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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: OAK 3, MIA 24

Update: Javon Walker will not play because of his ankle and if you were relying on Walker I hope you have better luck in 2009. Chaz Schilens will be a gametime decision but doesn't matter much regardless. Darren McFadden had limited practice all week long and may play some but I am not going to add him into the projections. He is still considered questionable and until he actually plays well again (like the one time) he should not be used. Jamarcus Russell is also questionable and was limited in practice all week but is expected to play now. I will update the projections accordingly but none of these players are worth a fantasy start.

These are two of the worst teams from 2007 but a nice example of the difference between hiring a staff of experienced winners versus working for Al Davis. The Dolphins are 3-2 at home this season and the Raiders are 1-3 on the road. The Fins report almost no injuries each week and the Raiders have almost everyone somehow hurt. The last two road trips for the Raiders ended up with them losing by a combined score of 13-63.

The Raiders won 35-17 in Miami last year.

Oakland Raiders (2-7)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DEN 14-41 +3 41.5
2 @KC 23-8 +4 34.5
3 @BUF 23-24 +9.5 36.5
4 SD 18-28 +7 46
5 BYE - - -
6 @NO 3-34 +7.5 47.5
7 NYJ 16-13 +3 42.5
8 @BAL 10-29 +7 36
9 ATL 0-24 +3 41
10 CAR 6-17 +9 38
11 @MIA - +10.5 38.5
12 @DEN - - -
13 KC - - -
14 @SD - - -
15 NE - - -
16 HOU - - -
17 @TB - - -
OAK @ MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB JaMarcus Russell     140
QB Andrew Walter 130
RB Justin Fargas 40    
TE Zach Miller   30  
WR Javon Walker 20
WR Ronald Curry   30  
WR Johnnie Lee Higgins   30  
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG    

Pregame Notes: The Raiders have stripped Greg Knapp of play-calling duties and Tom Cable will take that chore over. That's not a bad move since Cable can almost certainly improve this inept attack that has only scored 35 points over the last five games. The injuries are rife throughout the roster and the Raiders are starting to look like at least some players are just packing it in. In Oakland, it is an annual drill.

Quarterback: Jamarcus Russell did not play last week because of tendinititis in his knee and he may not play this week. In his place, Adrew Walter was almost spectacularly bad when he completed 14 of 32 passes for 143 yards and two interceptions. The Raiders will return Russell as soon as he can go. I will update if it is warranted later in the week.

Daunte Culpepper passed for 75 yards and two scors in Miami last year and added three more touchdowns via the rush. It was a really good game for Culpepper.

Running Backs: In a sign of being a true Raider, Darren McFadden has refused to take painkilling shots for his turf toe and remains out once again this week. His rookie year has been a shambles but at least it fits in with the team's present outlook. Justin Fargas will take the start again this week but hs still has not scored this season. In fact, since week two the Raiders have not had a rushing score from a running back.

Fargas gained 89 yaqds against the Panthers last week which was one of the best showings of a Raiders back this year. There has only been one game with more than 100 rushing yards for a running back and only a limited role as a recievcer for all of them.

Fargas ran for 179 yards on 22 carries in Miami last year.

Wide Receivers: This has been a sad group all season and the change from the benched Ronald Curry to Chaz Schilens did not last long since he suffered a high ankle sprain against the Panthers. Javon Walker has been untouchable so far and had an MRI on his ankle as well. I will assume that the Raiders opt for Curry now that Schilenz was injured and that Walker can play. There is almost no fantasy value here ever.

Tight Ends: Zach Miller hovers around 50 yards every week but only has one score and the recent change at quarterback is not bringing any more confidence that Miller will see anything better this seaosn.

Match Against the Defense: The Dolphins defense has been weak against the pass this year but are at home and besides - the Raiders on the road with Andrew Walter as the quarterback? Flashback to Art Shell's second incarnation in Oakland and then go take a shower to get rid of that feeling.

Almost anything here is pure speculation since there are no strengths and there is nothing remotely reliable from the Raiders now except that they are going to remain bad.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 30 25 32 20 26 17
Preventing Fantasy Points    MIA 23 11 28 5 14 9

Miami Dolphins (5-4)
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NYJ 14-20 +3 36
2 @ARZ 10-31 +7 38.5
3 @NE 38-13 +13 34.5
4 BYE - - -
5 SD 17-10 +6.5 45.5
6 @HOU 28-29 +3 45
7 BAL 13-27 -3 36.5
8 BUF 25-16 +1.5 42.5
9 @DEN 26-17 +3 49
10 SEA 21-19 -9 43
11 OAK - -10.5 38.5
12 NE - - -
13 @STL - - -
14 @BUF - - -
15 SF - - -
16 @KC - - -
17 @NYJ - - -
MIA vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Pennington     160
RB Ronnie Brown 120,2 10  
RB Ricky Williams 70,1 20  
WR Davone Bess   20  
WR Greg Camarillo   50  
WR Ted Ginn Jr.   40  
PK Dan Carpenter 3 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Dolphins remain one game behind the Jets and Patriots in the AFC East but they have won their last three games including cutting down the Bills in week eight. The Fins should remain in contention all season long but ending up with four road games in the final five weeks is a tough challenge since it will mean bad weather games and almost constant traveling. The Dolphins are on the right track but the ride will get bumpny after this week.

Quarterback: Chad Pennington remains a game manager with only eight passing touchdowns on the season but he has remained above 200 yards for the last seven games and even had a streak of four efforts in a row netting at least 280 passing yards that came to an end last week with 209 yards against Seattle. Pennington can crank out the stats, it just takes a unique blend of need an opportuninty.

The Dolphins passed for 158 yards and one score against the Raiders last year.

Running Backs: The Dolphins continue to have one of the most productive backfields in the NFL and recently Ricky Williams has been getting even more than Ronnie Brown. Williams comes off his first 100 yard game when he gained 105 yards on 12 carries versus Seattle and Ronnie Brown only had ten runs for 39 yards against the Seahawks. Brown is the better scorer with nine rushing touchdownsbut Williams has not left and he is a part of the Wildcat offense in addition to Brown.

The matchup this week should have some fireworks if only via the rush..

Brown rushed for 134 yards and one score versus the Raiders last season.

Wide Receivers: Greg Camarillo is the most consistent player here but even he is not above a bad game like his 21 yards last week. Ted Ginn Jr. scored for the first time this year when he had four receptions for 67 yards but that game remains a big abberation from his norm. This is a running team though and a great week passing here would be a boring week in Arizona. The Dolphins There have only been a total of three passing scores caught by a Miami wide receiver and none of them have two.

Tight Ends: Anthony Fasano has a minimal role now and is not worth a fantasy start.

Match Against the Defense: The Raiders have a horrible run defense and that is about all you need to know about this game. Pennington could produce some in the passing game but expect that the runners will both have a nice game here and likely at least one of them will have a monster game. The passing will be predictably under-used this week while the runners and defense get the job done.

Expect a solid game here for all concerned in the rushing game but the Miami receivers are even less atractive.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 18 3 27 8 25 14
Preventing Fantasy Points    OAK 19 29 9 22 16 17

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