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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week
* Updated

Prediction: GB 16, MIN 24

Both teams are locked at 4-4 and one game behind the Bears so a loss here hurts doubly since it drops them to #3 in the division and gives them a losing record wit nine games played. The Packers won 24-19 in the season opener over the Vikings. The Packers are 2-2 on the road and the Vikings are 3-1 at home.

Green Bay Packers (4-4)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIN 24-19 -3 38.5
2 @DET 48-25 -3 45
3 DAL 16-27 +3 51
4 @TB 21-30 +1.5 43
5 ATL 24-27 -3 41
6 @SEA 27-17 +2.5 46.5
7 IND 34-14 +1 47
8 BYE - - -
9 @TEN 16-19 +5.5 42.5
10 @MIN - +2.5 45.5
11 CHI - - -
12 @NO - - -
13 CAR - - -
14 HOU - - -
15 @JAX - - -
16 @CHI - - -
17 DET - - -
GB at MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers     260,1
RB Ryan Grant 40    
TE Donald Lee   20  
WR Donald Driver   80  
WR Greg Jennings   90,1  
WR Jordy Nelson   50  
PK Mason Crosby 3 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: After a 2-0 start to the season, the Packers are only 2-4 and still are searching for their rushing game from 2007. Aaron Rodgers has been generally good but made critical mistakes against the Titans in a close game. The Packers are trying to hold on to their place this season but are not making strides upwards. The remaining schedule won't make it any easier.

Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers passed for 314 yards last week for the first time against the Titans this year. That marks his third 300+ yard effort of the year and he has never failed to score at least once in every game. In fantasy terms, he's been no worse than solid and occasionally spectacular but playing on the road will be a challenge. The first game out was one of the worst of his career when he passed for 178 yards and one score against the Vikings but he's come along nicely since then.

Running Backs: It took over a month, but at least Ryan Grant is getting better and has rushed for over 80 yards in each of the last four games. He has virtually no role as a receiver and he has only scored once this entire season, but at least Grant is supplying a moderate level of yardage every week. Brandon Jackson only figures in as a receiver and has around five catches in most recent games.

Grant gained 92 yards on 12 carries versus the Vikings this year.

Wide Receivers: Greg Jennings finally lost his spot at the top of the receiving yards in the NFL and he's slowed down noticeably since week five. He still has scored four times and as recently as in week six but he only had three catches in each of the last two games for 32 and 79 yards respectively. He started the year with huge yardage, then calmed down on that but started scoring every week, Now he does neither.

Donald Driver has taken up some of the slack here with a season high 136 yards and a score in Tennessee last Sunday but all other efforts have remained below 80 yards this season and he only has three scores on the season.

Jordy Nelson hurt his ankle in practice last week and was feared lost for the game but he ended up playing and had two catches for 34 yards which is an average game for him.

Jennings turned in five receptions for 91 yards in Minnesota this season while Driver gained 38 yards on four catches.

Tight Ends: Donald Lee bangs around 20 yards per week and never more. He has two scores on the season and both were at home. So far his worst efforts have been in away games.

Match Against the Defense: The Vikings rushing defense has been solid this year and at home has been outstanding. No opposing runner has gained more than 62 yards at Minnesota this year. Figure on Grant to be back to mediocre yardage and no score.

Rodgers faces a secondary that has been solid at home as well though a decent passing attack an make some leeway against them. I like Rodgers to have nice yardage here but to only have one score and two at the most. The score should end up with Jennings this time who is overdue.

Gaining Fantasy Points GB 4 31 2 22 12 1
Preventing Fantasy Points    MIN 19 7 14 27 14 31

Minnesota Vikings (4-4)
Homefield: Metrodome
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @GB 19-24 +3 38.5
2 IND 15-18 +2 43.5
3 CAR 20-10 -3.5 37
4 @TEN 17-30 +3 36
5 @NO 30-27 +3 47
6 DET 12-10 -13.5 47
7 @CHI 41-48 +3 38
8 BYE - - -
9 HOU 28-21 -4.5 47
10 GB - -2.5 45.5
11 @TB - - -
12 @JAX - - -
13 CHI - - -
14 @DET - - -
15 @ARZ - - -
16 ATL - - -
17 NYG - - -
MIN vs GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Gus Frerotte     200,1
RB Adrian Peterson 130,2 10  
TE Visanthe Shiancoe   20,1  
WR Bernard Berrian   60  
WR Bobby Wade   40  
WR Sidney Rice   50  
PK Ryan Longwell 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: Time to make amends for that opening season loss and the Vikings need this win before heading out on a tough two game road stretch to Tampa Bay and then Jacksonville. The offense has come along nicely in recent weeks right as the defense has stepped backwards. But the Vikings are returning healthy players recently and should extend their three game winning streak at home after nearly winning in Green Bay using Tavaris Jackson.

Quarterback: Gus Frerotte has been a solid upgrade to the offense this year and has upped his standard 220 yards and one score to a higher level in recent weeks with two games over 290 yards and a total of five touchdowns in just the last two weeks. And that passing success has not come at the expense of Adrian Peterson rushing - it has been in addition as this offense has really started scoring better. Getting back Sidney Rice last week will only make it even more potent.

Tarvaris Jackson's only start of the year was in week one against the Packers when he had 178 yards and one score.

Running Backs: Adrian Peterson has rushed for over 110 yards in each of the last three games and scored three times in that time span. Peterson's 823 rushing yards are second only to Clinton Portis (995) and he's getting more productive as the season progresses. Peterson rushed for 103 yards and one touchdown on 19 carries in Green Bay back in week one - he should manage that at home with no problem.

Wide Receivers: Bernard Berrian is on a four game scoring streak and once the switch was made to Frerotte, Berrian has never had less than 79 yards in a game. He's been everything that the Vikings wanted when they acquired him in the offseason - it only took a decent quarterback to unlock his potential. Bobby Wade has acted as the #2 for most of the season while Sidney Rice healed his knee but Rice finally returned last week to record one catch - for a touchdown. Once Rice is up to speed, he'll offer a very nice complement to Berrian and give the Vikings a passing attack that actually demands respect.

Rice had a score and 31 yards on two catches at Green Bay this year. Berrian was held to 38 yards on three receptions.

Tight Ends: While Vishante Shiancoe is not much for yardage, he has caught a touchdown in four of the last six games and deserves heavy consideration as a fantasy starter. The return of Rice could decrease his role but Shiancoe is little more than an endzone target anyway.

Match Against the Defense: The Packer have already allowed four runners to top 100 rushing yards which already includes Peterson so look for a strong game here with no less than one score and likely two. CB Al Harris is back which could impede Berrian as it did in the season opener. Look for a moderate yardage game here by Frerotte with like one score that should end up with Shiancoe or Rice.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 19 9 20 11 13 11
Preventing Fantasy Points    GB 10 23 5 24 23 10

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