| 2007 Rushing Fantasy Points Allowed
Per Game |
| 16 Best Matchups |
16 Worst Matchups |
| OAK |
27.5 |
NE |
10.4 |
| DET |
23.8 |
@DAL |
10.3 |
| SEA |
20.6 |
BAL |
10.3 |
| @CHI |
20.0 |
MIN |
10.3 |
| @ATL |
19.9 |
WAS |
10.2 |
| DEN |
19.6 |
JAC |
9.6 |
| NYJ |
19.0 |
NO |
9.5 |
| SF |
18.6 |
@NE |
9.4 |
| MIA |
18.4 |
TEN |
9.3 |
| @MIA |
18.0 |
PIT |
9.1 |
| HOU |
17.2 |
@SEA |
9.0 |
| @KC |
17.1 |
@GB |
8.8 |
| STL |
16.9 |
@WAS |
8.4 |
| SD |
16.6 |
@MIN |
8.1 |
| @NYJ |
16.5 |
@SD |
8.0 |
| BUF |
16.3 |
@PIT |
7.5 |
|
In case you have jumped here instead of going to passing first (and I would not blame you), the Ease of Schedule for rushing considers only rushing numbers (rushing yards and touchdowns scored by running backs). In the past, passing yardage was included and created a less accurate and reliable picture because of the variation between teams on how they throw to their backs ( or don't).
But that is not enough. Another change this year is that no longer are the "good" and "bad" matchups related to a team. They are now related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What this season's improved (2.0) Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 16 matchups were used.
This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year and has a direct bearing on rushing numbers allowed. The best match-ups from last year only had five road venues but the worst contained eight including the six absolute worst venues were all road games. This will result in a better EOS and even more so for rushing.
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