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Ease of Schedule 2.0 - Rushing
David Dorey
June 2, 2008
Ease of Schedule 2.0 - Passing
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2007 Rushing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
16 Best Matchups 16 Worst Matchups
OAK 27.5 NE 10.4
DET 23.8 @DAL 10.3
SEA 20.6 BAL 10.3
@CHI 20.0 MIN 10.3
@ATL 19.9 WAS 10.2
DEN 19.6 JAC 9.6
NYJ 19.0 NO 9.5
SF 18.6 @NE 9.4
MIA 18.4 TEN 9.3
@MIA 18.0 PIT 9.1
HOU 17.2 @SEA 9.0
@KC 17.1 @GB 8.8
STL 16.9 @WAS 8.4
SD 16.6 @MIN 8.1
@NYJ 16.5 @SD 8.0
BUF 16.3 @PIT 7.5
In case you have jumped here instead of going to passing first (and I would not blame you), the Ease of Schedule for rushing considers only rushing numbers (rushing yards and touchdowns scored by running backs). In the past, passing yardage was included and created a less accurate and reliable picture because of the variation between teams on how they throw to their backs ( or don't).

But that is not enough. Another change this year is that no longer are the "good" and "bad" matchups related to a team. They are now related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What this season's improved (2.0) Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 16 matchups were used.

This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year and has a direct bearing on rushing numbers allowed. The best match-ups from last year only had five road venues but the worst contained eight including the six absolute worst venues were all road games. This will result in a better EOS and even more so for rushing.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season) Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule) Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  EOS Good Bad   EOS Good Bad   EOS Good Bad
BUF 7 9 2 ARZ 2 3 1 BUF 2 2 0
DEN 3 7 4 OAK 2 3 1 GB 2 2 0
MIA 3 7 4 BUF 1 2 1 KC 2 2 0
NE 3 7 4 CHI 1 1 0 MIA 2 2 0
NO 3 6 3 JAX 1 2 1 SD 2 2 0
OAK 3 6 3 KC 1 3 2 SF 2 2 0
KC 2 7 5 SD 1 2 1 STL 2 2 0
MIN 1 3 2 SEA 1 2 1 TB 2 2 0
SD 1 4 3 TB 1 1 0 CAR 1 1 0
SF 1 5 4 ATL 0 1 1 DEN 1 1 0
STL 1 5 4 DEN 0 2 2 IND 1 1 0
TB 1 5 4 MIA 0 2 2 JAX 1 1 0
ARZ 0 5 5 MIN 0 1 1 NO 1 1 0
SEA 0 4 4 NE 0 2 2 CLE 0 0 0
TEN 0 4 4 NO 0 2 2 MIN 0 0 0
JAX -1 3 4 CIN -1 1 2 NYJ 0 1 1
NYJ -1 4 5 DET -1 1 2 PIT 0 0 0
CAR -2 3 5 HOU -1 1 2 SEA 0 1 1
CLE -2 2 4 NYG -1 1 2 WAS 0 0 0
GB -2 2 4 PHI -1 2 3 ARZ -1 1 2
PIT -2 2 4 PIT -1 1 2 ATL -1 0 1
ATL -3 2 5 SF -1 1 2 CIN -1 0 1
BAL -4 2 6 WAS -1 1 2 NE -1 0 1
DAL -4 2 6 BAL -2 0 2 NYG -1 0 1
NYG -4 2 6 CAR -2 0 2 OAK -1 1 2
PHI -4 2 6 CLE -2 0 2 PHI -1 0 1
WAS -4 1 5 DAL -2 0 2 TEN -1 0 1
CHI -5 2 7 GB -2 0 2 CHI -2 0 2
DET -5 2 7 NYJ -2 1 3 DAL -2 0 2
HOU -5 2 7 STL -2 1 3 DET -2 0 2
IND -6 2 8 TEN -2 1 3 HOU -2 0 2
CIN -7 1 8 IND -4 0 4 BAL -3 0 3

