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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

IDP Game Breakdowns and Player Rater - Week 4
Darin Tietgen & Steve Gallo
September 19, 2008
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Each week, Darin Tietgen and Steve Gallo will break down each matchup and offer ratings on the more important IDPs.  This week, Darin will take the home teams and Steve tackles the away squads.  Hopefully these breakdowns and ratings will help you make some key decisions on who to start this week.  Good luck!

Rating System:
Five-Star Play: Studly performance anticipated
Four-Star Play: Solid start
Three-Star Play: Decent start or sleeper
Two-Star Play: Bench ‘em, unless you need a sleeper in a large league
One-Star Play: Bench no matter what

Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans

Minnesota Vikings:
The Vikings play a Titans team that is leading the league in rushing attempts and that should keep E.J. Henderson and Chad Greenway very busy.  When it comes to pass completions the Titans rank a lowly 29th which means that opportunities are going to be limited for both Antoine Winfield and Cedric Griffin.  Jared Allen owners have to be very happy that Allen will be going after Kerry Collins instead of the ever allusive Vince Young.  Considering that the Titans have only given up 2 sacks you shouldn’t expect Allen, Kevin Williams or any of their DL teammates will make much noise in the sack department.  Just call it a gut feeling that Allen looks like the #1 DL that he was drafted to be this week.

Five-Star Plays: 
E. J. Henderson (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
Chad Greenway (LB)
Jared Allen (DL)

Three-Star Plays:
Kevin Williams (DL, in DT mandatory leagues.)
Ben Leber (LB)
Antoine Winfield (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Cedric Griffin (DB)

One-Star Plays:
Darren Sharper (DB)

Tennessee Titans: 
The Titans, usually known for getting solid fantasy production from their IDPs, aren’t giving this luxury thus far in the 2008 season.  DE Kyle Vanden Bosch has been the best of the bunch (by far) and will likely put up decent numbers this week against a Viking front that has given up 2 sacks per game.  The Titan LBs have been completely disappointing, with Ryan Fowler being the high scorer.  Many anticipated a rebound by Keith Bulluck, but that hasn’t happened.  Bulluck is still the leader of this tough defense but hasn’t put up the fantasy numbers in 2008.  When Bulluck struggled (and was out due to injury) last season, David Thornton picked up the slack and scored well.  He’s just as disappointing this season.  The secondary has actually been somewhat of a surprise. Chris Hope has been a solid fantasy performer, but has been rather average thus far.  Cortland Finnegan has been very solid, and Michael Griffin has been the big surprise in the Titan defensive backfield.  Unfortunately, this isn’t the best matchup for the DBs.

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
Kyle Vanden Bosch (DL)

Three-Star Plays:
Michael Griffin (DB)
Cortland Finnegan (DB)
Chris Hope (DB)
Albert Haynesworth (DL – for leagues that start DT)

Two-Star Plays:
Nick Harper (DB)
Keith Bulluck (LB)
David Thornton (LB)

One-Star Plays:
Ryan Fowler (LB)


Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Green Bay Packers:
There are many that are ready to dump Nick Barnett, don’t be that guy.  Barnett is a player and will come around.  Last week he missed some time due to injury so keep a close eye on his status comes Sunday.  Also, if the Buccaneers follow their offensive game plan it could severely limit Barnett’s and A.J. Hawk’s production this week.  Aaron Kampman may not have the best matchup this week but he is still a must start.  So far this year the Buccaneers have only given up an average of 1 sack per game but it wouldn’t surprise me in the least to see Kampman get to the QB multiple times this week.  Al Harris is out due to a serious spleen injury so John Gruden could decide to pick on Tramon Williams who will be replacing Harris in the starting lineup. 

