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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: NYJ 17, TEN 24

Someone is going to be disappointed on Sunday. The Jets are on a four game winning streak and sit alone atop the AFC East but are only 3-2 on the road this year. The Titans of course remain unbeaten at 10-0 and already have a four game lead over the Colts (five if you count the head to head tie breaker). When will the Titans lose a game? Could happen here... but probably not.

The Titans won 10-6 when the Jets visited last year.

New York Jets (7-3)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @MIA 20-14 -3 36
2 NE 10-19 -1.5 39
3 @SD 29-48 +9 44
4 ARZ 56-35 -3 45
5 BYE - - -
6 CIN 26-14 -6 45
7 @OAK 13-16 -3 42.5
8 KC 28-24 -13 38
9 @BUF 26-17 +5.5 43
10 STL 47-3 -8.5 44.5
11 @NE 34-31 +3.5 41.5
12 @TEN - +6 40.5
13 DEN - - -
14 @SF - - -
15 BUF - - -
16 @SEA - - -
17 MIA - - -
NYJ at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     210,1
RB Thomas Jones 80,1 20  
RB Leon Washington 20 30  
TE Dustin Keller   50,1  
WR Laveranues Coles   40  
WR Jerricho Cotchery   30  
WR Chansi Stuckey   20  
PK Jay Feely 1 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: Beating the Patriots in New England was huge for the franchise and a stamp of progress from where the season started. After this week, the Jets face a schedule that could easily end up in a win out scenario and the remaining foes either have a losing record already or have been beaten by the Jets earlier in the year. The rushing game has come to life and the schedule will not be in the way.

Quarterback: Brett Favre had really cooled off from his hot start to the season and just when it seemed that he was no longer needed to deliver a win, he threw for 258 yards and two scores with no interceptions in New England in the biggest game of the year. This week will prove an even bigger test against a secondary that has stopped everyone and Favre's two worst showings of the season were scoreless games with 200 or less yards on the road against decent secondaries in Oakland and Buffalo.

The Jets passed for 264 yards and one score in Tennessee last year with Pennington as the starter.

Running Backs: Perhaps Thomas Jones did not eat his Wheaties until week six but he has been on a roll since. Over the last six games, Jones has scored nine times and topped 100 rushing yards against OAK, STL and NE. He's moved from being a begrudging fantasy starter to RB1 value and once this week is past, his schedule remains nice and soft for running.

Leon Washington has also added a spark but he is still limited to less than seven runs in almost every game and usually has only a few catches. He doesn't not play much but often makes a nice splash when he does,

Jones rushed for 58 yards on 21 carries against the Titans last season.

Wide Receivers: All this wonderful rushing by Jones and Washington has meant that the wideouts have really taken it in the shorts lately. Jerricho Cotchery scored last Thursday for the first time since week four and twice in the last five weeks has fallen below 20 receiving yards. Laveranues Coles has fared no better with only one score since week four and never more than 65 yards in any game since then. Even Chansi Stuckey who started the season with three straight scoring games has been nearly invisible.

The weather will also become a factor in New York in the coming weeks. The wideouts can contribute but an easier schedule and a successful rushing game is killing their fantasy value.

Coles did not play in week 16 last year but Cotchery had eight catches for 152 yards and one score against the Titans.

Tight Ends: While both Coles and Cotchery have been sucking wind lately, Dustin Keller comes off the best two games of his career with 107 yards against the Rams and then 87 yards on eight receptions in New England. He's been the lead receiver for two weeks now.

Match Against the Defense: The biggest concern here is when will the Titans finally take a week off and allow an opponent to take a win from them? The Titans are only average against the run and most teams are limited by a lack of plays rather than a lack of effective running. No player has turned in more than 22 runs against the Titans and most have only half that much. Jones is running much better though so expect a decent game here and a chance at one score.

