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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: WAS 13, DAL 30

Update: Brandon Lloyd fractured his right clavicle on Wednesday and has been placed on injured reserve. Jimmy Farris is expected to take his place until James Thrash is healthy again from his high ankle sprain. The slot receiver in this offense is pretty worthless anyway. Santana Moss was held out of practice on Wednesday and Thursday and is likely to miss this week with his bruised heel. Keenan McCardell will take his place.

These teams traded home wins last year with the Cowboys taking their home game 22-19 in week nine and the Skins winning 27-10 in week two in Washington. But the Skins most recent wins were nipping the Jets and the Cardinals and the visiting Eagles took them down in week ten to remind them that there is a reason why they never win the NFC East. The Cowboys come off a solid win over the Giants in New York and just have to ensure they do not overlook the Redskins who have been pesky in the past.

Washington Redskins (5-4)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIA 16-13 -3 35
2 @PHI 20-12 +7 38.5
3 NYG 17-24 -3.5 40.5
4 BYE - - -
5 DET 34-3 -4 44.5
6 @GB 14-17 +3 40.5
7 ARI 21-19 -7 37
8 @NE 7-52 +16 48
9 @NYJ 23-20 -3.5 35.5
10 PHI 25-33 -2.5 37.5
11 @DAL   +10.5 47
12 @TB 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 BUF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CHI 6-Dec THU 8:15 PM
15 @NYG 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @MIN 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DAL 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
WAS at DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     200,1
RB Clinton Portis 70 30  
RB LaDell Betts 10 20  
TE Chris Cooley   30,1  
WR Santana Moss 40
WR Keenan McCardell   40  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Jimmy Farris   10  
WR Brandon Lloyd 20
PK Shaun Suisham 2 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Redskins really need this win to remain competitive for the playoffs but heading into Dallas will be the toughest game of the year. The defense has opened up for opponents in the last three weeks and unless the Jets are on the other side of the line of scrimmage, the Skins just do not have the firepower to keep up. Portis is running well lately which helps but the lack of a consistent passing game means the Redskins cannot overcome falling behind.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell comes off a huge game compared to his usual when he had 215 yards and three scores against the Eagles. Previously he had remained around 200 yards and one touchdown so often that they just wrote the box scores in advance and waited to see how many yards Portis gained. The new weapon last week was James Thrash who gained 85 yards and scored twice because no one had to cover him before but his suffered a high ankle sprain and Campbell is back to the norm now.

Brunell was the starter in both meetings with the Cowboys last year and had games of just 197 and 192 yards with one score in the home game. Sort of on pace for Campbell really.

Running Backs: After limiting Clinton Portis to only 20 carries per week, the Skins finally took off the training wheels and Portis has responded with back-to-back big games of 196 yards and a score against the Jets and 137 yards against the Eagles. He had 36 and 30 carries respectively. That's a five yard average as a heavy duty runner. He won't likely get 30 chances in Dallas but for the remaining slate it could bode very well for fantasy owners.

Portis only played in the home meeting with the Cowboys in 2006 and gained 84 yards on 23 carries with one touchdown. In Dallas, Ladell Betts only had 40 yards on 11 carries.

Wide Receivers: Santana Moss was held out last week because of his bruised heel but an MRI showed no damage and he is expected back for this game. James Thrash was the start of the game by scoring twice but will miss at least this week with a high ankle sprain. That leaves Antwaan Randle El as the only truly healthy wideout and he has never scored this year and hasn't been above 54 yards in the last five games.

Moss gained 69 yards on four receptions in Dallas but did not play in the home meeting. Randle El topped out with just two catches for eight yards versus Dallas last year.

Tight Ends: He did it again. After taking off the one week against the Jets, Chris Cooley had his fifth touchdown in the last six games. He rarely has more than 30 yards in any game but is first choice when the end zone is near.

Cooley turned three catches into 66 yards and a score in the home meeting with the Cowboys but was limited to just one catch for 23 yards in Dallas.

Match Against the Defense: This should be a tough matchup in all facets. The Cowboys have never allowed a runner to top 100 rushing yards this year and only two have scored in Dallas. No runner has had the luxury of more than 23 carries as well and that was just last week in New York. In Dallas, no opposing runner has turned in more than 16 runs. Expect only moderate yardage this week.

