The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, GuestJOINHELP


Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Print this page
The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week

Prediction: SF 13, NYG 30

Update: The Giants will name the starting kicker this week until game time so relying on John Carney carries risk this week. I will leave Carney as the kicker but there is no certainty to it.

The Giants fell from the ranks of the unbeaten last week when the Browns overwhelmed them in the trap game on Monday night. But they are back at home and need to keep their slim lead in the NFC East by taking down the 49ers who are on a three game losing streak and have just enough game film out there that the new passing scheme isn't surprising anyone.

The Giants waxed the 49ers last year during week seven by a score of 33-6 in New York.

San Francisco 49ers (2-4)
Homefield: Monster Park
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 ARZ 13-23 +2.5 41.5
2 @SEA 33-30 +8 38.5
3 DET 31-13 -4 46
4 @NO 17-31 +6 48.5
5 NE 21-30 +3 41.5
6 PHI 26-40 +5 43
7 @NYG - +10.5 45
8 SEA - - -
9 BYE - - -
10 @ARZ - - -
11 STL - - -
12 @DAL - - -
13 @BUF - - -
14 NYJ - - -
15 @MIA - - -
16 @STL - - -
17 WAS - - -
SF at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB J.T. O'Sullivan     230,1
RB Frank Gore 60 30  
TE Vernon Davis   30  
WR Isaac Bruce   70,1  
WR Bryant Johnson   20  
WR Arnaz Battle   40  
PK Joe Nedney 2 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: A three game losing streak places the 49ers into all too familiar territory and without some wins in the very near future, HC Mike Nolan could become a casualty even before the season ends. The new offense being installed by Mike Martz has had some good moments but once again the defense is lagging and four of the last five opponents have scored at least 30 points. This week will be a challenge unless the 49ers get the same Giants that laid down for the Browns (unlikely) but the home game next up against the Seahawks prior to the bye week has some promise.

Quarterback: As J. T. O'Sullivan becomes more familiar with the new offense, his touchdown totals have been rising until last week when the Eagles blanked him. He does have seven scores already though and he has also picked up on the other facet of the offense - interceptions. He has thrown seven picks in the last three games while facing decent defenses and leads the entire league with eight on the year. His four lost fumbles ties him for #1 in that category as well. Start your defense against the 49ers.

Dilfer started for the 49ers in New York last year and threw for 209 yards and two scores with two fumbles and two interceptions. But six sacks.

Running Backs: While the 49ers are still losing and at best have gotten spotty performances from their players, the lone exception has been Frank Gore who has been a solid fantasy start every week. He has never failed to have at least 100 total yards and/or a touchdown. Notable here is that his lesser games have been on the road but his role as a receiver always props up his weekly value.

Gore gained 88 yards on 16 carries with 23 yards on three receptions against the Giants last year.

Wide Receivers: The passing numbers have been down in recent weeks and that has made this unit even less attractive. Isaac Bruce comes off a bad two catch game against the Patriots but his two best efforts this year have been in road games. Bryant Johnson continues to battle groin and hamstring injuries and while he suited up and played last week he never even had a pass thrown to him. Josh Morgan took over the split end spot during the game to relieve Johnson but only came up with one catch. Bruce is the only wideout here with any amount of production and even he is not above turning in a bad game.

Both starting wideouts scored last year but no 49ers receiver had more than 57 yards against the Giants in 2007.

Tight Ends: No doubt someone in your league will be grabbing Vernon Davis from the waiver wire since he had six catches for 75 yards against the Eagles. But that was actually one catch more than he totaled in the first five games combined. The one game was encouraging but it was only one game against a career of dropped passes and minimal fantasy value.

Davis caught four passes for 22 yards against the Giants.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants have been outstanding against the run and have yet to allow more than 85 rushing yards to an opposing runner. Only two have scored against the Giants this year. Look for a moderate yardage game here by Gore who should still have a decent fantasy showing when his catches are figured in.

