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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week

Prediction: SEA 0, TB 24

Update: Seneca Wallace has been working with the first team offense and will be the starting quarterback this week. That won't make much difference but I'll change the names. Joey Galloway has finally returned to practice after missing four games with a sprained foot but I am not going to add him in. If he plays he will be rusty and the Bucs just do not need to throw to him to win this game anyway.

This used to be a competitive game but the Seahawks have fallen on hard times and are 0-2 on the road while the Buccaneers are 3-0 at home. The Seahawks won their season opener 20-6 last year when the Buccaneers came to Seattle but that's not likely to happen again.

Seattle Seahawks (1-4)
Homefield: Qwest Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @BUF 10-34 +1 39
2 SF 30-33 -8 38.5
3 STL 37-13 -10 44
4 BYE - - -
5 @NYG 6-44 +7 43.5
6 GB 17-27 -2.5 46.5
7 @TB - +11 39
8 @SF - - -
9 PHI - - -
10 @MIA - - -
11 ARZ - - -
12 WAS - - -
13 @DAL - - -
14 NE - - -
15 @STL - - -
16 NYJ - - -
17 @ARZ - - -
SEA at TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Charlie Frye 140
QB Seneca Wallace     160
RB Julius Jones 40 10  
RB Maurice Morris 20 10  
TE John Carlson   30  
WR Bobby Engram   40  
WR Koren Robinson   20  
WR Keary Colbert   20  
PK Olindo Mare nope nada zip
Pregame Notes: It may be darkest before the dawn but it ain't dawn yet for the Seahawks who keep getting worse news and more losses. Having Matt Hasselbeck miss more time just ensures that the 2008 season is now concluded and that the next coach for the Seahawks will be starting out with a nice draft choice next April. Every year there is at least one team that is ravaged by injury and never has a chance. Welcome to Seattle.

Quarterback: Matt Hasselbeck was expected to be ruled out this week because of his hyperextended knee but instead he is out because of a bulging disc in his neck. There is hope that he can return by week eight to face the 49ers but Charlie Frye takes the reins again this Sunday. Frye threw for two scores against the Packers last week but only completed 12 of 23 passes for 83 yards and two interceptions. Playing against the Buccaneers is sure to be even worse.

Hasselbeck threw for 222 yards and one touchdown against the Buccaneers last year.

Running Backs: The equation for Julius Jones is pretty clear. Playing at home against bad defenses means 100+ yards and a touchdown. Playing on the road against anyone means about 50 rushing yards and no scores. He's feast or famine because of the team around him and only in favorable circumstances will he perform well. Tampa Bay is not "favorable" this week.

Maurice Morris returned last week but only had four carries to twelve for Jones. He's not worth taking off the waiver wire.

Alexander was still the starter last year when he rushed for 105 yards on 27 carries and scored once against the Bucs in 2007. It was the season opener and about the only decent game Alexander had.

Wide Receivers: Look for brutal results this week. Frye never had a completion with Bobby Engram last week and only had three completions for 28 yards in total among all wideouts. At home no less. In a game that was all trash time. The longer that Hasselbeck is out or even hampered by his neck and back issues means the less that you will ever consider a Seahawks receiver for a fantasy start. Deion Branch missed last week because of his heel and I will consider him out again until he is cleared and practices. This week it will not matter much anyway.

Engram caught three passes for 64 yards against the Buccaneers last season.

Tight Ends: John Carlson led all Seattle receivers last week when he had just four catches for 22 yards and one score - his first NFL touchdown. He makes a decent start this week if you are filling in for a bye week because Frye will need him even more.

Match Against the Defense: This is no week to rely Julius Jones. The Buccaneers at home have never allowed more than 42 rushing yards to any runner and that was Michael Turner who otherwise is a top runner this year. Avoid the matchup here if you can. Frye faces a secondary that has only allowed one quarterback to throw for a score in Tampa Bay of three visitors and all three were better passers than Frye. This very well could be a shut out.

Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 30 15 26 17 14 30
Preventing Fantasy Points    TB 19 8 22 4 14 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2)
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NO 20-24 +3.5


2 ATL 24-9 -8 38.5
3 @CHI 27-24 +3 35.5
4 GB 30-21 -1.5 43
5 @DEN 13-16 +3 48
6 CAR 27-3 -1.5 36.5
7 SEA - -11 39
8 @DAL - - -
9 @KC - - -
10 BYE - - -
11 MIN - - -
12 @DET - - -
13 NO - - -
14 @CAR - - -
15 @ATL - - -
16 SD - - -
17 OAK - - -
TB vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Brian Griese     180,1
RB Earnest Graham 60,1 20  
RB Warrick Dunn 80,1 20  
TE Alex Smith   20  
WR Michael Clayton   30  
WR Ike Hilliard   20  
WR Antonio Bryant   50,1  
PK Matt Bryant 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Buccaneers had surprisingly little problem dispatching the Panthers last week but this is one of the better home teams in the league. After this week comes a trip to Dallas against a Romo-less Cowboys team and then to Kansas City. There is no doubt that Tampa Bay reaches their bye at 5-3 and maybe 6-2. This week should be the easiest matchup yet and the Bucs are not likely to allow it to be a trap game.

Quarterback: Since Brian Griese is out with elbow and shoulder injuries, Jeff Garcia took the start last week and had his typical 173 yards and one touchdown in the game with no turnovers. HC Jon Gruden has already named Garcia as the starter again this week and he has thrown a score in each of his three starts this year. Never more than one, but always the one score.

Jeff Garcia passed for 201 yards and no scores in Seattle last year.

Running Backs: The Buccaneers lost their fullback last week and Earnest Graham filled in as the lead blocker. That allowed Warrick Dunn to rush for 115 yards on 22 carries for his first effort over the century mark in over two years. Graham did record a touchdown because he always scores in home games but only had five carries. Graham could fill in as the fullback again this week unless the Bucs can sign one off the street.

Carnell Williams becomes eligible to come off the PUP list in week seven but he is not expected to return to play. The Bucs have three weeks to decide if Williams comes back or misses the entire year.

All combined the Bucs only gained 77 yards on 17 carries against the Seahawks last season.

Wide Receivers: With Garcia as the starter again, not much happened with the wideouts last week. Michael Clayton ended up as the best of the group with just two catches for 29 yards and both Antonio Bryant and Ike Hilliard were held to only one catch.

Joey Galloway remains out but has been practicing on a limited basis as he recovers from his sprained foot. He actually worked out before the game last Sunday but then was made inactive for four consecutive time this year. He'll likely be questionable to play this week.

Galloway had five receptions for 72 yards in Seattle last year. Hilliard turned in four catches for 49 yards.

Tight Ends: Alex Smith had his second touchdown of the year when he caught a season high three passes for 43 yards against the Panthers last week. But none of the tight ends here have any reliable fantasy value and Jerramy Stevens had the high game back in week three but only had three catches for 22 yards over the next three games.

Smith only had 23 yards on two catches in Seattle last year.

Match Against the Defense: Two games on the road this year and the Seahawks allowed well over 100 rushing yards and a score in each. Look for both Graham and Dunn to have a good week and a good shot at scoring for both. Graham's role as a runner or a blocker remains to be certain but he will get all short yardage duty and at least one score.

Garcia throws one score per game and the Seahawks have never allowed less than that much., Look for the one touchdown to head to a wideout since the Seahawks have been horrible against them. Unless Galloway plays, this should be the week that Antonio Bryant gets his first score of the year.

Gaining Fantasy Points TB 18 11 23 4 7 5
Preventing Fantasy Points    SEA 29 21 30 3 32 26

The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
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Bye Week
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