The Cowboys secondary had held two of the four visitors to no passing scores and only Eli Manning and Tom Brady did score there. Campbell could eventually manage one score here but it would almost have to end up with Cooley or a running back. Moss is still not 100% and Randle El draws CB Terrence Newman.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 22 9 29 12 20 19
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 17 5 22 13 12 24


Dallas Cowboys (8-1)
Homefield: Texas Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NYG 45-35 -5.5 44
2 @MIA 37-20 -3.5 40.5
3 @CHI 34-10 +3 41
4 STL 35-7 -13 47
5 @BUF 25-24 -10 42
6 NE 27-48 +5 52.5
7 MIN 24-14 -9.5 46
8 BYE - - -
9 @PHI 38-17 -3 46
10 @NYG 31-20 -1.5 49
11 WAS   -10.5 47
12 NYJ 22-Nov THU 4:15 PM
13 GB 29-Nov THU 8:15 PM
14 @DET 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 PHI 16-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
16 @CAR 22-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
17 @WAS 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
DAL vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo     280,3
RB Julius Jones 50    
RB Marion Barber 60 20  
TE Jason Witten   60,1  
WR Terrell Owens   100,2  
WR Patrick Crayton   50  
WR Sam Hurd   30  
PK Nick Folk 3 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys are angling for what should be a huge Thanksgiving Day game against the Green Bay Packers with this game and a home meeting against the Jets left to play. The offense has scored 30 points per week on average and is second to only the Patriots (who Dallas would rather forget about). In this year of the King Passers, the rushing game has fallen off a bit but Romo and company posts so many points through the air that there is little time for a grind it out game by Jones and Barber. The challenge now is to not reprise the Buffalo game where Dallas was almost caught looking past.

Quarterback: Tony Romo is #3 in passing yards with 2555 and ranks #2 in passing touchdowns with 23. He has only one game where he settled for just one touchdown and his last two efforts have been for three or more scores. With five 300 yard games already, he is shattering Cowboys passing records.

Bledsoe was still the starter in the first meeting with the Redskins last year and threw for 237 yards and two scores. By week nine, Romo was the starter and ended with 284 yards and two scores in the road game.

Running Backs: Marion Barber may not be the first back onto the field, but he has been getting the most carries over the last three weeks, He comes off a subpar game in New York but generally turns in at least 50 rushing yards and decent receiving yardage when the Cowboys are on the road. Julius Jones continues to pump out right at around 50 yards each week as well but only has two scores versus seven for Barber. The Cowboys are passing so well and scoring from so far away that the running game never takes over. No Cowboys runner has carried the ball more than 19 times in any game this year.

In the home meeting with the Redskins last year, Jones rushed for 94 yards on 20 carries and Barber had 65 yards and one score. Later on the road trip to Washington, Jones gained 73 rushing yards while Barber had 73 total yards

Wide Receivers: While Terrell Owens went through a three game lull for scoring, he has turned in at least one touchdown in each of the last four games and has eight scores on the season along with over 100 yards in each of the last three weeks. That leaves Patrick Crayton with little left over though he did have a score last week. The connection between Owens and Romo is getting harder to defend.

Owens only had three catches for 19 yards at home against the Skins last season but later turned in seven catches for 76 yards and one score in Washington. Though he was only the #3 at the time, Crayton scored in the home game and later had 84 yards in the road meeting.

Tight Ends: Just to keep Jason Witten humble and fantasy owners angry, Romo has used the rookie Tony Curtis for one catch in each of the last three games - each one a touchdown. Witten only has one score in that time though his yardage is typically very healthy.

Witten had games of 45 and 50 yards against the Skins last year and did not score.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins rushing defense has been very solid overall and Westbrook's 100 yards last week was the first time a runner had a big game against them. Only three different runners have scored against the Skins. Look for a chance for Barber to bull one in but likely not. He and Jones will split only moderate rushing yardage.

Romo goes against a secondary that just allowed McNabb four scores and Brady had three. Look for a solid game here by Romo with at least two scores and likely three since the Cowboys prefer the pass over the run near the goal line. That should benefit Owens and Witten the most - if Curtis does not get in the way yet again.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 2 7 5 1 2 7
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 26 16 9 17 11 17

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

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