O'Sullivan faces a secondary that had been great until last Monday. This is the same defense that has posted six sacks in a game twice this year and that will come into play for the 49ers. Most likely you should see one passing score here that will favor Bruce the most but could end up with even Gore as a receiver. The passing yardage will be decent only because there should be plentiful trash time in this game.

Gaining Fantasy Points SF 13 20 18 21 5 16
Preventing Fantasy Points    NYG 7 3 19 9 13 3

New York Giants (4-1)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 WAS 16-7 -3.5 41
2 @STL 41-13 -8.5 41.5
3 CIN 26-23 -13.5 42
4 BYE - - -
5 SEA 44-6 -7 43.5
6 @CLE 14-35 -8 43
7 SF -


8 @PIT - - -
9 DAL - - -
10 @PHI - - -
11 BAL - - -
12 @ARZ - - -
13 @WAS - - -
14 PHI - - -
15 @DAL - - -
16 CAR - - -
17 @MIN - - -
NYG vs SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     200,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 110,1    
RB Derrick Ward 60,1 10  
TE Kevin Boss   20  
WR Plaxico Burress   70,1  
WR Amani Toomer   60  
WR Steve Smith   30  
PK John Carney/L. Tynes 3 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: And that was what a trap game looked like. Monday night served up the final upset of a week chock full of such games when the Giants fell flat in Cleveland. It was just ugly and followed the NFC East trend of losing games to bad teams other than Philly who already had the worst record in the division. But at least the first loss of the season was not even in the same conference and the Giants still are tied for the best record in the NFC.

Quarterback: Eli Manning comes off his worst game where he not only had just one score and 196 passing yards but threw for three interceptions after only logging one in the previous four games. The return of Plaxico Burress could not overcome the lethargic effort of the Giants last week but Manning has been very consistent around 250 passing yards in most games. Last Monday was just one of those games.

Manning passed for 146 yards and two scores against the 49ers last year.

Running Backs: Brandon Jacobs extends his strong showing this year by scoring in each of the last three games and never having less than 90 yards and/or a touchdown every week. Derrick Ward never scores but he's been much more than a mere relief player since he gets eight or nine carries each week and comes off his first 100 yard game of the year when he posted 101 yards on just ten carries on Monday night. Ward is averaging 7.4 yards per carry.

Jacobs rushed for 107 yards and one score on 18 carries against the 49ers last year.

Wide Receivers: The wideout group here seems to be in a transition since Amani Toomer had been turning in right around five catches for 60 yards in every game and then was blanked last Monday and only had two passes thrown to him. Steve Smith ended with a career best nine catches for 94 yards and is very much the future in New York. Their respective roles are not changing this year but no doubt here who will step up when Toomer retires. The Giants have a number of decent wideouts waiting in the wings but none have shown the ability of Smith.

Plaxico Burress returned from his suspension and scored once but only had four catches for 58 yards against the Browns. He's actually well short of the pace he had in 2007 and has only scored twice this year with only one game over 81 yards.

Burress only had five catches for 43 yards and Toomer only 36 yards on three receptions against the visiting 49ers last year. Toomer scored one touchdown.

Tight Ends: Kevin Boss remains just a tight end. His one decent game was three weeks ago and he's only had three catches for 33 yards over the last two games. The Shockey days are over and and his workload appears to have gone to Steve Smith instead of Boss.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants keep saying that Lawrence Tynes is coming back but have not yet released John Carney. I will consider Carney as the starter again until the move is made.

The Giants lost on national TV last Monday and this home game allows them to get back on the right track after being embarrassed by the Browns. The 49ers rush defense on the road has been below average and the Giants bring a big 1-2 punch in with Jacobs and Ward. Expect a decent to good game from both runners.

Manning goes against a secondary that can be beaten but it depends more on how much Manning thinks he needs to throw. Probably only a moderate game here since the rushing attack should be enough. Look for a score to Burress but any touchdowns will more likely happen in the running game.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 9 2 6 26 1 27
Preventing Fantasy Points    SF 18 24 26 5 31 31

The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t