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Consistency Rankings - Overview
David Dorey
June 11, 2008
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Player consistency is paramount to having a fantasy team that can deliver above average points each week - that is the formula for winning of course. But most fantasy owners do not really adhere to that, instead making their drafting decisions based largely on who had the most overall points the previous season (regardless how they really accrued them) or they recall the one monster game or two that they would really like to reprise for the current season (even though it may have literally been the player's only decent showing of the year).

Consistency rankings are in some ways more important than those total stats from the previous season because they consider how often a player had a good game. How often they could make the difference in YOUR fantasy game. Have your seen - or been - the team that can post the league high for the week and follow that up with the worst score the next week? How often does that team make it to the league superbowl?

Below are links to the individual positional pages to examine the consistency for 2007 and also a look at how consistent players have been over the last three years to lessen the effect of a really good or bad season. Any surprises? Shouldn't be though - these are the players that are there for you more often than the rest.

For consistency breakdowns, just click on the position:  Quarterbacks     Running Backs     Wide Receivers     Tight Ends
 
QB Games with 300 Yds or 2+ TDs AVG 2007 2006 2005
Manning, Peyton 71% 63% 81% 69%
Brady, Tom 69% 94% 56% 56%
Romo, Tony 65% 75% 55% na
Palmer, Carson 63% 50% 63% 75%
Roethlisberger, Ben 59% 60% 60% 58%
Cutler, Jay 59% 38% 80% na
Brees, Drew 56% 63% 56% 50%
Bulger, Marc 55% 33% 56% 75%
McNabb, Donovan 54% 36% 70% 56%
Favre, Brett 52% 75% 38% 44%
Rivers, Philip 50% 50% 50% na
Hasselbeck, Matt 49% 63% 33% 50%
Kitna, Jon 47% 44% 50% na
Manning, Eli 40% 31% 44% 44%
Campbell, Jason 37% 31% 43% na
Garrard, David 36% 50% 30% 29%
Pennington, Chad 32% 33% 31% 33%
Young, Vince 27% 27% 27% na
McNair, Steve 26% 17% 25% 36%
 
TE Games with 50 Yds or 1 TD AVG 2007 2006 2005
Gates, Antonio 72% 69% 75% 73%
Winslow, Kellen 72% 81% 63% na
Gonzalez, Tony 66% 63% 60% 75%
Witten, Jason 60% 75% 56% 50%
Shockey, Jeremy 59% 43% 60% 73%
Cooley, Chris 58% 69% 50% 56%
Crumpler, Alge 56% 43% 50% 75%
Heap, Todd 55% 33% 69% 63%
Daniels, Owen 51% 63% 38% na
Davis, Vernon 47% 50% 44% na
Clark, Dallas 44% 53% 50% 29%
Watson, Ben 44% 42% 54% 36%
Stevens, Jerramy 43% 43% 45% 40%
Smith, L.J. 42% 10% 67% 50%
Miller, Heath 42% 47% 31% 47%
Scheffler, Tony 42% 38% 45% na
McMichael, Randy 36% 25% 44% 38%
Clark, Desmond 30% 38% 38% 15%
Scaife, Bo 27% 13% 36% 33%
     
RB Games with 100 Yds or 1 TD AVG 2007 2006 2005
Westbrook, Brian 82% 93% 87% 67%
Tomlinson, LaDainian 82% 88% 88% 69%
Jackson, Steven 76% 75% 94% 60%
Portis, Clinton 73% 75% 63% 81%
Johnson, Larry 73% 50% 94% 75%
James, Edgerrin 69% 50% 63% 93%
Alexander, Shaun 68% 46% 70% 88%
Brown, Ronnie 68% 72% 85% 47%
Jones-Drew, M. 64% 53% 75% na
McGahee, Willis 62% 87% 50% 50%
Addai, Joseph 62% 73% 50% na
Parker, Willie 61% 67% 69% 47%
Henry, Travis 60% 55% 64% na
Bush, Reggie 56% 67% 44% na
Jacobs, Brandon 55% 73% 47% 46%
Gore, Frank 55% 67% 69% 29%
Johnson, Rudi 54% 36% 75% 50%
Maroney, Laurence 53% 62% 43% na
Jones, Thomas 52% 44% 44% 67%
Barber, Marion 51% 50% 69% 33%
Jones, Kevin 51% 54% 67% 31%
Lewis, Jamal 50% 67% 50% 33%
Dunn, Warrick 48% 25% 50% 69%
Taylor, Fred 48% 40% 67% 36%
Benson, Cedric 43% 45% 40% na
Taylor, Chester 37% 36% 60% 14%
Dayne, Ron 33% 46% 40% 13%
 
