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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 12
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Thanksgiving
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Monday
*updated

Prediction: TEN 27, CIN 23

Update: T.J. Houshmandzadeh was held out of practice on Thursday but is expected to play. He is resting his back as he has in previous weeks.

The Titans come off a painful loss in Denver and have a short week to prepare for this road game but they are still 3-2 away from Tennessee. The Bengals are reeling at only 3-7 on the year and the only question is if the defense can hold their opponent to less than 21 points. If they do, they win. If they don't, and they haven't seven times already, they lose.

Tennessee Titans (6-4)
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @JAC 13-10 +6.5 37.5
2 IND 20-22 +7 46
3 @NO 31-14 +4 45
4 BYE - - -
5 ATL 20-13 -8 41
6 @TB 10-13 +2.5 37
7 @HOU 38-36 OFF OFF
8 OAK 13-9 -7 41
9 CAR 20-7 -4 40
10 JAC 13-28 -4 35
11 @DEN 20-34 +2.5 38
12 @CIN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 HOU 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 SD 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @KC 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 NYJ 23-Dec SUN 4:15 PM
17 @IND 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
TEN at CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 40,1   180,1
RB Lendale White 100,1 10  
TE Bo Scaife   30  
WR Brandon Jones   40  
WR Justin Gage   70,1  
WR Roydell Williams   20  
PK Rob Bironas 2 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Titans were thrown off kilter last week when the Broncos slapped up two quick scores but Vince Young gave it all he had. The loss drops the Titans two games behind the Colts and one game behind the Jaguars which likely will mean a wildcard bid if they can get back on track. After this game, the Titans only have two more road games in the final five weeks and could run the table on all but the season finale against the Colts who may not be motivated that week anyway.

Quarterback: Maybe it happened in the two worse losses of the year, but Vince Young has been a true quarterback these last two week with 257 yards and a score against the Jaguars and then a career best 305 yards and a score in Denver where he added 11 runs for 74 yards and a score. And Young was the victim of several bad drops by his receivers as well. He injured his hamstring or quad during the game but continued to play. He still only has four passing scores on the season but has been markedly improved these last two games - and rushed better as well.

Running Backs: Lendale White only managed to gain 42 yards on 13 carries in Denver and this time he was helped out by both Chris Brown (3-14) and Chris Henry (1-4). The running game had little chance with a big deficit on the scoreboard last Monday and as a team the running backs only carried the ball 18 times. White was also swamped against the Jaguars as well but had four straight big games previous to week 10. When the Titans have the luxury to run, White gets 25 or more carries in a game.

Notable was the use of Chris Brown as a receiver. He gained 61 yards on four catches and offered a valuable outlet to Young last Monday.

Wide Receivers: For the second week in a row, Justin Gage was the most productive wideout who is producing numbers worthy of fantasy attention. He has caught a combined 13 passes for 156 yards and a score in the last two weeks. Brandon Jones snagged the lone passing score but only had three catches for 25 yards and usually tops out at around 50 yards in most games.

The wideouts here have not merited much notice this year but Gage is becoming the most intriguing wideout.

Tight Ends: Young likes to rely on his tight ends and Bo Scaife has been good enough to post about 30 yards in most games and comes off a season high of 49 yards against the Broncos. He too had a problem with dropping passes though. Scaife has the only touchdown caught by a Titans tight end this season.

Match Against the Defense: It is no secret - the Bengals defense is one of the worst again this year and White should be a lock to score this week and have at least decent yardage and possibly even a big game.

Young faces a secondary that has already given up 21 passing scores this season so expect at least one that will favor one of the wideouts. There's no reason to pass much in this game unless the Bengals can get a sizable lead early.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 24 16 26 24 1 14
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 28 22 31 26 29 23

 

Cincinnati Bengals (3-7)
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 BAL 27-20 +3 40.5
2 @CLE 45-51 -7 41.5
3 @SEA 21-24 +3 50
4 NE 13-34 +7.5 54
5 BYE - - -
6 @KC 20-27 -3 42
7 NYJ 38-31 -5.5 46.5
8 PIT 13-24 +3.5 48.5
9 @BUF 21-33 -1 43.5
10 @BAL 21-7 +4.5 44.5
11 ARI 27-35 -3 48.5
12 TEN 25-Nov SUN 1:00 PM
13 @PIT 2-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
14 STL 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @SF 15-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
16 CLE 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @MIA 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
CIN vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer     260,2
RB Rudi Johnson 50 10  
RB Kenny Watson 50 30  
TE Reggie Kelly   10  
WR Chad Johnson   70  
WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh   50,1  
WR Chris Henry   70,1  
PK Shayne Graham 3 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Bengals latest loss pointed at all that is wrong with the team. The defense cannot stop anyone even at home and Palmer threw an uncharacteristic four interceptions last week. And by now, what is characteristic of the Bengals other than finding ways to lose. They still rank #31 in points allowed with 286 on the season so far. The rushing game splits out between Watson and Johnson will far lesser results than when they just suck with Watson. The next two weeks against the Titans and Steelers will not be easy but then the season ends on a rather delicious string of games - STL, SF, CLE and MIA. If nothing else, the Bengals should have plenty of fantasy value in the final month of the season.

Quarterback: Carson Palmer may have single-handedly lost the game against the Cardinals with his four interceptions that resulted in two touchdowns. That was a career worst for him but Palmer just had a bad game. He only had two interceptions total in the previous four games and he is a near lock to throw for more than 250 yards each week. One small problem - he almost never has more than one score in a home game this season.

Running Backs: The Bengals continue to mix Rudi Johnson and Kenny Watson with less than spectacular results and last week they had almost a 50/50 share of the carries. Watson was almost twice as productive though and continues to make an impact as a receiver while Johnson just runs almost exclusively. Since week two, Johnson has been injured for several games and overall has not rushed for more than 46 yards in a game - not exactly what drafters thought they were getting last August. This is turning into a Jones/Barber scenario only without all those pesky touchdowns.

Wide Receivers: While Chad Johnson continues to turn in decent yardage each week, he only has one game over 100 yards in the last seven weeks and has not scored since week two. T.J. Houshmandzadeh usually ends up with less than 50 yards in most games but has scored in all but week 10 in Baltimore. Chris Henry has picked up right where he left off with the last two games containing at least 80 receiving yards and a score last week against the Cardinals. If you put Houshmandzadeh and Johnson together, it would be a great, complete receiver. But every week it is Johnson with the yards and Houshmandzadeh with the score.

Glenn Holt received a concussion last week and could be held out on Sunday..

Tight Ends: They do not catch more than one or two per game and have never scored this year. No fantasy value here.

Match Against the Defense: The Titans have been one of the better teams against the run and the Bengals have really had problems mounting much of a rushing attack. Expect the same as last week with Rudi Johnson and Kenny Watson sharing carries. Watson should have a bit harder time getting receiving numbers this week against a solid linebacker corps of the Titans.

Palmer faces a secondary that has ranked as one of the better ones this year but the game will move to the air sooner than later so figure on Palmer posting at least decent yardage and likely a couple of scores. No team has thrown for more than two other than the surreal fourth quarter in Houston with Sage Rosenfels. No wideout has topped 100 yards against the Titans this year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 6 23 3 32 3 11
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 7 9 12 4 9 21

The Huddle
WEEK 12
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Thanksgiving
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Monday
*updated

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