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Ease of Schedule - Passing
David Dorey
November 13, 2008
Ease of Schedule - Rushing
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2008 Fantasy Points Allowed Opposing Passers

Good Allow Avg Allow Bad Allow
ARI 27.0 MIA 26.6 CAR 23.1
SD 31.2 ATL 26.5 PHI 23.1
SEA 29.2 CLE 26.2 BUF 23.0
CHI 29.2 JAC 26.0 NYG 22.5
DET 29.0 KC 26.0 TEN 22.3
DEN 28.7 MIN 25.6 TB 22.1
STL 28.0 HOU 24.3 PIT 21.9
NO 27.6 NE 24.2 WAS 21.9
NYJ 27.3 OAK 24.0 GB 21.4
SF 27.1 DAL 23.8 IND 20.5
  Good BAL 23.8   Bad
  Match-up CIN 23.7   Match-up

Using the actual results from weeks 1 through 10 of lthis season, the schedule was compared against the top 10 and worst 10 defenses for allowing fantasy points for passing yards and scores.

The table to the right shows the fantasy points allowed to opposing teams for all the combination of those three positions. At this early juncture, the positions were all combined to give a more realistic view of what each defense is allowing via the passing game. It is too early to break the positions out since single games against stud tight ends alone are enough to skew the results..

A "Good" game was when the team faced an opposing defense that was in the top 10 for allowing fantasy points. A "Bad" game was when that team faced an opposing defense that was in the ten defenses that allowed the least amount of fantasy points. The "EOS" is the Ease of Schedule - simply the net result of good minus bad games.

As with all such reviews, the most important findings are the extremes as they will change less as the season progresses and it is generally more important to not face a tough ("bad") defense than it is to go against an easy defense ("good"). Most of your starters are going to be among the best at their position, so the biggest question is if they will be limited by opposing defenses.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 11 to 13 show what players will face during the next three weeks. Weeks 11 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 11-13 Weeks 11 to 16 Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
EOS Good Bad EOS Good Bad EOS Good Bad
STL 2 2 0 STL 5 5 0 STL 3 3 0
TB 2 2 0 BUF 3 3 0 BUF 2 2 0
TEN 2 2 0 IND 2 2 0 KC 2 2 0
BUF 1 1 0 OAK 2 2 0 MIN 2 2 0
DEN 1 1 0 GB 2 3 1 NE 2 2 0
IND 1 1 0 KC 2 3 1 NO 2 2 0
MIA 1 1 0 MIN 2 3 1 SEA 2 2 0
OAK 1 1 0 NE 2 3 1 SF 2 2 0
PHI 1 1 0 SEA 2 3 1 ARZ 1 1 0
PIT 1 1 0 SF 2 3 1 GB 1 1 0
ATL 1 2 1 TB 2 3 1 IND 1 1 0
DAL 1 2 1 MIA 1 2 1 OAK 1 1 0
GB 1 2 1 TEN 1 2 1 NYJ 1 2 1
CAR 0 1 1 ATL 1 3 2 ATL 0 1 1
CHI 0 1 1 NYJ 1 3 2 CAR 0 1 1
KC 0 1 1 PIT 0 1 1 CHI 0 1 1
MIN 0 1 1 ARZ 0 2 2 DET 0 1 1
NE 0 1 1 CAR 0 2 2 MIA 0 1 1
NYG 0 1 1 CHI 0 2 2 TB 0 1 1
NYJ 0 1 1 NO 0 2 2 PIT -1 0 1
SEA 0 1 1 DEN -1 1 2 SD -1 0 1
SF 0 1 1 PHI -1 1 2 TEN -1 0 1
WAS 0 1 1 WAS -1 1 2 WAS -1 0 1
HOU -1 0 1 DAL -1 2 3 JAX -1 1 2
JAX -1 0 1 JAX -2 1 3 BAL -2 0 2
ARZ -1 1 2 NYG -2 1 3 CIN -2 0 2
BAL -2 0 2 HOU -3 0 3 CLE -2 0 2
CIN -2 0 2 SD -3 0 3 DAL -2 0 2
CLE -2 0 2 DET -3 1 4 DEN -2 0 2
NO -2 0 2 BAL -4 0 4 HOU -2 0 2
SD -2 0 2 CIN -4 0 4 NYG -2 0 2
DET -3 0 3 CLE -4 0 4 PHI -2 0 2

Week - By - Week

  11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @SEA NYG @PHI STL MIN @NE
ATL DEN CAR @SD @NO TB @MIN
BAL @NYG PHI @CIN WAS PIT @DAL
BUF CLE @KC SF MIA @NYJ @DEN
CAR DET @ATL @GB TB DEN @NYG
CHI @GB @STL @MIN JAC NO GB
CIN PHI @PIT BAL @IND WAS @CLE
CLE @BUF HOU IND @TEN @PHI CIN
DAL @WAS SF SEA @PIT NYG BAL
DEN @ATL OAK @NYJ KC @CAR BUF
DET @CAR TB TEN MIN @IND NO
GB CHI @NO CAR HOU @JAC @CHI
HOU @IND @CLE JAC @GB TEN @OAK
IND HOU @SD @CLE CIN DET @JAC
JAC TEN MIN @HOU @CHI GB IND
KC NO BUF @OAK @DEN SD MIA
MIA OAK NE @STL @BUF SF @KC
MIN @TB @JAC CHI @DET @ARI ATL
NE NYJ @MIA PIT @SEA @OAK ARI
NO @KC GB @TB ATL @CHI @DET
NYG BAL @ARI @WAS PHI @DAL CAR
NYJ @NE @TEN DEN @SF BUF @SEA
OAK @MIA @DEN KC @SD NE HOU
PHI @CIN @BAL ARI @NYG CLE @WAS
PIT SD CIN @NE DAL @BAL @TEN
SD @PIT IND ATL OAK @KC @TB
SEA ARI WAS @DAL NE @STL NYJ
SF STL @DAL @BUF NYJ @MIA @STL
STL @SF CHI MIA @ARI SEA SF
TB MIN @DET NO @CAR @ATL SD
TEN @JAC NYJ @DET CLE @HOU PIT
WAS DAL @SEA NYG @BAL @CIN PHI

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