WR Games with 100 Yds or 1 TD AVG 2007 2006 2005
Owens, Terrell 80% 73% 81% 86%
Colston, Marques 70% 63% 77% na
Smith, Steve 65% 40% 86% 69%
Houshmandzadeh, T.J. 64% 63% 79% 50%
Fitzgerald, Larry 63% 53% 62% 75%
Jackson, Darrell 63% 20% 85% 83%
Holt, Torry 61% 50% 63% 71%
Burress, Plaxico 60% 56% 80% 44%
Boldin, Anquan 57% 50% 50% 71%
Jennings, Greg 57% 77% 36% na
Williams, Roy 56% 42% 69% 58%
Wayne, Reggie 54% 63% 69% 31%
Galloway, Joey 53% 40% 63% 56%
Moss, Randy 52% 81% 26% 50%
Harrison, Marvin 52% 20% 69% 67%
Edwards, Braylon 50% 75% 56% 20%
Johnson, Andre 50% 78% 56% 15%
Henry, Chris 47% 25% 69% 46%
Driver, Donald 44% 20% 69% 44%
Walker, Javon 43% 29% 56% na
Ward, Hines 42% 38% 36% 53%
Johnson, Chad 42% 38% 38% 50%
Chambers, Chris 42% 38% 31% 56%
Cotchery, Jerricho 42% 33% 50% na
Coles, Laveranues 39% 36% 56% 25%
Brown, Reggie 37% 31% 60% 21%
Jones, Matt 37% 33% 46% 31%
Hackett, D.J. 37% 50% 38% 22%
Henderson, Devery 36% 27% 58% 23%
Evans, Lee 35% 25% 56% 25%
Moss, Santana 34% 21% 43% 38%
Bruce, Isaac 34% 36% 38% 27%
Jenkins, Michael 28% 20% 44% 21%

COMMENTS (page 1 of 1)
David Dorey
Posted Aug 17, 2008 3:40am EDT
I only considered games played so that ratios would be attached to their performances. As for Ronnie Brown, he played in seven games as you note but he had five games with 100 yards and/or a touchdown. He rushed for over 100 yards in four games and in his final game he ran for 76 yards and had 33 yards receiviing for a total of 109 yards. Five instances divided by seven games = 72% which is what it said.
sport17654
Posted Aug 16, 2008 11:21pm EDT
I agree with ferschizz.
This chart doesn't take into account games not played. One zero in any equation throws things off dramatically.

Another example being Ronnie Brown. He played 7 total games last year. In 4 of them he gained 100yds and/or 1 TD. Pretty sure that's not 72%

They teach ratio-proportion in high school.

Great articles though!
D'Dog
Posted Aug 10, 2008 8:05pm EDT
Randy McMichael will be a good late pick since its only Holt & Jackson's unsigned (& spells bad luck ). He has the tools!
ferschizz
Posted Jun 12, 2008 3:28pm EDT
Sorry! Just realized I misread this-I looked at the avg instead of the 2007 column. My mistake.
ferschizz
Posted Jun 12, 2008 3:25pm EDT
These numbers seem dubious-Andre Johnson had a TD and/or 100 yards in 7 of 9 games played. Obviously, that isn't 50%. If these numbers take games not played into account, I would argue that they're pretty worthless. We can't predict injuries.
The Wolf
Posted Jun 11, 2008 4:31pm EDT
Interesting to see how consistent LJ Smith was until last season. Injuries have wrecked his standing here but he could be a very undervalued player this season...as long as he comes in healthy.
abruzzi
Posted Jun 11, 2008 7:40am EDT
very nice stats. Interesting to see westy's numbers get better as he ages.
 

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