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IDP Interactive - Week 3
Steve Gallo
September 20, 2008
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Welcome to our week 3 edition of IDP INTERACTIVE.  In our IDP Forum you will find a thread entitled "IDP INTERACTIVE" pinned to the top where you can submit your questions for consideration.  If you question is not chosen to be answered in this column every effort will still be made to answer your question in the IDP Forum.

Now let’s take a look at the question that forum member Tally has offered up.

Tally wrote,
I am considering dropping Richard Marshall for one of the below DB’s. I have chosen these players because in the first 2 weeks of the season their points have come from a consistent amount of tackles and not TD’s, INT or PDef (which are categories that I would prefer not to rely on) My scoring system is tackle heavy and although R. Marshall was the 8th best scorer at DB in my league last year, I do seem to have a strong team this year as I have started the season 2-0 and I feel that I can afford to take a chance on one of these players stepping up rather than just waiting for Marshall to bounce back to 07 form. Also, I am last on my leagues waiver wire this week so there is a chance 1-2 of these players are picked up before my turn.

The players I am considering dropping Marshall for are….

MIKE ADAMS- CLE
BRIAN WILLIAMS- JAC
KEVIN KAESVIHARN- NO
MARVIN WHITE- CIN
TYE HILL- STL

Tally also had this to add, “It's a keeper league but we only keep 2 players. 1 player must be drafted after round 5 and the other player must be drafted after round 12 and you can only keep the players for 1 year. My keepers were Gonzales (drafted in round 8) and Jennings (drafted in round 17)”

Since Tally is in a keeper league the first thing I wanted to do was take a look at his draft.  After looking at the draft (Tally drafted 12th out of 12 teams) I noticed one possible error on Tally’s part.  He drafted Roddy White at 5.12 and Fred Taylor at 6.1.  The way I read his rules Roddy White would not be eligible to be a keeper next year since he wasn’t selected after round 5 but in round 5.  Now if the rule does actually include round 5 players then this wouldn’t have been a draft error.  If it is indeed round 6 players and on then Tally should have taken Fred Taylor at 5.12 and Roddy White at 6.1 to make him eligible as a keeper.  Outside of Roddy White after round 5 the only two offensive players that I see as potential keepers next year are Reggie Brown (18th round) & Kevin Curtis (round 27).  I do see a couple of strong defensive keepers in Jonathan Vilma (round 10) & Barrett Ruud (round 21).  The reason I am pointing this out is because even if Richard Marshall (round 12) was performing like a top 5 DB he isn’t someone that I would consider keeping next year.  Marshall is a talent and I still believe that next year he will be a starter and top 5 DB.  Chris Gamble is a free agent after this year and I doubt that he will be a Panther next year which opens up a starting gig for Marshall.  With all that said the DB position is so deep that it doesn’t make sense to keep a DB when you only have 2 keepers.  Vilma looks to be back and very well could be a top 5 LB this year and in the future.  Ruud is a player that looked great in the first part of last year but struggled over the second half of the season.  This year Ruud looks to have turned things back around and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him as a top 15 or better LB going forward.  Ok, now that we have the keeper aspect addressed I can safely say that you can drop Richard Marshall without feeling to bad about it.  Now let’s take a look at the available options that you listed.

Mike Adams – Adams is tied (Jammer) for the league lead in tackles (17) by defensive backs.  Adams should continue to provide very good production while Sean Jones is out with his injury.  Adams isn’t an elite talent but he is in a scheme that allows the SS to put up very good numbers.  The main problem with acquiring Adams is that when Jones is back and healthy in a few weeks he will more than likely find himself coming off the bench.

Brian Williams – The Jaguars converted Williams from a CB into their starting SS.  Williams is also tied for 2nd in tackles among DBs logging just one less tackle then Adams has.  Williams is a guy that I was targeting in the preseason because of the upside he presented playing SS in Greg Williams defense.  Williams coverage skills also allow the Jaguars to use him as a CB in 3 wide formations but it hasn’t hurt his tackle production and I wouldn’t expect that it would going forward either.  Neither Adams nor Williams will keep up their current tackle pace but Williams should end up as one of the leading DB tackles at year’s end.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see Williams approach 75-80 tackles.

Kevin Kaesviharn – Kaesviharn has put up 7 total tackles in each week so far but make no mistake about it the leading tackler in the Saints secondary is going to be Roman Harper.  Harper missed the week 2 game due to injury and might be slowed for a few weeks which will help Kaesviharn’s production.  If I were a Kaesviharn owner he is someone that I would be looking to sell high rather than acquire.
 tackles. 

Tye Hill – Hill started out last year by posting 8 tackles in week one but then lost time due to injury.  Hill started 8 games last year and in those games his tackles extrapolated out to 70 for a full 16 games so his production so far this year shouldn’t be much of a surprise.  The thing to worry about with Hill is that the Rams are so bad that teams probably won’t need to pass much which could limit his production.  Hill would make a very nice DB3 or DB4 with the risk associated with the Rams being such a bad team. 

The Final Answer!
In my opinion, Brian Williams is the player that you should target due to his current production, upside in Greg Williams scheme and lack of risk compared to the other options.  While I think that Williams is the pick I wouldn’t fault you picking up Adams but you will have to realize that you very well will probably be looking for another DB to replace him when Sean Jones returns to the Browns lineup.  The one thing that you want to remember is that Richard Marshall is going to be an elite talent that puts up incredible numbers and you shouldn’t avoid him next year just because you may feel like you swung and missed on him this year.  If there is a position to swing and miss on it would be the DB position because it really is the deepest fantasy position there is.  Also, in just about every league there is each year you will almost always find an undrafted DB that finishes among the league leaders in fantasy points scored for their position.

Tally, thank you for taking the time to share your question with us and good luck in your league going forward.

I hope that everyone has enjoyed our first installment with IDP Interactive and I look forward to seeing more questions in the coming weeks.  If you have any comments or recommendations on what you would like to see in IDP Interactive you can email me at idpsteve@gmail.com

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