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
Nick Barnett (LB)
Aaron Kampman (DL)

Three-Star Plays:
A.J. Hawk (LB)

Two-Star Plays:
Tramon Williams (DB)
Charles Woodson (DB)

One-Star Plays:
Cullen Jenkins (DL)
Brady Poppinga (LB)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 
LB Barrett Ruud has been solid yet unspectacular this week, but projects well this week at home against a Packer offense that will mix up the pass and run.  DL Gaines Adams is starting to come on a bit, but will find difficulty finding holes in the Packer OL.  He’s still a decent start this week.  The DBs will be good starts this year as they look to confuse the young Packer QB in the Cover-2 scheme. 

Five-Star Plays: 
Barrett Ruud (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
None.

Three-Star Plays:
Ronde Barber (DB)
Jermaine Phillips (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Greg White (DL)
Jovan Haye (DL)
Tanard Jackson (DB)
Derrick Brooks (LB)
Phillip Buchanan (DB)

One-Star Plays:
None.


Arizona Cardinals @ New York Jets

Arizona Cardinals:
Last week I attended the Cardinals/Redskins game and there were a few things that stood out.  The Cardinals are playing a fair share of 4-3 looks.  The more 4-3 the more value Gerald Hayes has and the less that Travis LaBoy will have.  Karlos Dansby is athletic and is so close to being an uber stud.  Both Hayes and Dansby should be plenty busy versus the Jets this week.  The other thing that stood out what how often Adrian Wilson covered Santana Moss when he lined up in the slot.  Wilson is an incredible talent and with the loss of Bert Berry (due to a torn groin) Wilson could see more blitz opportunities.  With regards to Berry, the Cardinals have yet to release a timetable for his return but he is out for week 4.

Five-Star Plays: 
Karlos Dansby (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
Gerald Hayes (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Adrian Wilson (DB)
Eric Green (DB)
Antrel Rolle (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Rod Hood (DB)
Tavis LaBoy (LB)

One-Star Plays:
Darnell Dockett (DL, 3 Star play in DT mandatory leagues.)

New York Jets: 
The Jets look to rebound after their drubbing at the hands of the San Diego Chargers.  Some think this should be an easy go against the Cardinals, but don’t be so sure.  The Jet DBs will be extra busy this Sunday defending against the air show of the Card offense.  Bump the front seven down slightly as most of the action will be well past the flat.  The Cardinal OL has given up 7 sacks so far, so a couple of sacks are possible.  LBs Bryan Thomas, Calvin Pace and David Harris could have decent games as they drop back in coverage or rush the passer.    DB David Barrett has been a pleasant surprise this season and could have another good game.  DB Kerry Rhodes got his big contract and is now just an average fantasy IDP (although he could be busy this week).  DL Shaun Ellis is the best bet up front.

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
David Harris (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Bryan Thomas (LB)
Calvin Pace (LB)
David Barrett (DB)
Kerry Rhodes (DB)
Shaun Ellis (DL)

Two-Star Plays:
Darrelle Revis (DB)

One-Star Plays:
None.


San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints

San Francisco 49ers:
Last week the 49ers only had 35 tackle opportunities yet Patrick Willis (6 tackles) and Nate Clements (5 tackles) each had decent weeks considering their lack of opportunities.  Michael Lewis was a slight disappointment last week but he also suffered a minor elbow injury that kept him out of the game for a bit.  Versus the Saints passing attack expect Willis and Clements to be the best bets this week.  Michael Lewis should also be a pretty good start but temper your expectations from Justin Smith.  Drew Brees is one of the more difficult QBs in the league to sack so more than likely Smith owners will have to rely on him making his bread with tackles.

Five-Star Plays: 
Nate Clements (DB)

Four-Star Plays:
Partick Willis (LB)
Walt Harris (DB)

Three-Star Plays:
Justin Smith (DL)

Two-Star Plays:
None.

One-Star Plays:
Manny Lawson (DL)

New Orleans Saints: 
LB Jonathan Vilma started the season on a total tear, but slipped last week against the Broncos.  He’ll be back on track this week against the Niners.  DB Kevin Kaesviharn, filling in for Roman Harper, has been pretty good. Even with Harper set to return this week, Kaesviharn will have value.  Leave Harper on the bench until he proves his injury has healed.  DB Tracy Porter has been a nice surprise, but will have limited opportunities this week.  The guys up front may have a decent outing, with DL Will Smith being the best bet.

