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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: OAK 10, KC 17

Update: Jerry Porter was limited in practice on Wednesday and may be listed as questionable but is expected to play this week. His knee has been bothering him for a few weeks and he has continued to play with it.

The Chiefs promoted Gilbert Harris from the practice squad if only to have a second running back for this week but he is unlikely to have much of a role this week if any. Harris is primarily a fullback.

This is a replay of the week seven game that the Chiefs won 12-10 in Oakland. Both teams have fallen on hard times with the Chiefs sporting a three game losing streak while the Raiders have dropped their last six.

Oakland Raiders (2-8)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DET 21-36 -1 39
2 @DEN 20-23 +10 37.5
3 CLE 26-24 +3 40.5
4 @MIA 35-17 +3.5 40
5 BYE - - -
6 @SD 14-28 +9.5 44
7 KC 10-12 -3 37.5
8 @TEN 9-13 +7 41
9 HOU 17-24 -3 41.5
10 CHI 6-17 +3 38.5
11 @MIN 22-29 +5.5 35.5
12 @KC   +5.5 34.5
13 DEN 2-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
14 @GB 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 IND 16-Dec SUN 4:05 PM
16 @JAC 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 SD 30-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
OAK at KCC Rush Catch Pass
QB Daunte Culpepper     200
RB Justin Fargas 70,1 20  
TE Zach Miller   40  
WR Jerry Porter   30  
WR Ronald Curry   60  
WR Tim Dwight   40  
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Raiders are already just playing out the season waiting for the right week to start Jamarcus Russell which will not be this week according to HC Lane Kiffen. There is also speculation that Lamont Jordan could be released this week as well with Michael Bush potentially being activated this week. The pressure to win is off because that doesn't matter as much now as just seeing what the Raiders have going into 2008.

Quarterback: The Raiders have already named Daunte Culpepper as the starter again this week and he comes off a decent showing of 344 yards and one score against this ex-team of the Vikings. That now completes his revenge tour for the year and he only passed for 228 yards and one score against the visiting Chiefs back in week seven. He doesn't even run anymore since the one game against the Dolphins.

Running Backs: On Wednesday it will be apparent that the Raiders either activate Michael Bush onto the 53-man roster or stick him on injured reserve for the year. He's been reported to be diligent and impressive in his recovery and practice time and chances are he will be the starter at some point next year if not earlier. Such a roster move likely lands LaMont Jordan on the street though just to make room. Justin Fargas remains the starter here thought he only gained 60 yards on 22 carries in Minnesota.

Jordan only gained 29 yards on 11 carries against the Chiefs in week seven. No wonder they soured on him.

Wide Receivers: Both Ronald Curry (4-120) and Jerry Porter (5-88) come off a nice showing in Minnesota but neither has scored since week seven when Curry had four catches for 45 yards and one score against the Chiefs. Porter had just one catch for 59 yards. Tim Dwight is starting to figure in a bit but only for about 30 yards per game. This still is hardly a vaunted passing attack and in games where Culpepper has not been fired from the opponent, the Raiders can only dream of being average here.

Tight Ends: Zach Miller continues to make small strides and has seven catches for 76 yards over the last two weeks. He is being targeted more in recent games.

Miller had four catches for 48 yards in week 7 against the Chiefs.

Match Against the Defense: The Raiders were already punchless in the home meeting with the Chiefs and now that they are on the road, the results cannot be expected to be even that good. Expect a moderate rushing game here by Fargas and it will be interesting to see if Bush ends up on the roster and gets any playing time. If he does, it just reduces what Fargas will do. I do like one rushing score here though.

Culpepper struggled in the last meeting and that won't likely improve. Chalk him up for a similar game as the previous meeting with the yardage happening later in the game in an attempt to catch up.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 19 13 23 27 19 23
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 6 15 9 8 20 29


Kansas City Chiefs (4-6)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @HOU 3-20 +3 38
2 @CHI 10-20 +12 34.5
3 MIN 13-10 -3 33.5
4 @SD 30-16 +13 38.5
5 JAC 7-17 +2 35
6 CIN 27-20 +3 42
7 @OAK 12-10 +3 37.5
8 BYE - - -
9 GB 22-33 -2.5 38.5
10 DEN 11-27 -3 37.5
11 @IND 10-13 +15 44
12 OAK   -5.5 34.5
13 SD 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @DEN 9-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
15 TEN 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @DET 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @NYJ 30-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
KCC vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Brodie Croyle     150,1
RB Kolby Smith 60,1 10  
TE Tony Gonzalez   50,1  
WR Eddie Kennison   10  
WR Samie Parker   20  
WR Dwayne Bowe   40  
PK Dave Rayner 1 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The previous win over the Raiders was the high water mark for the season - the Chiefs have dropped their last three games which included two home stands. The Denver loss in particular signaled the year was going to start going in reverse. Larry Johnson remains out and Brodie Croyle has taken the reins. There's still a chance to get back into the divisional race with the next three weeks against divisional opponents but the offense has been taken down a notch or two from earlier in the season.

Quarterback: Brodie Croyle's first start went fairly well. On the road to play the Colts is never an easy gig but he completed 19 of 27 passes for 169 yards and a score with no interceptions. Most importantly, he primarily went to the two receivers he needs to use - Bowe and Gonzalez. It's all learning curve and he faces another good secondary this week.

Huard only threw for 177 yards and one interception in the earlier game against the Raiders.

Running Backs: The plan to rekindle Priest Holmes' career hasn't panned out for much with him gaining only 120 yards on 39 carries in the two games as the starter. The Chiefs turned to the rookie Kolby Smith last week but even he only had 17 yards on eight carries against the tough Colts rushing defense. Now it is reported that Holmes has re-injured his neck. Pending further information, I am assuming that Kolby Smith gets the starting nod this week and that the Chiefs are regretting trading away Michael Bennett.

Larry Johnson ran for 112 yards and scored once in Oakland this year. He also had six catches for 21 yards.

Wide Receivers: If there was anything impressive about Croyle last week, it was that he completed seven passes to Dwayne Bowe for 64 yards and a touchdown. It was Bowe's first score since week four and needs to be a feature every week if the Chiefs are going to compete. With Croyle at the helm, the rest of the wideouts had even less impact and none had more than one catch last Sunday.

Bowe had three catches for 84 yards in Oakland.

Tight Ends: No doubt the switch to Croyle is going to hurt Tony Gonzalez's numbers for the rest of the season. He was only thrown five passes at Indianapolis and caught four for 46 yards. But that did come against a solid secondary and Croyle has to start somewhere.

Gonzalez caught four passes for 66 yards against the Raiders this season.

Match Against the Defense: The Chiefs are weaker this time around against the Raiders with Johnson and Huard out but the Chiefs always play well at home and it is just the Raiders coming to town and bringing their #32 defense against running backs. This should be the one game where Holmes posts decent fantasy numbers and even Kolby Smith could get involved.

I like Croyle to have lower passing numbers in a game against a good secondary and with the emphasis on the run this week. He should score once which favors Gonzalez but little else. Bowe will draw down a lot of focus by the secondary so if he does post decent stats, it will come off of a long completion.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 26 30 28 6 28 19
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 2 32 7 11 15 24

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

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