Week - By - Week

  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @SF MIA @WAS @NYJ BUF DAL BYE @CAR @STL SF @SEA NYG @PHI STL MIN @NE
ATL DET @TB KC @CAR @GB CHI BYE @PHI @OAK NO DEN CAR @SD @NO TB @MIN
BAL CIN @HOU CLE @PIT TEN @IND @MIA OAK @CLE BYE @NYG PHI @CIN WAS PIT @DAL
BUF SEA @JAC OAK @STL @ARI BYE SD @MIA NYJ @NE CLE @KC SF MIA @NYJ @DEN
CAR @SD CHI @MIN ATL KC @TB NO ARI BYE @OAK DET @ATL @GB TB DEN @NYG
CHI @IND @CAR TB PHI @DET @ATL MIN BYE DET TEN @GB @STL @MIN JAC NO GB
CIN @BAL TEN @NYG CLE @DAL @NYJ PIT BYE JAC @HOU PHI @PIT BAL @IND WAS @CLE
CLE DAL PIT @BAL @CIN BYE NYG @WAS @JAC BAL DEN @BUF HOU IND @TEN @PHI CIN
DAL @CLE PHI @GB WAS CIN @ARI @STL TB @NYG BYE @WAS SF SEA @PIT NYG BAL
DEN @OAK SD NO @KC TB JAC @NE BYE MIA @CLE @ATL OAK @NYJ KC @CAR BUF
DET @ATL GB @SF BYE CHI @MIN @HOU WAS @CHI JAC @CAR TB TEN MIN @IND NO
GB MIN @DET DAL @TB ATL @SEA IND BYE @TEN @MIN CHI @NO CAR HOU @JAC @CHI
HOU @PIT BAL @TEN @JAC IND MIA DET BYE @MIN CIN @IND @CLE JAC @GB TEN @OAK
IND CHI @MIN JAC BYE @HOU BAL @GB @TEN NE @PIT HOU @SD @CLE CIN DET @JAC
JAC @TEN BUF @IND HOU PIT @DEN BYE CLE @CIN @DET TEN MIN @HOU @CHI GB IND
KC @NE OAK @ATL DEN @CAR BYE TEN @NYJ TB @SD NO BUF @OAK @DEN SD MIA
MIA NYJ @ARI @NE BYE SD @HOU BAL BUF @DEN SEA OAK NE @STL @BUF SF @KC
MIN @GB IND CAR @TEN @NO DET @CHI BYE HOU GB @TB @JAC CHI @DET @ARI ATL
NE KC @NYJ MIA BYE @SF @SD DEN STL @IND BUF NYJ @MIA PIT @SEA @OAK ARI
NO TB @WAS @DEN SF MIN OAK @CAR SD BYE @ATL @KC GB @TB ATL @CHI @DET
NYG WAS @STL CIN BYE SEA @CLE SF @PIT DAL @PHI BAL @ARI @WAS PHI @DAL CAR
NYJ @MIA NE @SD ARI BYE CIN @OAK KC @BUF STL @NE @TEN DEN @SF BUF @SEA
OAK DEN @KC @BUF SD BYE @NO NYJ @BAL ATL CAR @MIA @DEN KC @SD NE HOU
PHI STL @DAL PIT @CHI WAS @SF BYE ATL @SEA NYG @CIN @BAL ARI @NYG CLE @WAS
PIT HOU @CLE @PHI BAL @JAC BYE @CIN NYG @WAS IND SD CIN @NE DAL @BAL @TEN
SD CAR @DEN NYJ @OAK @MIA NE @BUF @NO BYE KC @PIT IND ATL OAK @KC @TB
SEA @BUF SF STL BYE @NYG GB @TB @SF PHI @MIA ARI WAS @DAL NE @STL NYJ
SF ARI @SEA DET @NO NE PHI @NYG SEA BYE @ARI STL @DAL @BUF NYJ @MIA @STL
STL @PHI NYG @SEA BUF BYE @WAS DAL @NE ARI @NYJ @SF CHI MIA @ARI SEA SF
TB @NO ATL @CHI GB @DEN CAR SEA @DAL @KC BYE MIN @DET NO @CAR @ATL SD
TEN JAC @CIN HOU MIN @BAL BYE @KC IND GB @CHI @JAC NYJ @DET CLE @HOU PIT
WAS @NYG NO ARI @DAL @PHI STL CLE @DET PIT BYE DAL @SEA NYG @BAL @CIN PHI

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