Favre faces a secondary that is among the best in the league and that have only allowed a total of five passing scores against them. Look for a replay of last week in that the wideouts should be quiet against the best secondary in the league but Keller should show up again as the best target and stand a good chance of one score.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 11 8 9 14 7 2
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 4 15 2 20 1 1

Tennessee Titans (10-0)
Homefield: LP Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 JAX 17-10 +3 37
2 @CIN 24-7 +1 37.5
3 HOU 31-12 -5 38.5
4 MIN 30-17 -3 36
5 @BAL 17-10 -3 35
6 BYE - - -
7 @KC 34-10 -8 35.5
8 IND 31-21 -4 42
9 GB 19-16 -5.5 42.5
10 @CHI 21-14 -3 38.5
11 @JAX 24-14 -3 39.5
12 NYJ - -6 40.5
13 @DET - - -
14 CLE - - -
15 @HOU - - -
16 PIT - - -
17 @IND - - -
TEN vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins     200,1
RB Chris Johnson 80,1 20  
RB Lendale White 40,1    
TE Bo Scaife   60,1  
WR Justin Gage   60  
WR Brandon Jones   40  
PK Rob Bironas 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: Ten down, six to go. The Titans are in all new territory with this winning streak and have just passed the worst part of their schedule until week 16 when nothing will likely matter anyway. The team is too new to this winning thing to let it be a drag on them and most importantly, the defense continues to shine. Want to be 10-0? Just have the #1 defense against scoring. With only 13 points allowed on average, the Titans are 19 points better than the #2 Steelers.

Quarterback: Just when games in Chicago and Jacksonville finally saw a defense stymie the rushing game, all of a sudden Kerry Collins discovers the other part of the playbook and throws for 289 yards and two scores against the Bears and then 230 yards and three touchdowns against the Jaguars winning both games. Hardly seems fair for a 10-0 team to suddenly be balanced and make defenses defend everything.

The Titans passed for 166 yards against the Jets in 2007.

Running Backs: Chris Johnson has slowed down a bit in the last two games though both were on the road against capable opponents. He was stuffed in Chicago but then had 64 yards on 17 carries in Jacksonville. For a guy churning out big plays and scores, it was a small disappointment and yet the last thing a fantasy owner wants is to see a rookie runner hit the wall around now and struggle to still be effective. But Johnson has never carried the full load this year and only once had more than 19 carries in a game. He should be fine though he faces another good rushing defense this week. Johnson has never rushed for less than 60 yards in a home game this year.

Lendale White did not score last week and now shares the scoring lead with Maurice Jones-Drew at 11 touchdowns. He remains around ten carries per week and has uncharacteristically only scored once in the last three weeks.

White gained 103 yards on 23 carries against the Jets last season.

Wide Receivers: Justin Gage has been quiet since returning from injury in week eight but the last two games has reasserted himself as the go-to wideout in the offense. After catching for passes for 47 yards and a score in Chicago, Gage has a season best four catches for 147 yards and two touchdowns in Jacksonville that came from 56 and 38 yards out.

Brandon Jones has also showed up recently with 82 yards on eight receptions in Chicago and then two catches for 23 yards and one touchdown last week. The Titans can throw the ball... who knew?

Tight Ends: While the wideouts have been in and out of the picture this year - mostly out until recently - Bo Scaife has been consistently part of the passing game with around five catches for 50 yards in most games and a season his ten catches for 78 yards and a score in Chicago. Scaife is always used at least some and steps up when the passing game needs more.

Match Against the Defense: This should prove interesting since the Jets feature one of the best rushing defenses in the league. They have only allowed six rushing touchdowns this year and no runner has topped 74 yards against them. But the Jets have also played against a lot of suspect offenses and no top runner outside of Tomlinson (26-67, 2 TDs). This won't be a monster home game for the Titans rushing attack but there's no reason to avoid it either. Look for good yardage and two rushing scores.

Collins faces one of the weakest secondaries in the league so it is only a question of how much he needs to throw to win the game. Expect moderate yardage and a score to Scaife against the #31 defense versus tight ends. But it could be bigger if the Jets can slow down White and Johnson.

Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 29 3 29 9 10 9
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 28 6 14 31 13 26

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