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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: WAS 20, TB 23

Update: Both Santana Moss and Antwaan Randle El sat our practice on Wednesday but are still expected to play. They are being rested and should see some practice time on Friday. I am leaving their projections alone.

Same deal for the Buccaneers who are limited both Earnest Graham and Joey Galloway in practice but both are expected to play. No need to change projections.

The Skins come off a close loss to the Cowboys and that makes two losses in a row for a team that is 2-3 in road games. The Buccaneers thrashed the Falcons in Atlanta and at 6-4 have a two game lead in the NFC South and a 4-1 home record. This should prove to be a very competitive game but the Buccaneers at home turn the notch up on that defense.

The Buccaneers won 20-17 when the Redskins visited in 2006.

Washington Redskins (5-5)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIA 16-13 -3 35
2 @PHI 20-12 +7 38.5
3 NYG 17-24 -3.5 40.5
4 BYE - - -
5 DET 34-3 -4 44.5
6 @GB 14-17 +3 40.5
7 ARI 21-19 -7 37
8 @NE 7-52 +16 48
9 @NYJ 23-20 -3.5 35.5
10 PHI 25-33 -2.5 37.5
11 @DAL 23-28 +10.5 47
12 @TB   +3.5 37.5
13 BUF 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 CHI 6-Dec THU 8:15 PM
15 @NYG 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @MIN 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DAL 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
WAS at TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     200,1
RB Clinton Portis 60,1 10  
TE Chris Cooley   40,1  
WR Santana Moss   50  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Keenan McCardell   40  
PK Shaun Suisham 2 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: While it has been over a two game losing streak, but the Skins offense is showing more life lately and Jason Campbell has stepped up - just not quite enough though. The defense was one of the better ones when the season opened against softer opponents but with a tougher slate, the Skins have been giving up the points and the offense just cannot keep pace.

Quarterback: After being a lock for throwing around 200 yards and a score each week, Jason Campbell has spent the last two weeks with the best games of his career. Against the Eagles, he threw for 215 yards and three scores and in Dallas had 348 yards and two scores. The game last week was very notable since Campbell had never thrown for more than 217 yards in a road game in his career. It is not a major increase this year but the young quarterback is improving.

Campbell threw for 196 yards and two scores in Tampa Bay last year.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis logged two great games against the Eagles and Jets but went back to less productive ways in Dallas when he only gained 36 yards on 12 carries. Other than that game in New York against the Jets, Portis typically stalls out at 50 or 60 rushing yards in road games if that much.

Portis was not playing in week 11 when these teams met last year and Ladell Betts and T.J. Duckett combined for only 12 carries for 44 yards.

Wide Receivers: After missing the previous game with a bruised heel, Santana Moss turned it up in Dallas when he had a season high 121 yards and one score - his previous best was 89 yards back in week two. It was also his first score on the year. Antwaan Randle El settled for 53 yards on seven catches on Sunday which is right at his average game. The loss of Brandon Lloyd and absence of James Thrash meant that Keenan McCardell had more playing time and he turned in five receptions for 76 yards.

The last two weeks have helped this unit to step up but still there have only been three games this year where any Skins wideout has scored.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley comes off his second best game of the year with eight receptions for 89 yards and all his best efforts have come on the road. At home he usually ends up with around 20 yards per game but on the road, he has been over 58 yards three times including a 105 yard game in Green Bay.

Cooley caught five passes for 58 yards and a score in Tampa Bay last year.

Match Against the Defense: Portis has a decent chance of scoring against a defense that has allowed eight rushing touchdowns this year but yardage will be hard to expect as more than moderate. Both teams will lean on the run game as much as they can and that should limit Portis because the Buccaneers at home at more stout.

Campbell has a nice two game run going but that should end this week against one of the very best secondaries in the league. The Buccaneers are #2 in the NFL in allowing points and no one passes for much against them. In the last five games, their opponents have never had more than 172 passing yards and scored only twice. Campbell could possibly score once but any more is unlikely and his yardage should dip back down to his average game.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 16 11 25 11 18 22
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 1 23 3 2 5 3


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4)
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @SEA 6-20 +6 41
2 NO 31-14 +3.5 41.5
3 STL 24-3 -4 38.5
4 @CAR 20-7 +3 39
5 @IND 14-33 +9 45
6 TEN 13-10 -2.5 37
7 @DET 16-23 +1.5 43
8 JAC 23-24 +4 32.5
9 ARI 17-10 -3.5 37
10 BYE - - -
11 @ATL 31-7 -3 35
12 WAS   -3.5 37.5
13 @NO 2-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
14 @HOU 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 ATL 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 @SF 23-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
17 CAR 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
TBB vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Jeff Garcia     190,2
RB Earnest Graham 60 30  
TE Alex Smith   20  
WR Joey Galloway   90,2  
WR Ike Hilliard   30  
WR Maurice Stovall   20  
PK Matt Bryant 3 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Buccaneers are on a two game winning streak and since the Panthers are falling apart at record pace, the NFC South title is all but certain. With a great defense and enough rushing game to control the ball, the Buccaneers are steadily heading towards the playoffs and have a remaining schedule that they could actually run the table on and end up 12-4. This week will be a challenge as should the road game in Houston but otherwise this is a very soft schedule right when the Buccaneers could use a string of wins. Thanks to Dallas and Green Bay, the Buccaneers are still stuck playing in round one.

Quarterback: Jeff Garcia has thrown for at least one score in each of the last seven games but his yardage has never been much outside of the road game in Detroit. Most of his games come in under 200 passing yards but Garcia plays nearly error free and has only thrown an interception in one game this year. Nothing flashy to be sure but good enough against average or worse teams.

Running Backs: These last two wins have seen Earnest Graham pumping out 100+ rushing yard games and scoring in each. The Cardinals and Falcons are hardly the best defenses but Graham is running well enough to keep the chain moving. He's been good enough that the Buccaneers had Michael Bennett inactive last week for the first time since coming to the team. Other than his freak game in Detroit, he is rarely used for more than one inconsequential catch per game.

Wide Receivers: For the last three weeks, Joey Galloway has really shined with a score in each game and never less than 63 receiving yards. Last week was a big accomplishment for him though, since his five touchdowns this year had all came in home games - Sunday was the first time he managed the feat in a road game. Ike Hilliard was on a hot streak but has really tailed off over the last three weeks. His best games always came on the road when defenses were devoted to stopping Galloway. In a home game or even an easier road tilt, Hilliard just gets little action.

Galloway caught four passes for 64 yards and one score against the Redskins last year.

Tight Ends: Alex Smith is another Buccaneers player sensitive to where the game is played. His three scores this year were all in road trips and at home he has been languishing around one or two catches per game.

Match Against the Defense: Earnest Graham will be needing more carries than he will likely get to have a big game here. The Redskins rushing defense has been good this year and only three runners have scored against them. Most teams remain well under 50 rushing yards for the primary runner, Look for moderate yardage that could include more receiving work this week with a tougher defense to face.

Garcia faces a secondary that is good but that can definitely give up the yards and scores to opponents that have weapons. They have allowed 12 passing scores in the last four games but those went to Brady, Romo and McNabb. Expect a couple of scores here by Garcia that has to favor Galloway of course if not both of them.

Gaining Fantasy Points TB 17 8 18 23 22 25
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 30 14 17 17 11 15

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

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