Five-Star Plays: 
Jonathan Vilma (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
None.

Three-Star Plays:
Kevin Kaesviharn (DB)
Will Smith (DL)
Charles Grant (DL)

Two-Star Plays:
Roman Harper (DB)
Tracy Porter (DB)
Mike McKenzie (DB)

One-Star Plays:
None.


Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

Denver Broncos:
Don’t expect D.J. Williams or Nate Webster to match the monster games that they had last week.  The Chiefs are going to struggle to do much more than three and outs the entire game so their tackle opportunities will be limited by the ineptness of the Chief offense.  Elvis Dumervil has been missing in action so far this season and it doesn’t look like it’s going to get better anytime soon.  You would probably be better served to start Elvis Pressley instead.  Champ Bailey could be a nice pick since he could easily pick a pass off and take it to the house this weekend.  The thing to keep an eye on this week is if and how much the Broncos us the 3-4 scheme.  They surely don’t have the personnel to run the 3-4 effectively but that didn’t stop Shanahan last week.

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
D.J. Williams (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Nate Webster (LB)
Champ Bailey (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
None.
One-Star Plays:
Elvis Dumervil (DL)

Kansas City Chiefs: 
The Chief IDPs have been rather disappointing in 2008.  The loss of DL Jared Allen is really taking its toll.  Tamba Hali has not been able to put up big (or even decent) numbers.  He’s a rough start this week facing the speedy Bronco OL.  The best start will be LB Derrick Johnson, who has been pretty average himself.  The young and talented secondary will certainly be tested against this hot Bronco offense. 

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
None

Three-Star Plays:
Derrick Johnson (LB)
Bernard Pollard (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Patrick Thomas (LB)
Demorrio Williams (LB)
Brandon Flowers (DB)
Tamba Hali (DL)

One-Star Plays:
None.


Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Houston Texans:
DeMeco Ryans should be top dog at the LB position this week with the amount of rushing plays he will face versus the Jaguars.  Zach Diles built on his monster week 1 with a very solid 5 solo, 3 assists & 1 forced fumble in week 3.  Mario Williams should get back into the sack column versus the depleted Jaguars offensive line.  With that Jaguars rushing attack that was mentioned earlier Will Demps should continue to post solid tackle stats.  Morlon Greenwood on the other hand seems to be losing his production to Diles and he isn’t the same no brainer LB2 or LB3 starter that he was in years past.

Five-Star Plays: 
DeMeco Ryans (LB)
Mario Williams (DL)

Four-Star Plays:
Zach Diles (LB)
Will Demps (DB)

Three-Star Plays:
Fred Bennett (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Morlon Greenwood (LB)

One-Star Plays:
C.C. Brown (DB)

Jacksonville Jaguars:
The Jags once again have played solid team defense without their IDPs putting up big fantasy numbers.  DB Brian Williams has been the star, coming generally out of nowhere, and will be a solid start this week against a struggling Houston offense.  LB Mike Peterson appeared to be getting back on track prior to last week’s dud.  He’ll likely rebound to put up good fantasy stats this week.

Five-Star Plays: 
None

Four-Star Plays:
Mike Peterson (LB)
Brian Williams (DB)

Three-Star Plays:
None.

Two-Star Plays:
Rashean Mathis (DB)
Reggie Nelson (DB)
Quentin Groves (DL)

One-Star Plays:
None.


Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns:
Not exactly an exciting matchup unless you live in the state of Ohio.  Both of these teams have looked very bad (even if the Bengals pushed the Giants to OT) so each team’s defense is on the field a bunch. This week expect to see D’Qwell Jackson lead the way for the Brown’s LBs with Mike Adams continuing his torrid play while he holds Sean Jones SS spot warm until he returns from injury. 

