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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: TEN 20, DEN 16

Update: No changes to the projections but Travis Henry has a partially torn PCL but still hopes to play on Monday night. But he has not practiced and could easily be inactive. The team will make a decision on Saturday but even if they say he is going to play it would not be safe to start him since he clearly will not be 100% healthy and Selvin Young is running just as well as Travis has. Young is a safe start regardless but the final on Henry's status won't be made at least until Saturday and could go up until game time - best bet is to stay away from him this week and hope he shows up in week 12.

This is all under the assumption that the Friday hearing on his suspension goes in his favor. This would be Henry's chance to go against his ex-team but it just doesn't look at all likely to happen.

Javon Walker is doing some running but will miss this week as well. There is still a chance he may see playing time in week 12 as well.

Chris Brown is expected back this week but I will not add him to the projections since his role is likely to be just as relief for Lendale White.

Tough game to call with the Titans hitting the road with a 3-1 record and the Broncos only 2-3 at home. Complicating this game is that the Broncos just looked great whipping the Chiefs in Kansas City and the Titans were just stomped by the Jaguars in Tennessee. Whatever happens here won't include a lot of points so one or two plays will be the deciding factor in this game. This is the Monday night tilt so both teams will be bringing their "A" game.

Tennessee Titans (6-3)
Homefield: LP Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @JAC 13-10 +6.5 37.5
2 IND 20-22 +7 46
3 @NO 31-14 +4 45
4 BYE - - -
5 ATL 20-13 -8 41
6 @TB 10-13 +2.5 37
7 @HOU 38-36 OFF OFF
8 OAK 13-9 -7 41
9 CAR 20-7 -4 40
10 JAC 13-28 -4 35
11 @DEN   +2.5 38
12 @CIN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 HOU 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 SD 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @KC 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 NYJ 23-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
17 @IND 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
TEN at DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 40,1   170
RB Lendale White 90,1 10  
TE Bo Scaife   50  
WR Brandon Jones   20  
WR Eric Moulds   20  
WR Roydell Williams   20  
WR Justin Gage   50  
PK Rob Bironas 2 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: The loss to the visiting Jaguars now drops the Titans into a tie for #2 in the AFC South and was just a tit for tat from the Titans opening the season with a win in Jacksonville. Vince Young finally had a decent passing game and the Titans lost. A win there though could be big because other than the final week against the Colts, the Titans will likely be favored in them and have a good shot at winning. If the Titans want to do anything in the playoffs, they need to show something this week.

Quarterback: Vince Young comes off a career high game of 257 yards and one score against the Jaguars and he also had eight runs for 52 yards. That dwarfs his previous season best of just 184 yards against the Colts but Young throws only when he has to and the Titans could not mount their usual rushing game last week. He only has four passing scores on the year and that was his first in five games. One difference was moving the offense into a no-huddle formation which seemed to help Young.

Running Backs: After scoring three times in the last four games and topping 100 yards in the last three weeks, Lendale White was dragged back to earth by the Jaguars who limited him to a mere 12 yards on eight carries and eventually sprained his knee forcing him to leave the game. The knee injury is not expected to be serious and White should play. I will project for a healthy White and update as needed.

Chris Brown is getting closer to playing again and this could be the week. He has been out since week six with a high ankle sprain. Chris Henry only turned in a net three yard loss on his three carries and is reported to be considering dropping his appeal so he can return before the end of the season and be available for the playoffs. I will only project from White for now, but this could change later in the week.

Wide Receivers: Young finally has decent passing numbers and the wideouts start to matter again. Brandon Jones had five catches for 51 yards but left the game with a concussion. Eric Moulds only had one catch for 18 yards because he is over the hill no matter who is throwing the ball but Justin Gage had a career best 90 yards on seven receptions with one touchdown. The coaching staff was so impressed that they intend on using him in the slot more though Roydell Williams will still figure in. If the no-huddle offense really had some positive effect last week and will be used again, the Titan's wideouts might be worth owning again.

I will project for Jones to miss this week because of his concussion and update as needed.

