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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: WAS 16, NYG 20

Update: Jeremy Shockey was held out of practice on Thursday to rest an abdominal injury but he is still expected to play. He had the same issue last week.

This is the second meeting of these teams and the Giants won 24-17 when they visited the Redskins in week three. The Giants are only 3-3 at home but the Skins are just 2-4 on the road. The change this time is that Jason Campbell is out and the Giants are at home.

Washington Redskins (6-7)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIA 16-13 -3 35
2 @PHI 20-12 +7 38.5
3 NYG 17-24 -3.5 40.5
4 BYE - - -
5 DET 34-3 -4 44.5
6 @GB 14-17 +3 40.5
7 ARI 21-19 -7 37
8 @NE 7-52 +16 48
9 @NYJ 23-20 -3.5 35.5
10 PHI 25-33 -2.5 37.5
11 @DAL 23-28 +10.5 47
12 @TB 13-19 +3.5 37.5
13 BUF 16-17 -5.5 37
14 CHI 24-16 -3 37.5
15 @NYG   +4.5 40
16 @MIN 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 DAL 30-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
WAS at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Todd Collins     200,1
RB Clinton Portis 50 40  
TE Chris Cooley   40,1  
WR Santana Moss   50  
WR Antwaan Randle El   50  
WR Keenan McCardell   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Redskins are not out of the playoff hunt thanks to rather complex mathematics but that will be a done deal after this week. Ending the season with road trips to New York and Minnesota and then hosting the Cowboys in week 17 sort of makes any late season surge highly unlikely. Losing Campbell only makes matters worse but at least winning last week ended a four game losing streak. Still, it is entirely possible the Skins turn in a 1-7 second half of the season after starting 5-3.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell is out with a kneecap dislocation this week but Todd Collins was impressive in relief last week when he passed for 224 yards and two scores against the Bears. The Skins still hold hope that Campbell can return for the final week against the Cowboys in the fantasy that they will still be in playoff contention but the reality is that giving three weeks off to Campbell mainly just lets the rest of the league catch up to his #1 ranking with eight lost fumbles.

Campbell passed for 190 yards and one score against the visiting Giants in week three.

Running Backs: Outside of the one game in New York against the Jets, Clinton Portis has been only marginally effective this year and less so on the road where his last two efforts netted him only 32 carries for 104 yards. Portis has only averaged around 50 rushing yards per game for the last four weeks but has been a bigger factor as a receiver with a season high six catches for 86 yards last week against the visiting Bears.

Portis rushed for 60 yards and one score versus the Giants. He also had six receptions for 37 yards.

Wide Receivers: With Todd Collins playing, Antwaan Randle El had a better than average game with four catches for 60 yards but no other receiver had more than 29 yards since Collins focused mainly on Portis and Cooley. Much too early to assume that Collins has a favorite and he did have an equal six passes thrown to both Santana Moss and Randle El. But more passes went to running backs (12) and tight ends (8) and both FB Mike Sellers and TE Yoder scored the touchdowns.

Moss gathered three catches for 82 yards in the first meeting with the Giants. Randle El only managed 32 yards on two receptions.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley bruised his right shin in the second quarter but returned after halftime to play and ended with five catches for 93 yards while Todd Yoder caught a touchdown on his only catch since week eight.. Cooley is expected to be fine this week since the shin has ten days to heel and he played with it anyway.

Cooley scored once on his three receptions for 19 yards against the Skins this year.

Match Against the Defense: The only real change since week three when these teams first me is that Campbell is out and Collins gets his first start since 2005. Portis on the road has not been running particularly well and the weather could be an issue this week anyway since it should be around freezing at game time on Sunday night. Expect another lesser effort from Portis the runner and hope that his role as a receiver continues - likely this week with the Giants pass rush making Collins hurry.

Collins goes against a secondary that held Campbell to mundane numbers and since Collins has the same crew to use, expect around the same 200 yards and a score. Every opponent throws at least one score and gets sacked at least three times. The backs and tight ends for the Skins should be a big help this week as well.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 15 10 27 6 18 27
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 21 7 19 22 8 23


New York Giants (9-4)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @DAL 35-45 +5.5 44
2 GB 13-35 -2.5 38.5
3 @WAS 24-17 +3.5 40.5
4 PHI 16-3 +2.5 47
5 NYJ 35-24 -3 41
6 @ATL 31-10 -3 43.5
7 SF 33-15 -9.5 40
8 @MIA 13-10 -9.5 48
9 BYE - - -
10 DAL 20-31 +1.5 49
11 @DET 16-10 -2.5 49.5
12 MIN 17-41 -7 41
13 @CHI 21-16 -1.5 43
14 @PHI 16-13 +3 42.5
15 WAS   -4.5 40
16 @BUF 23-Dec SUN 1:00 PM
17 NE 29-Dec SAT 8:15 PM
NYG vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     210,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 100,1 20  
TE Jeremy Shockey   60  
WR Plaxico Burress   80,1  
WR Amani Toomer   30  
WR Sinorice Moss   20  
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Giants need only one more win to lock up a wildcard bid and come off a two game road trip that both resulted in close wins. The Giants cannot win the division and already have a two game lead over all wildcard contenders so a win this week wraps up January and makes that final week hosting the Patriots a non-factor that doesn't need starters to play necessarily.

Quarterback: Eli Manning comes off a win over the Eagles that had his standard one touchdown but had no turnovers. That is rare for a quarterback who ranks #1 with a total of 21 turnovers -17 interceptions and four lost fumbles. Manning has scored exactly once in each of the last six games and his yardage was waned recently. With cold weather coming, he's unlikely to bounce back though he connected well with Plaxico Burress for the first time in a couple of weeks.

Manning passed for 232 yards and one score at Washington this year. And one lost fumble and an interception.

Running Backs: Not unlike Manning, Brandon Jacobs too is having problems holding on to the ball and lost two fumbles last week. Jacobs returned after missing two games with a sore hamstring and ran for 70 yards on 20 carries but said after the game his hamstring wasn't hurting as much as it had been. He is expected to be fine this week - long as he holds onto the ball.

Derrick Ward rushed for 94 yards on 26 carries versus the Skins this year while Reuben Droughns came in to score two short touchdowns.

Wide Receivers: Plaxico Burress comes off his best game since week one when he had seven catches for 136 yards in Philly on Sunday. That gives him two scoring efforts in the last three games but they sandwiched a three catch, 36 yard game in Chicago. Burress was described as seeming better by HC Tom Coughlin on Monday but he'll always be a risk until his ankle finally heals in the offseason. Then again, he is always a threat as he was last week.

Amani Toomer is about 30 yards per week away from retirement and has only scored once since week seven.

Burress caught five passes for 86 yards and one score against the Redskins this year.

Tight Ends: Just when you thought Jeremy Shockey could not get any worse, he catches just one pass for four yards in Philly last Sunday. The good news is that his three scores this year all happened at home but Shockey has just been below expectations in almost every game this year and averages only around 45 yards per week.

Shockey had five receptions for 79 yards on the road against the Skins this year. It was his second best game of the year.

Match Against the Defense: The Skins on the road will be different with Collins but still they are hardly a road team and the Giants already beat them once this year. Look for a better effort here by Jacobs who should get more carries and score once.

Manning is dialed in at one score per game though the Skins can be beaten via the pass and have given up eight scores in the last four road games. But this week smacks of a lower scoring, cold game with more running and defense. Burress is the obvious choice here to score but Shockey should show up better this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 16 6 18 13 16 9
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 27 9 14 13 18 16

The Huddle
~ 2007 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

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