Five-Star Plays: 
Mike Adams (DB)

Four-Star Plays:
D’Qwell Jackson (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Andra Davis (LB)
Eric Wright (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Kamerion Wimbley (LB)

One-Star Plays:
Alex Hall (LB)

Cincinnati Bengals: 
Oh the poor, poor Bengals.  At least this week they get a somewhat easier task against a struggling Brown squad.  But not so fast.  The Browns are amidst a QB controversy (like it or not) and could easily “blow up” this week against the bend-and-break Bengal defense.  That said, the Bengal IDPs are decent starts, as they may be on the field a bunch.  And there’s always the chance the Brown offense stinks it up again, in which case big plays could be on the menu.  The DB pair of Marvin White and Chinedum Ndukwe are likely the safest plays, with the LB pair of Keith Rivers and Dhani Jones being very solid starts with big upside.  No one on the front line (other than Domata Peko in leagues that start DT) is worthy of starting.

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
Keith Rivers (LB)
Marvin White (DB)

Three-Star Plays:
Chinedum Ndukwe (DB)
Dhani Jones (LB)
Domata Peko (DL – for leagues that start DT)

Two-Star Plays:
Frostee Rucker (DL)
Leon Hall (DB)
Antwan Odom (DL)

One-Star Plays:
None.


Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers

Atlanta Falcons:
Keith Brooking had his best week of the young season last week but it probably had more to do with Michael Boley being limited early in the game.  Boley hasn’t matched his production from last year but expecting him to do so was a stretch.  However, Boley should improve and is a solid start this week.  Lawyer Milloy and Eric Coleman combined last week to post 19 tackles, 1 INT and 1 forced fumble.  This week you can expect Coleman to come back down to earth some.  Milloy should still be a solid start but you have to wonder if and when the fountain of youth he found is going to run out. John Abraham leads the league with 6 sacks and is just playing too well to even think about not playing him.

Five-Star Plays: 
John Abraham (DL)

Four-Star Plays:
Lawyer Milloy (DB)

Three-Star Plays:
Michael Boley (LB)
Curtis Lofton (LB)
Keith Brooking (LB)
Eric Coleman (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Jamaal Anderson (DL)
Brent Grimes (DB)

One-Star Plays:
Chris Houston (DB)

Carolina Panthers:
The Panther IDPs – especially the DBs – have been outstanding this season.  LB Jon Beason is scoring well, despite the presence of Thomas Davis, who has played well on the weak side.  DB Chris Gamble has been a super stud in the first three weeks, but represents only an average start this week.  The other DB performers – Chris Harris especially – could have big games.  DL Julius Peppers could be in for a big game against a somewhat average Falcon OL.

Five-Star Plays: 
Jon Beason (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
Chris Harris (DB)

Three-Star Plays:
Julius Peppers (DL)
Chris Gamble (DB)
Richard Marshall (DB)
Thomas Davis (DL)

Two-Star Plays:
None.

One-Star Plays:
None.


Buffalo Bills @ St. Louis Rams

Buffalo Bills:
Outside of week 1 MLB’s haven’t really fared very well against the Rams.  In week 1, Stewart Bradley posted 9 combined tackles but in week’s two and three Antonio Pierce (3 solo tackles) and Lofa Tatupu (4 solo & 2 assists) weren’t as productive.  So one has to wonder just how productive Paul Posluszny will be this week.  He should be a solid starter but his upside will be limited due to the ineffectiveness of the Rams offense.  Aaron Schobel very well may be the answer to “who was the guy to end Trent Green’s career”.  Yes it is that bad in Rams land that Green is being thrust into a starting role this week.  Many including me think that due to his numerous concussions he should have retired.  I for one will be hoping he comes out of this game healthy.  Marcus Stroud has been a very good addition to the Bills defense and should be a very good start in DT mandatory leagues and a good start in DL leagues.