Tight Ends: Bo Scaife hasn't scored but once this year and that was back in week three but he's quietly turning in 30 or 40 yards in most games.

Match Against the Defense: Denver's woes against the run are well known though they looked improved against the Chiefs without Larry Johnson. Rushing the ball is paramount to what the Titans want to do on offense so expect at least a good game here by White if he is healthy with a good shot at a score. I also like Vince Young to rush more this week as well and score once.

The Broncos pass defense has been surprisingly weak and Champ Bailey has no stud wideout to blanket this week. He'll cover Jones or his replacement but that has little impact on the passing game. Look for Young to not score and have only his normal yardage. Too early to expect him to start breaking out from his 150 yard standard.

Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 27 15 26 25 1 11
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 24 21 15 30 21 31


Denver Broncos (4-5)
Homefield: Invesco Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @BUF 15-14 -3.5 37
2 OAK 23-20 -10 37.5
3 JAC 14-23 -3 35.5
4 @IND 20-38 +10 46.5
5 SD 3-41 +1 43
6 BYE - - -
7 PIT 31-28 +3.5 38.5
8 GB 13-19 -3 44
9 @DET 7-44 +3 45.5
10 @KC 27-11 +3 37.5
11 TEN   -2.5 38
12 @CHI 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @OAK 2-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
14 KC 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 @HOU 13-Dec THU 8:15 PM
16 @SD 24-Dec MON 8:00 PM
17 MIN 30-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
DEN vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler     200,1
RB Selvin Young 60 30  
TE Tony Scheffler   30  
WR Glenn Martinez   20  
WR Brandon Stokley   40  
WR Brandon Marshall   60,1  
PK Jason Elam 3 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: Though Denver is only 4-5 on the season, they are only one game out of first in the AFC West with a shot to tie this week since the Chargers are playing in Jacksonville. But after this week the Broncos will be spending four of their final six games on the road and that won't make it easy even in a mediocre division. Selvin Young has added a spark to the offense in Henry's absence but it all comes down to the defense. Last week it played very well against a injured Chiefs team but this week is a bigger test.

Quarterback: Jay Cutler gutted it out and played with is healing leg injury in Kansas City and ended with 192 yards and one score with one interception. That's low-side for what he has typically done but the Broncos were protecting a league and there was no reason to press Cutler unnecessarily. He has been worth a score and over 200 yards in almost every game this year but only once had more than the one touchdown.

Running Backs: Travis Henry is slated to meet with the league on Friday and it should be resolved at that point. If his recent negative samples of hair and lie detector tests matter, he will be over it and just trying to get his knee healthy again. If not, HC Mike Shanahan has bluntly said that he is gone. The positive test which caused this was for marijuana and Henry insists it was incorrect. We will know on Friday.

Selvin Young should take the start this week regardless because of Henry's knee and he looked sharp gaining 109 yards on 20 carries and scoring once against the Chiefs. He's also a minor factor in the passing game as well.

Wide Receivers: There was some speculation that Javon Walker could be back as early as this week but barring official word and actual practice time I will count him out. Brandon Marshall has been very productive over the last five weeks anyway with at least 74 yards in every game. Brandon Stokley has stepped up to fill the flanker spot but done little with it other than score a couple of times in the past month.

This unit will be formidable once Walker shows up again but until then, it's mostly about Marshall with some help from Stokley.

Tight Ends: Tony Scheffler had a chest contusion last week but is expected to play on Monday. He still had 31 yards on four catches in Kansas City and remains solid with 30 to 50 yards each week. His two scores both game in the most recent home games.

Match Against the Defense: The Titans had been great against the run this year and the Broncos struggle in the red zone. Look for decent yardage from Young including his receptions but likely no scores.

Cutler also faces on of the better secondaries in the league that has only once allowed more than one passing score and that was the crazy fourth quarter in Houston in week seven. Otherwise, teams struggle to exceed 200 passing yards against them. Look for an average showing here by Cutler with no more than one score and just around 200 yards. Either Marshall or Scheffler should snag the touchdown.

Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 14 20 17 13 19 20
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 6 3 11 4 9 18

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

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