 +4 43
6 @ARI 25-10 +6 38.5
7 BYE - - -
8 IND 7-31 +6.5 45
9 @TEN 7-20 +4 40
10 ATL 13-20 -4.5 36.5
11 @GB   +10 37.5
12 NO 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 SF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @JAC 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 SEA 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 DAL 22-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
17 @TB 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
CAR at GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Vinny Testaverde     180
RB DeShaun Foster 40    
TE Jeff King   20  
WR Steve Smith   70  
WR Keary Colbert   30  
WR Drew Carter   40  
PK John Kasay 2 F G    
Pregame Notes: A sign of the times when the Panthers cannot even beat the Falcons even though they won 27-20 in Atlanta back in week three. Back when Jake Delhomme was still playing and the offense could sustain drives with that Steve Smith guy. The loss doesn't ruin the chance to win the NFC South since the Panthers are only one game behind the Buccaneers but playing with this offense will be reason enough not to expect much. If they can end up .500 on the season, it would be a major success and somewhat unexpected since they are only averaging nine points per game since their bye in week seven.

Quarterback: David Carr was held out last week because of his concussion and Vinny Testaverde took the start despite having pain from his injured Achilles tendon. He only completed 13 of 28 passes for 153 yards though he did held Steve Smith have at least marginal fantasy value unlike Carr ever has. Until word is given that David Carr is starting, I will assume that Testaverde takes the start. He's been consistently better than Carr who has struggled in every game he has played for the Panthers.

Running Backs: Another sign of the times. DeShaun Foster has been mediocre for pretty much his entire career except when he played against the Falcons. It was weird how he would come to life only when facing them. And now- it's over. Foster at home could only gain 59 yards on 20 carries against them on Sunday. That puts Foster right around 60 rushing yards in each of the last six games. He only has two scores on the season and is rarely used in the passing game.

Wide Receivers: Steve Smith caught five passes for 61 yards against the Falcons but that was his second best game since week two and both his decent showings post-Delhomme have been with Testaverde at the helm. He's not had more than 47 yards in a game with Carr and usually less than 20 yards. This passing game has gone downhill all season and Smith has the lone fantasy relevance if only because of his potential with Testaverde as the quarterback. Sadly enough, with Carr around Smith is not worth a fantasy start.

Tight Ends: Jeff King looked like he was having a breakout season but that went away quickly without Delhomme under center. Even with Testaverde, King has only accounted for about 20 yards per game and less with Carr. He had one 82 yard effort with Carr as a season high but only because that was literally the only player that the Colts would allow him to throw to that week.

Match Against the Defense: The Packers at home have only allowed one rushing score to an opposing tailback and none have had more than 85 yards - most end around 60 yards where Foster is already stuck at. Figure on him not even reaching that this week.

Testaverde goes against a secondary that has been solid this year but can be beaten. Unfortunately, the Panthers have turned into little more than Steve Smith and the Packers can cover one player. Look for one passing score at most here and barely moderate passing yardage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 23 18 19 24 25 29
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 16 10 2 32 10 2

 

Green Bay Packers (8-1)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 PHI 16-13 +3 43.5
2 @NYG 35-13 +2.5 38.5
3 SD 31-24 +5 43
4 @MIN 23-16 -1 38
5 CHI 20-27 -3 41
6 WAS 17-14 -3 40.5
7 BYE - - -
8 @DEN 19-13 +3 44
9 @KC 33-22 +2.5 38.5
10 MIN 34-0 -6.5 40.5
11 CAR   -10 37.5
12 @DET 22-Nov THU 12:30 PM
13 @DAL 29-Nov THU 8:15 PM
14 OAK 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @STL 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @CHI 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DET 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
GBP vs CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     290,2
RB Ryan Grant 90,1 30  
TE Donald Lee   40  
WR Donald Driver   60  
WR Greg Jennings   80,1  
WR James Jones   40,1  
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: There's likely no stopping the Packers now. The passing game has been top notch this year anyway but now the defense is pitching shutouts and the rushing game has come to life with Ryan Grant. Favre must have to pinch himself every morning when he wakes up because the Packers are 8-1 and the only remaining game that looks to be a tough match-up is week 13 in Dallas when the two teams may be fighting over where to have the NFC Championship game.

Quarterback: Another week, another 300+ yard game. Brett Favre now leads the NFL with 2757 passing yards and his 16 touchdowns have come with only eight interceptions. It's like he's been saving the best for last and this is the finale to the 17 year long fireworks show. He is on pace to throw for 4900 yards this year which would be 500 yards better than he had ever done. You have to know that when he sleeps, he pictures John Elway holding the Lombardi Trophy before retiring only Elway is wearing #4. And the jersey is green and yellow.

Favre was blasted by DE Kenechi Udeze last week and admitted he was woozy afterwards. Udeze was flagged for the hit and Favre still had 351 passing yards and three scores.

Running Backs: The Packers have settled on Vernand Morency Brandon Jackson DeShawn Wynn Ryan Grant as the starting tailback and reaped the rewards when Grant gained 119 yards on 25 carries and scored once against a normally very stingy Vikings defense last Sunday. That not only gives Grant two 100+ yard games in the last three weeks, those were the only 100+ yard games by a Packers running back this year. As if that was not enough, Grant even has nine catches for 57 yards over the last two games.

Wide Receivers: Brett Favre is really spreading the ball around well and that means that Donald Driver is not nearly the fantasy treat as most expected. He has solid enough yardage each week but hasn't scored or been above 100 yards since week three. That's six games with an average of around 56 yards and no scores. Greg Jennings has been equally as solid and has scored a team high six times this year. The Packers are using Koren Robinson again and he comes off a five catch game with 45 yards. James Jones is a constant factor and last week even Ruvell Martin showed up with 57 yards and two scores. These guys may be no names outside of Milwaukee, but Favre is mixing and matching with deadly aplomb.

Tight Ends: Bubba Franks was sidelined for a third straight game because of a sprained knee. He isn't expected to return for at least another week. No matter, Donald Lee is holding his own and just scored his second touchdown of the season. Lee has been very consistent this year with around three or four catches each week.

Match Against the Defense: The Panthers rushing defense has been less than stellar this year and has already given up nine scores to opposing running backs this year with most of those in road games. Look for Grant to turn in a solid game here and score once but to turn into a really big game will require Favre to stop throwing so much and that just ain' t happening.

Favre faces a secondary that has been good this year and that has only allowed eight passing scores against them so far. But that is from a long list of crappy quarterbacks and players like Peyton Manning and Matt Schaub threw for two scores against them this year. This is Favre in his magic year - no reason to expect him to have a bad game here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 5 21 4 8 4 9
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 10 20 10 6 17 7

The Huddle
WEEK 11
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday night
Monday
*updated

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