Five-Star Plays: 
Aaron Schobel (DL)

Four-Star Plays:
Paul Posluszny (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Marcus Stroud (DL, 4 Star in DT mandatory leagues.)

Two-Star Plays:
Kawika Mitchell (LB)
Terrence McGee (DB)

One-Star Plays:
Donte Whitner (DB)
Ashton  Youboty (DB)
Ko Simpson (DB)

St. Louis Rams: 
The Rams are in serious trouble.  Trent Green?  Really?  The Ram’s defense should be on the field a ton this week.  Will Witherspoon is a must start as he should be seeing a good dose of Marshawn Lynch.  James Hall is still filling it at DE for an injured Leonard Little and should be a solid start.  Tye Hill was benched in favor of Ronald Bartell but still posted 6 tackles.  Even with the 6 tackles Hill is a risky start.
O.  J. Otogwe and Corey Chavous should be solid starts versus the upstart Bills.

Five-Star Plays: 
Will Witherspoon (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
None.

Three-Star Plays:
James Hall (DL)
O. J. Otogwe (DB)
Corey Chavous (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
None.

One-Star Plays:
Ronald Bartell (DB)
Tye Hill (DB)


San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers:
Jyles Tucker had one of those huge games that he will occasionally post logging 5 solo tackles, 1 assist and 2 sacks.  This week don’t expect much considering just how little the Raiders pass the ball.  Look for Matt Wilhelm and Tim Dobbins to be busy against the Raiders heavy rushing attack.  Dobbins has been sharing snaps with Derek Smith and both of these guys are expected to lose their starting snaps once Stephen Cooper returns from his suspension in week 5.   Clinton Hart owners were robbed of an INT in the end zone last week because of the cast he is wearing on his hand.  Hart has 21 tackles on the season and should be right around his per game average this week with the upside to hit double digit tackles.

Five-Star Plays: 
Clinton Hart (DB)

Four-Star Plays:
Matt Wilhelm (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Eric Weddle (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Tim Dobbins (LB)

One-Star Plays:
Jyles Tucker (LB)
Shaun Phillips (LB)
Derek Smith (LB)
Antonio Cromartie (DB)
Antoine Cason (DB)

Oakland Raiders: 
The Raider IDPs could be very sneaky plays this week, as the Bolt offense is most certainly rolling, but the Raiders have played the Chargers somewhat tough in the past few years.  LB Kirk Morrison and DB Gibril Wilson will likely put up monster numbers this week as they chase down LT and Antonio Gates.  The “secondary” Raider IDPs – LB Thomas Howard and DL Derrick Burgess ­– are also safe bets. 

Five-Star Plays: 
Kirk Morrison (LB)
Gibril Wilson (DB)

Four-Star Plays:
None.

Three-Star Plays:
Thomas Howard (LB)
Derrick Burgess (DL)
DeAngelo Hall (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Michael Huff (DB)
Tommy Kelly (DL)

One-Star Plays:
None.


Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys

Washington Redskins:
Jason Taylor will miss his first game after playing in 133 consecutive games.   Taylor underwent surgery to his calf but is expected to return at some point this season.  Last week, as I already stated I was able to attend the Cardinal/Redskin game and there was something that jumped out at me in watching the Redskins defense.  LaRon Landry is indeed playing FS and he plays it deep.  When I say deep, I mean deep.   There were numerous plays where Landry was 25-30 yards off the line of scrimmage.  Playing so deep will limit his tackle opportunities but with that said Landry is FAST.  I was shocked at how fast he closed on ball carriers from his deep FS position.  Versus the pass happy Cowboys Landry should be very busy.  London Fletcher and Rocky McIntosh look to have good matchups trying to limit the Cowboys running game.  Reed Doughty continues to be a strong play from the SS position.

