Quarterback - Louisville
Combine Height: 6-3
Combine Weight: 230
Combine 40 Time: 4.83
Threw for 4,024 yards and 30 touchdowns as a senior, with 30 touchdowns and 12 interceptions while completing passes at a 65.1 percent clip.
Brohm has been left in the dust by Matt Ryan on the quarterback draft board and he’s battling to hold off Chad Henne and Joe Flacco while clinging to hopes of a spot in the first round. It’s not that Brohm did anything wrong coming back for his senior season; in fact, his numbers climbed and he avoided injury, something he was unable to do as a junior. But pro scouts still have concerns about his mobility (or lack thereof), and Brohm doesn’t have the cannon arm that sets scouts to drooling. All he does is stand in the pocket with solid footwork and technique and complete the short and mid-range passes like a machine.
The issue for NFL scouts may be that there just doesn’t seem to be a monster upside to Brohm’s game. He’ll be solid, sure, completing passes and reading defenses, but there isn’t a “wow” factor. On the flip side, of course, drive-thru windows and sales offices are littered with guys who could toss the ball through a wall but never saw the safety coming over to pick it off. Brohm has talent, but NFL teams wonder if his gaudy numbers are as much the product of a pass-happy system as anything else. Essentially Brohm is the “safe” pick, and safe doesn’t necessarily play well in the first round.
There’s still a chance Brohm goes early, to the Ravens at No. 8 if Ryan is already off the board. But the rising stock of other second-tier quarterbacks has teams thinking they can slough off on the position until the second round and “settle” for the likes of Henne and Flacco. The exception might be Carolina, who could groom Brohm to be Jake Delhomme’s eventual replacement and not miss a beat if yet another Delhomme injury forces the future to come sooner than expected. With the Vikings looking as if they’re committing to Tarvaris Jackson, Brohm could pull a Brady Quinn or Aaron Rodgers and slide late into the first round; at that juncture the Dolphins, Falcons, and/or Chiefs might look at moving back into Round One to get their quarterback of the future.
There’s no sugar-coating it: rookie quarterbacks are bad fantasy investments in redraft leagues. The best-case scenario for Brohm in 2008 would be landing in Baltimore or Carolina, with Steve McNair or Delhomme going down early in the year with an injury (hardly a stretch, when you think about it) and Brohm stepping into a lineup with a decent offensive line, a running game to relieve some of the pressure, and some decent targets to throw to. And even then he’s a backup fantasy quarterback at best.
Keeper and dynasty leaguers feel the same way as NFL scouts: where’s the tangy zip of upside? You could expend a late-round pick on Brohm (an option made more palatable if he lands in a situation like the one listed above), but you aren’t exactly building your dynasty league plans around his projected run of 30-touchdown seasons starting in 2010.