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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

Prediction: BUF 10, WAS 24

Update: Anthony Thomas has a torn muscle in his calf and will not play this week. Fred Jackson will be the starter. Antwaan Randle El and Santana Moss have both been limited in practice this week but both are now expected to play. Clinton Portis was also limited to rest his back but should have a nice game here. I am adding Randle El in but this game should feature more rushing anyway.

This game has been tinted with the tragic death of Sean Taylor and how that affects the team is pure speculation. He may not have been close to every team member, but any death within the team is felt throughout the organization. Given how this happened so quickly, best guess is that it motivates the Redskins to give a tribute to a fallen teammate.

Buffalo Bills (5-6)
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DEN 14-15 +3.5 37
2 @PIT 3-26 +10 37.5
3 @NE 7-38 +16.5 41
4 NYJ 17-14 +3 37.5
5 DAL 24-25 +10 42
6 BYE - - -
7 BAL 19-14 +3 35
8 @NYJ 13-3 +3 37
9 CIN 33-21 +1 43.5
10 @MIA 13-10 -3 41
11 NE 10-56 +15.5 46.5
12 @JAC 14-36 +7.5 36
13 @WAS   +5.5 37
14 MIA 9-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
15 @CLE 16-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
16 NYG 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 @PHI 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
BUF at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Edwards     200,1
RB Anthony Thomas 50
RB Fred Jackson 50    
TE Robert Royal   20  
WR Lee Evans   70  
WR Josh Reed   60  
WR Roscoe Parrish   40,1  
PK Rian Lindell 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Bills were on a nice four game winning streak when they had to host the Patriots who crushed them. They a road trip to Jacksonville had little better results with a 22 point loss. Now on the road gain, the Bills face the Redskins who will be no doubt dedicating the game to Sean Taylor. That's a tough stretch that ends next week when the Dolphins come to Buffalo.

Quarterback:. J.P. Losman still has yet to throw for more than one score in a game this year but at least his yardage has improved. He had been struggling in road games but comes off a 211 yard game in Jacksonville with one score. Of course that happened with Lee Evans almost blanked and no receiver had more than 50 yards, but it is a step up from previous road efforts.

HC Dick Jauron has named Trent Edwards as the starter this week but that is more of a move for the future than to improve the offense now. Edwards only has one score in four games played and has averaged around 170 yards per game.

Running Backs: Marshawn Lynch is still bothered by his high ankle sprain and seems likely to miss this week as well. Even HC Dick Jauron said he was not optimistic. To make matters worse, Anthony Thomas suffered a strained calf and he too may not play this week. If that happens, it would leave only Dwayne Wright and Fred Jackson as healthy alternatives in what should be an unattractive road venue this week.

I am going to project for a limited Thomas to start this week and update on Friday as needed.

Wide Receivers: The Lee Evans bandwagon has now officially emptied. After two teasing efforts over 130 yards in weeks eight and nine, Evans is back to obscurity with only 40 yards per game on average these last three weeks. Even Josh Reed had 50 yards last week to lead the receivers because all secondaries have to do is cover Evans.

Roscoe Parrish scored last week on an end around but only had 26 yards on four receptions. Hard to count on a trick play every week.

Tight Ends: Robert Royal has improved the last couple of weeks because he catches two passes instead of just one. Still rarely more than 20 yards in any game.

Match Against the Defense: Matching up to the defense has two important aspects this week. The Bills likely have no rushing game and the Skins secondary just had a fellow player die and will be wearing #21 decals on their helmet. Stay away from the rushing game here and expect that the Skins are going to step up and cover Evans. The Taylor death has this game tough to forecast but had it not happened, Edwards would have likely thrown for no more than one score.

Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 32 22 27 29 29 22
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 27 11 12 13 13 18


Washington Redskins (5-6)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIA 16-13 -3 35
2 @PHI 20-12 +7 38.5
3 NYG 17-24 -3.5 40.5
4 BYE - - -
5 DET 34-3 -4 44.5
6 @GB 14-17 +3 40.5
7 ARI 21-19 -7 37
8 @NE 7-52 +16 48
9 @NYJ 23-20 -3.5 35.5
10 PHI 25-33 -2.5 37.5
11 @DAL 23-28 +10.5 47
12 @TB 13-19 +3.5 37.5
13 BUF   -5.5 37
14 CHI 6-Dec THU 8:15 PM
15 @NYG 16-Dec SUN 8:15 PM
16 @MIN 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DAL 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
WAS vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     220,2
RB Clinton Portis 100,1 30  
TE Chris Cooley   40,1  
WR Santana Moss   70,1  
WR Antwaan Randle El   20  
WR Keenan McCardell   50  
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Skins were already on a two game losing streak before the death of Taylor and whatever that means. Just reaching .500 will be a challenge now with upcoming match-ups against the Cowboys, Vikings, Giants and Bears but this week should be a solid win - unless the distraction of Taylor's death affects them in a demotivating manner. Always hard to say in these cases. The Broncos lost Darrent Williams after the season was over. The Vikings lost Korey Stringer before the season started. But this is a death during the season so whatever impact it has will be hard to gauge. At home against a below average team, it should be motivating.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell is maturing nicely and while he had spent much of the year as one of those "200 yards and one score" game managers, he has stepped up lately with six scores over the last three weeks and over 300 yards in both Dallas and Tampa Bay. He's made good progress that should pay off next year when the Redskins bring in the next batch of overpriced free agents.

Running Backs: Those nice passing games by Campbell coincided with two of the worst games for Clinton Portis. But while he had less than 70 rushing yards in both games, the two previous weeks he had games of 137 and 196 rushing yards with over 30 carries in each. Playing at home against one of the worst rush defenses on Sunday should be enough to get Portis back into a more productive gear. His home efforts have almost always been better than his road games and four of his six scores have come at home.

Wide Receivers: The improved passing numbers lately have benefited the wideouts but Santana Moss' 121 yards in Dallas turned back to just 37 last week in Tampa Bay, He only has one score on the season just the one game over 50 yards in the last six weeks. Antwaan Randle El has been more consistent but is likely out this week with a hamstring he re-aggravated last week when he could not finish the game.

Keenan McCardell has turned in games of 76 and 60 yards these last two weeks and should replace Randle El on Sunday if needed. With James Thrash still nursing an ankle sprain, the Skins could be down to Reche Caldwell as the last warm body to put in the slot.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley remains the lead scorer for the Skins with seven touchdowns and the last two weeks of higher passing numbers has directly benefited him with games of 89 and 96 yards and a score in each. Unfortunately, his three worst games all came at home against soft defenses - the Skins never needed him.

Match Against the Defense: The Bills on the road are bringing one of the softest rushing defenses and Portis needs a good game after two sub-par weeks. Expect a healthy game here with around 100 yards and one score.

Campbell goes against a very soft secondary as well but could be with a stripped down cast of receivers. I like him to throw for two scores that should favor both Cooley - of course - and Moss who has what could be his best chance at another big game without Randle El around to take away passes.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 16 11 25 8 20 23
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 30 28 28 17 19 5

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday night

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