Five-Star Plays: 
London Fletcher (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
Rocky McIntosh (LB)
Reed Doughty (DB)

Three-Star Plays:
LaRon Landry (DB)
Carlos Rogers (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Shawn Springs (DB)

One-Star Plays:
Andre Carter (DL)

Dallas Cowboys: 
The Cowboy/Redskin games are always hard-fought.  Don’t expect anything less this week.  This may be the week LB Zach Thomas is the best Cowboy IDP start, as he’ll be right in the middle of the action; stopping RB Clinton Portis and defending the west coast offense’s short passing game.  LB Demarcus Ware will likely find it difficult to reach QB Jason Campbell, and is thus only an average start this week.  The secondary could be busy, especially if the Skins can move the ball downfield effectively.  DB Ken Hamlin is the best start there. 

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
Zach Thomas (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Ken Hamlin (DB)
Demarcus Ware (LB)

Two-Star Plays:
Bradie James (LB)
Greg Ellis (LB)
PacMan Jones (DB)

One-Star Plays:
None.


Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

Philadelphia Eagles:
Hopefully, for Eagles fans and IDP owners Jim Johnson brings the kitchen sink he threw at the Steelers last week with him to Chicago this week.  Stewart Bradley and Quentin Mikell are good bets to rack up tackles versus the Bears running attack that is led by rookie RB Matt Forte.  Trent Cole should be able to keep it going and build on his week 3 performance.

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
Stewart Bradley (LB)
Quentin Mikell (DB)
Trent Cole (DL)

Three-Star Plays:
Omar Gaither (LB)
Brian Dawkins (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Assante Samuel (DB)

One-Star Plays:
Sheldon Brown (DB)

Chicago Bears: 
Should be a big week for the Bear IDPs, as they face a Philly offense that will be with a gimpy QB and RB.  DB Charles Tillman is leading all IDPs in scoring (in most formats) and is a terrific start yet again as he matches up with WR DeSean Jackson.  LBs Lance Briggs and Brian Urlacher are, as always, very solid matchups as they defend both the run and pass.  DB Kevin Payne has been very solid and is a good play this week.  The DL represent only average starts this week as the Eagles protect McNabb well and he’s quite the mobile QB to boot.

Five-Star Plays: 
Charles Tillman (DB)
Brian Urlacher (LB)

Four-Star Plays:
Lance Briggs (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
Kevin Payne (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Adawale Ogunleye (DL)
Alex Brown (DL)

One-Star Plays:
Nathan Vasher (DB)


Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Baltimore Ravens:
The Ray Lewis led Ravens defense have to be licking their chops after seeing what the Eagles did to the Steelers last week.  Willie Parker is out this week which is probably a good thing for him.  Kelly Gregg as still not made it onto the playing field after surgery this preseason.  Look for Terrell Suggs to meet or maybe even exceed the two sacks he logged in week 3.  Jim Leonhard will take over at S for the injured Dwan Landry.  Good news is the Landry has movement in all of his extremities.

Five-Star Plays: 
Ray Lewis (LB)
Terrell Suggs (DL)

Four-Star Plays:
None.

Three-Star Plays:
Bart Scott (LB)
Ed Reed (DB)

Two-Star Plays:
Jim Leonard (DB)

One-Star Plays:
Chris McAlister (DB)
Samari Rolle (DB)

Pittsburgh Steelers: 
The Steeler defense, even with an average Raven team coming to town, will have to bring their “A game”, as the offense could struggle with rookie Rashard Mendenhall carrying the rushing load.  DB Troy Polamalu has been consistent this season, and could have a big game playing center field against the questionable Raven passing game.  Expect him to also help in stopping the run game.  LB James Harrison has leapfrogged fellow ‘backer James Farrior as the best up-front play.  Farrior still represents a very solid start this week, though.  

Five-Star Plays: 
None.

Four-Star Plays:
Troy Polamalu (DB)
James Harrison (LB)

Three-Star Plays:
James Farrior (LB)
Lamarr Woodley (LB)
Aaron Smith (DL)

Two-Star Plays:
Ike Taylor (DB)

One-Star Plays:
None.

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